Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 31 Jan 2026

Serie A Betting Preview: Napoli vs Fiorentina

Fourth-placed Napoli host third-from-bottom Fiorentina at Diego Armando Maradona, with kick-off set for 12:00 on Saturday 31 January.

We’re heading to the Full-Time Result market and selecting Napoli to land a victory, with odds of -149 looking generous. We think I Partenopei should be able to overcome Fiorentina over ninety minutes.

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Napoli suffered a defeat in their last Serie A game. A 3-0 scoreline occurred away from home at Allianz Stadium against Juventus. I Partenopei enjoyed 58% possession and managed one shot on target.

Three days ago, Napoli were defeated 3-2 when hosting Chelsea in the Champions League.

Fiorentina were beaten in their previous Serie A game, losing 2-1 at home to Cagliari at Stadio Artemio Franchi. The Florence side had three shots on goal and boasted 70% possession, while Marco Brescianini found the net.

On Tuesday night, Fiorentina suffered a 3-1 Coppa Italia home reverse at the hands of Como.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Napoli have enjoyed three consecutive victories against Fiorentina. Their last clash saw Napoli leave Stadio Artemio Franchi with a 3-1 win. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in five Napoli wins, two draws and three Fiorentina successes.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
4	Napoli	22	13	4	5	31	20	11	31:20	43
18	Fiorentina	22	3	8	11	24	34	-10	24:34	17

View Full Table

5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 11.5 attempts. Napoli have had 57.3% possession, 553.5 passes and 5.1 corners per game. On average, the Naples team have conceded 0.9 goals from 3.0 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 2.0 corners.

Rasmus Hoejlund leads the way with 4 goals, Scott McTominay has 3, with Stanislav Lobotka and two others on 1. Leading assistors have been Noa Lang and Matteo Politano with 2, while goalkeeper Vanja Milinkovic-Savic has 5 clean sheets.

Fiorentina have 3 victories, 5 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 15.5 attempts, 4.6 shots on goal and 1.4 goals. La Viola average 57.6% possession, 480.9 passes, 4.8 corners in their favour and 5.0 corners against, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 4.6 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts.

Moise Kean and Rolando Mandragora have scored 3, followed by Albert Gudmundsson with 2. Nicolo Fagioli is top assists provider with 3, while David de Gea has recorded one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Napoli predicted lineup (4-4-2): Alex Meret (GK), Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Juan Jesus, Alessandro Buongiorno, Miguel Gutierrez, Stanislav Lobotka, Scott McTominay, Leonardo Spinazzola, Antonio Vergara, Eljif Elmas, Rasmus Hoejlund.

Fiorentina predicted lineup (4-1-2-3): David de Gea (GK), Dodo, Pietro Comuzzo, Marin Pongracic, Robin Gosens, Nicolo Fagioli, Rolando Mandragora, Cher Ndour, Manor Solomon, Roberto Piccoli, Albert Gudmundsson.

Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips

Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Napoli vs Fiorentina, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, corners insight, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.

Match Prediction

Napoli should be able to deliver a return when they line up in this Serie A game, with odds of -149 looking really appealing. We are confident that this is the best way to play this wager.

We’re always the first to know about team news, with our football tipsters also studying the latest Serie A form to enhance their view. You will also find a mixture of stats which provide some valuable predictions ahead of the action.

Key Napoli vs Fiorentina league stats:

• Napoli have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Napoli have won 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• Fiorentina have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
• Fiorentina have lost 11 of their last 20 games.
• Napoli have won the last 3 games between these teams.

Based on the odds from the best betting apps, our pick carries a 59.9% chance of winning. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Napoli are available at a range of odds on the Asian Handicap. If you are looking for a bigger price, then check out the latest lines and choose the bet that makes the most appeal.

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Our Match Prediction

Napoli To Win @ -149 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (18:08, 29 January 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Napoli 2 - 0 Fiorentina

There could be merit in backing Napoli to win 2-0. Odds of +550 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Scott McTominay to Score +230

Scott McTominay (Napoli) has netted three goals in his past five Serie A matches. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of +230.

Latest Scott McTominay Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+230

First

+550

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Napoli Over 5.5 Corners -125

It’s been an average of 6.40 Napoli corners in the past 5 home games, while the previous two Fiorentina away matches have involved them conceding over 5.5 corners. If you agree with our verdict that the Napoli Team Corners line is too low, go for odds of -125 that they go over.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Napoli

Total

7.10 5.10 2.00

Home

8.50 6.20 2.30

Away

7.70 5.10 2.60

Fiorentina

Total

9.80 4.80 5.00

Home

9.60 5.40 4.20

Away

9.30 3.90 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-141

Under 8.5

-100

Napoli Corners

Over 5.5

-119

Under 5.5

-118

Fiorentina Corners

Over 2.5

-167

Under 2.5

+117

Most Corners

1

-303

X

+700

2

+290

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Napoli vs Fiorentina Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the bookmakers affording them a 60% chance of winning, Napoli might be a popular accumulator selection. Their betting odds are -149 when it comes to this Serie A encounter. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +460 about Fiorentina.

One Asian Handicap bet involves backing Napoli -0.75 at -112. If they beat Fiorentina by 2+ goals, you get a full payout. You also get a return on half your stake if they win by one and the other half is refunded.

A low-scoring contest will be anticipated by many and Under 2.5 Goals currently has the shortest odds. If you anticipate that a minimum of one side can manage a clean sheet, you might want to take the -132 about Both Teams to Score No.

It’s great that you can tap into hundreds of markets for every Serie A match. Each of our recommended football betting sites provide exciting pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

-149

X

+250

2

+460

Half-Time Result

1

+125

X

+118

2

+440

Double Chance

1X

-714

12

-345

X2

+112

Draw No Bet

1

-455

2

+270

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-112

2 Hcp +0.75

-110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-147

Over 2.5

+114

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-100

No

-132

Favourite Rasmus Højlund is now available at +360 to be the First Goalscorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last goal.

Rasmus Højlund (Napoli)

First

+155

Anytime

+360

Romelu Lukaku (Napoli)

First

+180

Anytime

+430

Scott McTominay (Napoli)

First

+230

Anytime

+550

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

First

+260

Anytime

+650

Eljif Elmas (Napoli)

First

+390

Anytime

+850

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

First

+420

Anytime

+1000

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Miguel Gutiérrez (Napoli)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Giovanni Di Lorenzo (Napoli)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Leonardo Spinazzola (Napoli)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Sam Beukema (Napoli)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Marco Brescianini (Fiorentina)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Mathías Olivera (Napoli)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Pasquale Mazzocchi (Napoli)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Stanislav Lobotka (Napoli)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Napoli have clocked up five wins, four draws and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 0.80.

Fiorentina have five losses, four draws and one victory in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 1.60.

Napoli enjoyed a 2-1 winning scoreline when last meeting Fiorentina at Diego Armando Maradona. The previous 6 H2H games at Diego Armando Maradona have seen both teams achieve three victories.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Napoli Home Stats		5-4-1	2.30	1.50	0.80	5	5	5	5
Fiorentina Away Stats		1-4-5	2.40	0.80	1.60	6	4	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Napoli vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Napoli vs Fiorentina before you bet. Stay updated with our predicted and confirmed lineups for Serie A and the newest injury information.

Napoli Team Page Fiorentina Team Page

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