Nacional vs Sporting Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 23 Aug 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Nacional vs Sporting

Nacional host Sporting in this Portuguese Primeira Liga match at Estadio da Madeira, with kick-off set for 13:00 on Saturday 23 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Back Sporting For a Convincing Win

To land better value from the Sporting odds against Nacional, we suggest betting the favourites at -112 on the Asian Handicap at -1.75. Our stake is split between -1.5 and -2.0, with a three goal winning margin the best possible outcome.

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Sporting Won 2-0 in Teams’ Last Meeting

Nacional faced Rio Ave away when last in action. It was a 1-1 draw at Estadio dos Arcos. The White and Black recorded just 37% possession and had six shots on target, while Jesus Ramirez bagged the goal.

Sporting CP made it back-to-back Primeira Liga wins after a 6-0 home success over Arouca at Estadio Jose Alvalade. The Lisbon side had the lion’s share of the ball enjoying 58% possession and ten shots on goal, while Ricardo Mangas and Luis Suarez both found the net twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 2-0 in favour of home side Sporting when they last played Nacional, with the clash taking place at Estadio Jose Alvalade. For the past 4 matches involving these teams, Sporting have won every time.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Sporting	2	2	0	0	8	0	8	8:0	6
14	Nacional	2	0	1	1	1	3	-2	1:3	1

View Full Table

1 win, 6 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 13.3 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal. Nacional have had 50.5% possession, 331.1 passes and 7.0 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.7 goals from 12.3 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 3.9 corners.

Jesus Ramirez is the top scorer along with five other players, with each of them scoring 1 goals. Jose Gomes, Joao Aurelio and Ruben Macedo have recorded the most assists with 1 apiece. Meanwhile, goalkeeper Lucas Franca has kept one clean sheet.

Sporting have 8 victories and 2 draws, averaging 7.8 shots on goal, 16.5 attempts and 2.6 goals. The Lisbon club average 59.1% possession, 497.3 passes, 5.1 corners awarded and 2.3 corners against, while 0.4 goals have been conceded from 6.5 attempts and 1.2 shots on goal.

Viktor Gyoekeres has landed 11 goals, Trincao 4, with Luis Suarez and two others scoring 2. Trincao has had 4 assists in the previous 10 games, while Rui Silva has 6 clean sheets to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Nacional predicted lineup (4-3-3): Lucas França (GK), Joao Aurelio, Alan Núñez, Zé Vítor, Jose Gomes, Liziero, Matheus Dias, Chiheb Labidi, Paulinho Bóia, Jesús Ramírez, Witi.

Sporting predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Rui Silva (GK), Iván Fresneda, Zeno Debast, Gonçalo Inácio, Ricardo Mangas, Morten Hjulmand, Hidemasa Morita, Francisco Trincão, Pedro Gonçalves Pote, Geny Catamo, Luis Suarez.

Nacional vs Sporting Prediction & Betting Tips

Take in the full Nacional vs Sporting betting outlook — from our expert match prediction and correct score pick to sharp corners advice and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

Sporting are expected to be comfortably clear of their opponents. Back the favourites at -1.75 on the Asian Handicap. We can secure a price of -112 for this Primeira Liga clash which could end up in their favour.

We’re always focused on the Primeira Liga form guide to identify the latest betting trends. When it comes to key players getting injured, that can also have a bearing. The latest stats provide even more information to make a football prediction.

Key Nacional vs Sporting league stats:

• The -1.75 line has been covered by Sporting in 3 consecutive games.
• The -1.75 line has been covered by Sporting in 11 of their last 18 games on the road.
• The -1.75 line has been covered by Sporting in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 4 consecutive games against Sporting.

Sporting -1.75 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.9% chance of winning. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

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Our Match Prediction

Sporting Asian Hcp -1.75 @ -112 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Nacional 0 - 3 Sporting

Let’s go for Sporting to win 3-0, a bet which is available at +650. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.

Corners Prediction

Sporting Under 6.5 Corners -110

There’s been an average of 4.20 corners for Sporting in their past 5 away games, with the corner count against Nacional being under 6.5 in their last ten home matches. We recommend backing the -110 that Sporting aren’t able to cover the line, with this Team Corners wager hopefully providing a return.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Nacional

Total

10.90 7.00 3.90

Home

9.90 5.70 4.20

Away

11.10 5.00 6.10

Sporting

Total

7.40 5.10 2.30

Home

9.90 7.10 2.80

Away

8.00 4.30 3.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-152

Under 9.5

+102

Nacional Corners

Over 2.5

-163

Under 2.5

+120

Sporting Corners

Over 6.5

-100

Under 6.5

-138

Most Corners

1

+500

X

+1000

2

-476

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Nacional vs Sporting Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Sporting Big Favourites According to Latest Odds

With an estimated 81% chance of winning, the bookies are taking few chances with their -417 betting odds about Sporting CP triumphing in this Primeira Liga clash. Nacional are trading at a much larger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +850.

For those wanting an alternative, Sporting are -149 on the Half-Time Result market. This means they need to lead at the break, with Nacional being priced up at +650 and the draw is +185.

The odds suggest that Over 2.5 Goals is a strong probability in this exciting contest. There’s literally nothing to split BTTS Yes and BTTS No and that’s highlighted as you can get -119 for each selection.

The top football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all Primeira Liga matches. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.

Full-Time Result

1

+850

X

+500

2

-417

Half-Time Result

1

+650

X

+185

2

-149

Double Chance

1X

+265

12

-714

X2

-1429

Draw No Bet

1

+510

2

-1250

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1.75

-128

2 Hcp -1.75

-112

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+163

Over 2.5

-222

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-119

No

-119

Luis Javier Suárez Favourite to Find the Net First

There is -128 available that Luis Javier Suárez finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +295.

Luis Javier Suárez (Sporting)

First

-128

Anytime

+295

Conrad Harder (Sporting)

First

+163

Anytime

+500

Francisco Trincão (Sporting)

First

+205

Anytime

+500

Pedro Goncalves (Sporting)

First

+240

Anytime

+550

Maximiliano Araujo (Sporting)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Nuno Santos (Sporting)

First

+370

Anytime

+900

Morten Hjulmand (Sporting)

First

+380

Anytime

+950

Geny Catamo (Sporting)

First

+430

Anytime

+1100

Geovany Quenda (Sporting)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Daniel Bragança (Sporting)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Ricardo Esgaio (Sporting)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Eduardo Quaresma (Sporting)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Hidemasa Morita (Sporting)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Nacional Have Developed Winless Habit at Home

Nacional have gone without a win at Estadio da Madeira in the last five games. The Madeira outfit have five defeats, three wins and two draws in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.80.

Sporting are unbeaten in the last ten games on their travels. Rui Borges' team have six victories and four draws in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 2.50 goals per game and conceding 0.90.

Sporting won 6-1 when they last played Nacional at Estadio da Madeira.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Nacional Home Stats		3-2-5	3.30	1.50	1.80	8	2	7	3
Sporting Away Stats		6-4-0	3.40	2.50	0.90	6	4	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Nacional vs Sporting Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Nacional vs Sporting team news before you bet. Receive the predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Nacional Team Page Sporting CP Team Page