World Cup qualifying Betting Preview: Netherlands vs Poland

Netherlands host Poland in this World Cup qualifying meeting at De Kuip, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Thursday 4 September 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.

Goals on the Menu

We’re heading to the Total Goals market and backing the Over 2.5 selection at a price of -161. There’s a strong prospect that Netherlands and Poland will land a payout and we’re going into this bet with confidence.

Fancy our Total Goals tip? Grab the latest BetMGM promo code, then take a look at our review before placing your bet.

Netherlands Are 4 From 5 on the Head-to-Head

Netherlands were winners in their last game. A 8-0 World Cup qualifying scoreline was enjoyed at home to Malta at Euroborg Stadion. Ronald Koeman's team enjoyed 63% possession and managed nine shots on target, with Memphis Depay and Donyell Malen scoring two goals apiece.

Poland suffered a World Cup qualifying defeat in their previous game. A 2-1 scoreline occurred on the road at Olympiastadion against Finland. They had 52% possession and nine shots on goal, with Jakub Kiwior on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Netherlands have won the last two encounters against Poland. The most recent was a 2-1 victory at Volksparkstadion following a 2-0 win at National Stadium, Warszawa. Netherlands have landed four victories in the previous 5 H2H matches and there’s also been a draw.

Europe World Cup Qualification		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Netherlands	2	2	0	0	10	0	10	10:0	6
3	Poland	3	2	0	1	4	2	2	4:2	6

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Netherlands – Last 10 Competitive Games

Netherlands have 4 wins, 2 losses and 4 draws, averaging 3.2 goals from 15.6 attempts and 6.1 shots on goal. The Oranje have averaged 59.7% possession and 5.0 corners per game, conceding 1.7 goals and 3.5 corners from 10.1 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.

Top scorers Denzel Dumfries and Memphis Depay have found the net 4 times, with Xavi Simons getting 3. Donyell Malen is top assists maker with 3, while goalies Bart Verbruggen and Mark Flekken have kept 3 clean sheets between them.

Poland – Last 10 Competitive Games

Poland have 3 victories, 5 defeats and 2 draws, averaging 5.7 shots on goal, 15.8 attempts and 1.4 goals. Jan Urban's men average 47.5% possession, 414.7 passes, 4.5 corners taken and 4.4 corners against them, while 1.9 goals have been conceded from 14.5 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal.

Robert Lewandowski is top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Karol Swiderski, Piotr Zielinski, Sebastian Szymanski and Nicola Zalewski have 2. Robert Lewandowski has had 2 assists, with Lukasz Skorupski notching 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Netherlands vs Poland Prediction & Betting Tips

Gear up for Netherlands vs Poland with our comprehensive betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market value, top player props and a hand-picked bet builder.

Match Prediction

We are siding with Over 2.5 Goals at -161 considering this World Cup qualifying game should see the net bulge a few times. We think the price looks appealing when it comes to three or more goals being scored.

The football tipsters at Sportsgambler.com regularly look at the injury situatuation along with the World Cup qualifying form guide. We have a wide range of stats at our disposal which means we can illustrate the key data to readers.

Key Netherlands vs Poland stats:

The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 8 Netherlands games at home.
The 2.5 line has been covered in 15 of the last 20 Netherlands games at home.
The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Poland games.
The 2.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Poland games.
The 2.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Poland games on the road.
The 2.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 games between these teams.

Over 2.5 Probability

The latest odds at the best betting sites suggest our pick carries a 61.7% chance of winning. After careful examination, our experts have this probability close to 70%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you’re looking for bigger odds for your Total Goals pick, then why not consider Over 3.5. It’s a great alternative wager where you need four or more to be scored in order for the bet to land.

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Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -161 Bet Now

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Published 21:07, 02 September 2025

Correct Score Prediction

Netherlands Netherlands logo

2 - 1 Poland logo

Poland

We’ve picked out a correct score of 2-1 being landed by Netherlands. You can secure odds of +750 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Xavi Simons Over 0.5 Shots On Target -152

We’re going to take him on the Overs for Shots on Target, with this line making plenty of appeal at odds of -152.

Latest Xavi Simons Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Shots On Target

Shots

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Memphis Depay to Score -143

Memphis Depay (Netherlands) has found the net in three consecutive matches. Based on the stats, we think that odds of -143 are really appealing when it comes to betting on Anytime Goalscorer.

Latest Memphis Depay Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Shots On Target

Shots

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Corners Prediction

Netherlands Under 6.5 Corners -150

In their past eight games, Netherlands have not covered the 6.5 corners line, while the previous seven Poland matches have involved them conceding under 6.5 corners. It looks a logical viewpoint that the Team Corners line won’t be reached and you can land a price of -150 for this Netherlands wager.

Competitive Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Netherlands

Total

8.50 5.00 3.50

Home

8.80 4.90 3.90

Away

9.00 6.10 2.90

Poland

Total

8.90 4.50 4.40

Home

9.90 6.40 3.50

Away

8.50 4.40 4.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Netherlands Corners

Poland Corners

Most Corners

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Bet Builder Tips

Total Goals Over 2.5 -161

Asian Handicap Poland +1.75 -116

Shots On Target Xavi Simons Over 0.5 -152

Take a bet builder that incorporates more than two goals to be scored, Poland with the +1.75 Asian Handicap and Xavi Simons (Netherlands) to end up with one or more shots on target.

The bet builder option is great for football fans wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. You’re able to scan through each market and pick out the selections that make the most appeal. The odds for each pick are multiplied together.

Bet Boosts

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Netherlands vs Poland Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Running Scared of Netherlands Win

Netherlands are strong -435 favourites to win this World Cup qualifying encounter according to the Full-Time Result betting odds. The bookies give them a 81% chance of claiming victory. Poland are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +1050.

Netherlands can be backed at -104 on the -1.75 Asian Handicap. There’s a payout if they claim a victory by three or more against Poland, with a half stake payout and half stake refund if the favourites oblige by two.

Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted. The Both Teams to Score No option is -167 if you think at least one side will fail to score.

The top football betting sites have excellent coverage when it comes to all World Cup qualifying matches. That means hundreds of markets from which to choose and something to suit everyone.

Full-Time Result

Half-Time Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Asian Handicap

Total Goals

Both Teams to Score

Memphis Depay Heads First Goalscorer Market

Memphis Depay is priced at +240 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of -143 to find the net anytime.

Player Goals

Memphis Depay (Netherlands)

Cody Gakpo (Netherlands)

Tijjani Reijnders (Netherlands)

Justin Kluivert (Netherlands)

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Player Shots On Target

Tijjani Reijnders (Netherlands)

Memphis Depay (Netherlands)

Justin Kluivert (Netherlands)

Xavi Simons (Netherlands)

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Player Shots

Memphis Depay (Netherlands)

Cody Gakpo (Netherlands)

Tijjani Reijnders (Netherlands)

Justin Kluivert (Netherlands)

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Best Betting Offers

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Last 5 Games

Netherlands

Poland

Head to Head

Netherlands vs Poland

Team Stats

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Netherlands Stats

Poland Stats

Full-Time Result

4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

An average of 3.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 2.70 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
An average of 4.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 3.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 1.60 goals scored and 2.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 3.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 3.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 4.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
An average of 4.40 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
An average of 8.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

An average of 59.70% possession in the last 10 matches
An average of 54.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

An average of 47.50% possession in the last 10 matches
An average of 52.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches

Netherlands vs Poland Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Netherlands vs Poland team news before you bet. Expect the confirmed World Cup qualifying lineups and all current injury developments from us.