Nacional vs Famalicão Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Nov 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Nacional vs Famalicão

Nacional host Famalicão in this Portuguese Primeira Liga encounter at Estadio da Madeira, with kick-off set for 11:30 on Saturday 1 November. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Line Could be Covered by Nacional

We’re splitting our Asian Handicap stake between 0 and +0.5 when backing Nacional +0.25 at -110 against Famalicão. We need the hosts to win for a maximum payout although the draw means we also get a return.

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Teams’ Last Battle Saw 2-1 Nacional Victory

Nacional drew on the road in their last game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Estoril Praia at Antonio Coimbra da Mota. The Madeira club recorded four shots on target and had 41% possession, while Ze Vitor bagged the goal.

Famalicão claimed a 2-0 home win over Vitória de Guimarães at Municipal 22 de Junho in their previous game. Hugo Oliveira's men were 50% in the possession stakes and recorded ten shots on goal, while Mathias De Amorim and Sorriso found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Nacional claimed victory in the previous meeting between these teams. A 2-1 home win was registered against Famalicão at Estadio da Madeira. We’ve seen the previous 4 H2H games involve two triumphs for Nacional, one draw and one win for Famalicão.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Famalicão	9	4	4	1	10	4	6	10:4	16
10	Nacional	9	3	2	4	10	13	-3	10:13	11

View Full Table

Nacional have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts. Tiago Margarido's side have averaged 43.0% possession, 288.2 passes and 5.2 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.6 goals from 4.3 shots on goal, 12.0 attempts and 5.5 corners.

Jesus Ramirez leads the way with 6 goals, Leonardo Santos has 2, with Ze Vitor and Paulinho Boia scoring 1. Jose Gomes is the leading assists maker on 3, with goalies Lucas Franca and Kaique Pereira collectively keeping 2 clean sheets.

Fama have 5 victories, 1 defeat and 4 draws, with an average of 12.5 attempts, 4.1 shots on goal and 1.2 goals. The Vila Nova de Famalicão outfit average 50.4% possession, 366.9 passes, 6.7 corners awarded and 4.6 corners against them, while 0.5 goals have been conceded from 3.3 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts.

The leading scorer has been Simon Elisor with 3, while Justin De Haas and Gustavo Sa have 2. Gil Dias and Sorriso have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Lazar Carevic has 6 clean sheets to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Nacional predicted lineup (4-3-3): Kaique Pereira (GK), Joao Aurelio, Léo Santos, Zé Vítor, Jose Gomes, Liziero, Matheus Dias, Chiheb Labidi, Paulinho Bóia, Jesús Ramírez, Pablo Ruan.

Famalicão predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Lazar Carevic (GK), Rodrigo Pinheiro, Leonardo Realpe, Justin De Haas, Rafa Soares, Tom van de Looi, Mathias De Amorim, Antoine Joujou, Gustavo Sa, Sorriso, Simon Elisor.

Nacional vs Famalicão Prediction & Betting Tips

Our expert Nacional vs Famalicão betting tips include a main match prediction, a correct score pick, corners forecast, standout player prop selections and bet builder advice. Explore each section below for detailed insights.

Match Prediction

If you agree with our verdict that Nacional can avoid defeat in this Primeira Liga clash, then you can back them with a +0.25 goal start at -110. There are several reasons to back this selection.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of Primeira Liga stats and present the key numbers to our readers.

Key Nacional vs Famalicão league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Nacional in 3 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Nacional in 10 of their last 18 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Famalicão in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Famalicão in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Famalicão in 2 consecutive games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Nacional in 2 consecutive games against Famalicão.

Nacional +0.25 Probability

The top betting apps make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

There are larger prices available to bettors who are prepared to move the line. By taking on more risk, you are able to get more juice from your selections as a result.

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Our Match Prediction

Nacional Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -110 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Nacional 2 - 1 Famalicão

Nacional are available at +700 when it comes to them winning 2-1. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Justin de Haas to Score +700

Justin de Haas (Famalicão) has scored two goals in his past five Primeira Liga games on the road. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +700 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Justin de Haas Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+700

First

+1500

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Corners Prediction

Nacional Under 4.5 Corners -120

Nacional have failed to cover the 4.5 corners line in three straight home games, with Famalicão conceding under 4.5 corners in the past two matches. We’re expecting Nacional to fall short of the mark, with odds of -120 on offer when it comes to this Team Corners selection.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Nacional

Total

10.70 5.20 5.50

Home

10.30 5.10 5.20

Away

9.30 4.90 4.40

Famalicão

Total

11.30 6.70 4.60

Home

10.60 5.60 5.00

Away

10.80 6.50 4.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-103

Under 10.5

-141

Nacional Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-120

Famalicão Corners

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-150

Most Corners

1

+140

X

+650

2

-141

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Nacional vs Famalicão Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Match Odds Suggest Fama Win

Famalicão are the +108 favourites on the Full-Time Result. That means a 48% chance of winning this Primeira Liga encounter according to the latest betting odds. Nacional are the underdogs at +210 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.

Famalicão can be backed at -185 on the Draw No Bet and you’ll get stakes refunded if the game ends level. Alternatively, Nacional can be chanced at +128 on the same market.

Over and Under 2.5 Goals backers are able to get odds which are similar for the Total Goals market. Punters expecting both teams to find the net can get -128 when it comes to BTTS Yes.

No matter what Primeira Liga match is taking place, you will find hundreds of markets being offered. Peruse the various choices that are presented at the leading football betting sites.

Full-Time Result

1

+210

X

+250

2

+108

Half-Time Result

1

+275

X

+120

2

+170

Double Chance

1X

-156

12

-400

X2

-333

Draw No Bet

1

+128

2

-185

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-110

2 Hcp -0.25

-125

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-123

Over 2.5

-108

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-128

No

-111

Simon Elisor Favourite to Score the First Goal

Simon Elisor is the favourite to be First Goalscorer at +400. If you’re interested in backing him to find the net at anytime, then the price is +180.

Simon Elisor (Famalicão)

First

+180

Anytime

+400

Marcos Vinicios Lopes Moura "Sorriso" (Famalicão)

First

+230

Anytime

+525

Gil Dias (Famalicão)

First

+265

Anytime

+600

Rochinha (Famalicão)

First

+280

Anytime

+600

Oscar Aranda (Famalicão)

First

+280

Anytime

+600

Jesus Ramírez Díaz (Nacional)

First

+285

Anytime

+650

Gustavo Sá (Famalicão)

First

+440

Anytime

+1000

Otar Mamageishvili (Famalicão)

First

+460

Anytime

+1100

Pedro Santos (Famalicão)

First

+525

Anytime

+1000

Miguel Baeza (Nacional)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Gustavo García dos Santos (Famalicão)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Tom van de Looi (Famalicão)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Justin de Haas (Famalicão)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Léo Realpe (Famalicão)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Matheus Dias (Nacional)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

André Sousa (Nacional)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Ulisses Wilson Jeronymo Rocha (Nacional)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Rodrigo Pinheiro Ferreira (Famalicão)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Ze Vitor (Nacional)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Six Home Defeats for Nacional in Previous Ten

Nacional have collected six defeats, three wins and one draw in the previous 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 2.10.

Famalicão have not lost on their travels in the past four matches. Hugo Oliveira's men have five defeats, three victories and two draws in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.40.

Nacional were 2-1 victors against Famalicão last time out at Estadio da Madeira.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Nacional Home Stats		3-1-6	3.50	1.40	2.10	8	2	7	3
Famalicão Away Stats		3-2-5	2.50	1.10	1.40	6	4	8	2

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Nacional vs Famalicão Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the Nacional vs Famalicão team news beforehand. Expect the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups along with timely injury updates.

Nacional Team Page Famalicão Team Page