Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 30 Mar 2025

Napoli Look Set to Land the Spoils

Napoli should be able to deliver a return when they go up against Milan, with odds of -110 looking really appealing. We think that the Full-Time Result market is the way to play this wager.

Napoli Won Last H2H Encounter

Napoli played Venezia away in their last game. It was a 0-0 draw at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo. The Naples outfit boasted 58% possession and had seven shots on target.

AC Milan claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 2-1 triumph against Como at San Siro made it back-to-back wins. I Rossoneri recorded 42% possession and totalled three shots on goal, with Christian Pulisic and Tijjani Reijnders finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Napoli who came out on top when they last played Milan. At San Siro, a 2-0 away win was recorded. The past 10 H2H games have seen each team land four wins and there’s been two draws.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	AC Milan	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
17	Napoli	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

View Full Table

Napoli have 4 wins, 1 loss and 5 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 12.7 attempts. Gli Azzurri have averaged 54.6% possession, 477.9 passes and 5.8 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.1 goals from 3.1 shots on goal, 9.0 attempts and 3.4 corners.

Top goalscorers are Romelu Lukaku and Giacomo Raspadori on 3 goals, while Scott McTominay has bagged 2. Romelu Lukaku is the top assists maker on 3, with goalie Alex Meret managing 2 clean sheets.

Milan have won 5, lost 4 and drawn 1, with an average of 4.7 shots on goal, 14.6 attempts and 1.5 goals. Sergio Conceicao's side average 55.6% possession, 448.9 passes, 6.2 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 12.7 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.

Christian Pulisic and Tijjani Reijnders have 4 and they’re top of the team’s scoring charts, with Samuel Chukwueze on 2. Rafael Leao has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games, while Mike Maignan has 2 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Napoli confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Alex Meret (GK), Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Amir Rrahmani, Alessandro Buongiorno, Mathias Olivera, Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Stanislav Lobotka, Billy Gilmour, Matteo Politano, Romelu Lukaku, David Neres.

AC Milan confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Mike Maignan (GK), Kyle Walker, Matteo Gabbia, Strahinja Pavlovic, Theo Hernandez, Warren Bondo, Youssouf Fofana, Christian Pulisic, Tijjani Reijnders, Joao Felix, Tammy Abraham.

Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips

Napoli look like a standout bet and we’re expecting them to triumph. There are odds of -110 that the home team win this Serie A clash and we’re confident that this is a value play.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com are aware of injuries that could affect the outcome along with the form guide. We also leave no stone unturned when it comes to presenting the latest stats.

Key Napoli vs AC Milan league stats:

• Napoli have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Napoli have won 3 of their last 5 games at home.
• Milan have lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Napoli to Win Probability

The bookies make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

For those that think Napoli will be able to oblige with a victory along with achieving a shut out, then we recommend backing them to win along with the BTTS No option at bigger odds.

Our Match Prediction

Napoli To Win @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Napoli 1 - 0 Milan

We’re going for Napoli at +650 to secure a 1-0 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Corners Prediction

Milan Over 3.5 Corners -141

Milan have had over 3.5 corners in seven straight away matches, while the last 5 Napoli games have seen them concede an average of 4.20 corners. The latest stats suggest that it’s worth backing Milan to cover the Team Corners line, with -141 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Napoli

Total

9.20 5.80 3.40

Home

11.80 8.70 3.10

Away

8.40 4.50 3.90

Milan

Total

11.10 6.20 4.90

Home

10.80 6.10 4.70

Away

9.20 5.40 3.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-120

Napoli Corners

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-114

Milan Corners

Over 3.5

-152

Under 3.5

+107

Most Corners

1

-204

X

+575

2

+190

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Napoli vs AC Milan Odds

Napoli are the -111 favourites and that means a 53% chance of winning this Serie A match according to the betting odds at the bookies. At +310, AC Milan are regarded as having a lower probability of winning this match.

If you want to bet on the number of goals in the match, you can get a similar price on Over or Under 2.5 Goals.

A Bet Builder allows you to combine different Serie A betting markets for a match. For example, you might want to predict the Match Winner and Total Goals at a football betting site.

Full-Time Result

1

-111

X

+250

2

+310

Half-Time Result

1

+160

X

+120

2

+333.3

Double Chance

1X

-450

12

-350

X2

-110

Draw No Bet

1

-250

2

+175

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-106

2 Hcp +0.5

-101

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-110

Over 2.5

-110

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-125

No

-105

Napoli vs AC Milan Lineups & Team News

It’s good to know about any injuries and this is reflected in our Napoli vs Milan team news, with this leading to predicted and confirmed lineups.

The Serie A squads highlight the star players operating for every team in the division.

Napoli Team Page AC Milan Team Page