Monza vs Empoli Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 May 2025

Monza to Frustrate Empoli

There are reasons to back Monza on the Asian Handicap, with the underdogs in receipt of +0.75 at odds of -111 against Empoli. With the stake split between +0.5 and +1.0, we think a return could be on the cards.

Goalless Draw in in Pair’s Previous H2H

Monza have lost three straight home games. In their last appearance, they won on the road, beating Udinese 2-1 at Stadio Friuli. Alessandro Nesta's team recorded 40% possession and had two shots on target, while Gianluca Caprari and Keita Balde scored one goal each.

Survival-chasing Empoli have lost their previous two on the road. Their most recent game was at home at Stadio Carlo Castellani where they secured a 2-1 win against Parma. Gli Azzurri had five shots on goal and 46% possession, with Jacopo Fazzini and Tino Anjorin both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

When the teams last met, we saw Empoli draw 0-0 at home to Monza at Stadio Carlo Castellani. The previous 7 H2H games have included three draws coupled with two victories apiece.

Monza have 1 win, 8 losses and 1 draw, averaging 0.6 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts. The Lombardy outfit have averaged 48.1% possession, 415.7 passes and 3.4 corners per match, with their opponents getting 2.1 goals from 5.7 shots on goal, 15.3 attempts and 5.0 corners.

Keita Balde is the top scorer with 2 goals, while Gianluca Caprari, Dany Mota, Armando Izzo and Samuele Birindelli each have 1. Leading assistor is Dany Mota with 2.

Empoli have 1 victory, 5 defeats and 4 draws, with an average of 0.7 goals from 9.4 attempts and 2.7 shots on goal. Roberto D'Aversa's side average 40.9% possession, 300.3 passes, 3.4 corners in their favour and 4.2 corners against, while conceding 1.3 goals from 9.9 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal.

Jacopo Fazzini has recorded 3 goals, Tino Anjorin 2, with Christian Kouame and Alberto Grassi both managing 1. Liam Henderson has clocked up 2 assists, with Devis Vasquez keeping one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Monza confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Semuel Pizzignacco (GK), Arvid Brorsson, Andrea Carboni, Tomas Palacios, Samuele Birindelli, Kevin Zeroli, Alessandro Bianco, Jean-Daniel Akpa-Akpro, Giorgos Kyriakopoulos, Keita Balde, Gianluca Caprari.

Empoli confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Devis Vasquez (GK), Luca Marianucci, Ardian Ismajli, Mattia Viti, Emmanuel Quartsin Gyasi, Liam Henderson, Alberto Grassi, Giuseppe Pezzella, Jacopo Fazzini, Liberato Cacace, Sebastiano Esposito.

Monza vs Empoli Prediction & Betting Tips

Our experts think that siding with Monza +0.75 at -111 on the Asian Handicap is the way forward for this Serie A encounter. The home team should be able to avoid defeat in this contest and have the potential to win.

The form is always taken into consideration and it’s great to combine this with team news as it becomes available. In order to provide an expert verdict, the latest stats are analysed so that we have the best information.

Key Monza vs Empoli league stats:

• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Empoli in 10 consecutive games on the road.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Empoli in 19 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Empoli in 10 consecutive games on the road.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Monza in 5 of their last 7 games against Empoli.

Monza +0.75 Probability

The bookies are estimating that there is a 52.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

There’s an opportunity to land bigger odds thanks to selling goals on your Asian Handicap wager. If you want a safer wager, buying goals could be the way forward.

Our Match Prediction

Monza Asian Hcp +0.75 @ -111 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Monza 1 - 1 Empoli

There are odds of +525 available that we see a 1-1 scoreline played out. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Sebastiano Esposito Under 0.5 Shots On Target +114

Sebastiano Esposito (Empoli) hasn’t managed a shot on goal in six of the past nine Serie A matches. We expect him not to cover the line and this Shots on Target wager can be taken at +114.

Latest Sebastiano Esposito Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+195

First

+430

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

+112

Shots

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

-

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Jacopo Fazzini to Score +650

Jacopo Fazzini (Empoli) has scored three goals in his past five Serie A games. We’re happy to take the +650 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Jacopo Fazzini Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+600

First

+1400

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Corners Prediction

Under 9.5 Corners -125

There has been four straight Empoli matches where the 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered, with an average of 8.10 corners in the last ten Monza home games. There’s the opportunity to go under the Total Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of -125 on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Monza

Total

8.40 3.40 5.00

Home

8.10 3.40 4.70

Away

9.00 3.20 5.80

Empoli

Total

7.60 3.40 4.20

Home

7.80 3.40 4.40

Away

9.80 4.80 5.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-143

Under 8.5

-100

Monza Corners

Over 3.5

-130

Under 3.5

-109

Empoli Corners

Over 4.5

-143

Under 4.5

-100

Most Corners

1

+160

X

+550

2

-167

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Monza vs Empoli Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Match Odds Suggest Empoli Win

With an approximate 57% chance of succeeding, the bookies are being cautious with their -132 betting odds for Empoli triumphing in this Serie A game. If you want to wager on the underdog, Monza have been priced up at +370.

If you want to back the favourites to be ahead by the break, then Empoli are +138 on the Half-Time Result market. Alternatively, Monza are +390 and the draw is priced at +115.

For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting game. If you anticipate that one team or more will achieve a shutout, then Both Teams to Score No is -139.

If you head to our recommended betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each Serie A match. Go through the options and choose your football bet.

Full-Time Result

1

+370

X

+250

2

-132

Half-Time Result

1

+390

X

+115

2

+138

Double Chance

1X

-100

12

-345

X2

-526

Draw No Bet

1

+215

2

-345

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.75

-128

2 Hcp -0.75

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-149

Over 2.5

+115

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+105

No

-139

Sebastiano Esposito Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

There is +195 available that Sebastiano Esposito finds the net, while he is available at +430 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Sebastiano Esposito (Empoli)

First

+195

Anytime

+430

Lorenzo Colombo (Empoli)

First

+240

Anytime

+525

Ola Solbakken (Empoli)

First

+295

Anytime

+650

Emmanuel Gyasi (Empoli)

First

+330

Anytime

+750

Christian Kouamé (Empoli)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Tino Anjorin (Empoli)

First

+440

Anytime

+1000

Silvere Ganvoula (Monza)

First

+460

Anytime

+1000

Dany Mota (Monza)

First

+460

Anytime

+1050

Gianluca Caprari (Monza)

First

+460

Anytime

+1050

Patrick Ciurria (Monza)

First

+480

Anytime

+1150

Gaetano Castrovilli (Monza)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Tyronne Ebuehi (Empoli)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Stefano Sensi (Monza)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Jacopo Fazzini (Empoli)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Liberato Cacace (Empoli)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Liam Henderson (Empoli)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Samuele Vignato (Monza)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Youssef Maleh (Empoli)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Kevin Zeroli (Monza)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Kacper Urbanski (Monza)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Saba Goglichidze (Empoli)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Alberto Grassi (Empoli)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Samuele Birindelli (Monza)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro (Monza)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Ardrian Ismajli (Empoli)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Luca Marianucci (Empoli)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Alessandro Bianco (Monza)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Danilo D'Ambrosio (Monza)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Sebastiano Esposito (Empoli)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

+112

Lorenzo Colombo (Empoli)

Over 0.5

-179

Under 0.5

-109

Ola Solbakken (Empoli)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-167

Emmanuel Gyasi (Empoli)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-204

Christian Kouamé (Empoli)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-222

Dany Mota (Monza)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-233

Silvere Ganvoula (Monza)

Over 0.5

+116

Under 0.5

-233

Gianluca Caprari (Monza)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-244

Patrick Ciurria (Monza)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-286

Tino Anjorin (Empoli)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-333

Stefano Sensi (Monza)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-385

Gaetano Castrovilli (Monza)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-476

Samuele Vignato (Monza)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-526

Saba Goglichidze (Empoli)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-1111

Danilo D'Ambrosio (Monza)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1667

Sebastiano Esposito (Empoli)

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

-

Lorenzo Colombo (Empoli)

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-

Ola Solbakken (Empoli)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Emmanuel Gyasi (Empoli)

Over 1.5

-111

Under 1.5

-

Christian Kouamé (Empoli)

Over 1.5

-119

Under 1.5

-

Silvere Ganvoula (Monza)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Dany Mota (Monza)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Gianluca Caprari (Monza)

Over 1.5

-119

Under 1.5

-

Patrick Ciurria (Monza)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Gaetano Castrovilli (Monza)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Stefano Sensi (Monza)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

Saba Goglichidze (Empoli)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-

Ardrian Ismajli (Empoli)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-

Luca Marianucci (Empoli)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-

Monza vs Empoli Lineups & Team News

You’ve found the right place for Monza vs Empoli team news, with all the latest information available including lineups and injuries so you’re fully informed.

The Serie A squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.

Monza Team Page Empoli Team Page