Moreirense vs Casa Pia Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Sep 2025
Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Moreirense vs Casa Pia
Moreirense host Casa Pia in this Portuguese Primeira Liga meeting at Estadio C. Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Saturday 27 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
Moreirense look a great bet to beat Casa Pia on the Full-Time Result market. You can get odds of +104 with BetMGM that the home team claim a victory and this looks like a value wager based on the latest stats and team news.
Putting your money on Moreirense? Snag the latest BetMGM promo code and take a minute to check out our in-depth review to get the most value.
Moreirense have won three home games on the spin. On the road at Estadio Jose Alvalade in their last game, they were beaten 3-0 by Sporting CP. Vasco Botelho da Costa's side had only 39% possession and one shot on target.
Casa Pia drew 1-1 against Famalicão in their previous game. This was on home soil at Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior. The Lisbon club recorded 53% possession and managed three shots on goal, with Jeremy Livolant finding the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The last head-to-head saw Moreirense claim a 3-2 home win over Casa Pia at Estadio C. Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. Both teams have two wins on the board when we look at the 4-game H2H record.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Moreirense |
13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 21:20 | 20 |
| 15 | Casa Pia |
14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 28 | -14 | 14:28 | 10 |
Moreirense have 5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts. Vasco Botelho da Costa's team have averaged 47.8% possession, 387.1 passes and 3.4 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.3 goals from 4.7 shots on goal, 11.9 attempts and 4.9 corners.
Guilherme Schettine leads the way with 4 goals, Yan Lincon has 3, with Marcelo and Alan scoring 2. Alan and Dinis Pinto have the most assists with 4, while goalie Caio Secco has recorded 3 clean sheets.
Casa Pia have won 3, lost 5 and drawn 2, with an average of 0.9 goals from 2.7 shots on goal and 7.8 attempts. There’s been an average of 43.0% possession, 308.1 passes, 3.0 corners taken and 5.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.5 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 14.6 attempts.
The top scorers have been Jeremy Livolant and Cassiano on 2, with David Sousa getting 1. Jeremy Livolant has had 4 assists in the previous 10 games, while Patrick Sequeira has 3 clean sheets to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Moreirense confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Caio Secco (GK), Dinis Pinto, Maracas, Marcelo, Kiko, Alan, Mateja Stjepanovic, Vasco Sousa, Diogo Travassos, Guilherme Schettine, Kiko Bondoso.
Casa Pia confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Patrick Sequeira (GK), Andre Geraldes, Kaique Rocha, David Sousa, Gaizka Larrazabal, Sebastian Perez, Renato Nhaga, Abdu Conte, Jeremy Livolant, Dailon Rocha Livramento, Tiago Morais.
Moreirense vs Casa Pia Prediction & Betting Tips
Get the full betting picture for Moreirense vs Casa Pia, including a key match prediction, our correct score selection, best corners advice, top player prop picks and a ready-made bet builder.
Match Prediction
We’ll take the plunge and back Moreirense to secure victory when they line up in this Primeira Liga game. There’s plenty of confidence behind this wager and the odds of +104 look attractive.
The football tipsters at Sportsgambler.com regularly look at the injury situatuation along with the Primeira Liga form guide. We have a wide range of stats at our disposal which means we can illustrate the key data to readers.
Key Moreirense vs Casa Pia league stats:
The latest odds imply that our pick has a 49% prospect of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.
There’s the chance to secure bigger odds by combining Moreirense to win with BTTS No if you think that they’ll not only oblige with a victory but also keep a clean sheet during the ninety minutes.
Check out the most rewarding betting offers in our in-depth guide before your next wager. The best bonuses and free bets await.
Correct Score Prediction
Let’s go for Moreirense to win 2-1, a bet which is available at +600. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.
Player Prop Picks
Guilherme Schettine (Moreirense) has registered three goals in his past five Primeira Liga games. There are odds of +210 on offer for this Anytime Goalscorer bet and we think this is an attractive wager for the player to be on the scoresheet.
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Corners Prediction
Casa Pia have had over 3.5 corners in two consecutive games, while Moreirense have had an average of 4.90 corners against them in their last 10 matches. We’re happy to back the -161 when it comes to Casa Pia covering the Team Corners line which looks generous.
Moreirense
Casa Pia
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Bet Builder Tips
If you want to try a bet builder, have a play on Moreirense to win, both teams to score and Casa Pia to finish with over 3.5 corners.
We recommend a bet builder as it’s an exciting way of wagering on a football match. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.
Moreirense vs Casa Pia Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
The Full-Time Result odds of +104 suggest that Moreirense are likely victors and there’s a 49% probability that the favourites win this Primeira Liga clash. Casa Pia are the +260 outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.
There are different betting angles when backing Moreirense including the Asian Handicap -0.25 wager. This is available at -135 and there’s a half stake return if they only draw with Casa Pia.
The Total Goals market is a great option and Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds right now. A different slant is having a BTTS bet and Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -159.
The leading football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to Primeira Liga matches. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.
Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa is the market leader to be First Goalscorer at +380 while there’s also the chance to back him to find the net at +175.
Moreirense have now managed three wins on the bounce at Estadio C. Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. The Moreira de Cónegos outfit have managed five victories, four draws and one loss in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.70 goals per game and conceding 1.20.
Casa Pia have finished with five defeats, three draws and two wins in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.40.
When the teams previously met at Estadio C. Joaquim de Almeida Freitas, Moreirense defeated Casa Pia 3-2.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Moreirense Home Stats |
5-4-1 | 2.90 | 1.70 | 1.20 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 3 | |
Casa Pia Away Stats |
2-3-5 | 2.30 | 0.90 | 1.40 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Moreirense League Stats
Casa Pia League Stats
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.40 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 corners awarded and 3.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.60 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.00 corners awarded and 5.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 corners awarded and 6.20 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 47.80% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 43.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 45.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Moreirense this season are Guilherme Schettine (4), Alan (1), Diogo Travassos (1)
- Top Assistors for Moreirense this season are Dinis Pinto (4), Alan (2), Kiko Bondoso (1)
Moreirense vs Casa Pia Lineups & Team News
Get the latest team news for Moreirense vs Casa Pia before you bet. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga along with up-to-date injury news.
Moreirense Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Casa Pia Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Moreirense Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Casa Pia Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
Moreirense Substitutes
- 7Cedric Teguia
- 13Andre Ferreira
- 17Alvaro Martinez
- 20Bernardo Martins
- 25Afonso Assis
- 30Jimi Gower
- 66Gilberto Batista
- 78Landerson
- 99Yan Lincon
Casa Pia Substitutes
- 3Kaly
- 4Joao Goulart
- 8Rafael Brito
- 9Max Svensson
- 12Fahem Benaissa-Yahia
- 14Miguel Sousa
- 22Daniel Azevedo
- 24Iyad Mohamed
- 90Cassiano
Previous Moreirense Lineups
Previous Casa Pia Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Moreirense Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Vasco Botelho da Costa
Casa Pia Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 13 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 27:3 | 37 |
| 2 | Sporting | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 38:7 | 35 |
| 3 | Benfica | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 26:8 | 29 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17:7 | 25 |
| 5 | Braga | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 25:12 | 22 |
| 6 | Vitória | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | 21 |
| 7 | Famalicão | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14:9 | 20 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 21:20 | 20 |
| 9 | Alverca | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 17 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17:22 | 16 |
| 11 | Santa Clara | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | 15 |
| 12 | Estoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 22:21 | 14 |
| 13 | Estrela | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 14 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:18 | 12 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14:28 | 10 |
| 16 | Tondela | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7:22 | 9 |
| 17 | Arouca | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14:37 | 9 |
| 18 | AVS | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9:37 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Porto | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:1 | 16 |
| 3 | Benfica | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 15:6 | 13 |
| 4 | Moreirense | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7:3 | 12 |
| 6 | Vitória | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 10 |
| 8 | Santa Clara | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 9 | Alverca | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | 10 |
| 10 | Estoril | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 9 |
| 11 | Famalicão | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 12 | Estrela | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 8 |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:12 | 6 |
| 14 | Arouca | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:17 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:13 | 3 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 17 | Tondela | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:9 | 2 |
| 18 | AVS | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:14 | 2 |
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