Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Apr 2026

Serie A Betting Preview: Napoli vs AC Milan

Third-placed Napoli go head-to-head with second-placed AC Milan at Diego Armando Maradona, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Monday 6 April.

Milan +0.25 at -137 on the Asian Handicap could be the bet to have. We’re expecting them to avoid defeat against Napoli, with our stake divided equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope the away team can land a win.

Napoli won last time out by a 1-0 scoreline. On their travels against Cagliari at Unipol Domus, they made it four Serie A wins on the bounce. The Naples outfit had five shots on target and enjoyed 67% possession, with a very early Scott McTominay goal proving to be the winner.

AC Milan claimed a 3-2 win over Torino at Giuseppe Meazza in their previous game. I Rossoneri had six shots on goal and enjoyed 63% possession, with Strahinja Pavlovic, Adrien Rabiot and Youssouf Fofana all on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 2-1 in favour of home side Milan when they last played Napoli, with the clash taking place at San Siro. Milan have five wins from the past 10 H2H games, with two draws and three Napoli victories also happening.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	AC Milan	30	18	9	3	47	23	24	47:23	63
3	Napoli	30	19	5	6	46	30	16	46:30	62

View Full Table

7 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.6 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts. Napoli have had 59.4% possession, 530.8 passes and 4.7 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.3 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 11.5 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 3.4 corners.

Rasmus Hoejlund leads the way with 4 goals, with Scott McTominay and Alisson Santos getting 2 apiece. Matteo Politano and Antonio Vergara have been top assistors on 2, with goalkeeper Vanja Milinkovic-Savic keeping 2 clean sheets.

Milan have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.4 goals from 13.0 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 55.4% possession, 530.2 passes, 4.4 corners awarded and 4.0 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 0.7 goals from 10.9 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal.

We’ve seen Adrien Rabiot, Strahinja Pavlovic, Rafael Leao and Ruben Loftus-Cheek score 2 goals each. Zachary Athekame is top assists provider with 2, while Mike Maignan has kept 4 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Napoli predicted lineup (4-4-2): Vanja Milinkovic-Savic (GK), Sam Beukema, Alessandro Buongiorno, Mathias Olivera, Matteo Politano, Billy Gilmour, Stanislav Lobotka, Miguel Gutierrez, Kevin De Bruyne, Scott McTominay, Rasmus Hoejlund.

AC Milan predicted lineup (3-5-2): Mike Maignan (GK), Fikayo Tomori, Koni De Winter, Strahinja Pavlovic, Alexis Saelemaekers, Youssouf Fofana, Luka Modric, Adrien Rabiot, Davide Bartesaghi, Christian Pulisic, Niclas Fuellkrug.

Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ready for Napoli vs AC Milan with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to corners market insight, player props and a custom bet builder.

Match Prediction

If you echo our view that Milan can swerve defeat in this Serie A encounter, then you can take them with a +0.25 goal start at -137. There are strong reasons to back the visitors.

Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together football betting tips. Once we’ve also looked at the Serie A form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.

Key Napoli vs AC Milan league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Milan in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Milan in 18 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Napoli in 7 of their last 10 games against Milan.

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 57.8% chance of winning. However, we have this number between 60-65% based on our in-depth research. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

If you are hunting down bigger odds for Milan to cover the line, then consider placing a Bet Builder. Add different picks to your wager until you’re happy with the overall price.

Thinking of placing a bet? Make sure to check our guide first — it’s full of the latest offers and welcome bonuses worth claiming.

Our Match Prediction

Milan Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -137 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 4, 20:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Napoli 0 - 1 Milan

Milan can be backed to win 1-0 when it comes to the correct score. We’ll go for the +650 that this happens and hopefully we’ll get a good run for our money.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Matteo Politano Over 1.5 Shots -141

Matteo Politano (Napoli) has finished with over 1.5 shots in three consecutive Serie A games. It certainly looks possible that he will cover the Player Shots line and there are odds of -141 up for grabs.

Latest Matteo Politano Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+390

First

+900

Shots

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

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Adrien Rabiot to Score +600

Adrien Rabiot (Milan) has racked up four goals in his past nine Serie A games on the road. We’re happy to take the +600 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Adrien Rabiot Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+600

First

+1400

Shots

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Napoli Over 4.5 Corners -149

Napoli have had over 4.5 corners in four straight matches. There are odds of -149 being served up when it comes to this Team Corners wager and we think Napoli will cover the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Napoli

Total

8.10 4.70 3.40

Home

8.50 6.00 2.50

Away

6.80 4.00 2.80

Milan

Total

8.40 4.40 4.00

Home

9.70 5.80 3.90

Away

9.40 4.10 5.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

+102

Under 9.5

-143

Napoli Corners

Over 4.5

-156

Under 4.5

+110

Milan Corners

Over 3.5

-141

Under 3.5

-100

Most Corners

1

-161

X

+650

2

+165

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Napoli vs AC Milan Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

AC Milan are chalked up at betting odds of +210 to defeat Napoli, with their opponents operating at +148 with the bookmakers. If you want to back the draw, it’s available at +195 for this Serie A clash.

There’s sometimes a case for betting on the Draw No Bet market, with Napoli available at -149 for those who want insurance on their bet. The same applies to opponents Milan at +104.

The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. If you’re looking to wager on Both Teams to Score, there’s not a lot of difference between Yes and No.

The top football betting sites cover Serie A matches in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

+148

X

+195

2

+210

Half-Time Result

1

+215

X

-100

2

+265

Double Chance

1X

-278

12

-263

X2

-200

Draw No Bet

1

-149

2

+104

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+110

2 Hcp +0.25

-137

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-172

Over 2.5

+132

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-109

No

-122

Rasmus Højlund is the market leader at +430 to be the First Goalscorer. Should you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.

Rasmus Højlund (Napoli)

First

+185

Anytime

+430

Rafael Leão (Milan)

First

+250

Anytime

+550

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

First

+250

Anytime

+575

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Giovane Santana do Nascimento (Napoli)

First

+320

Anytime

+750

Romelu Lukaku (Napoli)

First

+330

Anytime

+750

Scott McTominay (Napoli)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Kevin De Bruyne (Napoli)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Niclas Füllkrug (Milan)

First

+370

Anytime

+800

Matteo Politano (Napoli)

First

+390

Anytime

+900

Frank Anguissa (Napoli)

First

+400

Anytime

+900

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Eljif Elmas (Napoli)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Luka Modric (Milan)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Samuele Ricci (Milan)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Giovanni Di Lorenzo (Napoli)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Rasmus Højlund (Napoli)

Over 3.5

+112

Under 3.5

-

Christopher Nkunku (Milan)

Over 2.5

+132

Under 2.5

-

Santiago Giménez (Milan)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Giovane Santana do Nascimento (Napoli)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Romelu Lukaku (Napoli)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Scott McTominay (Napoli)

Over 2.5

+118

Under 2.5

-

Rafael Leão (Milan)

Over 1.5

-204

Under 1.5

-

Eljif Elmas (Napoli)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-

Ruben Loftus-Cheek (Milan)

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-

Frank Anguissa (Napoli)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Matteo Politano (Napoli)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

Niclas Füllkrug (Milan)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Kevin De Bruyne (Napoli)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Christian Pulisic (Milan)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Adrien Rabiot (Milan)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Alexis Saelemaekers (Milan)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Youssouf Fofana (Milan)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Ardon Jashari (Milan)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-

Luka Modric (Milan)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Samuele Ricci (Milan)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-

Davide Bartesaghi (Milan)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-

Giovanni Di Lorenzo (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-

Napoli have not tasted defeat at Diego Armando Maradona in four straight matches. The Naples outfit have collected six wins, three draws and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.70 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

Milan have racked up seven victories, two draws and one defeat in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.70 goals per match and conceding 0.70.

Napoli enjoyed a 2-1 winning scoreline when last meeting Milan at Diego Armando Maradona. The past 7 H2H meetings at Diego Armando Maradona have resulted in three Milan wins, three draws and one Napoli success.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Napoli Home Stats		6-3-1	2.80	1.70	1.10	7	3	7	3
AC Milan Away Stats		7-2-1	2.40	1.70	0.70	4	6	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Napoli vs AC Milan Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Napoli vs Milan before making your bets. We’ll provide the predicted and confirmed lineups for Serie A along with up-to-date injury news.

Napoli Team Page AC Milan Team Page

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