Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Jan 2026
Premier League Betting Preview: Newcastle vs Aston Villa
Newcastle, who sit eighth in the Premier League standings, host third-placed Aston Villa at St James' Park, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Sunday 25 January.
There are reasons to suggest goals are on the cards for the Newcastle vs Aston Villa fixture. Therefore, backing Over 2.5 on the Total Goals market looks the ticket, especially at odds of -147.
Newcastle United drew away from home in their last Premier League game. A 0-0 scoreline was played out against bottom-of-the-table Wolverhampton Wanderers at Molineux Stadium. Eddie Howe's team dominated possession with 66% of the ball and recorded two shots on target.
Four days ago, Newcastle secured a 3-0 victory when hosting Dutch Eredivisie leaders PSV Eindhoven in the Champions League.
Aston Villa were defeated in their previous Premier League match, being beaten 1-0 at home to Everton at Villa Park. The Birmingham side boasted 63% possession and had five shots on goal.
On Thursday night, Villa triumphed 1-0 in the Europa League when visiting Turkish Super Lig club Fenerbahce.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Villa Park played host to the last head-to-head where Villa were at home to Newcastle. The clash ended in a 0-0 draw. The previous 10 H2H matches have ended up with five Newcastle wins, three Villa victories and two draws.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aston Villa |
29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 39:34 | 51 |
| 12 | Newcastle |
29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 42:43 | 39 |
5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 14.7 attempts and 5.7 shots on goal. Newcastle have had 57.9% possession, 501.9 passes and 7.7 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.2 goals from 10.3 attempts and 2.8 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 5.1 corners.
Top goalscorer Bruno Guimaraes has found the net 5 times, with Malick Thiaw and Nick Woltemade scoring 3 each. Nick Woltemade and Lewis Miley are the leading assists makers with 2.
Villa have 7 victories, 2 defeats and 1 draw, with an average of 1.8 goals from 12.9 attempts and 5.4 shots on goal. The Villans average 53.2% possession, 450.7 passes, 4.9 corners awarded and 4.1 corners against them, while conceding 1.4 goals from 12.6 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal.
Ollie Watkins has scored 6 goals, followed by Morgan Rogers on 4 and John McGinn with 2. Youri Tielemans is top assists provider with 3, while Emiliano Martinez has recorded one clean sheet in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Newcastle confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Nick Pope (GK), Kieran Trippier, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Lewis Hall, Lewis Miley, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton, Harvey Barnes, Yoane Wissa, Anthony Gordon.
Aston Villa confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Emiliano Martinez (GK), Matty Cash, Ezri Konsa, Pau Torres, Ian Maatsen, Amadou Onana, Youri Tielemans, Jadon Sancho, Morgan Rogers, Emiliano Buendia, Ollie Watkins.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips
Your complete Newcastle vs Aston Villa betting guide is here, including our go-to match prediction, scoreline call, corners betting pick, standout prop selections and a customized bet builder.
Match Prediction
We can’t pass up the chance to back Over 2.5 Goals at an appealing price of -147 based on the available stats. It’s anticipated that at least three goals will be notched in this Premier League encounter.
Current team news and the latest form provide useful pieces of information when it comes to making Premier League recommendations. It’s also vital to have access to all available stats so that we make the most informed football picks.
Key Newcastle vs Aston Villa league stats:
The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 59.5% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
If you’re in search of a bigger price, you can play Over 3.5. It’s irrelevant which team scores, provided that four or more goals are scored during the ninety minutes.
Make your bet go further. Browse our updated guide packed with the best free bets, sign-up offers and betting bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
You can secure odds of +700 that Newcastle are able to land a 2-1 victory. Correct score betting can provide plenty of fun and it’s a way of landing bigger odds.
Player Prop Picks
Morgan Rogers (Villa) has totalled over 1.5 shots in seven consecutive Premier League games. Our opinion is that there’s value for him to cover the Player Shots line, with betting odds of -154 currently on offer.
Joelinton (Newcastle) has scored two goals in his past five Premier League games. We’re happy to take the +450 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
In their past five home games, Newcastle have covered the 5.5 corners line. If you’re in agreement with our opinion that the Newcastle Team Corners line is on the low side, take the odds of -128 that they go over.
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Check out our same-game multi. The selections are three or more goals to be scored, Newcastle on the 1x2 as well as Morgan Rogers (Villa) to record Over 1.5 shots.
A bet builder provides an exciting opportunity to follow various picks for the same football match. It results in you being able to place a tailored bet at a larger price based on the number of predictions made.
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
For this Premier League clash, Newcastle United are the +114 favourites to triumph according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. This reflects that they have a 47% chance of winning. Aston Villa are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +235.
If Newcastle only draw with Villa, then the Asian Handicap -0.25 wager means you get half your stake back. However, you get a full payout at -119 if they’re able to land a victory.
If you’re anticipating a high-scoring contest, Over 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds. BTTS wagering is popular and you can back Yes at -192 on the Both Teams to Score market.
If you head to the best football betting sites, you can take your pick when it comes to Premier League matches. The hundreds of markets always ensure lots of choice.
Nick Woltemade is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +370 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +130.
Newcastle have managed six victories, three draws and one loss in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.10 goals per game and conceding 1.40.
Villa have recorded five victories, three draws and two defeats in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.50.
Newcastle won 3-0 when they last played Villa at St James' Park. The past 6 H2H meetings at St James' Park have included four Newcastle wins along with two draws.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Newcastle Home Stats |
6-3-1 | 3.50 | 2.10 | 1.40 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 3 | |
Aston Villa Away Stats |
5-3-2 | 3.00 | 1.50 | 1.50 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Premier League: 16/08 2025 Aston Villa 0 Newcastle 0
- Premier League: 19/04 2025 Aston Villa 4 Newcastle 1
- Premier League: 26/12 2024 Newcastle 3 Aston Villa 0
- Premier League: 30/01 2024 Aston Villa 1 Newcastle 3
- Premier League: 12/08 2023 Newcastle 5 Aston Villa 1
- Premier League: 15/04 2023 Aston Villa 3 Newcastle 0
- Premier League: 29/10 2022 Newcastle 4 Aston Villa 0
- Premier League: 13/02 2022 Newcastle 1 Aston Villa 0
- Premier League: 21/08 2021 Aston Villa 2 Newcastle 0
- Premier League: 12/03 2021 Newcastle 1 Aston Villa 1
Newcastle League Stats
Aston Villa League Stats
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.00 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 7.70 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.50 corners awarded and 6.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 12.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 13.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 4.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 57.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 53.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 52.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Newcastle this season are Bruno Guimaraes (8), Nick Woltemade (7), Harvey Barnes (5)
- Top Assistors for Newcastle this season are Bruno Guimaraes (3), Lewis Miley (3), Daniel Burn (2)
Newcastle vs Aston Villa Lineups & Team News
Avoid surprises — review the Newcastle vs Villa team news before you bet. Receive the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.
Newcastle Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Aston Villa Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Newcastle Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Aston Villa Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Newcastle Substitutes
- 18William Osula
- 20Anthony Elanga
- 27Nick Woltemade
- 28Joseph Willock
- 32Aaron Ramsdale
- 33Daniel Burn
- 37Alex Murphy
- 41Jacob Ramsey
- 61Leo Shahar
Aston Villa Substitutes
- 3V. Nilsson Lindeloef
- 5Tyrone Mings
- 9Harvey Elliott
- 12Lucas Digne
- 26Lamare Bogarde
- 29Evann Guessand
- 31Leon Bailey
- 40Marco Bizot
- 53George Hemmings
Previous Newcastle Lineups
Previous Aston Villa Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Newcastle Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Eddie Howe
Aston Villa Player Stats & Squad
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 30 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 59:22 | 67 |
| 2 | Man City | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 59:27 | 60 |
| 3 | Man United | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 51:40 | 51 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 39:34 | 51 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 53:34 | 48 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 48:39 | 48 |
| 7 | Brentford | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 44:40 | 44 |
| 8 | Everton | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 34:33 | 43 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 29 | 9 | 13 | 7 | 44:46 | 40 |
| 10 | Fulham | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 40:43 | 40 |
| 11 | Sunderland | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 30:34 | 40 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 42:43 | 39 |
| 13 | Crystal Palace | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33:35 | 38 |
| 14 | Brighton | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 38:36 | 37 |
| 15 | Leeds | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 37:48 | 31 |
| 16 | Tottenham | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 39:46 | 29 |
| 17 | Nott’m Forest | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 28:43 | 28 |
| 18 | West Ham | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 35:54 | 28 |
| 19 | Burnley | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 32:58 | 19 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 22:52 | 16 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 36:11 | 36 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 33:9 | 35 |
| 3 | Man United | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 27:16 | 30 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 21:15 | 29 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 26:16 | 27 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22:13 | 26 |
| 7 | Fulham | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24:18 | 26 |
| 8 | Newcastle | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 28:24 | 26 |
| 9 | Brentford | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24:15 | 25 |
| 10 | Bournemouth | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21:15 | 25 |
| 11 | Brighton | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22:16 | 24 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 23:16 | 23 |
| 13 | Leeds | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:20 | 22 |
| 14 | Everton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18:19 | 19 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 14:18 | 15 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13:19 | 13 |
| 17 | West Ham | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 17:27 | 12 |
| 18 | Wolverhampton | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17:31 | 12 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 18:25 | 10 |
| 20 | Burnley | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15:23 | 10 |
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