Newcastle vs Manchester City Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 13 Jan 2026

EFL Cup Betting Preview: Newcastle vs Manchester City

Newcastle clash with Manchester City in the first leg of this EFL Cup semi-final tie at St James' Park, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Tuesday 13 January.

There’s a strong argument for backing Over 2.5 in the Total Goals market at -152 based on the information to hand. We’re expecting at least three goals to be scored in the clash between Newcastle and Man City.

Newcastle United were penalty shootout winners after a 3–3 draw following extra time in their last game, securing an FA Cup home victory over Bournemouth at St James’ Park. The Magpies enjoyed 63% possession and registered seven shots on target, with Harvey Barnes and Anthony Gordon both on the scoresheet in normal time.

Manchester City cruised to a 10–1 FA Cup victory over Exeter City at the Etihad Stadium last time out. Pep Guardiola’s men enjoyed 72% possession and fired ten shots on target, with nine different goalscorers contributing.

In the EFL Cup quarter-finals, Newcastle triumphed 2-1 when hosting Fulham, while City won 2-0 at home to Brentford.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Newcastle who were victorious when they last faced City. At St James' Park, a 2-1 Premier League home triumph was recorded. City have six wins from the past 10 H2H games, with two draws and two Newcastle victories also happening.

Premier League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	Man City	31	19	7	5	63	28	35	63:28	64
14	Newcastle	32	12	6	14	45	47	-2	45:47	42

View Full Table

Newcastle have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 6.1 shots on goal and 14.8 attempts. The Tyneside club have averaged 57.4% possession and 7.5 corners per match, conceding 1.3 goals and 5.2 corners from 2.9 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts.

Top scorer is Bruno Guimaraes on 5 goals, while Malick Thiaw and Nick Woltemade have both racked up 3. Nick Woltemade and Lewis Miley are the top assists makers with 2.

City have won 7 and drawn 3, with an average of 15.5 attempts, 5.7 shots on goal and 2.3 goals. The Citizens average 60.9% possession, 5.3 corners awarded and 2.8 corners against them, while 0.9 goals have been conceded from 3.3 shots on goal and 8.5 attempts.

Erling Haaland and Phil Foden have top scored with 6, while Tijjani Reijnders is next on 4. Rayan Cherki has been chief assist maker with 5, while Gianluigi Donnarumma and James Trafford have recorded 3 clean sheets between them in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Newcastle confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Nick Pope (GK), Lewis Miley, Malick Thiaw, Sven Botman, Lewis Hall, Jacob Ramsey, Bruno Guimaraes, Joelinton, Jacob Murphy, Yoane Wissa, Anthony Gordon.

Manchester City confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): James Trafford (GK), Matheus Nunes, Abdukodir Khusanov, Max Alleyne, Nathan Ake, Nico O'Reilly, Antoine Semenyo, Bernardo Silva, Phil Foden, Jeremy Doku, Erling Haaland.

Newcastle vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips

Get ready for Newcastle vs Manchester City with all the betting angles covered, from an expert match prediction and correct score advice to player props and a custom bet builder.

Match Prediction

We’re expecting goals to be scored during this EFL Cup semi-final and there is a good way of landing value. You can secure odds of -152 that Over 2.5 Goals are netted and that price stands out.

The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the EFL Cup odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while the latest stats are also taken into consideration when making football predictions.

Key Newcastle vs Manchester City EFL Cup & league stats:

• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Newcastle games at home.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Newcastle games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 City games on the road.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 City games.
• The 2.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 games between these teams.

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 60.2% likelihood of this pick landing a return. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

If you anticipate that there will be Over 2.5 Goals but fancy a larger price, then the Bet Builder option enables bigger odds. Back a range of different outcomes for the same game.

Getting ready to place a wager? Check our updated guide for the latest betting offers, including free bets and the newest promos codes.

Our Match Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals @ -152 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 11, 21:08). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Newcastle 1 - 2 Man City

There’s the option to wager on the Citizens to win by a 2-1 scoreline. Odds of +650 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Anthony Gordon Under 0.5 Shots On Target -112

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle) hasn’t registered a shot on goal in four consecutive matches. On this basis, we can take betting odds of -112 that this Shots on Target bet doesn’t cover the line.

Latest Anthony Gordon Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+220

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-100

Shots

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

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Phil Foden to Score +220

Phil Foden (City) has managed six goals in his past ten games. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +220 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Phil Foden Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+240

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-143

Shots

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Newcastle vs Manchester City Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

If you want to back Newcastle United to win this EFL Cup clash, then the bookies have priced them up at +170 on the 1x2 market. Manchester City are available at betting odds of +145 and the draw is +260.

For those wanting some insurance backing City, taking the -0.25 Asian Handicap option means a half stake return if it’s a draw. There’s +110 that they manage to beat Newcastle on this market.

The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. If you think both teams will score, then you can back BTTS Yes at -238.

If you’re betting on EFL Cup matches, we recommend heading to the top football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+170

X

+260

2

+145

Half-Time Result

1

+200

X

+148

2

+175

Double Chance

1X

-185

12

-357

X2

-222

Draw No Bet

1

-106

2

-133

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-137

2 Hcp -0.25

+110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+150

Over 2.5

-200

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-238

No

+170

Erling Haaland is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +330 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is -100.

Erling Haaland (City)

First

-100

Anytime

+330

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

First

+150

Anytime

+460

Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)

First

+175

Anytime

+525

Antoine Semenyo (City)

First

+220

Anytime

+650

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

First

+220

Anytime

+700

Phil Foden (City)

First

+240

Anytime

+700

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

First

+250

Anytime

+750

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

First

+250

Anytime

+750

Divine Mukasa (City)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

First

+270

Anytime

+850

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

First

+280

Anytime

+800

Rayan Cherki (City)

First

+310

Anytime

+900

William Osula (Newcastle)

First

+320

Anytime

+850

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

First

+330

Anytime

+900

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

First

+370

Anytime

+1000

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

First

+480

Anytime

+1400

Jérémy Doku (City)

First

+500

Anytime

+1300

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

First

+500

Anytime

+1400

Joelinton (Newcastle)

First

+500

Anytime

+1500

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

First

+540

Anytime

+1400

Rodri (City)

First

+600

Anytime

+1900

Nico O'Reilly (City)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Bernardo Silva (City)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Fabian Schär (Newcastle)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

+140

Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

+130

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-100

Antoine Semenyo (City)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-106

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-115

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-149

Under 0.5

-118

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-118

Phil Foden (City)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-143

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-118

Under 0.5

-149

Divine Mukasa (City)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-154

William Osula (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-159

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 1.5

-100

Under 1.5

-175

Rayan Cherki (City)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-175

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-179

Sávio de Oliveira (City)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-227

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-313

Joelinton (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-313

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-333

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-345

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-345

Fabian Schär (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

+190

Under 0.5

-385

Rodri (City)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-526

Bernardo Silva (City)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-769

Nico O'Reilly (City)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-1250

Erling Haaland (City)

Over 3.5

-109

Under 3.5

-

Antoine Semenyo (City)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Anthony Gordon (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Nick Woltemade (Newcastle)

Over 2.5

-103

Under 2.5

-

Bruno Guimarães (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-112

Under 1.5

-

Tijjani Reijnders (City)

Over 1.5

-147

Under 1.5

-

Rayan Cherki (City)

Over 1.5

-135

Under 1.5

-

Harvey Barnes (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Divine Mukasa (City)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Jacob Murphy (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

Anthony Elanga (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Phil Foden (City)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Yoane Wissa (Newcastle)

Over 1.5

-345

Under 1.5

-

Sandro Tonali (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Jérémy Doku (City)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Jacob Ramsey (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

-

Joelinton (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

-

Joe Willock (Newcastle)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Rodri (City)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-

Nico O'Reilly (City)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

Bernardo Silva (City)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Latest EFL Cup and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Newcastle Stats

Manchester City Stats

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.30 goals scored and 2.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.80 goals scored and 2.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 4.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 5.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 7.22 corners awarded and 4.22 corners conceded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 7.33 corners awarded and 5.00 corners against in the last 9 home matches
• An average of 11.44 corners awarded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 12.33 corners awarded in the last 9 home matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 1 of the last 9 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 1 of the last 9 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.78 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 4.10 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 8.78 corners awarded in the last 9 matches
• An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 3 of the last 9 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 54.00% possession in the last 9 matches
• An average of 57.33% possession in the last 9 home matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 9 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 9 home matches

Possession

• An average of 63.89% possession in the last 9 matches
• An average of 61.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 9 matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 away matches

Newcastle vs Manchester City Lineups & Team News

Make sure to look over the Newcastle vs City team news before betting. Receive the predicted and confirmed EFL Cup lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

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