Nacional vs Rio Ave Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Jan 2026
Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Nacional vs Rio Ave
Nacional go head-to-head with Rio Ave at Estadio da Madeira, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Sunday 25 January.
Nacional and Rio Ave both look capable of scoring when it comes to this contest, with readers recommended to visit the Both Teams to Score market and wager BTTS Yes at an appealing -130.
Following our BTTS Yes advice? Claim the best BetMGM bonus promo code and read our independent bookmaker review before you make your selection.
Nacional were beaten in their last game. On their travels, they suffered a 2-1 loss against Gil Vicente at Municipal de Barcelos. Tiago Margarido's team managed four shots on target and had 46% possession, while Ze Vitor bagged the goal.
Rio Ave were beaten 2-0 in their previous game, being turned over at home to Benfica at Estadio dos Arcos. The Vila do Conde side were restricted to just 37% possession and one shot on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Rio Ave have avoided defeat against Nacional in the past five meetings, with their last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw at Estadio dos Arcos. The past 5 H2H matches have resulted in two Rio Ave triumphs and three draws.
| Primeira Liga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |  Rio Ave |
18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 22:31 | 20 |
| 13 |  Nacional |
18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 22:28 | 17 |
Nacional have 1 win, 5 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 11.8 attempts. The White and Black have averaged 44.6% possession, 320.8 passes and 3.3 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.6 goals from 4.6 shots on goal, 16.7 attempts and 6.7 corners.
Top goalscorer Jesus Ramirez has found the net 6 times, Ze Vitor 4, with Chiheb Labidi and two other players on 1. Paulinho Boia and Liziero are tied for the most assists on 2.
Rio Ave have won 3, lost 4 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.1 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 7.8 attempts. Sotiris Sylaidopoulos' men have averaged 46.4% possession, 379.0 passes, 4.0 corners awarded and 6.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.8 goals from 5.5 shots on goal and 16.9 attempts.
Clayton and Andre Luiz have top scored with 4, while Brandon Aguilera is next on 1. Look no further than Clayton for the top assist maker (3) in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Nacional predicted lineup (4-3-3): Kaique Pereira (GK), Joao Aurelio, Léo Santos, Zé Vítor, Jose Gomes, Chiheb Labidi, Matheus Dias, Liziero, Daniel Júnior, Jesús Ramírez, Paulinho Bóia.
Rio Ave predicted lineup (3-4-3): Cezary Miszta (GK), Francisco Petrasso, Jakub Brabec, Nelson Abbey, Joao Tome, Brandon Aguilera, Andreas Ntoi, Nikolaos Athanasiou, André Luiz, Clayton, Dario Spikic.
Nacional vs Rio Ave Prediction & Betting Tips
Your complete Nacional vs Rio Ave betting guide is here, including our go-to match prediction, scoreline call, corners betting pick, standout prop selections and a customized bet builder.
Match Prediction
The odds of -130 catch the eye when it comes to the BTTS Yes selection as we expect both teams to find the net in this Primeira Liga encounter. The stats suggest that this outcome is likely to happen.
Our Primeira Liga experts like to go through the form guide, with injuries and suspensions also having a bearing on the match. Before making our football predictions, we combine this information with the latest numbers.
Key Nacional vs Rio Ave league stats:
Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 56.5% chance of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
Should you want to secure bigger odds for your BTTS Yes wager, then you can combine this with the match result on the Result & Both Teams to Score market. Predict one of the teams to win or even the draw and boost your price in the process.
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Correct Score Prediction
1
-
1
Rio Ave
Our prediction for the correct score is for the teams to play out a 1-1 draw and this is available at +425. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.
Player Prop Picks
André Luiz (Rio Ave) has racked up three goals in his past five Primeira Liga games. We’ll take a chance at +320 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
In seven consecutive games, Nacional have fallen short of 5.5 corners. We think that Nacional will come up short and this Team Corners bet can be backed at -112.
Nacional
Rio Ave
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Our bet builder is compiled of the following: BTTS Yes, a draw on the 1x2 and also Nacional to record under 5.5 corners.
The bet builder option is great for football fans wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. The bookies have created this personalised betting tool where you can hand-pick different selections and combine the odds together.
Nacional vs Rio Ave Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Nacional are regarded as having a 44% chance of winning this Primeira Liga clash in the eyes of the bookies. It means that their current betting odds are +125. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +205 about Rio Ave.
If you think Nacional can overcome Rio Ave, then there’s an Asian Handicap option where the former are -111 with a -0.25 deficit. There’s half your money back in the event of a draw.
The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. BTTS Yes is on offer at -130 for anyone who wants to side with Both Teams to Score.
The top football betting sites definitely give customers lots of choice. When it comes to Primeira Liga games, choose from hundreds of markets until you find the most attractive odds.
Jesus Ramírez Díaz is the market leader at +370 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.
Nacional have finished with six defeats, two wins and two draws in the past 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 2.20.
Rio Ave have finished with six draws, two wins and two defeats in the last 10 away games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.90.
The last meeting at Estadio da Madeira saw Nacional and Rio Ave draw 3-3.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nacional Home Stats |
2-2-6 | 3.80 | 1.60 | 2.20 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 2 | |
| Rio Ave Away Stats |
2-6-2 | 3.40 | 1.50 | 1.90 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 2 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Nacional League Stats
Rio Ave League Stats
- 1 win, 5 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 6 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 2 defeats and 6 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 2.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.30 corners awarded and 6.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 7.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 6.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 7.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 44.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 45.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 46.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 45.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Nacional this season are Jesus Ramirez (12), Ze Vitor (4), Leonardo Santos (2)
- Top Assistors for Nacional this season are Liziero (4), Jose Gomes (3), Paulinho Boia (2)
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Nacional vs Rio Ave Lineups & Team News
Get the latest team news for Nacional vs Rio Ave before you bet. We’ll deliver the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups as well as the most recent injury news.
Nacional Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Rio Ave Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Nacional Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Rio Ave Predicted Lineup 3-4-3
Previous Nacional Lineups
Previous Rio Ave Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Nacional Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Tiago Margarido
Rio Ave Player Stats & Squad
Primeira Liga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 18 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 37:4 | 52 |
| 2 | Sporting | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 50:9 | 45 |
| 3 | Benfica | 18 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 38:11 | 42 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 24:13 | 31 |
| 5 | Braga | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 32:18 | 30 |
| 6 | Moreirense | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25:26 | 27 |
| 7 | Famalicão | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 8 | Vitória | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 18:23 | 25 |
| 9 | Estoril | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 33:29 | 23 |
| 10 | Alverca | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 19:28 | 23 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22:31 | 20 |
| 12 | Estrela | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 23:32 | 19 |
| 13 | Nacional | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 22:28 | 17 |
| 14 | Santa Clara | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14:20 | 17 |
| 15 | Arouca | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 19:42 | 17 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 20:38 | 15 |
| 17 | Tondela | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12:30 | 12 |
| 18 | AVS | 19 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 14:47 | 5 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sporting | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 30:3 | 22 |
| 2 | Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 16:2 | 22 |
| 3 | Benfica | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:11 | 16 |
| 6 | Alverca | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9:14 | 16 |
| 7 | Estoril | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:12 | 15 |
| 8 | Vitória | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 14:14 | 15 |
| 9 | Braga | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 14 |
| 10 | Famalicão | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:8 | 11 |
| 11 | Santa Clara | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 12 | Estrela | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | 9 |
| 14 | Arouca | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:19 | 9 |
| 15 | Nacional | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 16 | Tondela | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:13 | 5 |
| 17 | Casa Pia | 9 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | 5 |
| 18 | AVS | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7:19 | 3 |
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