Necaxa vs Toluca Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Oct 2024

Rayos to Give Toluca a Hard Time

We’ll split our stake by backing Necaxa +0.25 at odds of -114 for this Asian Handicap wager. It means we have a return if they draw but a nice payout should the home team claim a victory against Toluca.

Last H2H Saw Game End 3-3

Club Necaxa have lost their last three games. On their travels, they recently suffered a 3-2 defeat against Guadalajara at Estadio Akron. Los Rayos recorded six shots on target and had 40% possession, while Tomas Badaloni and Ricardo Monreal each scored one goal.

Toluca have won their previous two games. The latest was a 5-0 home victory at Estadio Nemesio Diez against Puebla. Renato Paiva's side racked up seven shots on goal and boasted 64% possession, while Paulinho scored twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last encounter between Necaxa and Deportivo Toluca ended all square. This head-to-head was a 3-3 draw at Estadio Victoria. In the past 10 meetings between these teams, there has been four draws. Deportivo Toluca have won four games and Necaxa two.

Liga MX		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Toluca	6	3	1	2	13	9	4	13:9	10
14	Necaxa	6	1	2	3	6	10	-4	6:10	5

View Full Table

Club Necaxa have 2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.2 goals from 10.4 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal. Eduardo Fentanes' men have averaged 35.2% possession and 4.9 corners per game, conceding 1.3 goals and 5.4 corners from 9.7 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal.

Jose Paradela is the top scorer with 3 goals, while Tomas Badaloni, Agustin Palavecino and Fernando Arce each have 2. Emilio Lara, Jose Paradela and Agustin Palavecino are the leading assists makers with 1.

Deportivo Toluca have 6 victories, 1 defeat and 3 draws, with an average of 9.8 attempts, 5.2 shots on goal and 2.2 goals. They average 53.0% possession, 5.2 corners awarded and 4.8 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 4.6 shots on goal and 10.9 attempts.

Paulinho got 7 goals, Isaias Violante notched 4, while Alexis Vega and two other players scored 2. Paulinho has been the top assist maker with 5 in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Necaxa confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Ezequiel Unsain (GK), Agustin Oliveros, Alan Montes, Emilio Martinez, Fernando Arce, Bryan Garnica, Agustin Palavecino, Heriberto Jurado, Ricardo Monreal, Tomas Badaloni, Jose Paradela.

Toluca confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Tiago Volpi (GK), Everardo Del Villar, Luan Garcia, Federico Pereira, Victor Arteaga, Marcel Ruiz, Jesus Angulo, Jesus Gallardo, Juan Dominguez, Isaias Violante, Paulinho.

Necaxa vs Toluca Prediction & Betting Tips

Necaxa +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. We think that the hosts have a good chance of recording a win in this Liga MX game and it’s therefore a confident selection at -114.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest injuries and suspensions and the form guide also informs our football picks. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key Necaxa vs Toluca league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Rayos in 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Rayos in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 16 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 6 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Toluca in 2 consecutive games against Rayos.

Rayos +0.25 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 53.3% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

There are different options to wager on Rayos, with Winning Margin a great alternative. Select the fixed interval and get paid out if you’re correct.

Our Match Prediction

Necaxa Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -114 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Necaxa 1 - 0 Toluca

We’re going for Necaxa at +700 to secure a 1-0 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Necaxa vs Toluca Odds

The bookies have Toluca at +130 in the Full-Time Result market, implying the market leaders are 43% likely to win this Liga MX match according to the latest betting odds. Club Necaxa are the +190 underdogs, while the draw can also be backed as an alternative.

If you want to bet on three goals or more, then Over 2.5 Goals is the shortest odds.

The football betting sites offer a Draw No Bet market for all Liga MX matches and you can back Club Necaxa at +112 and Deportivo Toluca at -143.

Full-Time Result

1

+190

X

+235

2

+130

Half-Time Result

1

+230

X

+128

2

+170

Double Chance

1X

-172

12

-333

X2

-263

Draw No Bet

1

+112

2

-143

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-130

2 Hcp -0.25

-102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+110

Over 2.5

-152

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-182

No

+128

Necaxa vs Toluca Lineups & Team News

Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Rayos vs Toluca team news.

The Liga MX squad information is a great asset when it comes to making your bets.

Club Necaxa Team Page Toluca Team Page