Nacional vs Tondela Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 15 Dec 2025

Primeira Liga Betting Preview: Nacional vs Tondela

Nacional take on Tondela at Estadio da Madeira, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Monday 15 December.

The best plan could involve backing Tondela with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -130 when clashing with Nacional. Our stake is split between 0 and +0.5, allowing us to land a return in the event of a draw.

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Nacional lost on the road in their last Primeira Liga game, making it back-to-back league defeats. Alverca won 1-0 at Complexo Desportivo Futebol Clube de Alverca. The Madeira club had three shots on target and 50% possession.

Tondela lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Porto by a 2-0 scoreline at Estadio Joao Cardoso. Cristiano Bacci's team finished with just 25% possession and had two shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two sides previously met at Estadio Joao Cardoso, with Tondela landing the home victory. Defeating Nacional by a 2-1 scoreline.

Primeira Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
15	Nacional	13	3	3	7	12	18	-6	12:18	12
17	Tondela	13	2	3	8	7	22	-15	7:22	9

View Full Table

3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.0 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 11.7 attempts. Nacional have had 43.0% possession, 313.4 passes and 3.4 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.1 goals from 4.2 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 5.3 corners.

Top goalscorer Jesus Ramirez has found the net 6 times, with Jose Gomes, Ze Vitor, Leonardo Santos and Paulinho Boia scoring 1 each. Jose Gomes and Liziero have the most assists with 2, while goalie Kaique Pereira has recorded one clean sheet.

Tondela have won 2, lost 5 and drawn 3, with an average of 0.7 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 11.9 attempts. The Gold and Green have averaged 44.7% possession, 324.1 passes, 3.9 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.5 goals from 5.4 shots on goal and 14.8 attempts.

Pedro Henryque is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Rony Lopes, Sphephelo Sithole, Ivan Cavaleiro and Tiago Manso have 1. Rony Lopes has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games, while Bernardo Fontes has 2 clean sheets to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Nacional predicted lineup (4-3-3): Kaique Pereira (GK), Alan Nunez, Leonardo Santos, Ze Vitor, Lenny Vallier, Liziero, Matheus Dias, Chiheb Labidi, Mootaz Nourani, Jesus Ramirez, Paulinho Boia.

Tondela predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Bernardo Fontes (GK), Tiago Manso, Christian Marques, Brayan Medina, Emmanuel Maviram, Juan Rodriguez, Sphephelo Sithole, Pedro Henryque, Hugo Felix, Moudjatovic, Jordan Pefok.

Nacional vs Tondela Prediction & Betting Tips

Discover the top Nacional vs Tondela betting angles — from our trusted match prediction and likely score to corners market advice, key prop plays and a customized bet builder.

Match Prediction

When Tondela kick off this Primeira Liga match, we will wager them at -130 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. Avoiding defeat seems well within their capability and a win could be on the cards.

The latest Primeira Liga injury and suspension news can have a big bearing and we use this data as well as the latest form guide. We’re also keen to study the football stats so that we can get the fullest picture of how the action might happen.

Key Nacional vs Tondela league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Tondela in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Tondela in 2 consecutive games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 5 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nacional in 16 of their last 20 games.

If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 56.5% chance of delivering a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

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Our Match Prediction

Tondela Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -130 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Nacional 0 - 1 Tondela

There could be merit in backing Tondela to win 1-0. Odds of +575 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sphephelo Sithole To Score +850

Sphephelo Sithole (Tondela) can be wagered to score at +850. Using all evidence, we are happy to back him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Sphephelo Sithole Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+850

First

+1700

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Corners Prediction

Nacional Under 4.5 Corners +102

Nacional have had under 4.5 corners in five consecutive home games. There’s everything to like about the Nacional Team Corners line which looks too big and we’d expect them to go under at +102.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Nacional

Total

8.70 3.40 5.30

Home

11.50 5.30 6.20

Away

9.00 5.00 4.00

Tondela

Total

9.20 3.90 5.30

Home

7.67 3.00 4.67

Away

11.00 4.00 7.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-118

Under 9.5

-122

Nacional Corners

Over 4.5

-147

Under 4.5

+102

Tondela Corners

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-147

Most Corners

1

-125

X

+650

2

+128

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Nacional vs Tondela Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With a roughly 44% chance of triumphing, the bookmakers aren’t giving too much away with their +128 betting odds for Nacional winning this Primeira Liga clash. The +210 means that Tondela are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

You can back Nacional at -164 on the Draw No Bet market, with money back if the game is a draw. Tondela are +115 and this could be an attractive option for those who want some insurance.

The Total Goals price implies that Under 2.5 is the most likely result in this contest. The Both Teams to Score market provides some good options, with Yes and No hard to split in terms of odds.

You can find hundreds of markets for every Primeira Liga match, with the top betting apps creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and In-Play selections before placing your football bets.

Full-Time Result

1

+128

X

+215

2

+210

Half-Time Result

1

+200

X

+110

2

+260

Double Chance

1X

-333

12

-333

X2

-185

Draw No Bet

1

-164

2

+115

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-110

2 Hcp +0.25

-130

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-164

Over 2.5

+114

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-116

No

-122

Jesus Ramírez Díaz is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +400 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +195.

Jesus Ramírez Díaz (Nacional)

First

+195

Anytime

+400

Pedro Henryque Pereira dos Santos (Tondela)

First

+245

Anytime

+525

Jordan Siebatcheu (Tondela)

First

+325

Anytime

+650

Xabier Huarte Armendáriz (Tondela)

First

+450

Anytime

+950

Miguel Baeza (Nacional)

First

+480

Anytime

+1000

Yarlen Faustino Augusto (Tondela)

First

+510

Anytime

+950

Matheus Dias (Nacional)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

André Sousa (Nacional)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Ulisses Wilson Jeronymo Rocha (Nacional)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Tiago Manso (Tondela)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Sphephelo Sithole (Tondela)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

João Afonso (Tondela)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Ze Vitor (Nacional)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

João Miguel Coimbra Aurélio (Nacional)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Rémy Vita (Tondela)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Joe Hodge (Tondela)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2000

Nacional have finished with eight losses, one victory and one draw in the past 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 2.20.

Tondela have finished with four losses, two victories and one draw in the past 7 away games, scoring an average of 0.71 goals per match and conceding 1.86.

In the last meeting at Estadio da Madeira, Nacional defeated Tondela by a 2-0 scoreline.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Nacional Home Stats		1-1-8	3.20	1.00	2.20	7	3	6	4
Tondela Away Stats		2-1-4	2.57	0.71	1.86	5	2	2	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Nacional vs Tondela Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Nacional vs Tondela team news. We’ll provide full coverage of predicted and confirmed Primeira Liga lineups alongside the newest injury information.

Nacional Team Page Tondela Team Page

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