Oxford vs Derby Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Oct 2025


Championship Betting Preview: Oxford vs Derby
Oxford host Derby in this Championship encounter at Kassam Stadium, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Saturday 18 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
Back Rams to Make Life Difficult for U's
The best plan could involve backing Derby with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -141 when clashing with Oxford. Our stake is split between 0 and +0.5, allowing us to land a return in the event of a draw.
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Goalless Draw in Pair’s Previous Clash
Oxford United were beaten in their last game. Away from home at Vicarage Road, Watford claimed a 2-1 win. Gary Rowett's team managed five shots on target and had 43% possession, with Max Alleyne (own goal) being the goalscorer.
Derby County played Southampton at home in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw at Pride Park. The Rams had just 37% of the ball and recorded five shots on goal, while Patrick Agyemang found the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Derby have not lost to Oxford in the past three games, with the last clash seeing a 0-0 draw played out at Pride Park. The past 6 H2H matches have resulted in three Derby wins, two draws and one Oxford success.
Championship | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | ![]() |
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11:15 | 8 |
22 | ![]() |
9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 10:13 | 6 |
1 win, 5 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts. Oxford have had 42.4% possession and 3.3 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.6 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 13.5 attempts, while being awarded 6.3 corners.
Top scorer Will Lankshear has found the net 3 times, with Przemyslaw Placheta, Gregory Leigh and Cameron Brannagan getting 2 each. Brian De Keersmaecker and Tyler Goodrham are the leading assists makers with 2.
Derby County – Last 10 League GamesDerby have won 1, lost 3 and drawn 6, with an average of 1.1 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 8.4 attempts. There’s been an average of 43.6% possession, 3.5 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.5 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts.
Carlton Morris has scored 4 goals, followed by Patrick Agyemang, Matthew Clarke, Ben Brereton Diaz and Andreas Weimann on 1. Patrick Agyemang is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 2.
Predicted & Confirmed Lineups
Oxford predicted lineup (4-4-2): Jamie Cumming (GK), Brodie Spencer, Michal Helik, Sam Long, Greg Leigh, Stanley Mills, Brian De Keersmaecker, Cameron Brannagan, Siriki Dembélé, Nik Prelec, Will Lankshear.
Derby predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Jacob Widell Zetterström (GK), Max Johnston, Dion Sanderson, Matt Clarke, Craig Forsyth, Lewis Travis, David Ozoh, Bobby Clark, Carlton Morris, Andreas Weimann, Patrick Agyemang.
Oxford vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips
Take on Oxford vs Derby with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market insight, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.
Match Prediction
Derby +0.25 on the Asian Handicap looks like a sensible play at a price of -141. They should be able to swerve a loss in this Championship game and we’re confident that the away team can land a victory.
Our panel of football writers survey the latest injuries and suspensions. When combined with the form guide, this helps us secure the best odds. Our stats-led approach backed up by key Championship data is helpful.
Key Oxford vs Derby league stats:
Derby +0.25 Probability
When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 58.5% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.
If you want a different wager to the Asian Handicap, then Winning Margin provides an exciting alternative. That’s especially if you have a view on the performance of Derby.
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Correct Score Prediction
Derby are available at +750 to win by a 2-1 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.
Player Prop Picks
Will Lankshear (Oxford) is available at -132 to finish with a minimum of one shot on goal. It’s really hard to rule him out at an attractive price for the Shots on Target betting market.


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Carlton Morris (Derby) has registered two goals in his past four Championship games away from home. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +270 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.


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Corners Prediction
Derby have not covered the 4.5 corners line in ten consecutive away matches. We can use these stats to our advantage, with odds of +110 that Derby fall short when it comes to the Team Corners line.






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Bet Builder Tips
If you want to follow our bet builder, try Derby to cover the +0.25 Asian Handicap, BTTS Yes accompanied by Derby to have under 4.5 corners.
The bet builder route is a great one for football fans requiring a tailored same-game multi on a match. You can go through the available markets and cherry-pick the outcomes that you think will happen. The odds for each selection are then combined together.
Oxford vs Derby Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Bookies Think the Game Could Go Either Way
The bookmakers have priced up the Full-Time Result odds and Oxford United are +148 to come out on top, while Derby County are +195. The draw is available at +215 if you expect the clash to finish level.
If you fancy Oxford but want money back if the game ends in a draw, then you can secure odds of -141. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Derby at -100 on the Draw No Bet market.
Under 2.5 Goals is currently the betting favourite and a bet on this option would mean you need no more than two goals to be scored. A different angle is going for a BTTS wager and there’s -135 available for Both Teams to Score No.
The best football betting sites are on hand to provide lots of choice to bettors. It’s now the case that you can select from hundreds of markets for all of the Championship matches.







Will Lankshear Shortest Odds for First Goalscorer
There’s the chance to back Will Lankshear at +400 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.









Oxford Aiming to Get Back to Winning Ways at Home
Oxford are winless in the last four games at Kassam Stadium. Gary Rowett's team have collected five defeats, three wins and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, scoring an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.60.
Derby have not tasted an away defeat in three straight matches. The Rams have racked up four victories, three draws and three defeats in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.30.
The last meeting at Kassam Stadium saw Oxford and Derby draw 1-1. We’ve seen Derby claim two wins in the past 3 H2H meetings at Kassam Stadium, with one draw also taking place.
Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() |
3-2-5 | 2.50 | 0.90 | 1.60 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 7 | |
![]() |
4-3-3 | 2.70 | 1.40 | 1.30 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No


- 1 win, 5 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 5 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 1 win, 3 defeats and 6 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.50 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.40 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.30 corners awarded and 6.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.60 corners awarded and 6.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 5.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 corners awarded and 5.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 0 and least corners in 10 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 42.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 42.90% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 43.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 35.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 0 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Oxford this season are Will Lankshear (3), Cameron Brannagan (2), Gregory Leigh (1)
- Top Assistors for Oxford this season are Brian De Keersmaecker (2), Michal Helik (1), Tyler Goodrham (1)
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Oxford vs Derby Lineups & Team News
Don’t miss the latest Oxford vs Derby team news before you bet. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Championship lineups and injury news right here.
Oxford Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Derby Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Oxford Predicted Lineup 4-4-2
Derby Predicted Lineup 4-2-3-1
Previous Oxford Lineups
Previous Derby Lineups
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Coventry | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 27:7 | 19 |
2 | Middlesbrough | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 18 |
3 | Leicester | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13:8 | 16 |
4 | Preston | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 16 |
5 | Stoke | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:6 | 15 |
6 | QPR | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | 15 |
7 | West Brom | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 14 |
8 | Millwall | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 14 |
9 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 15:8 | 13 |
10 | Bristol City | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 13 |
11 | Watford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 12 |
12 | Swansea | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 12 |
13 | Charlton | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 12 |
14 | Portsmouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:9 | 12 |
15 | Hull | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | 12 |
16 | Birmingham | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 12 |
17 | Southampton | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:12 | 11 |
18 | Wrexham | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:15 | 10 |
19 | Norwich | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:14 | 8 |
20 | Derby | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 11:15 | 8 |
21 | Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:11 | 7 |
22 | Oxford | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | 6 |
23 | Sheffield Wed | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:20 | 6 |
24 | Sheffield Utd | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3:16 | 3 |
# | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Ipswich | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13:5 | 11 |
2 | Preston | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 11 |
3 | Middlesbrough | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 10 |
4 | Watford | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 10 |
5 | Hull | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:8 | 10 |
6 | Coventry | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11:2 | 8 |
7 | Leicester | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 8 |
8 | QPR | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:2 | 8 |
9 | Birmingham | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
10 | Charlton | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 7 |
11 | Stoke | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
12 | Portsmouth | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
13 | Swansea | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | 6 |
14 | Millwall | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 6 |
15 | Southampton | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 5 |
16 | West Brom | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 5 |
17 | Bristol City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | 5 |
18 | Wrexham | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7:10 | 3 |
19 | Derby | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:9 | 3 |
20 | Oxford | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 2 |
21 | Blackburn | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | 1 |
22 | Sheffield Wed | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:14 | 1 |
23 | Norwich | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4:8 | 0 |
24 | Sheffield Utd | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | 0 |















































