Netherlands vs Finland Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 12 Oct 2025

World Cup qualifying Betting Preview: Netherlands vs Finland

Group G frontrunners Netherlands host third-placed Finland in this World Cup qualifying meeting at Johan Cruyff Arena, with kick-off set for 12:00 on Sunday 12 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.

Backing Netherlands -2.5 could be the best Asian Handicap option at odds of -116. We need them to win by at least three goals and there’s a strong chance of this happening against Finland.

Confident in our bet? Grab the newest BetMGM promo code and read our expert site review before placing your Asian Handicap wager.

Netherlands triumphed in their last game which was away from home in the World Cup qualifier. Malta were beaten 4-0 at Ta' Qali. Ronald Koeman's side enjoyed 64% possession and had eight shots on target, with Cody Gakpo bagging two, while Tijjani Reijnders and Memphis Depay also scored a goal.

Finland won their previous game, beating Lithuania at home. It was a 2-1 World Cup qualifying victory at Olympiastadion. The Eagle-owls recorded seven shots on goal and had 53% possession, while Benjamin Kaellman and Adam Markhiev found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Netherlands overcame Finland away when the sides last clashed. It was a 2-0 scoreline at Olympiastadion.

Europe World Cup Qualification		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27	4	23	27:4	20
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8	14	-6	8:14	10

View Full Table

5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 3.2 goals from 6.4 shots on goal and 14.0 attempts. Netherlands have had 62.0% possession and 4.8 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.5 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 8.4 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 3.0 corners.

Memphis Depay leads the way with 7 goals, while Cody Gakpo and Denzel Dumfries have 4 and 3 respectively. Denzel Dumfries is the leading assists maker with 4, while goalkeepers Bart Verbruggen and Mark Flekken collectively have 4 clean sheets.

Finland have 3 victories, 6 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 1.0 goals from 8.7 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 47.3% possession, 3.5 corners in their favour and 4.7 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.7 goals from 12.9 attempts and 6.0 shots on goal.

Benjamin Kaellman and Joel Pohjanpalo have scored 3 goals, followed by Adam Markhiev with 1. Oliver Antman has managed 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Lukas Hradecky has one clean sheet to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Netherlands confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Denzel Dumfries, Jurrien Timber, Virgil van Dijk, Micky van de Ven, Ryan Gravenberch, Justin Kluivert, Frenkie de Jong, Donyell Malen, Memphis Depay, Cody Gakpo.

Finland confirmed lineup (3-2-4-1): Jesse Joronen (GK), Adam Staahl, Miro Tenho, Ville Koski, Nikolai Alho, Juho Laehteenmaeki, Oliver Antman, Kaan Kairinen, Santeri Vaeaenaenen, Topi Keskinen, Leo Walta.

Netherlands vs Finland Prediction & Betting Tips

Make the most of Netherlands vs Finland with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, corners advice, key player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

Netherlands are expected to land a big win in this World Cup qualifying clash. There’s the opportunity to secure odds of -116 that the favourites overcome a -2.5 deficit on the Asian Handicap and we’re confident this will happen.

Injuries and suspensions are studied by the team at Sportsgambler.com. Our football predictions also come from studying the latest World Cup qualifying form, with the numbers playing a huge part before the tips are decided.

Key Netherlands vs Finland stats:

• The -2.5 line has been covered by Netherlands in 2 of their last 5 games.

Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 53.8% chance of winning. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

If you want to secure a larger possible pay out on your bet, there’s the option to move the line. Take a look at the various prices and see which line you think will be covered.

Before placing your bets, explore the latest betting offers. Our comprehensive guide features a wide range of welcome bonuses to choose from.

Our Match Prediction

Netherlands Asian Hcp -2.5 @ -116 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Netherlands 3 - 0 Finland

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves Netherlands to win 3-0. The odds of +510 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Donyell Malen Under 0.5 Shots On Target +135

Donyell Malen (Netherlands) hasn’t recorded a shot on goal in three straight games. There’s a reasonable prospect that he will fall short of the mark, with odds of +135 on offer that he doesn’t cover the Shots on Target line.

Latest Donyell Malen Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+155

First

+440

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

+130

Shots

Over 2.5

-139

Under 2.5

-

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Memphis Depay to Score -154

Memphis Depay (Netherlands) has found the net in his past two matches. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of -154.

Latest Memphis Depay Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

-172

First

+235

Shots On Target

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-102

Shots

Over 4.5

-137

Under 4.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Netherlands Under 6.5 Corners -106

Netherlands have had a corner average of 4.80 in the past 10 games, while the last 5 Finland matches have seen them concede an average of 4.00 corners. Let’s stick with this betting trend and back Netherlands to go under the Team Corners line at a price of -106.

Competitive Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Netherlands

Total

7.80 4.80 3.00

Home

9.10 5.10 4.00

Away

8.60 6.10 2.50

Finland

Total

8.20 3.50 4.70

Home

7.50 3.80 3.70

Away

9.00 4.00 5.00

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-147

Under 8.5

+105

Netherlands Corners

Over 6.5

-135

Under 6.5

-103

Finland Corners

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

+125

Most Corners

1

-1429

X

+1200

2

+1050

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Netherlands vs Finland Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The current odds suggest Netherlands have a 92% probability of winning this World Cup qualifying encounter. This is reflected in that they’re huge -1111 favourites to triumph with the bookies. Finland are seen as by far the most unlikely winner at +2000.

There’s a nice alternative in the form of the Half-Time Result market. This allows you to back Netherlands at -244 to lead at the break or alternatively opt for Finland at +1150. The draw is the third option at +250.

The Over 2.5 option is currently favourite on the Total Goals betting market. Both Teams to Score No is available at -200 for anyone expecting at least one side to draw a blank.

If you’re wanting hundreds of football markets, then the good news is that the best betting apps can provide this. For any World Cup qualifying game, take your pick and hopefully find a winning angle.

Full-Time Result

1

-1111

X

+850

2

+2000

Half-Time Result

1

-244

X

+250

2

+1150

Draw No Bet

1

-5000

2

+1300

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -2.5

-114

2 Hcp +2.5

-109

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+220

Over 2.5

-303

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+140

No

-200

Memphis Depay is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +235. If you want to back him to score the last goal, you can get similar odds.

Memphis Depay (Netherlands)

First

-172

Anytime

+235

Cody Gakpo (Netherlands)

First

-139

Anytime

+255

Donyell Malen (Netherlands)

First

+155

Anytime

+440

Tijjani Reijnders (Netherlands)

First

+210

Anytime

+600

Xavi Simons (Netherlands)

First

+235

Anytime

+700

Justin Kluivert (Netherlands)

First

+255

Anytime

+700

Jeremie Frimpong (Netherlands)

First

+280

Anytime

+750

Denzel Dumfries (Netherlands)

First

+350

Anytime

+1000

Virgil van Dijk (Netherlands)

First

+550

Anytime

+1800

Quilindschy Hartman (Netherlands)

First

+550

Anytime

+1500

Joel Pohjanpalo (Finland)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Ryan Gravenberch (Netherlands)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Benjamin Källman (Finland)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Jerdy Schouten (Netherlands)

First

+700

Anytime

+2000

Stefan de Vrij (Netherlands)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Frenkie de Jong (Netherlands)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Oliver Antman (Finland)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Nathan Aké (Netherlands)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Robin Lod (Finland)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Donyell Malen (Netherlands)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

+130

Tijjani Reijnders (Netherlands)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

+120

Memphis Depay (Netherlands)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-102

Xavi Simons (Netherlands)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-115

Denzel Dumfries (Netherlands)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-120

Justin Kluivert (Netherlands)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-130

Cody Gakpo (Netherlands)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-137

Jeremie Frimpong (Netherlands)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-147

Benjamin Källman (Finland)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-222

Joel Pohjanpalo (Finland)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-227

Oliver Antman (Finland)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-263

Robin Lod (Finland)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-345

Virgil van Dijk (Netherlands)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-435

Quilindschy Hartman (Netherlands)

Over 0.5

+235

Under 0.5

-455

Ryan Gravenberch (Netherlands)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-455

Jerdy Schouten (Netherlands)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-625

Frenkie de Jong (Netherlands)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-667

Stefan de Vrij (Netherlands)

Over 0.5

+330

Under 0.5

-714

Memphis Depay (Netherlands)

Over 4.5

-137

Under 4.5

-

Cody Gakpo (Netherlands)

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-

Donyell Malen (Netherlands)

Over 2.5

-139

Under 2.5

-

Tijjani Reijnders (Netherlands)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Xavi Simons (Netherlands)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

Justin Kluivert (Netherlands)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Jeremie Frimpong (Netherlands)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Denzel Dumfries (Netherlands)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Ryan Gravenberch (Netherlands)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Oliver Antman (Finland)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Virgil van Dijk (Netherlands)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Joel Pohjanpalo (Finland)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Benjamin Källman (Finland)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

-

Robin Lod (Finland)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Netherlands Stats

Finland Stats

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 3.20 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 4.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 4.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 4.80 corners awarded and 3.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 4.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 7.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 4.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 5.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 8.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 62.00% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 56.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 47.30% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 52.70% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches

Netherlands vs Finland Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Netherlands vs Finland team news before betting. Stay in the know with the confirmed World Cup qualifying lineups and up-to-date injury news.

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