Napoli vs Parma Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Jan 2026

Serie A Betting Preview: Napoli vs Parma

Third-placed Napoli clash with Parma at Diego Armando Maradona, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Wednesday 14 January.

Parma +1.5 could be the real deal when it comes to the Asian Handicap. We’re able to back them at odds of -123 knowing that a one-goal defeat against Napoli would still see us land a payout from this wager.

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Napoli played out a 2-2 draw in their last game. This was away from home at Giuseppe Meazza against Inter Milan. Antonio Conte's team managed three shots on target and had 49% possession, while Scott McTominay scored both goals.

Parma won their previous game by a 2-1 scoreline. It was away from home against Lecce at Stadio Via del Mare. The Emilia-Romagna side had the lion’s share of the ball recording 59% possession and two shots on goal, while Tiago Gabriel (own goal) and Mateo Pellegrino were both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Napoli are unbeaten when it comes to the past four games against Parma, with the last clash ending in a 0-0 draw at Stadio Ennio Tardini. The past 7 H2H meetings have included four victories for Napoli, two wins for Parma and a single draw.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Napoli	19	12	3	4	30	17	13	30:17	39
14	Parma	19	5	6	8	14	22	-8	14:22	21

View Full Table

5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 10.6 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal. Napoli have had 54.4% possession, 509.1 passes and 5.0 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 0.9 goals from 10.5 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 2.3 corners.

Top goalscorer Rasmus Hoejlund has found the net 4 times, with Scott McTominay and David Neres scoring 3 each. Noa Lang, Matteo Politano and Scott McTominay are top assists makers with 2, while goalkeeper Vanja Milinkovic-Savic has kept 4 clean sheets.

Parma have 4 victories, 4 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.0 goals from 3.1 shots on goal and 12.0 attempts. There’s been an average of 44.3% possession, 334.8 passes, 3.4 corners taken and 4.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.3 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 15.0 attempts.

Mateo Pellegrino is the leading scorer with 4 goals, followed by Adrian Bernabe on 2, with Oliver Soerensen and two others bagging 1. Sascha Britschgi has managed 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Edoardo Corvi has 2 clean sheets to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Napoli predicted lineup (4-4-2): Vanja Milinkovic-Savic (GK), Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Amir Rrahmani, Alessandro Buongiorno, Matteo Politano, Stanislav Lobotka, Scott McTominay, Miguel Gutierrez, Eljif Elmas, Noa Lang, Rasmus Hoejlund.

Parma predicted lineup (4-3-3): Edoardo Corvi (GK), Enrico Del Prato, Alessandro Circati, Lautaro Valenti, Emanuele Valeri, Adrian Bernabe, Mandela Keita, Oliver Soerensen, Gaetano Oristanio, Mateo Pellegrino, Jacob Ondrejka.

Napoli vs Parma Prediction & Betting Tips

Head into Napoli vs Parma with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, expected scoreline, top corners angle, key player props and a thoughtfully built bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re going to have a wager on Parma considering they have a +1.5 goal start for this Serie A encounter. The betting odds of -123 look attractive and we expect to land a payout.

The latest Serie A injuries and suspensions can affect the overall outcome and we use this information as well as the form guide. The same applies to the stats so that we can get the best understanding of how things might pan out.

Key Napoli vs Parma league stats:

• The +1.5 line has been covered by Parma in 7 consecutive games on the road.
• The +1.5 line has been covered by Parma in 18 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +1.5 line has been covered by Parma in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Napoli in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Napoli in 13 of their last 19 games at home.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Napoli in 2 consecutive games.
• The -1.5 line hasn’t been covered by Napoli in 2 consecutive games against Parma.

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 55.2% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our tipsters in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 60-65%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

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Our Match Prediction

Parma Asian Hcp +1.5 @ -123 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Napoli 1 - 0 Parma

We’re taking a chance on Napoli to achieve a 1-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +440 means we can place a smaller stake and still achieve a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mateo Pellegrino Over 0.5 Shots On Target +114

Mateo Pellegrino (Parma) has registered at least one shot on goal in seven of his past ten Serie A matches away from home. There is odds of +114 on offer for this Shots on Target wager and we think he’ll cover the line.

Latest Mateo Pellegrino Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+475

First

+1100

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-227

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Scott McTominay to Score +190

Scott McTominay (Napoli) has scored in his past two Serie A matches He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer selection at odds of +190.

Latest Scott McTominay Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+190

First

+500

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-103

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Corners Prediction

Napoli Under 6.5 Corners -114

Napoli have had under 6.5 corners in three consecutive games, with Parma conceding less than 6.5 corners in their past six matches. The Napoli Team Corners tally could be lower than the line implies and that leads us to a wager at odds of -114.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Napoli

Total

7.30 5.00 2.30

Home

8.70 6.60 2.10

Away

8.60 5.40 3.20

Parma

Total

8.10 3.40 4.70

Home

7.90 3.20 4.70

Away

8.30 3.60 4.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-115

Under 9.5

-123

Napoli Corners

Over 6.5

-127

Under 6.5

-112

Parma Corners

Over 2.5

-111

Under 2.5

-127

Most Corners

1

-714

X

+900

2

+550

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Napoli vs Parma Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The latest Full-Time Result odds give Napoli a 78% chance of triumphing which means that they’re overwhelming -345 favourites to win this Serie A clash. Parma are the underdogs at +1000 which implies a low percentage prospect of winning.

There’s a nice alternative in the form of the Half-Time Result market. This allows you to back Napoli at -123 to lead at the break or alternatively opt for Parma at +700. The draw is the third option at +145.

You can back Over 2.5 Goals or Under 2.5 Goals at similar odds right now. Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -200 for anyone predicting one side or more to fail to find the net.

Hundreds of markets for every Serie A match await you, with the best football betting sites providing a huge range of choice. A first-class service awaits whether you’re betting pre-match or In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

-345

X

+390

2

+1000

Half-Time Result

1

-123

X

+145

2

+700

Double Chance

1X

-2500

12

-588

X2

+225

Draw No Bet

1

-1429

2

+550

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.5

-100

2 Hcp +1.5

-123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-122

Over 2.5

-105

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+150

No

-200

The First Goalscorer favourite is Rasmus Højlund at +310, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.

Rasmus Højlund (Napoli)

First

+115

Anytime

+310

Romelu Lukaku (Napoli)

First

+140

Anytime

+360

Lorenzo Lucca (Napoli)

First

+160

Anytime

+410

Scott McTominay (Napoli)

First

+190

Anytime

+500

Noa Lang (Napoli)

First

+210

Anytime

+540

David Neres (Napoli)

First

+220

Anytime

+550

Matteo Politano (Napoli)

First

+260

Anytime

+700

Eljif Elmas (Napoli)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Mateo Pellegrino (Parma)

First

+475

Anytime

+1100

Miguel Gutiérrez (Napoli)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Patrick Cutrone (Parma)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Adrian Benedyczak (Parma)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Leonardo Spinazzola (Napoli)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Jacob Ondrejka (Parma)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Pontus Almqvist (Parma)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Giovanni Di Lorenzo (Napoli)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Juan Jesus (Napoli)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Amir Rrahmani (Napoli)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Stanislav Lobotka (Napoli)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Mathías Olivera (Napoli)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Sam Beukema (Napoli)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Luca Marianucci (Napoli)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Alessandro Buongiorno (Napoli)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Gaetano Oristanio (Parma)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Oliver Sørensen (Parma)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Rasmus Højlund (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-303

Under 0.5

+143

Romelu Lukaku (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-294

Under 0.5

+140

Lorenzo Lucca (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

+118

Scott McTominay (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-103

Noa Lang (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-143

David Neres (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-130

Under 0.5

-147

Matteo Politano (Napoli)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-172

Eljif Elmas (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-213

Mateo Pellegrino (Parma)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-227

Patrick Cutrone (Parma)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-333

Adrian Benedyczak (Parma)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-417

Jacob Ondrejka (Parma)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-476

Pontus Almqvist (Parma)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-500

Miguel Gutiérrez (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-526

Gaetano Oristanio (Parma)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-833

Oliver Sørensen (Parma)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-909

Leonardo Spinazzola (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-1111

Giovanni Di Lorenzo (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-1250

Juan Jesus (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-2000

Amir Rrahmani (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-2000

Mathías Olivera (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-2000

Stanislav Lobotka (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-2000

Sam Beukema (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+370

Under 0.5

-2000

Luca Marianucci (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+380

Under 0.5

-2000

Alessandro Buongiorno (Napoli)

Over 0.5

+380

Under 0.5

-2000

Napoli haven’t lost any of their past ten games at Diego Armando Maradona. Antonio Conte's team have seven wins and three draws in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 1.90 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Parma are unbeaten over their previous four games on the road. The Emilia-Romagna side have four wins, three draws and three losses in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

Napoli beat Parma 2-1 when they last met at Diego Armando Maradona. In the past 3 H2H games at Diego Armando Maradona, we’ve seen two Napoli wins and one Parma triumph.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Napoli Home Stats		7-3-0	2.80	1.90	0.90	7	3	7	3
Parma Away Stats		4-3-3	2.10	1.00	1.10	4	6	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Napoli vs Parma Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Napoli vs Parma team news before placing your bets. We’ll have the predicted and confirmed Serie A lineups for you plus all the latest on player injuries.

Napoli Team Page Parma Team Page

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