Nacional vs Benfica Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 29 Nov 2025
Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Nacional vs Benfica
Nacional take on Benfica at Estadio da Madeira, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Saturday 29 November.
We are confident with our -1.5 Asian Handicap bet considering that we require Benfica to win by at least two goals to secure a return. Odds of -111 offer lots of appeal when the visitors clash with Nacional.
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Nacional played out a 1-1 draw when last in action. This was on the road at Estadio Jose Gomes against Estrela Amadora. The Madeira club ended up with just 38% possession and had four shots on target, with Jose Gomes being the goalscorer.
Benfica drew 2-2 in their previous Primeira Liga game. This was at home against Casa Pia at Estadio da Luz. Jose Mourinho's side boasted 66% possession and had six shots on goal, with Georgiy Sudakov and Vangelis Pavlidis both on target.
Four days ago, Benfica visited Ajax and won 2-0 in the Champions League.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Benfica have enjoyed three successive victories against Nacional. Their last encounter took place at Estadio da Luz and Benfica secured a 3-0 home win. The previous 4 H2H meetings have featured three Benfica wins and one draw.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Benfica |
11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 23:6 | 25 |
| 10 | Nacional |
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11:15 | 12 |
Nacional have 3 wins, 4 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.1 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts. Tiago Margarido's team have averaged 41.3% possession, 286.7 passes and 3.9 corners per match, conceding 1.3 goals and 5.9 corners from 4.5 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts.
Jesus Ramirez is the top goalscorer with 6, Leonardo Santos has 2, with Jose Gomes and two other players on 1. Liziero and Jose Gomes have been top assistors on 3, with goalkeeper Kaique Pereira keeping one clean sheet.
Benfica have 6 victories and 4 draws, averaging 14.9 attempts, 6.3 shots on goal and 2.2 goals. The Eagles average 61.4% possession, 520.3 passes, 5.5 corners in their favour and 3.3 corners against, while 0.6 goals have been conceded from 3.5 shots on goal and 8.2 attempts.
Vangelis Pavlidis is top scorer on 8, with Georgiy Sudakov and Franjo Ivanovic next on 3. Vangelis Pavlidis and Dodi Lukebakio are top assists providers with 3, while Anatoliy Trubin has recorded 4 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Nacional predicted lineup (4-3-3): Kaique Pereira (GK), Joao Aurelio, Chico Gonçalves, Léo Santos, Jose Gomes, Chiheb Labidi, Matheus Dias, Liziero, Paulinho Bóia, Jesús Ramírez, Witi.
Benfica predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Anatolii Trubin (GK), Nicolas Otamendi, António Silva, Tomas Araújo, Samuel Dahl, Henrique Araújo, Enzo Barrenechea, Amar Dedić, Leandro Barreiro, Georgiy Sudakov, Vangelis Pavlidis.
Nacional vs Benfica Prediction & Betting Tips
We’ve got your Nacional vs Benfica bets covered, including our expert match prediction, correct score recommendation, corners outlook and a tailored bet builder built for value.
Match Prediction
We think it’s likely that Benfica won’t just win this Primeira Liga match but enjoy a decent margin of victory. We’re happy to back the away team -1.5 at odds of -111 on this basis.
Injuries and suspensions are studied by the team at Sportsgambler.com. Our football predictions also come from studying the latest Primeira Liga form, with the numbers playing a huge part before the tips are decided.
Key Nacional vs Benfica league stats:
When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 52.6% chance of winning. However, our tipsters research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.
It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the prediction you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.
Make smarter bets by exploring our bonus guide full of updated betting offers, free bets, and exciting new promotions.
Correct Score Prediction
Our prediction for the correct score is Benfica to land a 3-0 victory and this is available at +550. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.
Corners Prediction
Benfica have had under 6.5 corners in ten consecutive away games. When it comes to Team Corners, we’re expecting Benfica to fall short and you can get odds of -141.
Nacional
Benfica
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Bet Builder Tips
We’ve got a same-game multi with three options: Benfica with an Asian Handicap of -1.5, more than two goals to be registered and Benfica Under 6.5 corners.
If you’re keen to wager different selections for the same football match, a bet builder will provide a solution. It means that you can create a personalised bet at bigger odds depending on how many predictions you make.
Nacional vs Benfica Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Benfica are strong -313 favourites to win this Primeira Liga encounter according to the Full-Time Result betting odds. The bookies give them a 76% chance of claiming victory. If you’re interested in wagering Nacional, you can get +800 for the underdog.
Benfica and Nacional can be backed at -127 and +650 respectively on the Half-Time Result market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want a quick settlement and the draw is +155.
The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. If you’re expecting at least one team to keep a clean sheet, you might be interested in the -156 about Both Teams to Score No.
If you’re wanting hundreds of football markets, then the good news is that the best betting apps can provide this. For any Primeira Liga game, take your pick and hopefully find a winning angle.
Vangelis Pavlidis is available at -152 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer. The favourite is now priced at odds of +180 to find the net first.
Nacional have finished with seven defeats, two wins and one draw in the past 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 2.10.
Benfica haven’t lost any of their past ten away games. Jose Mourinho's side have eight wins and two draws in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 2.20 goals per match and conceding 0.40.
Benfica beat Nacional 2-0 when they last met at Estadio da Madeira.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nacional Home Stats |
2-1-7 | 3.30 | 1.20 | 2.10 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 4 | |
Benfica Away Stats |
8-2-0 | 2.60 | 2.20 | 0.40 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Nacional League Stats
Benfica League Stats
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.20 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 5.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 5.60 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.90 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 3.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 4.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 41.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 61.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 54.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Nacional this season are Jesus Ramirez (6), Leonardo Santos (2), Jose Gomes (1)
- Top Assistors for Nacional this season are Jose Gomes (3), Liziero (3)
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Nacional vs Benfica Lineups & Team News
Always review the Nacional vs Benfica team news before locking in your bets. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Primeira Liga along with the latest injury news.
Nacional Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Benfica Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Nacional Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Benfica Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Nacional Lineups
Previous Benfica Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24:3 | 31 |
| 2 | Sporting | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 27:6 | 28 |
| 3 | Benfica | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 23:6 | 25 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16:5 | 23 |
| 5 | Famalicão | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11:5 | 19 |
| 6 | Moreirense | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 7 | Braga | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Vitória | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10:17 | 14 |
| 9 | Estoril | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:17 | 13 |
| 10 | Nacional | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:15 | 12 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 12 | Estrela | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9:13 | 11 |
| 14 | Alverca | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:24 | 9 |
| 16 | Arouca | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:30 | 9 |
| 17 | Tondela | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6:20 | 6 |
| 18 | AVS | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8:25 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Benfica | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14:5 | 12 |
| 3 | Moreirense | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:5 | 12 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 12 |
| 5 | Sporting | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:3 | 10 |
| 6 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 10 |
| 7 | Famalicão | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 8 | Estoril | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 8 |
| 9 | Vitória | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 10 | Santa Clara | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 11 | Alverca | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | 7 |
| 12 | Estrela | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 5 |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:10 | 5 |
| 14 | Arouca | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:13 | 5 |
| 15 | Nacional | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 16 | Tondela | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | 2 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 2 |
| 18 | AVS | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | 2 |
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