Oxford United FC
Football England - EFL Championship Kassam Stadium Sat 18 Oct 07:30
Derby County FC
  1. Prediction
  2. Odds
  3. Stats
  4. Live Stream
  5. Team News
  6. Lineups
  7. Injuries
  8. Squads
  9. Table

Championship Betting Preview: Oxford vs Derby

Oxford host Derby in this Championship encounter at Kassam Stadium, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Saturday 18 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Back Rams to Make Life Difficult for U's

The best plan could involve backing Derby with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -141 when clashing with Oxford. Our stake is split between 0 and +0.5, allowing us to land a return in the event of a draw.

Following our Asian Handicap pick? Get the full lowdown in our in-depth BetMGM review, then grab the latest bonus promo code to add extra value to your bet.

Goalless Draw in Pair’s Previous Clash

Oxford United were beaten in their last game. Away from home at Vicarage Road, Watford claimed a 2-1 win. Gary Rowett's team managed five shots on target and had 43% possession, with Max Alleyne (own goal) being the goalscorer.

Derby County played Southampton at home in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw at Pride Park. The Rams had just 37% of the ball and recorded five shots on goal, while Patrick Agyemang found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Derby have not lost to Oxford in the past three games, with the last clash seeing a 0-0 draw played out at Pride Park. The past 6 H2H matches have resulted in three Derby wins, two draws and one Oxford success.

Championship G W D L GF GA GD GD P
20 Derby logo Derby 9 1 5 3 11 15 -4 11:15 8
22 Oxford logo Oxford 9 1 3 5 10 13 -3 10:13 6
View Full Table
Oxford United – Last 10 League Games

1 win, 5 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts. Oxford have had 42.4% possession and 3.3 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.6 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 13.5 attempts, while being awarded 6.3 corners.

Top scorer Will Lankshear has found the net 3 times, with Przemyslaw Placheta, Gregory Leigh and Cameron Brannagan getting 2 each. Brian De Keersmaecker and Tyler Goodrham are the leading assists makers with 2.

Derby County – Last 10 League Games

Derby have won 1, lost 3 and drawn 6, with an average of 1.1 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 8.4 attempts. There’s been an average of 43.6% possession, 3.5 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.5 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts.

Carlton Morris has scored 4 goals, followed by Patrick Agyemang, Matthew Clarke, Ben Brereton Diaz and Andreas Weimann on 1. Patrick Agyemang is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 2.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Oxford predicted lineup (4-4-2): Jamie Cumming (GK), Brodie Spencer, Michal Helik, Sam Long, Greg Leigh, Stanley Mills, Brian De Keersmaecker, Cameron Brannagan, Siriki Dembélé, Nik Prelec, Will Lankshear.

Derby predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Jacob Widell Zetterström (GK), Max Johnston, Dion Sanderson, Matt Clarke, Craig Forsyth, Lewis Travis, David Ozoh, Bobby Clark, Carlton Morris, Andreas Weimann, Patrick Agyemang.

Oxford vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips

Take on Oxford vs Derby with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market insight, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

Derby +0.25 on the Asian Handicap looks like a sensible play at a price of -141. They should be able to swerve a loss in this Championship game and we’re confident that the away team can land a victory.

Our panel of football writers survey the latest injuries and suspensions. When combined with the form guide, this helps us secure the best odds. Our stats-led approach backed up by key Championship data is helpful.

Key Oxford vs Derby league stats:

  • The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 4 of their last 5 games.
  • The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 15 of their last 20 games.
  • The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 3 consecutive games.
  • The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Oxford in 4 consecutive games at home.
  • The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Oxford in 9 of their last 10 games.
  • The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Oxford in 15 of their last 20 games.
  • The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Oxford in 3 consecutive games against Derby.

Derby +0.25 Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 58.5% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you want a different wager to the Asian Handicap, then Winning Margin provides an exciting alternative. That’s especially if you have a view on the performance of Derby.

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Our Match Prediction
Derby Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -141 Watch Live Bet Now BetMGM logo
BetMGM logo
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Published 13:38, 16 October 2025

Correct Score Prediction

Oxford Oxford logo 1 - 2 Derby logo Derby

Derby are available at +750 to win by a 2-1 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Will Lankshear Over 0.5 Shots On Target -132 BetMGM logo

Will Lankshear (Oxford) is available at -132 to finish with a minimum of one shot on goal. It’s really hard to rule him out at an attractive price for the Shots on Target betting market.

Latest Will Lankshear Player Prop Odds

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Carlton Morris to Score +270 BetMGM logo

Carlton Morris (Derby) has registered two goals in his past four Championship games away from home. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +270 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Carlton Morris Player Prop Odds

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Corners Prediction

Derby Under 4.5 Corners +110 BetMGM logo

Derby have not covered the 4.5 corners line in ten consecutive away matches. We can use these stats to our advantage, with odds of +110 that Derby fall short when it comes to the Team Corners line.

League Games
League Games
Last 10 Total For Against
Last 10 at Home Total For Against
Last 10 Away Total For Against
Oxford Logo Oxford
Total
9.60 3.30 6.30
Home
9.80 3.60 6.20
Away
9.40 3.10 6.30
Derby Logo Derby
Total
8.80 3.50 5.30
Home
9.50 5.10 4.40
Away
8.60 2.70 5.90
Latest Corner Odds

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Bet Builder Tips

Asian Handicap Derby +0.25 -141
Both Team To Score Yes -102
Team Corners Derby Under 4.5 +110

If you want to follow our bet builder, try Derby to cover the +0.25 Asian Handicap, BTTS Yes accompanied by Derby to have under 4.5 corners.

The bet builder route is a great one for football fans requiring a tailored same-game multi on a match. You can go through the available markets and cherry-pick the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.

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Oxford vs Derby Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Think the Game Could Go Either Way

The bookmakers have priced up the Full-Time Result odds and Oxford United are +148 to come out on top, while Derby County are +195. The draw is available at +215 if you expect the clash to finish level.

If you fancy Oxford but want money back if the game ends in a draw, then you can secure odds of -141. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Derby at -100 on the Draw No Bet market.

Under 2.5 Goals is currently the betting favourite and a bet on this option would mean you need no more than two goals to be scored. A different angle is going for a BTTS wager and there’s -135 available for Both Teams to Score No.

The best football betting sites are on hand to provide lots of choice to bettors. It’s now the case that you can select from hundreds of markets for all of the Championship matches.

Will Lankshear Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer

There’s the chance to back Will Lankshear at +400 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Player Goals
Will Lankshear (Oxford)
First
+215
Anytime
+400
BetMGM Logo
Carlton Morris (Derby)
First
+270
Anytime
+550
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Patrick Agyemang (Derby)
First
+275
Anytime
+550
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Ben Brereton (Derby)
First
+350
Anytime
+750
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Player Shots On Target
Will Lankshear (Oxford)
Over 0.5
-132
Under 0.5
-128
BetMGM Logo
Carlton Morris (Derby)
Over 0.5
-115
Under 0.5
-139
BetMGM Logo
Patrick Agyemang (Derby)
Over 0.5
-112
Under 0.5
-149
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Ben Brereton (Derby)
Over 0.5
+125
Under 0.5
-217
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Best Betting Offers
Kassam Stadium
Kassam Stadium

Oxford Aiming to Get Back to Winning Ways at Home

Oxford are winless in the last four games at Kassam Stadium. Gary Rowett's team have collected five defeats, three wins and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, scoring an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.60.

Derby have not tasted an away defeat in three straight matches. The Rams have racked up four victories, three draws and three defeats in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

The last meeting at Kassam Stadium saw Oxford and Derby draw 1-1. We’ve seen Derby claim two wins in the past 3 H2H meetings at Kassam Stadium, with one draw also taking place.

Last 10 League Games W-D-L G GF GA O2.5 U2.5 B-Y B-No
Oxford logo Oxford Home Stats 3-2-5 2.50 0.90 1.60 4 6 3 7
Derby logo Derby Away Stats 4-3-3 2.70 1.40 1.30 5 5 6 4
  • W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
  • G = Avg. Goals
  • GF = Avg. Goals For
  • GA = Avg. Goals Against
  • O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
  • U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
  • B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
  • B-No = Matches BTTS No
Team Stats
Oxford logo Oxford League Stats
Derby logo Derby League Stats
Full-Time Result
  • 1 win, 5 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
  • 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
Full-Time Result
  • 1 win, 3 defeats and 6 draws in the previous 10 matches
  • 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
Goals
Goals
Corners
Corners
Possession
Possession
Top Scorers & Assists
Top Scorers & Assists
Live Stream

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Oxford vs Derby Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Oxford vs Derby team news before you bet. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Championship lineups and injury news right here.

Oxford Predicted Lineup 4-4-2

Derby Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1

Oxford Predicted Lineup 4-4-2

1 Jamie Cumming
15 Brodie Spencer 6 Michal Helik 2 Sam Long 22 Greg Leigh
17 Stanley Mills 14 B. De Keersmaecker 8 Cameron Brannagan 23 Siriki Dembélé
16 Nik Prelec 27 Will Lankshear
1 J. W. Zetterström
22 Max Johnston 28 Dion Sanderson 5 Matt Clarke 3 Craig Forsyth
27 Lewis Travis 18 David Ozoh
42 Bobby Clark 9 Carlton Morris 14 Andreas Weimann
7 Patrick Agyemang

Derby Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1

Previous Oxford Lineups

04 Oct Championship
Watford 2-1 Oxford
01 Oct Championship
QPR 0-0 Oxford
27 Sep Championship
Oxford 0-1 Sheffield Utd
21 Sep Championship
Bristol City 1-3 Oxford
13 Sep Championship
Oxford 2-2 Leicester
30 Aug Championship
Oxford 2-2 Coventry

Previous Derby Lineups

04 Oct Championship
Derby 1-1 Southampton
30 Sep Championship
Derby 1-1 Charlton
27 Sep Championship
Wrexham 1-1 Derby
20 Sep Championship
Derby 0-1 Preston
13 Sep Championship
West Brom 0-1 Derby
30 Aug Championship
Ipswich 2-2 Derby

Injuries & Suspensions

Oxford Injury Table
Type Name Info
Matthew Phillips Knock
Ciaron Brown Knee
Derby Injury Table
Type Name Info
C. Blackett-Taylor Hamstring
Curtis Nelson Knee
England FlagChampionship Table
2025/2026 Season
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Coventry 9 5 4 0 27:7 19
2 Middlesbrough 9 5 3 1 12:6 18
3 Leicester 9 4 4 1 13:8 16
4 Preston 9 4 4 1 11:7 16
5 Stoke 9 4 3 2 11:6 15
6 QPR 9 4 3 2 13:14 15
7 West Brom 9 4 2 3 9:10 14
8 Millwall 9 4 2 3 9:12 14
9 Ipswich 8 3 4 1 15:8 13
10 Bristol City 9 3 4 2 15:10 13
11 Watford 9 3 3 3 11:11 12
12 Swansea 9 3 3 3 10:10 12
13 Charlton 9 3 3 3 8:8 12
14 Portsmouth 9 3 3 3 8:9 12
15 Hull 9 3 3 3 14:16 12
16 Birmingham 9 3 3 3 8:11 12
17 Southampton 9 2 5 2 11:12 11
18 Wrexham 9 2 4 3 14:15 10
19 Norwich 9 2 2 5 11:14 8
20 Derby 9 1 5 3 11:15 8
21 Blackburn 8 2 1 5 7:11 7
22 Oxford 9 1 3 5 10:13 6
23 Sheffield Wed 9 1 3 5 8:20 6
24 Sheffield Utd 9 1 0 8 3:16 3
# Team G W D L +/- P
1 Ipswich 5 3 2 0 13:5 11
2 Preston 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
3 Middlesbrough 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
4 Watford 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
5 Hull 5 3 1 1 9:8 10
6 Coventry 4 2 2 0 11:2 8
7 Leicester 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
8 QPR 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
9 Birmingham 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
10 Charlton 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
11 Stoke 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
12 Portsmouth 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
13 Swansea 5 1 3 1 6:7 6
14 Millwall 5 2 0 3 4:9 6
15 Southampton 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
16 West Brom 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
17 Bristol City 5 1 2 2 7:8 5
18 Wrexham 5 0 3 2 7:10 3
19 Derby 5 0 3 2 6:9 3
20 Oxford 4 0 2 2 4:6 2
21 Blackburn 4 0 1 3 3:7 1
22 Sheffield Wed 5 0 1 4 1:14 1
23 Norwich 4 0 0 4 4:8 0
24 Sheffield Utd 4 0 0 4 2:8 0