Newcastle vs Leeds Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 07 Jan 2026

Premier League Betting Preview: Newcastle vs Leeds

Newcastle welcome Leeds to St James' Park, with kick-off set for 15:15 on Wednesday 7 January.

Newcastle can deliver the goods when it comes to Full-Time Result betting and we’ll back them with confidence against Leeds. The odds of -159 look attractive when it comes to the home team.

Newcastle United won their last league game 2-0, making it successive Premier League victories. This was a home win at St James' Park against Crystal Palace. The Tyneside club had most of the ball enjoying 59% possession and seven shots on target, with Bruno Guimaraes and Malick Thiaw each scoring one goal.

Leeds United hosted Manchester United in their previous game, ending in a 1-1 draw at Elland Road. Daniel Farke's men were restricted to 45% possession and recorded three shots on goal, while Brenden Aaronson found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The past three meetings between Newcastle and Leeds have finished in a draw, with the last encounter ending 0-0 at Elland Road. The previous 7 H2H meetings have featured four draws, two wins for Leeds and just one for Newcastle.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
11	Newcastle	27	10	6	11	38	39	-1	38:39	36
15	Leeds	27	7	10	10	37	46	-9	37:46	31

View Full Table

5 wins, 3 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.8 goals from 12.8 attempts and 5.4 shots on goal. Newcastle have had 53.3% possession, 459.8 passes and 6.9 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.3 goals from 11.5 attempts and 3.1 shots on goal, while earning 5.8 corners.

Top goalscorer Bruno Guimaraes has found the net 4 times, with Malick Thiaw, Nick Woltemade and Harvey Barnes scoring 3 each. Lewis Miley has made the most assists with 2.

Leeds have won 2, lost 3 and drawn 5, with an average of 1.7 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 12.8 attempts. There’s been an average of 44.2% possession, 375.4 passes, 4.7 corners awarded and 4.3 corners against, while the Whites have conceded 1.6 goals from 4.1 shots on goal and 13.5 attempts.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin has recorded 7 goals, Lukas Nmecha 3, with Anton Stach and Ao Tanaka both managing 2. Brenden Aaronson is top assists provider with 3, while Lucas Perri has recorded one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Newcastle confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Nick Pope (GK), Lewis Miley, Malick Thiaw, Fabian Schaer, Lewis Hall, Bruno Guimaraes, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton, Harvey Barnes, Nick Woltemade, Anthony Gordon.

Leeds confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Lucas Perri (GK), Joe Rodon, Jaka Bijol, Pascal Struijk, James Justin, Anton Stach, Ethan Ampadu, Ilia Gruev, Gabriel Gudmundsson, Dominic Calvert-Lewin, Brenden Aaronson.

Newcastle vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips

We dive into the top Newcastle vs Leeds betting angles, including our main match prediction, correct score play, corners market tip, standout player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Match Prediction

There’s every chance that Newcastle can get the upper hand in this Premier League game and we’ll therefore back the hosts to claim a victory. The match winner odds of -159 look too good to resist.

Team news plays a valuable role and our football experts are always monitoring the players who have an injury concern. We’ve also got a handle on the form guide, with plenty of Premier League data provided which puts you in the picture in terms of stats.

Key Newcastle vs Leeds league stats:

• Newcastle have won 13 of their last 20 games at home.
• Newcastle have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Newcastle have won 2 consecutive games.
• Leeds have lost 6 of their last 10 games on the road.

The top bookmakers are estimating that there is a 61.3% likelihood of this pick landing a return. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be closer to 70%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you think Newcastle are too short a price on the Full-Time Result market but feel confident about their chances, why not consider the Asian Handicap where you can get bigger odds.

Don’t bet without checking our complete guide to the latest betting promo codes, free bets, and welcome bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Newcastle To Win @ -159 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 5, 21:38). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Newcastle 2 - 0 Leeds

The Magpies are available to back at +600 to secure a 2-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Dominic Calvert-Lewin Over 0.5 Shots On Target -154

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds) has bagged one or more shots on goal in eight of his past ten Premier League games. We recommend backing the -154 that he is able to cover the line, with this Shots on Target wager hopefully providing a return.

Latest Dominic Calvert-Lewin Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+240

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-111

Shots

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

---

Harvey Barnes to Score +240

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle) has managed two goals in his past four Premier League matches on home soil. We’ll take a chance at +240 for this Anytime Goalscorer wager as the betting odds look really appealing.

Latest Harvey Barnes Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+230

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-130

Shots

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -139

There has been 15.00 corners in the past five home games involving Newcastle, while the 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered in four straight Newcastle matches. There are odds of -139 available when it comes to this Total Corners bet and we think the teams will cover the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Newcastle

Total

12.70 6.90 5.80

Home

13.10 7.40 5.70

Away

10.30 5.30 5.00

Leeds

Total

9.00 4.70 4.30

Home

8.70 5.30 3.40

Away

7.60 3.70 3.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+106

Under 10.5

-152

Newcastle Corners

Over 5.5

-133

Under 5.5

-105

Leeds Corners

Over 3.5

-154

Under 3.5

+108

Most Corners

1

-204

X

+700

2

+200

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Newcastle vs Leeds Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Newcastle United are the skinniest price to succeed in this Premier League clash, with the favourites afforded a 62% probability based on their -161 betting odds with the bookies. Leeds United are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the Whites can be wagered at +440.

If Newcastle at -0.75 beat Leeds by one goal, then you get a win with half your stake and the other half refunded. A victory by 2+ goals means a full payout at Asian Handicap odds of -128.

The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. Should you expect both teams score, then the BTTS Yes option is available at -133.

The best football betting sites cover Premier League games in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.

Full-Time Result

1

-161

X

+295

2

+440

Half-Time Result

1

+112

X

+143

2

+390

Double Chance

1X

-667

12

-400

X2

+123

Draw No Bet

1

-435

2

+270

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-128

2 Hcp +0.75

+102

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+104

Over 2.5

-132

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-133

No

-100

Nick Woltemade is available at +130 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer. The favourite is now priced at odds of +360 to find the net first.

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

First

+130

Anytime

+360

Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)

First

+135

Anytime

+370

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

First

+175

Anytime

+480

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

First

+215

Anytime

+550

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

First

+230

Anytime

+600

William Osula (Newcastle)

First

+240

Anytime

+600

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

First

+240

Anytime

+700

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

First

+310

Anytime

+750

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Joelinton (Newcastle)

First

+420

Anytime

+1150

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

First

+430

Anytime

+1000

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

First

+440

Anytime

+1200

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

First

+450

Anytime

+1150

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Anton Stach (Leeds)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Fabian Schär (Newcastle)

First

+575

Anytime

+1600

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Lewis Hall (Newcastle)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Malick Thiaw (Newcastle)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Tino Livramento (Newcastle)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

+143

Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

+135

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

+110

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-159

Under 0.5

-111

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-122

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-130

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-133

William Osula (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-149

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-149

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-159

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-167

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-217

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-222

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-294

Anton Stach (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+155

Under 0.5

-303

Joelinton (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-333

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-333

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-333

Fabian Schär (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-345

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-370

Ao Tanaka (Leeds)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-588

Lewis Miley (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-667

Lewis Hall (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-769

Malick Thiaw (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1000

Tino Livramento (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+400

Under 0.5

-1667

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

-149

Under 2.5

-

Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+135

Under 2.5

-

Dominic Calvert-Lewin (Leeds)

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-

Fabian Schär (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

+120

Under 1.5

-

Anton Stach (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Brenden Aaronson (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Wilfried Gnonto (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Noah Okafor (Leeds)

Over 1.5

+106

Under 1.5

-

Lukas Nmecha (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-

Joël Piroe (Leeds)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Joelinton (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-278

Under 0.5

-

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

-

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Lewis Hall (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-120

Under 0.5

-

Newcastle haven’t lost any of their past ten games at St James' Park. The Magpies have clocked up eight wins and two draws in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 2.10 goals per match and conceding 0.80.

Leeds haven’t lost any of their past three away games. The West Yorkshire outfit have recorded six defeats, three draws and one victory in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 0.80 goals per game and conceding 2.00.

The past meeting at St James' Park saw Newcastle draw 0-0 with Leeds. The previous 3 H2H meetings at St James' Park have featured two draws and one Leeds victory.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Newcastle Home Stats		8-2-0	2.90	2.10	0.80	7	3	6	4
Leeds Away Stats		1-3-6	2.80	0.80	2.00	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Newcastle vs Leeds Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Newcastle vs Leeds team news before betting. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Premier League lineups and injury news right here.

Newcastle United Team Page Leeds United Team Page

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