Monza vs Atalanta Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 May 2025

At Least One Team Could Draw a Blank

We’re not expecting both Monza and Atalanta to find the net and that leads us to the Both Teams to Score market. You can get a tasty -133 when it comes to BTTS No for this clash.

Atalanta on a Hot Streak Against Monza

Basement boys Monza have been defeated in their last five games. On the road, they recently suffered a 2-0 loss against Juventus at Allianz Stadium. I Biancorossi dominated possession with 65% of the ball and recorded three shots on target.

Atalanta played Lecce at home in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw at Gewiss Stadium. Gian Piero Gasperini's men had an impressive 74% of possession and recorded six shots on goal, with Mateo Retegui on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Atalanta overcame Monza at home when the teams last played. It was a 2-0 scoreline at Gewiss Stadium. In the previous 5 matches between these sides, Atalanta have won each and every time.

Monza have 8 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.4 goals from 8.8 attempts and 2.9 shots on goal. Alessandro Nesta's team have averaged 48.2% possession, 421.2 passes and 3.7 corners per game, conceding 2.0 goals and 4.9 corners from 16.1 attempts and 5.8 shots on goal.

Dany Mota, Armando Izzo, Keita Balde and Samuele Birindelli are joint-top scorers with 1 goals on the board. Dany Mota is the leading assists maker with 2, while goalie Stefano Turati has one clean sheet.

Atalanta have 4 victories, 3 defeats and 3 draws, with an average of 1.3 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts. The Bergamo side have averaged 53.5% possession, 480.1 passes, 5.8 corners awarded and 3.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.5 goals from 2.6 shots on goal and 9.4 attempts.

The top scorers have been Mateo Retegui with 4, Ademola Lookman on 3 and Davide Zappacosta 2. Raoul Bellanova and Mateo Retegui have had 2 assists in the previous 10 games, while Marco Carnesecchi has 6 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Monza confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Semuel Pizzignacco (GK), Pedro Pereira, Luca Caldirola, Tomas Palacios, Samuele Birindelli, Gaetano Castrovilli, Alessandro Bianco, Jean-Daniel Akpa-Akpro, Giorgos Kyriakopoulos, Dany Mota, Gianluca Caprari.

Atalanta confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Marco Carnesecchi (GK), Berat Djimsiti, Isak Hien, Odilon Kossounou, Raoul Bellanova, Marten de Roon, Ederson, Davide Zappacosta, Charles De Ketelaere, Ademola Lookman, Mateo Retegui.

Monza vs Atalanta Prediction & Betting Tips

It could be that at least one of the teams fails to get on the Serie A scoresheet here. Therefore, we’ll take the BTTS No option at -133 which means a nice return if our pick wins.

Injuries and suspensions can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the latest form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.

Key Monza vs Atalanta league stats:

• 4 of the last 5 Monza matches have resulted in BTTS No
• 7 of the last 10 Monza matches have resulted in BTTS No
• The last 3 Monza matches have resulted in BTTS No
• The last 5 Atalanta away matches have resulted in BTTS No
• 9 of the last 10 Atalanta matches have resulted in BTTS No
• The last 5 Atalanta away matches have resulted in BTTS No

BTTS No Probability

According to the latest odds, there’s a 57.1% likelihood of our pick winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

If you’re demanding bigger odds when wagering BTTS No, consider a Bet Builder which allows you to make further picks and get more bang for your buck.

Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - No @ -133 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Monza 0 - 2 Atalanta

Let’s take a chance on the +540 available that Atalanta secure a 2-0 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.

Player Prop Picks

Mateo Retegui Over 1.5 Shots On Target -137

Mateo Retegui (Atalanta) can be wagered to cover the shots on goal line at -137. He stands out as a value pick when it comes to Shots on Target, with the recommendation being to wager this player prop pick.

Latest Mateo Retegui Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-164

First

+205

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-139

Shots

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

-

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Ademola Lookman to Score +106

Ademola Lookman (Atalanta) has managed three goals in his past four Serie A matches on the road. Considering the numbers, we think that odds of +106 offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Ademola Lookman Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-100

First

+340

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

-119

Under 1.5

-164

Shots

Over 3.5

-156

Under 3.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Atalanta Under 6.5 Corners -150

The 6.5 corners line has not been covered by Atalanta in their past seven away games. There is juice when it comes to going under the Atalanta Team Corners line and this is priced at -150.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Monza

Total

8.60 3.70 4.90

Home

8.20 4.10 4.10

Away

9.20 3.90 5.30

Atalanta

Total

9.40 5.80 3.60

Home

8.90 6.00 2.90

Away

8.00 4.40 3.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-138

Under 8.5

-100

Monza Corners

Over 2.5

-110

Under 2.5

-125

Atalanta Corners

Over 6.5

+110

Under 6.5

-150

Most Corners

1

+430

X

+750

2

-556

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Monza vs Atalanta Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Atalanta Victory on the Cards According to Betting Sites

With an estimated 82% chance of winning, the bookies are taking no chances with their -450 betting odds about Atalanta triumphing in this Serie A match. Monza are the outsiders at +1200 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted.

If you’re betting on Serie A games, we recommend heading to the best football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+1200

X

+550

2

-450

Half-Time Result

1

+850

X

+200

2

-175

Double Chance

1X

+300

12

-901

X2

-2500

Draw No Bet

1

+1000

2

-2000

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +2

-116

2 Hcp -2

+104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+175

Over 2.5

-225

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-105

No

-125

Mateo Retegui Top of First Goalscorer List

Mateo Retegui is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +205. If you want to back him to score the last goal, you can get similar odds.

Mateo Retegui (Atalanta)

First

-164

Anytime

+205

Ademola Lookman (Atalanta)

First

-100

Anytime

+340

Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta)

First

+132

Anytime

+410

Lazar Samardzic (Atalanta)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Juan Cuadrado (Atalanta)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Mario Pasalic (Atalanta)

First

+265

Anytime

+750

Marco Brescianini (Atalanta)

First

+265

Anytime

+750

Rafael Tolói (Atalanta)

First

+335

Anytime

+950

Sead Kolasinac (Atalanta)

First

+350

Anytime

+1500

Marten de Roon (Atalanta)

First

+380

Anytime

+1150

Daniel Maldini (Monza)

First

+390

Anytime

+1150

Éderson José dos Santos Lourenco da Silva (Atalanta)

First

+390

Anytime

+1150

Ibrahim Sulemana (Atalanta)

First

+390

Anytime

+1200

Silvere Ganvoula (Monza)

First

+390

Anytime

+1500

Davide Zappacosta (Atalanta)

First

+440

Anytime

+1200

Matteo Ruggeri (Atalanta)

First

+475

Anytime

+1300

Gianluca Caprari (Monza)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Dany Mota (Monza)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Patrick Ciurria (Monza)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Gaetano Castrovilli (Monza)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Raoul Bellanova (Atalanta)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Odilon Kossounou (Atalanta)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Stefano Sensi (Monza)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Samuele Vignato (Monza)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Berat Djimsiti (Atalanta)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Giorgio Scalvini (Atalanta)

First

+850

Anytime

+1300

Kevin Zeroli (Monza)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Kacper Urbanski (Monza)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Mateo Retegui (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-139

Mario Pasalic (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-149

Marco Brescianini (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-156

Daniel Maldini (Monza)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-154

Juan Cuadrado (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-156

Ademola Lookman (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

-119

Under 1.5

-164

Lazar Samardzic (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-164

Rafael Tolói (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-244

Dany Mota (Monza)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-263

Silvere Ganvoula (Monza)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-270

Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-286

Gianluca Caprari (Monza)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-278

Éderson José dos Santos Lourenco da Silva (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+138

Under 0.5

-278

Ibrahim Sulemana (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-303

Marten de Roon (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-303

Patrick Ciurria (Monza)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-345

Davide Zappacosta (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+163

Under 0.5

-357

Stefano Sensi (Monza)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-417

Gaetano Castrovilli (Monza)

Over 0.5

+188

Under 0.5

-435

Giorgio Scalvini (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-455

Sead Kolasinac (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-625

Berat Djimsiti (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-1250

Mateo Retegui (Atalanta)

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

-

Ademola Lookman (Atalanta)

Over 3.5

-156

Under 3.5

-

Charles De Ketelaere (Atalanta)

Over 2.5

-192

Under 2.5

-

Lazar Samardzic (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

-119

Under 1.5

-

Juan Cuadrado (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

-132

Under 1.5

-

Mario Pasalic (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Marco Brescianini (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Rafael Tolói (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

+148

Under 1.5

-

Davide Zappacosta (Atalanta)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Gianluca Caprari (Monza)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Dany Mota (Monza)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Éderson José dos Santos Lourenco da Silva (Atalanta)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

-

Monza vs Atalanta Lineups & Team News

Our Monza vs Atalanta team news will highlight the injuries for both squads, with the lineups giving you a helping hand with your bets.

We’re on hand to provide you with full details of the latest Serie A squads.

Monza Team Page Atalanta Team Page