World Cup qualifying Betting Preview: Northern Ireland vs Germany

Northern Ireland host Germany in this World Cup qualifying meeting at Windsor Park, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Monday 13 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.

Side With the Underdogs

We’ll take Northern Ireland at +1.75 on the Asian Handicap. It means our stake is split between +1.5 and +2.0 at betting odds of -122. We think the home team can give a good account of themselves against Germany.

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3-1 Victory for Germany in Pair’s Previous H2H

Northern Ireland were victorious when they last played, landing a 2-0 World Cup qualifying home success against Slovakia at Windsor Park. Michael O'Neill's team had 45% possession and four shots on target, while David Strelec (own goal) and Trai Hume scored one goal each.

Germany claimed a 4-0 World Cup qualifying home win over Luxembourg at PreZero Arena in their previous game. Die Mannschaft recorded a mind-boggling 85% of possession and managed eight shots on goal, while Joshua Kimmich scored two, with David Raum and Serge Gnabry also finding the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last encounter between Germany and Northern Ireland saw the former win at home. It was a 3-1 scoreline at RheinEnergieSTADION. The previous 3 matches including these sides have seen Germany triumph every time.

Europe World Cup Qualification		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	7	3	4	7:3	6
2	Northern Ireland	3	2	0	1	6	4	2	6:4	6

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Northern Ireland – Last 10 Competitive Games

Northern Ireland have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.9 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 8.3 attempts. Norn Iron have averaged 44.1% possession and 5.6 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.7 goals from 2.4 shots on goal, 6.5 attempts and 3.2 corners.

Top goalscorer Isaac Price has found the net 6 times, with Daniel Ballard and Dion Charles scoring 2 each. Leading assistor is Shea Charles with 4, while goalkeepers Bailey Peacock-Farrell and Conor Hazard have collectively recorded 2 clean sheets.

Germany – Last 10 Competitive Games

Germany have won 5, lost 3 and drawn 2, with an average of 16.3 attempts, 6.2 shots on goal and 2.2 goals. Julian Nagelsmann's men average 63.5% possession, 620.4 passes, 5.6 corners awarded and 4.0 corners against them, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 4.0 shots on goal and 9.1 attempts.

Florian Wirtz and Tim Kleindienst have scored 4 goals, followed by Joshua Kimmich with 3. Joshua Kimmich has had 6 assists, with Oliver Baumann notching 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Northern Ireland vs Germany Prediction & Betting Tips

This Northern Ireland vs Germany betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including a match prediction, correct score bet, corner kick insight, valuable player prop picks and a strategic bet builder.

Match Prediction

Taking Northern Ireland at +1.75 could be the way forward for this World Cup qualifying encounter. The underdogs have a good chance of running the opposition close and we’re happy to take betting odds of -122.

Our job is to consult the latest World Cup qualifying team news in order to produce the best football predictions. Then we crack on with the job of analysing the stats that are going to be the most effective.

Key Northern Ireland vs Germany stats:

The +1.75 line has been covered by Northern Ireland in 18 consecutive games at home.
The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Germany in 7 consecutive games on the road.
The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Germany in 9 of their last 10 games on the road.
The -1.75 line hasn’t been covered by Germany in 14 of their last 20 games on the road.

Northern Ireland +1.75 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 54.9% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you’re looking for a bigger potential return on your stake, there is always the alternative to move the line. Consider the odds and whether each line can be covered.

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Our Match Prediction

Northern Ireland Asian Hcp +1.75 @ -122 Bet Now

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Published 21:08, 11 October 2025

Correct Score Prediction

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland logo

0 - 1 Germany logo

Germany

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves Germany to win 1-0. The odds of +750 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Latest Correct Score Odds

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Serge Gnabry Over 0.5 Shots On Target -167

Serge Gnabry (Germany) has registered at least one shot on goal in back-to-back games. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll back him to cover the Shots on Target line which is available at odds of -167.

Latest Serge Gnabry Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Shots On Target

Shots

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Florian Wirtz to Score +140

Florian Wirtz (Germany) has managed four goals in his past eight games. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at +140 which will hopefully see him find the net.

Latest Florian Wirtz Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Shots On Target

Shots

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Corners Prediction

Northern Ireland Over 2.5 Corners -127

In their past nine games, Northern Ireland have covered the 2.5 corners line, while the previous five Germany away matches have involved them conceding over 2.5 corners. There are odds of -127 being served up when it comes to this Team Corners wager and we think Northern Ireland will cover the line.

Competitive Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Northern Ireland

Total

8.80 5.60 3.20

Home

9.30 5.90 3.40

Away

7.50 4.60 2.90

Germany

Total

9.60 5.60 4.00

Home

9.30 5.60 3.70

Away

11.20 6.80 4.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Northern Ireland Corners

Germany Corners

Most Corners

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Bet Builder Tips

Asian Handicap Northern Ireland +1.75 -122

Both Team To Score No -108

Shots On Target Serge Gnabry Over 0.5 -167

There’s everything to like about this bet builder including Northern Ireland with the +1.75 Asian Handicap, both teams to score No together with Serge Gnabry (Germany) to finish with one or more shots on target.

A football bet builder is a wager on a specific game where you select different outcomes to happen. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.

Bet Boosts

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Northern Ireland vs Germany Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Germany Heavy Favourites to Win

Germany have been priced up as the overwhelming -370 favourites for this World Cup qualifying clash. This means the bookies give them a 79% chance of claiming victory. If you’re interested in wagering Northern Ireland, you can get +850 for the underdog.

For those wanting an alternative, Germany are -152 on the Half-Time Result market. This means they need to lead at the break, with Northern Ireland being priced up at +650 and the draw is +200.

The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds. If both teams to score is something you think will happen, there’s an opportunity to wager Yes at -128 on the BTTS market.

No matter what World Cup qualifying match is taking place, you will find hundreds of markets being offered. Peruse the various choices that are presented at the leading football betting sites.

Full-Time Result

Half-Time Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Asian Handicap

Total Goals

Both Teams to Score

Nick Woltemade Top of First Goalscorer List

Those interested in Nick Woltemade to find the net anytime can get +140, with the favourite on offer to score the first goal at odds of +380.

Player Goals

Nick Woltemade (Germany)

Jonathan Burkardt (Germany)

Florian Wirtz (Germany)

Serge Gnabry (Germany)

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Player Shots On Target

Serge Gnabry (Germany)

Maximilian Beier (Germany)

Karim Adeyemi (Germany)

Nadiem Amiri (Germany)

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Player Shots

Florian Wirtz (Germany)

Nick Woltemade (Germany)

Jonathan Burkardt (Germany)

Serge Gnabry (Germany)

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Last 5 Games

Northern Ireland

Germany

Head to Head

Northern Ireland vs Germany

Team Stats

Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.

Northern Ireland Stats

Germany Stats

Full-Time Result

6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
7 wins and 3 defeats in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

5 wins, 3 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
3 wins, 2 defeats and 5 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 1.80 goals scored and 0.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 1 of the previous 10 home matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

An average of 2.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 9 of the previous 10 away matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 3.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 3.40 corners against in the last 10 home matches
An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 4.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
An average of 6.80 corners awarded and 4.40 corners against in the last 10 away matches
An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

An average of 44.10% possession in the last 10 matches
An average of 48.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

An average of 63.50% possession in the last 10 matches
An average of 58.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches

Northern Ireland vs Germany Lineups & Team News

Get the latest team news for Northern Ireland vs Germany before you bet. Stay up to date with the confirmed World Cup qualifying lineups and the latest on player injuries.