Nacional vs Moreirense Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Oct 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Nacional vs Moreirense

Nacional host Moreirense in this Portuguese Primeira Liga clash at Estadio da Madeira, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Saturday 4 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Will Moreirense Stay Within Touching Distance?

Moreirense +0.25 look like a spot of value on the Asian Handicap. This involves halving our stake between 0 and +0.5, with a victory against Nacional the aim at betting odds of -110.

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Teams Drew 1-1 in Last H2H Encounter

Nacional have suffered three home defeats on the bounce. Most recently, they won away when beating Braga 1-0 at Estadio Municipal de Braga. Tiago Margarido's team had five shots on target and 40% possession, with Jesus Ramirez scoring the winner six minutes into the contest.

Moreirense have experienced back-to-back Primeira Liga road defeats. In their previous league game, they beat Casa Pia at home, winning 2-1 at Estadio C. Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. The Green and Whites had three shots on goal and enjoyed 54% possession, while Guilherme Schettine and Bernardo Martins were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Nacional have avoided defeat against Moreirense in the past three meetings, with their last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw at Estadio C. Joaquim de Almeida Freitas. The previous 4 H2H games have ended in two draws along with a victory for Nacional and Moreirense.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Moreirense	7	5	0	2	10	8	2	10:8	15
13	Nacional	7	2	1	4	6	10	-4	6:10	7

View Full Table

2 wins, 6 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 3.3 shots on goal and 10.4 attempts. Nacional have had 41.9% possession, 293.5 passes and 5.5 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.8 goals from 4.5 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts, while being awarded 5.3 corners.

Jesus Ramirez leads the way with 4 goals, Leonardo Santos has 2, with Paulinho Boia and two others on 1. Jose Gomes has the most assists with 3, while goalkeepers Lucas Franca and Kaique Pereira have recorded 2 clean sheets between them.

Moreirense have won 6, lost 3 and drawn 1, averaging 4.1 shots on goal, 9.2 attempts and 1.6 goals. Vasco Botelho da Costa's men average 47.4% possession, 383.7 passes, 3.8 corners awarded and 5.2 corners against, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 12.2 attempts and 4.7 shots on goal.

Guilherme Schettine has scored 5 goals, followed by Bernardo Martins, Marcelo, Alan and Yan Lincon on 2. Alan and Dinis Pinto are the top assist makers on 4, with Caio Secco recording 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Nacional predicted lineup (3-2-4-1): Kaique Pereira (GK), Ulisses Rocha, Leonardo Santos, Ze Vitor, Joao Aurelio, Jose Gomes, Pablo Ruan, Liziero, Chiheb Labidi, Paulinho Boia, Jesus Ramirez.

Moreirense predicted lineup (4-3-3): Caio Secco (GK), Dinis Pinto, Maracas, Marcelo, Kiko, Alan, Mateja Stjepanovic, Vasco Sousa, Diogo Travassos, Guilherme Schettine, Kiko Bondoso.

Nacional vs Moreirense Prediction & Betting Tips

Step into Nacional vs Moreirense with confidence as we bring you our main match prediction, projected scoreline, key corners betting angle, best player prop picks and a custom-built bet builder.

Match Prediction

Wager on Moreirense +0.25 on the Asian Handicap at -110 for this Primeira Liga game. We’re keen on their prospects of outperforming their match winner price and this wager looks like good value.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and studying the Primeira Liga form guide are important duties ahead of making football predictions. We also place great emphasis on the stats and a data-led approach can sometimes be effective.

Key Nacional vs Moreirense league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Moreirense in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Moreirense in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 7 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 3 of their last 4 games against Moreirense.

Moreirense +0.25 Probability

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 52.4% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability is close to 60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

If you’re looking to move the line, then you have a dual option of either buying or selling goals. It’s a case of assuming a position based on your view and attitude to risk.

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Our Match Prediction

Moreirense Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -110 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Nacional 0 - 1 Moreirense

Moreirense can be backed to win 1-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +600 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Guilherme Schettine to Score +260

Guilherme Schettine (Moreirense) has registered three goals in his past five Primeira Liga games. Based on the stats, we are happy to back the +260 when it comes to him finding the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Guilherme Schettine Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+260

First

+525

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -106

The past five Nacional home matches have averaged 12.40 corners, while the previous three Moreirense games have seen the 9.5 Total Corners line being covered. We’re happy to back the -106 when it comes to the teams covering the Total Corners line which looks generous.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Nacional

Total

10.80 5.50 5.30

Home

10.70 5.60 5.10

Away

9.50 5.00 4.50

Moreirense

Total

9.00 3.80 5.20

Home

8.10 4.00 4.10

Away

7.50 2.60 4.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-106

Under 9.5

-137

Nacional Corners

Over 4.5

-150

Under 4.5

+110

Moreirense Corners

Over 3.5

-125

Under 3.5

-110

Most Corners

1

-143

X

+600

2

+145

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Nacional vs Moreirense Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Nacional Trading at Shorter Odds Than Moreirense

With an approximate 48% chance of succeeding, the bookies are being cautious with their +110 betting odds for Nacional triumphing in this Primeira Liga encounter. The market implies that Moreirense are the most unlikely to win at +230.

If you want to back the favourites with some insurance, then Nacional are -192 on the Draw No Bet market. Alternatively, Moreirense are +130 and there is money back if the game ends all square.

Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. If you anticipate that one team or more will achieve a shutout, then Both Teams to Score No is -128.

No matter what Primeira Liga game is taking place, you will find hundreds of markets being offered. Peruse the various choices that are presented at the best football betting sites.

Full-Time Result

1

+110

X

+230

2

+230

Half-Time Result

1

+180

X

+112

2

+285

Double Chance

1X

-357

12

-357

X2

-159

Draw No Bet

1

-192

2

+130

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-123

2 Hcp +0.25

-110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-154

Over 2.5

+115

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-111

No

-128

Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa Heads First Goalscorer Market

Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +500. If you want to back him to score the last goal, you can get similar odds.

Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa (Moreirense)

First

+225

Anytime

+500

Jesus Ramírez Díaz (Nacional)

First

+235

Anytime

+500

Guilherme Schettine (Moreirense)

First

+260

Anytime

+525

Miguel Baeza (Nacional)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

Matheus Dias (Nacional)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Cedric Teguia (Moreirense)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Joel Jorquera (Moreirense)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Ulisses Wilson Jeronymo Rocha (Nacional)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

André Sousa (Nacional)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Jobson Gonzaga "Maracás" (Moreirense)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Ze Vitor (Nacional)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Vasco Sousa (Moreirense)

First

+1000

Anytime

+1900

João Miguel Coimbra Aurélio (Nacional)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Nacional Have Developed Winless Habit at Home

Nacional have not triumphed at Estadio da Madeira in seven straight matches. Tiago Margarido's team have six defeats, two victories and two draws in the last 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.30 goals per game and conceding 2.10.

Moreirense have six defeats, three victories and one draw in the last 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.70.

Nacional enjoyed a 1-0 winning scoreline when last meeting Moreirense at Estadio da Madeira.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Nacional Home Stats		2-2-6	3.40	1.30	2.10	8	2	7	3
Moreirense Away Stats		3-1-6	2.70	1.00	1.70	5	5	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Nacional vs Moreirense Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the Nacional vs Moreirense team news beforehand. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

Nacional Team Page Moreirense Team Page