Nigeria vs Mozambique Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 05 Jan 2026

Africa Cup of Nations Betting Preview: Nigeria vs Mozambique

Group C winners Nigeria square off against Mozambique, who finished third in Group F, in this Africa Cup of Nations last-16 encounter at Fez Stadium, with kick-off set for 14:00 on Monday 5 January.

There’s a chance to get some insurance on the underdogs by backing Mozambique +1.25 at -109 on the Asian Handicap. Our stake is split between +1 and +1.5 and there is a strong case for siding with the Mambas against Nigeria.

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Nigeria come into this last-16 match on the back of a 3–1 victory over Uganda at Fez Stadium. The Super Eagles had a whopping 72% of possession and managed five shots on target, with Raphael Onyedika registering two goals and Paul Onuachu scoring one.

Mozambique were beaten 2–1 by Cameroon at Stade Adrar in their previous match. Chiquinho Conde's men had 52% of possession and two shots on goal, while Geny Catamo found the net.

Africa Cup of Nations		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Nigeria	3	3	0	0	8	4	4	8:4	9
3	Mozambique	3	1	0	2	4	5	-1	4:5	3

View Full Table

Nigeria have won all of their previous 3 games, averaging 2.7 goals from 7.0 shots on goal and 15.0 attempts. Eric Chelle's team have averaged 63.7% possession, 509.0 passes and 4.3 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.3 goals from 2.0 shots on goal, 8.7 attempts and 4.7 corners.

Raphael Onyedika and Ademola Lookman lead the way with 2 goals, while Paul Onuachu has 1. Ademola Lookman, Samuel Chukwueze and Alex Iwobi are the leading assists makers with 2.

Mozambique have won 1 and lost 2, with an average of 1.3 goals from 9.0 attempts and 3.0 shots on goal. The Mambas average 47.0% possession, 390.3 passes, 3.0 corners in their favour and 7.0 corners against, while conceding 1.7 goals from 16.7 attempts and 7.0 shots on goal.

Geny Catamo has scored 2 goals, followed by Faisal Bangal and Diogo Calila on 1. The top assistors in the last 3 games are Infren Nanani, Geny Catamo and Witi who have all made 1.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Nigeria predicted lineup (4-3-1-2): Stanley Nwabili (GK), Bright Osayi-Samuel, Semi Ajayi, Calvin Bassey, Bruno Onyemaechi, Frank Onyeka, Wilfred Ndidi, Alex Iwobi, Ademola Lookman, Victor Osimhen, Akor Adams.

Mozambique predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Ivane (GK), Mexer, Fernando Chamboco, Edmilson Dove, Infren Nanani, Manuel Kambala, Guima, Geny Catamo, Elias Pelembe, Gildo Vilanculos, Stanley Ratifo.

Nigeria vs Mozambique Prediction & Betting Tips

Take on Nigeria vs Mozambique with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

Mozambique with a +1.25 goal start on the Asian Handicap looks to be the way forward at odds of -109. We’re expecting a solid showing when it comes to this Africa Cup of Nations last-16 clash and feel confident.

It’s always a case of checking out the latest Africa Cup of Nations team news to make expert football predictions. Then we get to work when it comes to unearthing the stats that are the most valuable.

Key Nigeria vs Mozambique stats:

• The +1.25 line has been covered by Mozambique in 6 consecutive games.
• The +1.25 line has been covered by Mozambique in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The +1.25 line has been covered by Mozambique in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nigeria in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Nigeria in 4 of their last 5 games.

According to the top betting sites, our pick has a 52.1% chance of landing a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

Fancy Mozambique to cover the line but want bigger odds? Get more juice by going down the Bet Builder route where multiple picks can be combined together.

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Our Match Prediction

Mozambique Asian Hcp +1.25 @ -109 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Nigeria 1 - 1 Mozambique

One bet that has caught our eye is a 1-1 correct score draw. This selection is available at +600 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Geny Catamo to Score +480

Geny Catamo (Mozambique) has netted three goals in his past five matches. We believe this is the best of the player props, with a healthy +480 available when it comes to betting him to score at any time.

Latest Geny Catamo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+480

First

+1150

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Nigeria vs Mozambique Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

You might not get rich backing Nigeria at -294 to win this Africa Cup of Nations last-16 clash although these betting odds imply a 75% chance that the favourites end up winning. Mozambique are trading at a much larger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +850.

Nigeria can be backed alternatively on the Half-Time Result market and that means getting -119. However, Mozambique are +700 and the draw is +143 if you want to take a different option.

The Under 2.5 / Over 2.5 Goals betting market has the two outcomes at a similar price. An alternative play could be betting BTTS No where you can get -172 when it comes to the Both Teams to Score No market.

For those wagering on Africa Cup of Nations matches, it’s all about heading to the best football betting sites where hundreds of markets await you. Pre-match and In-Play options are plentiful.

Full-Time Result

1

-294

X

+360

2

+850

Half-Time Result

1

-119

X

+143

2

+700

Double Chance

1X

-2000

12

-556

X2

+205

Draw No Bet

1

-1250

2

+525

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-125

2 Hcp +1.25

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-122

Over 2.5

-108

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+128

No

-172

Victor Osimhen is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +260 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is -109.

Victor Osimhen (Nigeria)

First

-109

Anytime

+260

Paul Onuachu (Nigeria)

First

+115

Anytime

+320

Ademola Lookman (Nigeria)

First

+180

Anytime

+475

Akor Jerome Adams (Nigeria)

First

+200

Anytime

+500

Moses Simon (Nigeria)

First

+220

Anytime

+575

Chidera Ejuke (Nigeria)

First

+330

Anytime

+750

Samuel Chukwueze (Nigeria)

First

+350

Anytime

+800

Alex Iwobi (Nigeria)

First

+360

Anytime

+900

Fisayo Dele-Bashiru (Nigeria)

First

+400

Anytime

+1100

Melque Alexandre (Mozambique)

First

+475

Anytime

+1100

Witi (Mozambique)

First

+480

Anytime

+1100

Geny Catamo (Mozambique)

First

+480

Anytime

+1150

Frank Onyeka (Nigeria)

First

+525

Anytime

+1400

Stanley Ratifo (Mozambique)

First

+525

Anytime

+1150

Gildo Lourenço Vilanculos (Mozambique)

First

+525

Anytime

+1200

Faisal Abdul Amide Bangal (Mozambique)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Tochukwu Nnadi (Nigeria)

First

+650

Anytime

+1500

Wilfred Ndidi (Nigeria)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Raphael Onyedika (Nigeria)

First

+700

Anytime

+1800

Ryan Alebiosu (Nigeria)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Calvin Bassey (Nigeria)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Semi Ajayi (Nigeria)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Chidozie Awaziem (Nigeria)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Igoh Ogbu (Nigeria)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Bright Osayi-Samuel (Nigeria)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Nigeria Stats

Mozambique Stats

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins, 1 defeat and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 4 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 2.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.60 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 4.33 corners awarded and 4.67 corners conceded in the last 3 matches
• An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 6.00 corners against in the last 2 home matches
• An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 3 matches
• An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 2 home matches
• Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 1 of the last 3 matches
• Had the most corners in 0 and least corners in 1 of the last 2 home matches

Corners

• An average of 3.00 corners awarded and 7.00 corners conceded in the last 3 matches
• An average of 4.33 corners awarded and 4.67 corners against in the last 3 away matches
• An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 3 matches
• An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 3 away matches
• Had the most corners in 0 and least corners in 2 of the last 3 matches
• Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 1 of the last 3 away matches

Possession

• An average of 63.67% possession in the last 3 matches
• An average of 59.50% possession in the last 2 home matches
• Most possession in 3 of the last 3 matches
• Most possession in 2 of the last 2 home matches

Possession

• An average of 47.00% possession in the last 3 matches
• An average of 46.67% possession in the last 3 away matches
• Most possession in 1 of the last 3 matches
• Most possession in 1 of the last 3 away matches

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Nigeria vs Mozambique Lineups & Team News

Check the Nigeria vs Mozambique team news before you place your bets. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed Africa Cup of Nations lineups plus current injury reports.

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