Newcastle vs Burnley Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 06 Dec 2025
Premier League Betting Preview: Newcastle vs Burnley
Newcastle go head-to-head with second-from-bottom Burnley at St James' Park, with kick-off set for 10:00 on Saturday 6 December.
Newcastle should finish well clear of Burnley and we’re playing the -1.75 on the Asian Handicap. It means our stake is split between -1.5 and -2.0 at tempting betting odds of -102.
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Newcastle United had a 2-2 draw in their last game. This was at home to Tottenham Hotspur at St James' Park. The Tyneside club had 53% of possession and seven shots on target, with Bruno Guimaraes and Anthony Gordon scoring one goal apiece.
Burnley have been defeated in five straight Premier League games. They were recently beaten at home to Crystal Palace by a 1-0 scoreline at Turf Moor. The Clarets had the lion’s share of the ball boasting 57% possession and four shots on goal.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Newcastle have landed four straight victories over Burnley. Their last clash saw Newcastle enjoy a 4-1 away win at Turf Moor. The past 10 H2H matches have resulted in seven Newcastle wins, two draws and one Burnley success.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Newcastle |
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 19 | Burnley |
14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 15:28 | 10 |
4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 12.3 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal. Newcastle have had 48.7% possession, 426.5 passes and 5.6 corners per match. On average, they have conceded 1.5 goals from 12.2 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal, while their opponents have earned 6.7 corners.
Top goalscorer is Nick Woltemade on 4 goals, while Bruno Guimaraes and Harvey Barnes have both bagged 3. Daniel Burn, Lewis Miley and Bruno Guimaraes have the most assists with 2, while goalie Nick Pope has recorded 2 clean sheets.
Burnley have won 2, lost 7 and drawn 1, with an average of 1.1 goals from 8.2 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal. Scott Parker's team average 44.0% possession, 403.2 passes, 2.9 corners awarded and 6.0 corners against them, while conceding 2.1 goals from 15.0 attempts and 6.0 shots on goal.
Zian Flemming is top scorer on 4, with Lesley Ugochukwu and Jaidon Anthony next on 2. Quilindschy Hartman has been the top assist maker on 4, with Martin Dubravka notching one clean sheet in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Newcastle predicted lineup (4-3-3): Aaron Ramsdale (GK), Valentino Livramento, Malick Thiaw, Daniel Burn, Lewis Hall, Lewis Miley, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton, Jacob Murphy, Nick Woltemade, Harvey Barnes.
Burnley predicted lineup (4-3-3): Martin Dubravka (GK), Kyle Walker, Axel Tuanzebe, Maxime Esteve, Quilindschy Hartman, Hannibal Mejbri, Josh Cullen, Florentino, Loum Tchaouna, Zian Flemming, Lyle Foster.
Newcastle vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips
Our Newcastle vs Burnley preview includes expert betting advice on all fronts — from a match prediction and correct score guidance to corners advice, player prop selections and a bet builder tailored for value.
Match Prediction
We’re expecting Newcastle to enjoy a commanding win. Backing the Magpies at -1.75 at -102 could be the way forward for this Premier League encounter, with a big winning margin anticipated.
Our Premier League experts like to go through the form guide, with injuries and suspensions also having a bearing on the match. Before making our football predictions, we combine this information with the latest numbers.
Key Newcastle vs Burnley league stats:
The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 50.5% chance of winning. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.
If you want to get an odds boost when it comes to Newcastle covering the line, then consider a Bet Builder where multiple picks on the same game can be combined together.
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Correct Score Prediction
One bet that has caught our eye is Newcastle to claim a 3-0 correct score win. This selection is available at +600 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.
Player Prop Picks
Zian Flemming (Burnley) has recorded one or more shots on goal in three straight Premier League away matches. We’re anticipating that he is able to perform well and cover the Shots on Target line, with odds of -102 currently available.
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Harvey Barnes (Newcastle) has scored three goals in his past five Premier League games. We’ll take a chance at +190 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.
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Corners Prediction
The 2.5 corners line has been covered by Burnley in four straight away games, while the past seven Newcastle matches have seen over 2.5 corners conceded. There’s an opportunity to go over the Burnley Team Corners line and we’re expecting this to happen, with odds of -130 available.
Newcastle
Burnley
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Bet Builder Tips
Our bet builder selections include Newcastle with the -1.75 Asian Handicap, No on the BTTS market and Burnley to rack up over 2.5 corners.
A football bet builder is a fantastic way of cheering on different selections within the same game. The bookies have created this personalised betting tool where you can hand-pick different selections and combine the odds together.
Newcastle vs Burnley Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
The latest Full-Time Result odds give Newcastle United a 79% chance of triumphing which means that they’re overwhelming -370 favourites to win this Premier League clash. Burnley are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +1050.
As the name suggests, the Half-Time Result market is settled at the break. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Newcastle at -147, Burnley at +650 or the draw at +175.
Over 2.5 Goals is available at shorter odds than Under 2.5 Goals as things stand. If you’re expecting at least one team to draw a blank, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market is available at -143.
There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football wager for the latest Premier League game. The leading betting apps leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.
Nick Woltemade is the favourite to be First Goalscorer at +270. If you’re interested in backing him to find the net at anytime, then the price is -118.
Newcastle have avoided defeat in their last seven matches at St James' Park. The Tyneside club have recorded seven victories, two defeats and one draw in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 2.10 goals per game and conceding 0.90.
Burnley have recorded six defeats, three victories and one draw in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.70 goals per game and conceding 2.20.
The most recent St James' Park meeting saw Newcastle claim a 2-0 win over Burnley. The previous 6 H2H games at St James' Park have seen Newcastle win four times and two draws.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Newcastle Home Stats |
7-1-2 | 3.00 | 2.10 | 0.90 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 4 | |
Burnley Away Stats |
3-1-6 | 3.90 | 1.70 | 2.20 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 3 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Premier League: 04/05 2024 Burnley 1 Newcastle 4
- Premier League: 30/09 2023 Newcastle 2 Burnley 0
- Premier League: 22/05 2022 Burnley 1 Newcastle 2
- Premier League: 04/12 2021 Newcastle 1 Burnley 0
- EFL Cup: 25/08 2021 Newcastle 3 Burnley 4
- Premier League: 11/04 2021 Burnley 1 Newcastle 2
- Premier League: 03/10 2020 Newcastle 3 Burnley 1
- Premier League: 29/02 2020 Newcastle 0 Burnley 0
- Premier League: 14/12 2019 Burnley 1 Newcastle 0
- Premier League: 26/02 2019 Newcastle 2 Burnley 0
Newcastle League Stats
Burnley League Stats
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 7 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 2.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 2.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 6.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.60 corners awarded and 5.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 12.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 12.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 corners awarded and 6.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 corners awarded and 5.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 48.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 50.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 44.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.10% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Newcastle this season are Nick Woltemade (5), Bruno Guimaraes (4), Harvey Barnes (3)
- Top Assistors for Newcastle this season are Bruno Guimaraes (2), Daniel Burn (2), Lewis Miley (2)
Newcastle vs Burnley Lineups & Team News
The Newcastle vs Burnley team news could change everything — review it before betting. Stay informed with our predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups and the latest injury reports.
Newcastle Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Burnley Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Newcastle Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Burnley Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Previous Newcastle Lineups
Previous Burnley Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Newcastle Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Eddie Howe
| Player | # | Pos | GP | MIN | ST | BE | G | A | Y | R |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Burn | 33 | D | 13 | 1152 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Bruno Guimaraes | 39 | M | 13 | 1118 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Nick Pope | 1 | G | 12 | 1066 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Sandro Tonali | 8 | M | 14 | 1006 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Joelinton | 7 | M | 12 | 917 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Burnley Player Stats & Squad
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 27:7 | 33 |
| 2 | Man City | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 32:16 | 28 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 20:14 | 27 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18:11 | 23 |
| 6 | Sunderland | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18:14 | 23 |
| 7 | Brighton | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24:20 | 22 |
| 8 | Man United | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22:21 | 22 |
| 9 | Liverpool | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21:21 | 22 |
| 10 | Everton | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | 21 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:18 | 19 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 19:18 | 19 |
| 13 | Brentford | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 21:22 | 19 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21:24 | 19 |
| 15 | Fulham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:22 | 17 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 14:22 | 15 |
| 17 | Leeds | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 16:26 | 14 |
| 18 | West Ham | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 16:28 | 12 |
| 19 | Burnley | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 15:28 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7:29 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:2 | 19 |
| 2 | Man City | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19:6 | 18 |
| 3 | Brentford | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:8 | 16 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 16 |
| 5 | Sunderland | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 6 | Brighton | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:10 | 14 |
| 7 | Bournemouth | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 14 |
| 8 | Fulham | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 13 |
| 9 | Man United | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 10 | Newcastle | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12:9 | 13 |
| 11 | Liverpool | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 13 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 13 | Leeds | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 11 |
| 14 | Everton | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 16 | Burnley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:7 | 7 |
| 17 | Nott’m Forest | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:13 | 7 |
| 18 | West Ham | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | 6 |
| 19 | Tottenham | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:9 | 5 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6:17 | 1 |
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