Nacional vs Estrela Amadora Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Apr 2026

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Nacional vs Estrela Amadora

Nacional meet Estrela Amadora at Estadio da Madeira, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Saturday 4 April.

Nacional can deliver the goods when it comes to Full-Time Result betting and we’ll back them with confidence against Estrela. The odds of -100 look attractive when it comes to the home team.

Nacional have now lost three consecutive times at home. In their last game, they were beaten 1-0 on the road by Famalicão at Municipal 22 de Junho. The White and Black recorded 47% possession and managed six shots on target.

Estrela Amadora claimed a 4-0 home victory over Casa Pia at Estadio Jose Gomes in their previous game. Joao Nuno's men had 53% possession and recorded eight shots on goal, while Rodrigo Pinho netted two, with Abraham Marcus and Eddy Doue also on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Estrela have avoided defeat against Nacional in the past three meetings, with their last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw at Estadio Jose Gomes. The previous 3 H2H games have featured two Estrela victories and one draw.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
13	Estrela	27	6	10	11	33	45	-12	33:45	28
16	Nacional	27	5	7	15	29	39	-10	29:39	22

View Full Table

Nacional have 1 win, 7 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 4.7 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts. Tiago Margarido's team have averaged 47.7% possession, 351.0 passes and 4.9 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.3 goals from 4.8 shots on goal, 12.2 attempts and 5.7 corners.

Miguel Baeza is the top scorer along with five other players, with each of them scoring 1 goals. Leading assistor is Alan Nunez with 2, while goalie Kaique Pereira has recorded 2 clean sheets.

Estrela have 2 victories, 5 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 3.6 shots on goal, 10.4 attempts and 1.0 goals. The Tricolores average 49.0% possession, 378.5 passes, 3.3 corners awarded and 6.3 corners against, while 1.8 goals have been conceded from 13.9 attempts and 5.4 shots on goal.

Rodrigo Pinho has scored 3 goals, followed by Abraham Marcus and Jovane Cabral on 2. Abraham Marcus has been chief assist maker on 3, with Renan Ribeiro recording 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Nacional predicted lineup (4-3-3): Kaique Pereira (GK), Alan Núñez, Zé Vítor, Léo Santos, Lenny Vallier, Miguel Baeza, Matheus Dias, Chiheb Labidi, Daniel Júnior, Lucas Joao, Paulinho Bóia.

Estrela Amadora predicted lineup (4-3-3): Renan Ribeiro (GK), Max Scholze, Luan Patrick, Bernardo Schappo, Bruno Langa, Eddy Doué, Kevin Höög Jansson, Alex Sola, Abraham Marcus, Rodrigo Pinho, Ianis Stoica.

Nacional vs Estrela Amadora Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ahead of the game with our Nacional vs Estrela Amadora betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, likely score outcome, corners betting edge, standout player prop plays and a fully loaded bet builder.

Match Prediction

We can’t pass up the opportunity to back Nacional considering they are -100 to record a Primeira Liga victory. We’ll take this bet with confidence based on the stats that are available to us.

Team news is very useful and our football tipsters are keen to identify the players who are doubtful with injury. You’ll also find us studying the form guide, with lots of Primeira Liga data available which provides a clear picture from the stats.

Key Nacional vs Estrela Amadora league stats:

• Estrela have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Estrela have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 50% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

The Match Result & Total market not only gives you an opportunity to bet on Nacional to win but also combine this pick with a prediction for how many goals will be scored.

Considering placing a bet? Explore today’s best welcome bonuses and sign-up offers in our full guide before you get started.

Our Match Prediction

Nacional To Win @ -100 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 2, 16:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Nacional 1 - 0 Estrela

There could be merit in backing Nacional to win 1-0. Odds of +525 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Miguel Baeza To Score +370

Miguel Baeza (Nacional) can be backed to score at +370. We’re happy to take this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Miguel Baeza Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+370

First

+800

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Estrela Over 3.5 Corners -127

It’s been over 3.5 corners for Estrela in 4 of their past 5games, with Nacional conceding over 3.5 corners in their last six matches. We endorse betting on the -127 that Estrela successfully cover the line, with this Team Corners wager hopefully providing a return.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Nacional

Total

10.60 4.90 5.70

Home

10.90 4.20 6.70

Away

9.10 3.70 5.40

Estrela

Total

9.60 3.30 6.30

Home

8.40 3.40 5.00

Away

10.10 3.20 6.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-112

Under 9.5

-130

Nacional Corners

Over 5.5

-102

Under 5.5

-141

Estrela Corners

Over 3.5

-135

Under 3.5

-105

Most Corners

1

-179

X

+650

2

+175

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Nacional vs Estrela Amadora Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The Full-Time Result odds of -100 suggest that Nacional are likely victors and there’s a 50% probability that the favourites win this Primeira Liga clash. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Estrela Amadora are trading at +250.

Nacional are -105 on the Asian Handicap -0.5 which is the same as a victory on the Full-Time Result. The alternative is to oppose the favourites and get the draw onside by going for Estrela +0.5 at -135 instead.

Bettors are able to get odds of -119 for both Over and Under 2.5 Goals right now. BTTS Yes is available at -143 for anyone expecting Both Teams to Score.

If you’re wanting hundreds of football markets, then the good news is that the best betting apps can provide this. For any Primeira Liga game, take your pick and hopefully find a winning angle.

Full-Time Result

1

-100

X

+235

2

+250

Half-Time Result

1

+155

X

+123

2

+285

Double Chance

1X

-400

12

-370

X2

-143

Draw No Bet

1

-217

2

+148

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-105

2 Hcp +0.5

-135

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-119

Over 2.5

-119

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-143

No

-100

Jesus Ramírez Díaz is available at +120 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +280 to find the net first.

Jesus Ramírez Díaz (Nacional)

First

+120

Anytime

+280

Sydney Van Hooijdonk (Estrela)

First

+205

Anytime

+500

Gabriel Veron Fonseca de Souza (Nacional)

First

+235

Anytime

+550

Jovane Cabral (Estrela)

First

+250

Anytime

+575

Ianis Stoica (Estrela)

First

+255

Anytime

+600

Miguel Baeza (Nacional)

First

+370

Anytime

+800

Pereira Liziero (Nacional)

First

+380

Anytime

+800

André Sousa (Nacional)

First

+475

Anytime

+1000

Matheus Dias (Nacional)

First

+475

Anytime

+1050

Ulisses Wilson Jeronymo Rocha (Nacional)

First

+540

Anytime

+1150

Kevin Höög-Jansson (Estrela)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

João Miguel Coimbra Aurélio (Nacional)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Ze Vitor (Nacional)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Paulo Daniel Valente Moreira (Estrela)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

José Manuel Mendes Gomes (Nacional)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Nacional have now lost three consecutive games at Estadio da Madeira. The White and Black have clocked up five losses, three wins and two draws in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

Estrela are winless over their previous five games on their travels. Joao Nuno's men have finished with six defeats, two wins and two draws in the past 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.20 goals per game and conceding 2.30.

In the last meeting at Estadio da Madeira, Estrela defeated Nacional by a 1-0 scoreline.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Nacional Home Stats		3-2-5	2.80	1.50	1.30	6	4	5	5
Estrela Amadora Away Stats		2-2-6	3.50	1.20	2.30	7	3	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Nacional vs Estrela Amadora Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the Nacional vs Estrela team news beforehand. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Nacional Team Page Estrela Amadora Team Page

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