MK Dons vs Oxford Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Jan 2026
FA Cup Betting Preview: MK Dons vs Oxford
League Two side MK Dons host Championship outfit Oxford at Stadium MK, with kick-off set for 14:30 on Friday 9 January.
For those that agree with our view that this will be low-scoring, take the -115 when it comes to Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. We don’t think MK Dons and Oxford will serve up a goalfest.
Milton Keynes Dons played Chesterfield at home in their last game. It was a 2-2 League Two draw at Stadium MK.
In the last FA Cup round, MK Dons were at home to Oldham Athletic and won 3-1.
Oxford United were beaten in their previous game and this was away from home at Portman Road. Ipswich Town claimed a 2-1 Championship win. Craig Short's side had just 36% possession and totalled one shot on goal, while Will Lankshear found the net.
| League Two | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | MK Dons |
32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 60 | 33 | 27 | 60:33 | 58 |
| Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Oxford |
33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 28:44 | 29 |
Confirmed Lineups
MK Dons confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Craig MacGillivray (GK), Gethin Jones, Jack Sanders, Luke Offord, Ben Wiles, Aaron Nemane, Daniel Crowley, Kane Thompson-Sommers, Connor Lemonheigh-Evans, Scott Hogan, Aaron Collins.
Oxford confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Matt Ingram (GK), Sam Long, Michal Helik, Ben Davies, Jack Currie, Will Vaulks, Cameron Brannagan, Stanley Mills, Jamie Donley, Siriki Dembele, Will Lankshear.
MK Dons vs Oxford Prediction & Betting Tips
Make the most of MK Dons vs Oxford with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline and a hand-picked bet builder designed for value.
Match Prediction
There’s a definite case for selecting Under 2.5 when it comes to this FA Cup showdown. The sides could be set to contest an encounter with few goals and we’re looking to snap up the price of -115.
Our football experts are keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the best FA Cup stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.
Key MK Dons vs Oxford FA Cup & league stats:
The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 53.5% chance of winning. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.
Bettors looking for a larger price when it comes to backing Under 2.5 Goals can include this pick as part of a Result & Total Goals selection. Predict the team that will land the spoils.
Don’t place another bet without seeing the best betting offers available—free bets and welcome promos included.
Correct Score Prediction
When it comes to the correct score, we’re going to take a chance on a 1-1 outcome. We’ll go for the +440 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.
Bet Builder Tips
We’ve loaded up a bet builder with the picks of Under 2.5, a draw to be the outcome and BTTS Yes.
A bet builder provides an exciting opportunity to follow various picks for the same football match. You require all predictions to be on the money and our readers enjoy placing a tailored wager on a specific encounter taking place.
MK Dons vs Oxford Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
If you want to back Milton Keynes Dons to win this FA Cup clash, then the bookies have priced them up at +180 on the 1x2 market. Oxford United are available at betting odds of +132 and the draw is +235.
If you want to side with Oxford winning against MK Dons, then the -0.25 on the Asian Handicap is one potential option. You can land -103 and also have the insurance of half stake returns in the event of a draw.
Under and Over 2.5 Goals bettors are able to get odds which are similar for the Total Goals market. An alternative angle is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been chalked up at -154.
For those wagering on FA Cup matches, it’s all about heading to the best football betting sites where hundreds of markets await you. Pre-match and In-Play options are plentiful.
Will Lankshear is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +430 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +195.
Latest FA Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
MK Dons Stats
Oxford Stats
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
MK Dons vs Oxford Lineups & Team News
Double-check the MK Dons vs Oxford team news before placing your bets. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the FA Cup along with up-to-date injury news.
MK Dons Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Oxford Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
MK Dons Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Oxford Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
MK Dons Substitutes
- 6Liam Kelly
- 13Callum Paterson
- 17Jonathan Leko
- 27Connal Trueman
- 28Jay Matete
- 34Callum Tripp
- 44D. Singh-Hurditt
- 46Jack Burke
- 54Elisha Boateng
Oxford Substitutes
- 1Jamie Cumming
- 9Mark Harris
- 10Matthew Phillips
- 11Ole Romeny
- 14B. De Keersmaecker
- 15Brodie Spencer
- 22Gregory Leigh
- 44Myles Peart-Harris
- 50Filip Krastev
Previous MK Dons Lineups
Previous Oxford Lineups
MK Dons Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Paul Warne
Oxford Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 56:34 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambridge | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 48:26 | 63 |
| 3 | Notts County | 33 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 52:32 | 61 |
| 4 | Swindon | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 56:40 | 61 |
| 5 | MK Dons | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 60:33 | 58 |
| 6 | Crewe | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 50:40 | 53 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 52:43 | 53 |
| 8 | Salford | 31 | 16 | 4 | 11 | 44:41 | 52 |
| 9 | Walsall | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 40:33 | 50 |
| 10 | Colchester | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 48:34 | 49 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 45:37 | 49 |
| 12 | Barnet | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 42:37 | 47 |
| 13 | Accr. Stanley | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 36:33 | 46 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 32 | 12 | 8 | 12 | 43:42 | 44 |
| 15 | Oldham | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 34:30 | 42 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 40:41 | 41 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 45:57 | 35 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 31:51 | 35 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 33:54 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 33 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 32:56 | 30 |
| 21 | Crawley | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33:54 | 28 |
| 22 | Barrow | 32 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 33:50 | 27 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:51 | 26 |
| 24 | Newport | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 32:60 | 24 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cambridge | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 27:11 | 37 |
| 2 | Notts County | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:15 | 36 |
| 3 | Bromley | 16 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 32:18 | 34 |
| 4 | Swindon | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 30:18 | 33 |
| 5 | MK Dons | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 30:15 | 32 |
| 6 | Crewe | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28:20 | 31 |
| 7 | Colchester | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 28:16 | 28 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 27:16 | 28 |
| 9 | Accr. Stanley | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 20:15 | 27 |
| 10 | Salford | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 22:20 | 27 |
| 11 | Shrewsbury | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 17:17 | 26 |
| 12 | Grimsby | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 23:15 | 25 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 27:25 | 25 |
| 14 | Walsall | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 18:16 | 24 |
| 15 | Gillingham | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:22 | 24 |
| 16 | Barnet | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24:21 | 23 |
| 17 | Oldham | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 18:15 | 22 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 19:21 | 22 |
| 19 | Bristol Rovers | 17 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 18:26 | 19 |
| 20 | Crawley | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:23 | 18 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19:26 | 17 |
| 22 | Barrow | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11:22 | 12 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 11:29 | 11 |
| 24 | Newport | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14:28 | 10 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 33 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 68:36 | 65 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 50:33 | 62 |
| 3 | Millwall | 33 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 42:40 | 56 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 54:34 | 54 |
| 5 | Hull | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 51:46 | 54 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 51:44 | 51 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 45:40 | 49 |
| 8 | Derby | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 47:41 | 48 |
| 9 | Watford | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 43:38 | 48 |
| 10 | Preston | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 40:37 | 48 |
| 11 | Southampton | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 49:45 | 47 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 45:41 | 47 |
| 13 | QPR | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | 46:47 | 47 |
| 14 | Sheffield Utd | 33 | 14 | 3 | 16 | 47:46 | 45 |
| 15 | Swansea | 33 | 13 | 6 | 14 | 39:39 | 45 |
| 16 | Stoke | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 36:31 | 44 |
| 17 | Charlton | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32:42 | 40 |
| 18 | Norwich | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 43:44 | 39 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 33:41 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31:41 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 32:49 | 34 |
| 22 | Leicester | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 46:53 | 33 |
| 23 | Oxford | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 28:44 | 29 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 33 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 20:66 | -7 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 34:12 | 39 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30:12 | 35 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 25:11 | 34 |
| 4 | Watford | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26:17 | 32 |
| 5 | Birmingham | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 30:15 | 31 |
| 6 | Swansea | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 31 |
| 7 | Millwall | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 30 |
| 8 | Southampton | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:14 | 27 |
| 9 | Wrexham | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 31:27 | 27 |
| 10 | Preston | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 22:18 | 27 |
| 11 | Hull | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 24:26 | 27 |
| 12 | Sheffield Utd | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 27:18 | 26 |
| 13 | QPR | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 29:24 | 26 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27:22 | 25 |
| 15 | Charlton | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 17:17 | 25 |
| 16 | West Brom | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18:21 | 23 |
| 17 | Stoke | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:16 | 22 |
| 18 | Portsmouth | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18:16 | 22 |
| 19 | Leicester | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 23:23 | 22 |
| 20 | Derby | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 21:23 | 21 |
| 21 | Blackburn | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16:22 | 17 |
| 22 | Norwich | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 17:22 | 16 |
| 23 | Oxford | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 13:22 | 15 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 17 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8:35 | 4 |
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