New York City vs New York Red Bulls Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 May 2025

Get Under 2.5 as the Value Bet

We're counting down to the Hudson River derby when New York City FC clash with New York Red Bulls at Citi Field.

We don’t think City and Red Bulls will combine to score three or more. Therefore, we’ll head to the Total Goals market and wager on Under 2.5 which is available at odds of -105.

Teams’ Last Clash Saw 2-0 Red Bulls Win

New York City FC played D.C. United away in their last game. It was a 0-0 draw at Audi Field. Pascal Jansen's men had the majority of the ball enjoying 58% possession and five shots on target.

New York Red Bulls have lost back-to-back away games. They recently suffered a 2-1 defeat against Nashville SC at Geodis Park. The Red Bulls had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 56% possession and two shots on goal, while Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 2-0 away win for Red Bulls at Citi Field when they last played City. The past 10 H2H meetings have included five victories for Red Bulls, four wins for City and a single draw.

MLS		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
9	NYCFC	34	17	5	12	50	44	6	50:44	56
18	NY Red Bulls	34	12	7	15	48	47	1	48:47	43

View Full Table

4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 9.4 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal. City have had 52.2% possession and 5.3 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.0 goals from 10.4 attempts and 4.4 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 7.4 corners.

Top scorer is Alonso Martinez on 4 goals, while Julian Fernandez and Hannes Wolf have both racked up 2. Mitja Ilenic, Julian Fernandez and Hannes Wolf are the leading assists makers with 1.

NY Red Bulls have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.8 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 8.4 attempts. There’s been an average of 53.4% possession, 4.4 corners awarded and 4.0 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.4 goals from 10.3 shots on goal and 14.1 attempts.

The top scorers have been Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting with 7, Emil Forsberg on 4 and Dennis Gjengaar 2. Omar Valencia has been the top assist maker with 4 in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

New York City confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Matt Freese (GK), Tayvon Gray, Justin Haak, Thiago Martins, Birk Risa, Aiden O'Neill, Andres Perea, Maxi Moralez, Julian Fernandez, Alonso Martinez, Hannes Wolf.

New York Red Bulls confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Carlos Coronel (GK), Kyle Duncan, Sean Nealis, Noah Eile, Raheem Edwards, Felipe Carballo, Peter Stroud, Dennis Gjengaar, Emil Forsberg, Mohammed Sofo, Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting.

New York City vs New York Red Bulls Prediction & Betting Tips

There’s a strong case when it comes to selecting Under 2.5 Goals for this MLS encounter. There might not be fireworks between the two teams and we’ve snapped up the odds of -105.

The football betting tips stem from knowing the team news and the latest form for each side. We work hard to unearth the most pertinent stats which can also act as a guide.

Key New York City vs New York Red Bulls league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 6 NYCFC games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 NYCFC games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 12 of the last 20 NYCFC games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Red Bulls games on the road.

Under 2.5 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

There’s an opportunity to add Under 2.5 Goals to a Bet Builder in the search for larger odds. Adding different selections will boost the price which means a bigger potential return.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -105 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

City 1 - 0 Red Bulls

City are available at +650 when it comes to them winning 1-0. We like a correct score play and the chance to bag a nice return if our prediction is right.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Hannes Wolf To Score +295

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC) can be backed at +295 to be on the scoresheet. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing considering all angles and we’ll take a chance on him.

Latest Hannes Wolf Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+310

First

+650

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -138

Each of the past seven New York City games have involved over 9.5 corners. We’re going to select the Overs for Total Corners, with this line standing out and you can secure odds of -138.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

City

Total

12.70 5.30 7.40

Home

12.40 6.50 5.90

Away

10.30 4.80 5.50

Red Bulls

Total

8.40 4.40 4.00

Home

8.00 4.30 3.70

Away

9.20 3.80 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-130

Under 9.5

-110

City Corners

Over 4.5

-139

Under 4.5

-102

Red Bulls Corners

Over 4.5

-118

Under 4.5

-120

Most Corners

1

-111

X

+575

2

+108

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New York City vs New York Red Bulls Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Match Odds Suggest City Victory

The bookies betting odds have New York City FC as +128 favourites for this MLS clash, implying that they are 44% likely to win the match. At +190, New York Red Bulls are regarded as having a lower probability of winning this match.

The latest betting suggests it’s a close call between Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals.

Head over to the Bet Builder and you’ll find all the popular football betting site markets available. MLS selections can then be combined together in a same-game accumulator which you can cheer on.

Full-Time Result

1

+128

X

+250

2

+190

Half-Time Result

1

+188

X

+120

2

+230

Double Chance

1X

-250

12

-345

X2

-167

Draw No Bet

1

-154

2

+107

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-103

2 Hcp +0.25

-128

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-105

Over 2.5

-120

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-156

No

+114

Alonso Martínez Heads First Goalscorer Market

There is +165 available that Alonso Martínez finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +430.

Alonso Martínez (NYCFC)

First

+165

Anytime

+430

Lewis Morgan (NY Red Bulls)

First

+215

Anytime

+525

Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting (NY Red Bulls)

First

+230

Anytime

+525

Mohammed Sofo (NY Red Bulls)

First

+295

Anytime

+600

Hannes Wolf (NYCFC)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Emil Forsberg (NY Red Bulls)

First

+330

Anytime

+700

Agustín Ojeda (NYCFC)

First

+340

Anytime

+700

Julian Hall (NY Red Bulls)

First

+380

Anytime

+850

Serge Ngoma (NY Red Bulls)

First

+390

Anytime

+800

Cameron Harper (NY Red Bulls)

First

+390

Anytime

+900

Maximiliano Moralez (NYCFC)

First

+410

Anytime

+850

Keaton Parks (NYCFC)

First

+430

Anytime

+900

Justin Haak (NYCFC)

First

+440

Anytime

+1000

Dennis Gjengaar (NY Red Bulls)

First

+480

Anytime

+1100

Peter Stroud (NY Red Bulls)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Strahinja Tanasijevic (NYCFC)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Wikelman Carmona (NY Red Bulls)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Ronald Donkor (NY Red Bulls)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Omar Valencia (NY Red Bulls)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Curtis Ofori (NY Red Bulls)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Mitja Ilenic (NYCFC)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Birk Risa (NYCFC)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Felipe Carballo (NY Red Bulls)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Kevin O'toole (NYCFC)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

New York City vs New York Red Bulls Lineups & Team News

If you’re looking for City vs Red Bulls team news, then we have predicted and confirmed lineups available along with details of any injuries on both sides.

If you’re looking for the latest player information, check out the MLS squads.

New York City Team Page New York Red Bulls Team Page