Nacional vs Tondela Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 13 Dec 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Nacional vs Tondela

Nacional clash with Tondela at Estadio da Madeira, with kick-off set for 10:30 on Saturday 13 December.

We’ll chance Tondela +0.25 on the Asian Handicap and divide our stake between 0 and +0.5 when they meet Nacional. A win delivers a payout at -127 although a draw would still land a return.

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Nacional have lost back-to-back Primeira Liga games. Away from home, they recently suffered a 1-0 defeat against Alverca at Complexo Desportivo Futebol Clube de Alverca. Tiago Margarido's team had 50% possession and recorded three shots on target.

Tondela lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Porto 2-0 at Estadio Joao Cardoso. The Gold and Green finished with just 25% possession and didn’t have any shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Tondela won the most recent encounter between these teams. A 2-1 home victory was recorded against Nacional at Estadio Joao Cardoso.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
14	Nacional	13	3	3	7	12	18	-6	12:18	12
16	Tondela	13	2	3	8	7	22	-15	7:22	9

View Full Table

3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts. Nacional have had 43.0% possession, 313.4 passes and 3.4 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.1 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts, while being awarded 5.3 corners.

Top goalscorer Jesus Ramirez has found the net 6 times, with Jose Gomes, Ze Vitor, Leonardo Santos and Paulinho Boia scoring 1 each. Leading assistors have been Jose Gomes and Liziero with 2, while goalkeeper Kaique Pereira has one clean sheet.

Tondela have 2 victories, 5 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 3.8 shots on goal, 11.9 attempts and 0.7 goals. Cristiano Bacci's side average 44.7% possession, 324.1 passes, 3.9 corners taken and 5.3 corners against them, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 14.8 attempts and 5.4 shots on goal.

Pedro Henryque is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Rony Lopes, Sphephelo Sithole, Ivan Cavaleiro and Tiago Manso have 1. Rony Lopes has had 2 assists, with Bernardo Fontes notching 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Nacional predicted lineup (4-3-3): Kaique Pereira (GK), Alan Núñez, Zé Vítor, Léo Santos, Lenny Vallier, Chiheb Labidi, Matheus Dias, Liziero, Paulinho Bóia, Jesús Ramírez, Motez Nourani.

Tondela predicted lineup (4-3-3): Bernardo (GK), Tiago Manso, Christian Marques, Brayan Medina, Nor Maviram, Juan Rodríguez, Sphephelo Sithole, Hugo Félix, Pedro Maranhão, Jordan Siebatcheu, Moudjatovic.

Nacional vs Tondela Prediction & Betting Tips

From our main match prediction to correct score advice, a corners pick, must-watch player props and a custom bet builder — this Nacional vs Tondela betting preview covers it all.

Match Prediction

When Tondela kick off this Primeira Liga match, we will wager them at -127 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. Avoiding defeat seems well within their capability and a win could be on the cards.

Our football betting tips are provided off the back of having access to the very latest team news. We also think it’s vital to study the form guide and delve into the most pertinent Primeira Liga stats before coming up with a verdict.

Key Nacional vs Tondela league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Tondela in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Tondela in 2 consecutive games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 5 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 16 of their last 20 games.

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 55.9% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 60-65% taking all factors into consideration. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

If you want to secure a larger possible pay out on your bet, there’s the possibility to move the line. Take a look at the various prices and see which line you think will be covered.

Get ahead of the game by checking our latest guide full of betting offers, welcome bonuses, and free bet deals.

Our Match Prediction

Tondela Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -127 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Nacional 0 - 1 Tondela

We’re predicting Tondela to land a 1-0 victory and this is available at +600. The correct score betting option provides plenty of fun and entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sphephelo Sithole To Score +900

Sphephelo Sithole (Tondela) can be wagered at +900 to score. We’ll have a play on this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Sphephelo Sithole Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+900

First

+1900

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Corners Prediction

Nacional Under 4.5 Corners +107

The 4.5 corners line has not been covered by Nacional in their past five home games. The Nacional Team Corners tally could be lower than the line implies and that leads us to a wager at odds of +107.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Nacional

Total

8.70 3.40 5.30

Home

11.50 5.30 6.20

Away

9.00 5.00 4.00

Tondela

Total

9.20 3.90 5.30

Home

7.67 3.00 4.67

Away

11.00 4.00 7.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-116

Under 9.5

-123

Nacional Corners

Over 4.5

-143

Under 4.5

-100

Tondela Corners

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-147

Most Corners

1

-122

X

+650

2

+128

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Nacional vs Tondela Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Nacional are available at +125 to come away with a triumph in this Primeira Liga clash, meaning a 44% likelihood of winning according to the published betting odds. Tondela are seen as the most unlikely winner at +220.

For those wanting to reduce their risk, Nacional are -172 on the Draw No Bet market. This means a refund if the game ends level, with Tondela being priced up at +120 with the same money back guarantee.

For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. There are two Both Teams to Score options, with Yes on offer at -116 and No at -122.

It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever Primeira Liga match interests you. The recommended football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.

Full-Time Result

1

+125

X

+210

2

+220

Half-Time Result

1

+190

X

+112

2

+270

Double Chance

1X

-345

12

-333

X2

-182

Draw No Bet

1

-172

2

+120

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-112

2 Hcp +0.25

-127

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-164

Over 2.5

+115

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-116

No

-122

There is +190 available that Jesus Ramírez Díaz finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +390.

Jesus Ramírez Díaz (Nacional)

First

+190

Anytime

+390

Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos (Tondela)

First

+245

Anytime

+550

Jordan Siebatcheu (Tondela)

First

+330

Anytime

+650

Xabier Huarte Armendáriz (Tondela)

First

+450

Anytime

+950

Miguel Baeza (Nacional)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

Yarlen Faustino Augusto (Tondela)

First

+525

Anytime

+1000

André Sousa (Nacional)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Matheus Dias (Nacional)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Ulisses Wilson Jeronymo Rocha (Nacional)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

João Afonso (Tondela)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Tiago Manso (Tondela)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Sphephelo Sithole (Tondela)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Ze Vitor (Nacional)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

João Miguel Coimbra Aurélio (Nacional)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Joe Hodge (Tondela)

First

+1000

Anytime

+1900

Nacional have collected eight defeats, one win and one draw in the previous 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 2.20.

Tondela have collected four defeats, two wins and one draw in the previous 7 away matches, scoring an average of 0.71 goals per game and conceding 1.86.

When the teams previously met at Estadio da Madeira, Nacional defeated Tondela 2-0.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Nacional Home Stats		1-1-8	3.20	1.00	2.20	7	3	6	4
Tondela Away Stats		2-1-4	2.57	0.71	1.86	5	2	2	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Nacional vs Tondela Lineups & Team News

The latest Nacional vs Tondela team news could impact your bets — review it first. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups and the latest injury reports.

Nacional Team Page Tondela Team Page

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