Monza vs Napoli Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 19 Apr 2025

Monza Look Value on the Asian Handicap

It could pay to back Monza with a +1.5 goal start against Napoli and we’ll back them at Asian Handicap odds of -100. We will get a return with this bet if the underdogs are able to win, draw or lose by a single goal.

Napoli Won 2-0 in Teams’ Last Meeting

Monza have been defeated in their last three games. On the road, they recently suffered a 1-0 loss against Venezia at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo. I Biancorossi boasted 56% possession and recorded four shots on target.

Napoli won their previous game which was at home. It was a 3-0 triumph at Diego Armando Maradona against Empoli. The Naples club boasted 63% possession and had six shots on goal, with Scott McTominay finding the net twice and Romelu Lukaku scoring one.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Napoli have triumphed in the last two clashes against Monza. As the hosts at Diego Armando Maradona, a 2-0 win was achieved which followed a 4-2 away success at U-Power Stadium. The previous 5 H2H games have involved three Napoli triumphs, one Monza win and one draw.

Monza have 8 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.5 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 8.1 attempts. The Lombardy side have averaged 48.2% possession, 416.4 passes and 3.4 corners per match, with their opponents getting 2.3 goals from 6.1 shots on goal, 17.3 attempts and 5.3 corners.

The five top scorers are Dany Mota, Armando Izzo, Keita Balde, Samuele Birindelli and Stefano Sensi, with these players all scoring 1 goals. Dany Mota is the leading assists maker on 2, with goalkeeper Stefano Turati keeping one clean sheet.

Napoli have 3 victories, 1 defeat and 6 draws, with an average of 1.4 goals from 12.2 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal. They average 53.3% possession, 458.1 passes, 5.0 corners awarded and 4.8 corners against them, while conceding 1.0 goals from 10.3 attempts and 3.0 shots on goal.

We’ve seen Romelu Lukaku, Scott McTominay and Giacomo Raspadori score 3 goals each. Romelu Lukaku has clocked up 4 assists, with Alex Meret keeping 2 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Monza confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Stefano Turati (GK), Pedro Pereira, Luca Caldirola, Andrea Carboni, Samuele Birindelli, Gaetano Castrovilli, Alessandro Bianco, Jean-Daniel Akpa-Akpro, Giorgos Kyriakopoulos, Gianluca Caprari, Dany Mota.

Napoli confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Alex Meret (GK), Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Amir Rrahmani, Rafa Marin, Mathias Olivera, Billy Gilmour, Stanislav Lobotka, Scott McTominay, Matteo Politano, Romelu Lukaku, Leonardo Spinazzola.

Monza vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips

Monza +1.5 could be a warm order considering you can get odds of -100 for the underdogs in this Serie A match. They should be able to avoid a heavy defeat and the odds look really attractive.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news. We also use a form guide for our betting tips along with checking out the stats that are going to help inform our final decision.

Key Monza vs Napoli league stats:

• The +1.5 line has been covered by Monza in 17 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +1.5 line has been covered by Monza in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Napoli in any of their last 5 games on the road.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Napoli in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Napoli in 6 consecutive games on the road.

Monza +1.5 Probability

The bookies make it a 50% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our experts have this probability close to 60%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

Want to back Monza to cover the line at bigger odds? Get more juice by taking the Bet Builder route where different legs can be combined to good effect.

Our Match Prediction

Monza Asian Hcp +1.5 @ -100 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Monza 0 - 1 Napoli

Our prediction for the correct score is Napoli to land a 1-0 victory and this is available at +550. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Player Prop Picks

David Neres Under 0.5 Shots On Target -100

David Neres (Napoli) has finished without a shot on goal in six of the past seven Serie A away games. It stands to reason that he will fall short of the line and you can get odds of -100 for this Shots on Target wager.

Latest David Neres Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+195

First

+480

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

+102

Shots

Over 2.5

-106

Under 2.5

-

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Scott McTominay to Score +220

Scott McTominay (Napoli) has racked up two goals in his past four Serie A matches. We’ll bear these numbers in mind and take odds of +220 that he is able to feature on the scoresheet when we wager on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Scott McTominay Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+215

First

+525

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

+102

Shots

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Monza Over 2.5 Corners -100

We’ve seen an average of 4.10 corners for Monza in their past 10 home matches, while the previous nine Napoli games have involved them conceding over 2.5 corners. We’re expecting history to be repeated and that would mean the Monza Team Corners line is covered at -100.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Monza

Total

8.70 3.40 5.30

Home

8.10 4.10 4.00

Away

10.20 3.80 6.40

Napoli

Total

9.80 5.00 4.80

Home

10.80 7.40 3.40

Away

8.90 4.60 4.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-138

Monza Corners

Over 2.5

-138

Under 2.5

-100

Napoli Corners

Over 6.5

-100

Under 6.5

-138

Most Corners

1

+410

X

+800

2

-556

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Monza vs Napoli Odds

Napoli are strong -300 favourites to win this Serie A match according to the betting odds. The bookies give them a 75% chance of claiming victory. Monza are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +1000.

The latest betting suggests it’s a close call between Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals.

Many customers enjoy placing a Serie A Bet Builder where you can combine different betting selections with the football betting sites. The more picks means that the odds get bigger.

Full-Time Result

1

+1000

X

+375

2

-300

Half-Time Result

1

+750

X

+150

2

-125

Double Chance

1X

+225

12

-549

X2

-2000

Draw No Bet

1

+700

2

-1205

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1.5

-114

2 Hcp -1.5

+105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-100

Over 2.5

-125

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+110

No

-150

Romelu Lukaku is the First Goalscorer Favourite

There is +117 available that Romelu Lukaku finds the net anytime, while the favourite to score the first goal is on offer at +330.

Romelu Lukaku (Napoli)

First

+117

Anytime

+330

Giacomo Raspadori (Napoli)

First

+185

Anytime

+460

David Neres (Napoli)

First

+195

Anytime

+480

Scott McTominay (Napoli)

First

+215

Anytime

+525

Matteo Politano (Napoli)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Billy Gilmour (Napoli)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Silvere Ganvoula (Monza)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Frank Anguissa (Napoli)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Stanislav Lobotka (Napoli)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Leonardo Spinazzola (Napoli)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Mathías Olivera (Napoli)

First

+600

Anytime

+1600

Giovanni Di Lorenzo (Napoli)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Dany Mota (Monza)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Gianluca Caprari (Monza)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Pasquale Mazzocchi (Napoli)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Patrick Ciurria (Monza)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Amir Rrahmani (Napoli)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Gaetano Castrovilli (Monza)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Stefano Sensi (Monza)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Kacper Urbanski (Monza)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Samuele Vignato (Monza)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Kevin Zeroli (Monza)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Giacomo Raspadori (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-244

Under 0.5

+120

David Neres (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

+102

Scott McTominay (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

+102

Matteo Politano (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-143

Romelu Lukaku (Napoli)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-222

Silvere Ganvoula (Monza)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-303

Dany Mota (Monza)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-333

Gianluca Caprari (Monza)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-345

Gaetano Castrovilli (Monza)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-476

Billy Gilmour (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-556

Frank Anguissa (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-667

Leonardo Spinazzola (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-667

Mathías Olivera (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-714

Giovanni Di Lorenzo (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-714

Stanislav Lobotka (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+255

Under 0.5

-667

Amir Rrahmani (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-1250

Romelu Lukaku (Napoli)

Over 3.5

-119

Under 3.5

-

Giacomo Raspadori (Napoli)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-

David Neres (Napoli)

Over 2.5

-106

Under 2.5

-

Scott McTominay (Napoli)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-

Matteo Politano (Napoli)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Silvere Ganvoula (Monza)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Dany Mota (Monza)

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-

Gianluca Caprari (Monza)

Over 1.5

+132

Under 1.5

-

Billy Gilmour (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-

Frank Anguissa (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Mathías Olivera (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-

Giovanni Di Lorenzo (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-

Amir Rrahmani (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-

Monza vs Napoli Lineups & Team News

It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Monza vs Napoli team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’ve got details of the Serie A squads so that you know every player on the roster.

Monza Team Page Napoli Team Page