Nacional vs Arouca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 20 Sep 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Nacional vs Arouca

Nacional host Arouca in this Portuguese Primeira Liga encounter at Estadio da Madeira, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Saturday 20 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

We’re Sweet on Both Sides to Score

It’s likely that we’ll see both Nacional and Arouca finding the net and that leads us to back BTTS Yes. This betting selection is priced at -132 and can be wagered with confidence.

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2-1 Victory for Arouca in Previous H2H Clash

Nacional have lost back-to-back Primeira Liga home appearances. Their last league game was away from home and a 1-0 defeat occurred against Porto at Estadio do Dragao. The White and Black had only 31% possession and one shot on target.

Arouca were defeated in their previous game, being beaten at home to Casa Pia by a 2-0 scoreline at Municipal de Arouca. Vasco Seabra's side dominated possession with 66% of the ball and racked up two shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Arouca who came out on top when they last played Nacional. At Estadio da Madeira, a 2-1 away win was recorded.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	Nacional	10	3	2	5	10	14	-4	10:14	11
15	Arouca	10	2	3	5	10	26	-16	10:26	9

View Full Table

Nacional have 1 win, 6 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 11.2 attempts. The White and Black have averaged 42.7% possession, 289.2 passes and 6.3 corners per match, with their opponents getting 2.0 goals from 4.8 shots on goal, 12.2 attempts and 4.4 corners.

Jesus Ramirez and Leonardo Santos are the leading goalscorers with 2, while Paulinho Boia has 1. Jose Gomes has the most assists with 2, while goalkeeper Lucas Franca has one clean sheet.

Arouca have won 3, lost 3 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.3 goals from 11.6 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal. Vasco Seabra's side average 54.9% possession, 423.5 passes, 3.5 corners awarded and 4.3 corners against them, while conceding 1.7 goals from 12.3 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal.

Alfonso Trezza has recorded 4 goals, Nais Djouahra 3, with Miguel Puche and Dylan Nandin both managing 2. Alfonso Trezza is top assists provider with 3, while Joao Valido and Nico Mantl have kept 3 clean sheets between them in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Nacional confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Lucas Franca (GK), Joao Aurelio, Leonardo Santos, Ze Vitor, Jose Gomes, Chiheb Labidi, Matheus Dias, Liziero, Paulinho Boia, Jesus Ramirez, Pablo Ruan.

Arouca confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Joao Valido (GK), Tiago Esgaio, Jose Fontan, Boris Popovic, Amadou Dante, Taichi Fukui, David Simao, Alfonso Trezza, Hyun-Ju Lee, Nais Djouahra, Dylan Nandin.

Nacional vs Arouca Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Nacional vs Arouca betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, top player prop picks, correct score recommendation, corners betting angle and best bet builder insights.

Match Prediction

Goals could be on the cards and we’re backing both sides to find the net in this Primeira Liga encounter. You can get odds of -132 when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection and this looks like real value.

Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together football betting tips. Once we’ve also looked at the Primeira Liga form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.

Key Nacional vs Arouca league stats:

• BTTS Yes has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Nacional games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Nacional games at home.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Arouca games on the road.
• BTTS Yes has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Arouca games.

BTTS Yes Probability

The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 56.8% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 60-65%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

If you think that BTTS Yes will happen but want to get a slightly bigger price, there’s the option to head to the Total Goals & Both Teams to Score market and combine it with Over 2.5 Goals.

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Our Match Prediction

Both Teams To Score - Yes @ -132 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Nacional 1 - 1 Arouca

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves a 1-1 scoreline. The odds of +420 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Alfonso Trezza to Score +320

Alfonso Trezza (Arouca) has racked up three goals in his past five Primeira Liga matches. It’s worth a gamble on the +320 for him to be Anytime Goalscorer as there’s plenty of juice in these betting odds.

Latest Alfonso Trezza Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+390

First

+750

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Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -137

All of the past four Arouca away matches have seen the 10.5 Total Corners line not covered, with the same thing happening in the previous two  Nacional games. We’re anticipating the sides to fall short of the line, with this Total Corners bet on offer at -137.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Nacional

Total

10.70 6.30 4.40

Home

10.50 5.60 4.90

Away

10.10 5.00 5.10

Arouca

Total

7.80 3.50 4.30

Home

9.00 4.00 5.00

Away

9.40 3.90 5.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-147

Under 9.5

-100

Nacional Corners

Over 4.5

-150

Under 4.5

+110

Arouca Corners

Over 4.5

-138

Under 4.5

-100

Most Corners

1

-141

X

+650

2

+145

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Nacional vs Arouca Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Match Odds Suggest a Close-Run Battle

Nacional are the +123 favourites on the 1x2 betting. That implies a 45% chance of triumphing in this Primeira Liga encounter according to the latest odds. If you’re searching for a different slant, Arouca are available at +210.

There are different ways to bet on Nacional winning and that includes the -112 about them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. It also means that if they draw with Arouca, you get half stakes refunded.

A low-scoring contest will be anticipated by many and Under 2.5 Goals currently has the shortest odds. A fresh approach might involve siding with a BTTS wager and there’s -132 on offer for Both Teams to Score No.

For those visiting the best betting sites, you are guaranteed a fantastic service for all the Primeira Liga games. The hundreds of football markets always ensure lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+123

X

+210

2

+210

Half-Time Result

1

+200

X

+105

2

+270

Double Chance

1X

-333

12

-333

X2

-179

Draw No Bet

1

-175

2

+114

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-112

2 Hcp +0.25

-128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-167

Over 2.5

+128

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-108

No

-132

Jesus Ramírez Díaz Favourite to Score the First Goal

There is +260 available that Jesus Ramírez Díaz finds the net anytime, while the favourite to score the first goal is on offer at +500.

Jesus Ramírez Díaz (Nacional)

First

+260

Anytime

+500

Barbero (Arouca)

First

+320

Anytime

+650

Alfonso Trezza (Arouca)

First

+390

Anytime

+750

Miguel Puche (Arouca)

First

+410

Anytime

+800

Miguel Baeza (Nacional)

First

+510

Anytime

+1050

Matheus Dias (Nacional)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

André Sousa (Nacional)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Ulisses Wilson Jeronymo Rocha (Nacional)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Pedro Carvalho Santos (Arouca)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Espen van Ee (Arouca)

First

+800

Anytime

+1500

Pablo Gozálbez (Arouca)

First

+850

Anytime

+1600

Ze Vitor (Nacional)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

João Miguel Coimbra Aurélio (Nacional)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Alex Pinto (Arouca)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Jose Fontan (Arouca)

First

+1150

Anytime

+2200

Matías Rocha (Arouca)

First

+1300

Anytime

+2200

Nacional Looking to Turn a Corner on Home Soil

Nacional are winless in the last six games at Estadio da Madeira. Tiago Margarido's team have finished with six defeats, two wins and two draws in the past 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 2.10.

Arouca haven’t triumphed in six straight games on the road. The Wolves have clocked up five draws, three losses and two wins in the past 10 away games, recording an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 1.90.

The past meeting at Estadio da Madeira saw Arouca defeat Nacional 2-1.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Nacional Home Stats		2-2-6	3.40	1.30	2.10	8	2	7	3
Arouca Away Stats		2-5-3	3.10	1.20	1.90	6	4	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Nacional vs Arouca Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Nacional vs Arouca team news before you bet. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga and the newest injury information.

Nacional Team Page Arouca Team Page