Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Sep 2025

Premier League Betting Preview: Newcastle vs Arsenal

Newcastle host Arsenal in this Premier League fixture at St James' Park, with kick-off set for 11:30 on Sunday 28 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Strong Case for Magpies to Cover the Line

We’ll back Newcastle +0.25 on the Asian Handicap and split our stake between 0 and +0.5 when they clash with Arsenal. A victory delivers a nice payout at -100 although a draw would still mean a return.

Betting on our Asian Handicap pick? Explore our review of BetMGM, then grab the newest promo code available to add extra value.

Arsenal Won Previous H2H Clash

Newcastle United played out a 0-0 draw in their last Premier League game. This was away from home at Vitality Stadium against Bournemouth. The Tyneside side had 44% possession and one shot on target.

On Wednesday night, Newcastle won 4-1 at home to Bradford City in the EFL Cup.

Arsenal played Manchester City at home in their previous Premier League game. It was a 1-1 draw at Emirates Stadium. The Gunners racked up three shots on goal and enjoyed 67% possession, while Gabriel Martinelli found the net.

Four days ago, Arsenal claimed a 2-0 victory when facing Port Vale away in the EFL Cup.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Arsenal had the edge in the most recent encounter between these teams. At Emirates Stadium, they recorded a 1-0 home win over Newcastle. The previous 10 H2H meetings have seen Newcastle win five times, one draw and four Arsenal triumphs.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Arsenal	5	3	1	1	10	2	8	10:2	10
13	Newcastle	5	1	3	1	3	3	0	3:3	6

View Full Table

3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 13.8 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal. Newcastle have had 54.5% possession, 438.9 passes and 6.5 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 0.6 goals from 8.0 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 4.2 corners.

Bruno Guimaraes, William Osula and Alexander Isak are joint-top scorers with 2 goals on the board. Jacob Murphy and Kieran Trippier have racked up the most assists with 2, while goalkeeper Nick Pope has 6 clean sheets.

Arsenal have won 5, lost 2 and drawn 3, with an average of 4.5 shots on goal, 14.2 attempts and 1.8 goals. Mikel Arteta's team average 56.4% possession, 473.6 passes, 5.7 corners taken and 3.6 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 10.3 attempts and 3.3 shots on goal.

Viktor Gyoekeres has scored 3 goals, followed by Gabriel Martinelli, Martin Zubimendi, Jurrien Timber and Declan Rice on 2. Martin Oedegaard and Leandro Trossard have managed 3 assists in the last 10 games, while David Raya has 4 clean sheets to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Newcastle predicted lineup (4-3-3): Nick Pope (GK), Kieran Trippier, Malick Thiaw, Dan Burn, Valentino Livramento, Bruno Guimarães, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton, Jacob Murphy, Nick Woltemade, Anthony Gordon.

Arsenal predicted lineup (4-3-3): David Raya (GK), Jurrien Timber, William Saliba, Gabriel Magalhães, Riccardo Calafiori, Martín Zubimendi, Declan Rice, Martin Ødegaard, Bukayo Saka, Viktor Gyokeres, Eberechi Eze.

Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips

We cover the essential Newcastle vs Arsenal betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, a corners value pick, correct score guidance, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Match Prediction

When Newcastle line up for this Premier League game, we will back them at -100 on the Asian Handicap +0.25. We think the hosts are more than capable of avoiding defeat and might be able to land a win.

Knowing the players that are injured give us a helping hand when putting together football betting tips. Once we’ve also looked at the Premier League form guide, we use the available stats and make predictions.

Key Newcastle vs Arsenal league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Newcastle in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Newcastle in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Newcastle in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Arsenal in 11 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Newcastle in 6 of their last 10 games against Arsenal.

Newcastle +0.25 Probability

The betting apps are estimating that there is a 50% likelihood of this pick landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

The Winning Margin market allows you to bet on Newcastle to record victory by a certain number of goals. It’s a different wager and a viable alternative to Asian Handicap.

Make the most of your next wager by unlocking the best betting offers along with the latest sign-up bonuses and promotions.

Our Match Prediction

Newcastle Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -100 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Newcastle 2 - 1 Arsenal

A 2-1 win in favor of Newcastle can be backed at odds of +950. We like placing a bet on correct score due to the fun element and the big potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jacob Murphy Over 0.5 Shots On Target +165

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle) has had a minimum of one shot on goal in three straight Premier League games. We recommend backing the +165 that he is able to cover the line, with this Shots on Target wager hopefully providing a return.

Latest Jacob Murphy Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+525

First

+1100

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-278

Shots

Over 1.5

+132

Under 1.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Sandro Tonali to Score +650

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle) has netted three goals in his past ten Premier League games on home soil. There are odds of +650 available for this Anytime Goalscorer wager and we think this is a value proposition for the player to find the net.

Latest Sandro Tonali Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+650

First

+1400

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-400

Shots

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Corners Prediction

Over 10.5 Corners -100

There has been three straight Arsenal matches where 10.5 Total Corners has been covered, while it has been an average of 11.80 corners in the previous five Newcastle home games. The stats suggest that it’s worth backing Over for Total Corners, with -100 available.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Newcastle

Total

10.70 6.50 4.20

Home

10.90 6.70 4.20

Away

10.00 4.30 5.70

Arsenal

Total

9.30 5.70 3.60

Home

9.60 6.10 3.50

Away

9.90 7.30 2.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-100

Under 10.5

-143

Newcastle Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-138

Arsenal Corners

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-138

Most Corners

1

+155

X

+650

2

-141

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Newcastle vs Arsenal Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Arsenal Have the Shortest Odds to Win

Some will want to go ahead and back Arsenal at +112 to win this Premier League encounter. After all, this betting price suggests a 47% chance that the favourites end up succeeding. Newcastle United are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +255.

There’s a Draw No Bet market should you wish to have some insurance and Newcastle are +145 here. However, if you want to back favourites Arsenal, then -204 is on offer.

If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. If you’re wagering on Both Teams to Score, you can bet Yes at -119 and No at -111.

If you head to our recommended sports betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each Premier League game. Go through the options and choose your football wager.

Full-Time Result

1

+255

X

+230

2

+112

Half-Time Result

1

+300

X

+115

2

+165

Double Chance

1X

-141

12

-303

X2

-345

Draw No Bet

1

+145

2

-204

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-102

2 Hcp -0.25

-123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-137

Over 2.5

+108

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-119

No

-111

Viktor Gyökeres Top of First Goalscorer List

Those interested in Viktor Gyökeres to find the net anytime are able to get +145. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +320.

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

First

+145

Anytime

+320

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

First

+245

Anytime

+525

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

First

+250

Anytime

+525

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

First

+270

Anytime

+575

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

First

+390

Anytime

+850

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

William Osula (Newcastle)

First

+410

Anytime

+900

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

First

+420

Anytime

+850

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

First

+450

Anytime

+950

Ethan Nwaneri (Arsenal)

First

+450

Anytime

+950

Mikel Merino (Arsenal)

First

+450

Anytime

+900

Max Dowman (Arsenal)

First

+510

Anytime

+1050

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

First

+525

Anytime

+1100

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Joelinton (Newcastle)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

First

+800

Anytime

+1600

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

+135

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-100

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-109

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-115

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-112

Under 0.5

-141

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-104

Under 0.5

-154

William Osula (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-182

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-192

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+118

Under 0.5

-192

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-200

Noni Madueke (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-222

Mikel Merino (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-222

Ethan Nwaneri (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+143

Under 0.5

-233

Max Dowman (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+163

Under 0.5

-278

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-278

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-294

Joelinton (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-333

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-400

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-400

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-526

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+275

Under 0.5

-556

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-769

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-909

Viktor Gyökeres (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-

Bukayo Saka (Arsenal)

Over 2.5

+105

Under 2.5

-

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+110

Under 2.5

-

Joelinton (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+132

Under 1.5

-

Max Dowman (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Mikel Merino (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+123

Under 1.5

-

Ethan Nwaneri (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Gabriel Martinelli (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

William Osula (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

Leandro Trossard (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

+105

Under 1.5

-

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Eberechi Eze (Arsenal)

Over 1.5

-159

Under 1.5

-

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

-

Declan Rice (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

-

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Magalhães (Arsenal)

Over 0.5

+107

Under 0.5

-

Past Three H2H St James' Park Meetings Won by Newcastle

Newcastle have clocked up seven wins and three losses in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.40 goals per match and conceding 0.90.

Arsenal have five wins, four draws and one loss in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 0.60.

When the sides last met at St James' Park, Newcastle beat Arsenal 2-0. There have been four Newcastle triumphs and three Arsenal wins in the previous 7 H2H meetings at St James' Park.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Newcastle Home Stats		7-0-3	3.30	2.40	0.90	7	3	5	5
Arsenal Away Stats		5-4-1	2.00	1.40	0.60	3	7	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Newcastle vs Arsenal Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Newcastle vs Arsenal team news before betting. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for the Premier League together with updated injury news.

Newcastle United Team Page Arsenal Team Page