Newcastle vs Chelsea Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 20 Dec 2025
Premier League Betting Preview: Newcastle vs Chelsea
Newcastle clash with Chelsea at St James' Park, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Saturday 20 December.
Newcastle look a good bet to defeat Chelsea and we can back the Magpies at -147 with a +0.25 goal start on the Asian Handicap. This means splitting the stake equally between 0 and +0.5 in the quest for a return.
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Newcastle United were beaten in their last Premier League game. On their travels, they suffered a 1-0 loss against Sunderland at Stadium of Light. Eddie Howe's side had 53% possession and recorded two shots on target.
On Wednesday night, Newcastle landed a 2-1 win when facing Fulham at home in the EFL Cup.
Chelsea claimed a 2-0 home win over Everton at Stamford Bridge in their previous Premier League game. The Blues had five shots on goal and enjoyed 58% possession, with Cole Palmer and Malo Gusto both on target.
Four days ago, Chelsea claimed a 3-1 victory when facing League One leaders Cardiff City away in the EFL Cup.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Newcastle have claimed consecutive victories over Chelsea, achieving both wins when hosting at St James' Park by scorelines of 2-0 and 2-0. In the past 10 H2H meetings, we have seen four wins for each team and two draws.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Chelsea |
16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27:15 | 28 |
| 12 | Newcastle |
16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 21:20 | 22 |
Newcastle have 5 wins, 4 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.7 goals from 5.3 shots on goal and 13.3 attempts. The Tyneside outfit have averaged 52.9% possession, 460.8 passes and 6.2 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.5 goals from 4.1 shots on goal, 11.0 attempts and 6.2 corners.
Bruno Guimaraes leads the way with 4 goals, with Nick Woltemade and Harvey Barnes scoring 3 each. Daniel Burn, Lewis Miley and Bruno Guimaraes have the most assists with 2, while goalie Nick Pope has recorded one clean sheet.
Chelsea have won 6, lost 2 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.6 goals from 14.8 attempts and 5.6 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 57.4% possession, 512.2 passes, 5.1 corners awarded and 3.5 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 0.7 goals from 9.6 attempts and 2.7 shots on goal.
The leading scorer has been Pedro Neto with 4, while Malo Gusto and Joao Pedro have 2. Pedro Neto has clocked up 3 assists, with Robert Sanchez keeping 6 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Newcastle predicted lineup (4-3-3): Aaron Ramsdale (GK), Valentino Livramento, Malick Thiaw, Fabian Schaer, Lewis Hall, Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali, Lewis Miley, Anthony Elanga, Nick Woltemade, Anthony Gordon.
Chelsea predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Robert Sanchez (GK), Malo Gusto, Wesley Fofana, Trevoh Chalobah, Marc Cucurella, Reece James, Enzo Fernandez, Pedro Neto, Cole Palmer, Alejandro Garnacho, Joao Pedro.
Newcastle vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips
Get set for Newcastle vs Chelsea with our full betting breakdown, complete with an expert match prediction, a likely final score, top corners play, player prop picks and a value-driven bet builder.
Match Prediction
We’ll back Newcastle +0.25 for this Premier League game, with odds of -147 available. We have a feeling that they can perform well and the Asian Handicap line looks more than fair for this outcome.
The football recommendations are only made once we have established the latest team news. It’s also important to study the form and investigate the most relevant Premier League stats to get the full picture.
Key Newcastle vs Chelsea league stats:
The best betting sites make it a 59.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.
There’s an opportunity to land bigger odds thanks to selling goals on your Asian Handicap wager. If you want a safer wager, buying goals could be the way forward.
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Correct Score Prediction
We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves Newcastle winning 2-1. Odds of +750 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.
Player Prop Picks
Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea) hasn’t had a shot on goal in four consecutive Premier League matches. We’ll go with the latest numbers and back him to go under the Shots on Target line at odds of -156.
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Anthony Gordon (Newcastle) has scored at least one goal in his past two Premier League games on home soil. He looks like a value bet to find the net and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer pick at odds of +230.
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Corners Prediction
The average number of corners in the previous five Newcastle matches has been 15.00. Our verdict is that there’s value when it comes the Total Corners line being covered, with odds of -104 on offer.
Newcastle
Chelsea
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Bet Builder Tips
A same-game multi can be a fun wager and we’ve gone for Newcastle to cover the +0.25 Asian Handicap, at least three goals to be scored and Alejandro Garnacho (Chelsea) failing to record a shot on target.
If you’re keen to wager different selections for the same football match, a bet builder will provide a solution. You need all your predictions to be correct and many readers love to place a tailored bet on the clash which interests them most.
Newcastle vs Chelsea Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Chelsea are +145 with the bookies to get the better of Newcastle United, with the latter having betting odds of +175. If you want to back the draw to be landed in this Premier League encounter, this can be wagered at +260.
As the name suggests, the Draw No Bet market means money back if the game ends level. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Chelsea at -133 and Newcastle at -105.
The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. If you think that both sides will end up scoring, then the Both Teams to Score Yes option can be backed at -189.
If you head to the top football betting sites, you can take your pick when it comes to Premier League games. The hundreds of markets always ensure lots of choice.
Nick Woltemade can be backed to find the net anytime at +160, with +450 available that the market leader scores the first goal.
Newcastle haven’t been beaten in nine straight games at St James' Park. Eddie Howe's side have clocked up eight wins, one draw and one defeat in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.00 goals per match and conceding 0.80.
Chelsea have racked up five wins, three defeats and two draws in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per game and conceding 1.00.
Newcastle were 2-0 victors against Chelsea last time out at St James' Park. The previous 7 H2H matches at St James' Park have resulted in five Newcastle victories and two Chelsea wins.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Newcastle Home Stats |
8-1-1 | 2.80 | 2.00 | 0.80 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 4 | |
Chelsea Away Stats |
5-2-3 | 2.60 | 1.60 | 1.00 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Premier League: 11/05 2025 Newcastle 2 Chelsea 0
- EFL Cup: 30/10 2024 Newcastle 2 Chelsea 0
- Premier League: 27/10 2024 Chelsea 2 Newcastle 1
- Premier League: 11/03 2024 Chelsea 3 Newcastle 2
- EFL Cup: 19/12 2023 Chelsea 5 Newcastle 3
- Premier League: 25/11 2023 Newcastle 4 Chelsea 1
- Premier League: 28/05 2023 Chelsea 1 Newcastle 1
- Premier League: 12/11 2022 Newcastle 1 Chelsea 0
- Premier League: 13/03 2022 Chelsea 1 Newcastle 0
- Premier League: 30/10 2021 Newcastle 0 Chelsea 3
Newcastle League Stats
Chelsea League Stats
- 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.20 corners awarded and 6.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.40 corners awarded and 5.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 12.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 13.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 3.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 52.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 57.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 58.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Newcastle this season are Bruno Guimaraes (5), Nick Woltemade (5), Harvey Barnes (3)
- Top Assistors for Newcastle this season are Bruno Guimaraes (2), Daniel Burn (2), Lewis Miley (2)
Newcastle vs Chelsea Lineups & Team News
Don’t bet on Newcastle vs Chelsea without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups along with the latest injury developments.
Newcastle Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Chelsea Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Newcastle Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Chelsea Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Newcastle Lineups
Previous Chelsea Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Newcastle Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Eddie Howe
Chelsea Player Stats & Squad
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 30:10 | 36 |
| 2 | Man City | 16 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 38:16 | 34 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 25:17 | 33 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27:15 | 28 |
| 5 | Crystal Palace | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20:15 | 26 |
| 6 | Man United | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 30:26 | 26 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 8 | Sunderland | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:17 | 26 |
| 9 | Everton | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 24 |
| 10 | Brighton | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 23 |
| 11 | Tottenham | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25:21 | 22 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 25:28 | 21 |
| 14 | Fulham | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 23:26 | 20 |
| 15 | Brentford | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 22:25 | 20 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 17:25 | 18 |
| 17 | Leeds | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20:30 | 16 |
| 18 | West Ham | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 19:32 | 13 |
| 19 | Burnley | 16 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 18:33 | 10 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 16 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9:35 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20:3 | 22 |
| 2 | Man City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 19 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 15:7 | 18 |
| 5 | Brentford | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | 17 |
| 6 | Newcastle | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 16 |
| 8 | Brighton | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:11 | 15 |
| 9 | Bournemouth | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 15 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 11 | Man United | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:12 | 14 |
| 12 | Everton | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:9 | 14 |
| 13 | Fulham | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 14 | Leeds | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:11 | 12 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:13 | 10 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:9 | 8 |
| 18 | Burnley | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 19 | West Ham | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10:20 | 6 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7:21 | 1 |
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