Newcastle vs Leeds Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 07 Jan 2026
Premier League Betting Preview: Newcastle vs Leeds
Newcastle welcome Leeds to St James' Park, with kick-off set for 15:15 on Wednesday 7 January.
Newcastle can deliver the goods when it comes to Full-Time Result betting and we’ll back them with confidence against Leeds. The odds of -159 look attractive when it comes to the home team.
Backing Newcastle to come through? Be sure to grab the BetMGM promo code and give our review a read before betting.
Newcastle United won their last league game 2-0, making it successive Premier League victories. This was a home win at St James' Park against Crystal Palace. The Tyneside club had most of the ball enjoying 59% possession and seven shots on target, with Bruno Guimaraes and Malick Thiaw each scoring one goal.
Leeds United hosted Manchester United in their previous game, ending in a 1-1 draw at Elland Road. Daniel Farke's men were restricted to 45% possession and recorded three shots on goal, while Brenden Aaronson found the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The past three meetings between Newcastle and Leeds have finished in a draw, with the last encounter ending 0-0 at Elland Road. The previous 7 H2H meetings have featured four draws, two wins for Leeds and just one for Newcastle.
| Premier League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |  Newcastle |
20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 28:24 | 29 |
| 16 |  Leeds |
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 26:33 | 22 |
5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 12.8 attempts and 5.4 shots on goal. Newcastle have had 53.3% possession, 459.8 passes and 6.9 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.3 goals from 11.5 attempts and 3.1 shots on goal, while earning 5.8 corners.
Top goalscorer Bruno Guimaraes has found the net 4 times, with Malick Thiaw, Nick Woltemade and Harvey Barnes scoring 3 each. Lewis Miley has made the most assists with 2.
Leeds have won 2, lost 3 and drawn 5, with an average of 1.7 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts. There’s been an average of 44.2% possession, 375.4 passes, 4.7 corners awarded and 4.3 corners against, while the Whites have conceded 1.6 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 13.5 attempts.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin has recorded 7 goals, Lukas Nmecha 3, with Anton Stach and Ao Tanaka both managing 2. Brenden Aaronson is top assists provider with 3, while Lucas Perri has recorded one clean sheet in the last 10 games.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Newcastle predicted lineup (4-3-3): Nick Pope (GK), Lewis Miley, Malick Thiaw, Fabian Schaer, Lewis Hall, Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton, Harvey Barnes, Yoane Wissa, Anthony Gordon.
Leeds predicted lineup (3-5-2): Lucas Perri (GK), Sebastiaan Bornauw, Jaka Bijol, Pascal Struijk, James Justin, Ilia Gruev, Ethan Ampadu, Anton Stach, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Noah Okafor, Dominic Calvert-Lewin.
Newcastle vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips
We dive into the top Newcastle vs Leeds betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, corners market tip, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.
Match Prediction
There’s every chance that Newcastle can get the upper hand in this Premier League game and we’ll therefore back the hosts to claim a victory. The match winner odds of -159 look too good to resist.
Team news plays a valuable role and our football experts are always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with plenty of Premier League data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.
Key Newcastle vs Leeds league stats:
The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 61.3% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be closer to 70%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
If you think Newcastle are too short a price on the Full-Time Result market but feel confident about their chances, why not consider the Asian Handicap where you can get bigger odds.
Don’t bet without checking our complete guide to the latest betting promo codes, free bets, and welcome bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
2
-
0
Leeds
The Magpies are available to back at +600 to secure a 2-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.
Player Prop Picks
Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds) has bagged one or more shots on goal in eight of his past ten Premier League games. We recommend backing the -154 that he is able to cover the line, with this Shots on Target wager hopefully providing a return.
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Harvey Barnes (Newcastle) has managed two goals in his past four Premier League matches on home soil. We’ll take a chance at +240 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.
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Corners Prediction
There has been 15.00 corners in the past five home games involving Newcastle, while the 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered in four straight Newcastle matches. There are odds of -139 available when it comes to this Total Corners bet and we think the teams will cover the line.
Newcastle
Leeds
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Bet Builder Tips
Try out our same-game multi picks which include Newcastle to succeed, less than three goals to be registered accompanied by Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds) to have one or more shots on target.
Placing a bet builder means you can have various selections for one football match. Should a bettor get all selections correct, then they can achieve a good return from a small stake.
Newcastle vs Leeds Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Newcastle United are the skinniest price to succeed in this Premier League clash, with the favourites afforded a 61% probability based on their -159 betting odds with the bookies. Leeds United are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the Whites can be wagered at +430.
If Newcastle at -0.75 beat Leeds by one goal, then you get a win with half your stake and the other half refunded. A victory by 2+ goals means a full payout at Asian Handicap odds of -127.
The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -133.
The best football betting sites cover Premier League games in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.
Nick Woltemade is available at +120 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer. The favourite is now priced at odds of +350 to find the net first.
Newcastle haven’t lost any of their past ten games at St James' Park. The Magpies have clocked up eight wins and two draws in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.10 goals per match and conceding 0.80.
Leeds haven’t lost any of their past three away games. The West Yorkshire outfit have recorded six defeats, three draws and one victory in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 2.00.
The past meeting at St James' Park saw Newcastle draw 0-0 with Leeds. The previous 3 H2H meetings at St James' Park have featured two draws and one Leeds victory.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle Home Stats |
8-2-0 | 2.90 | 2.10 | 0.80 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 4 | |
| Leeds Away Stats |
1-3-6 | 2.80 | 0.80 | 2.00 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Premier League: 30/08 2025 Leeds 0 Newcastle 0
- Premier League: 13/05 2023 Leeds 2 Newcastle 2
- Premier League: 31/12 2022 Newcastle 0 Leeds 0
- Premier League: 22/01 2022 Leeds 0 Newcastle 1
- Premier League: 17/09 2021 Newcastle 1 Leeds 1
- Premier League: 26/01 2021 Newcastle 1 Leeds 2
- Premier League: 16/12 2020 Leeds 5 Newcastle 2
Newcastle League Stats
Leeds League Stats
- 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 3 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 1 win, 6 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.80 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 2.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 6.90 corners awarded and 5.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.40 corners awarded and 5.70 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 12.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 13.10 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.70 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.70 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 53.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 44.20% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 47.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Newcastle this season are Bruno Guimaraes (7), Nick Woltemade (7), Harvey Barnes (3)
- Top Assistors for Newcastle this season are Lewis Miley (3), Bruno Guimaraes (2), Daniel Burn (2)
Newcastle vs Leeds Lineups & Team News
Stay ahead of the game by checking the Newcastle vs Leeds team news before betting. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups and injury news right here.
Newcastle Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Leeds Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Newcastle Predicted Lineup 4-3-3
Leeds Predicted Lineup 3-5-2
Previous Newcastle Lineups
Previous Leeds Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Newcastle Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Eddie Howe
Leeds Player Stats & Squad
Premier League Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 20 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 40:14 | 48 |
| 2 | Man City | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 44:18 | 42 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 33:24 | 42 |
| 4 | Liverpool | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 32:28 | 34 |
| 5 | Chelsea | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:22 | 31 |
| 6 | Man United | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 34:30 | 31 |
| 7 | Brentford | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 32:28 | 30 |
| 8 | Sunderland | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 21:19 | 30 |
| 9 | Newcastle | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:24 | 29 |
| 10 | Brighton | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 30:27 | 28 |
| 11 | Fulham | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 28:29 | 28 |
| 12 | Everton | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 22:24 | 28 |
| 13 | Tottenham | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 28:24 | 27 |
| 14 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 22:23 | 27 |
| 15 | Bournemouth | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 31:38 | 23 |
| 16 | Leeds | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26:33 | 22 |
| 17 | Nott’m Forest | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 21:34 | 21 |
| 18 | West Ham | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 22:43 | 14 |
| 19 | Burnley | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 20:39 | 12 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14:40 | 6 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 26:5 | 28 |
| 2 | Man City | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26:7 | 25 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 25 |
| 4 | Brentford | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20:10 | 21 |
| 5 | Sunderland | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 16:8 | 20 |
| 6 | Newcastle | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:12 | 20 |
| 7 | Liverpool | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 20 |
| 8 | Brighton | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 9 | Man United | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:13 | 18 |
| 10 | Fulham | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 11 | Leeds | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 18:13 | 16 |
| 12 | Bournemouth | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:9 | 16 |
| 13 | Chelsea | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:11 | 15 |
| 14 | Everton | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:14 | 14 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | 11 |
| 16 | Nott’m Forest | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12:17 | 10 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 18 | Burnley | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8:13 | 8 |
| 19 | West Ham | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13:25 | 7 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10:23 | 4 |
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