Oxford vs Derby Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Oct 2025

Championship Betting Preview: Oxford vs Derby

Oxford host Derby in this Championship encounter at Kassam Stadium, with kick-off set for 07:30 on Saturday 18 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

The best plan could involve backing Derby with a +0.25 Asian Handicap at -141 when clashing with Oxford. Our stake is split between 0 and +0.5, allowing us to land a return in the event of a draw.

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Oxford United were beaten in their last game. Away from home at Vicarage Road, Watford claimed a 2-1 win. Gary Rowett's team managed five shots on target and had 43% possession, with Max Alleyne (own goal) being the goalscorer.

Derby County played Southampton at home in their previous game. It was a 1-1 draw at Pride Park. The Rams had just 37% of the ball and recorded five shots on goal, while Patrick Agyemang found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Derby have not lost to Oxford in the past three games, with the last clash seeing a 0-0 draw played out at Pride Park. The past 6 H2H matches have resulted in three Derby wins, two draws and one Oxford success.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
10	Derby	18	7	5	6	25	25	0	25:25	26
20	Oxford	18	4	6	8	20	25	-5	20:25	18

View Full Table

1 win, 5 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 13.2 attempts. Oxford have had 42.4% possession and 3.3 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.6 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 13.5 attempts, while being awarded 6.3 corners.

Top scorer Will Lankshear has found the net 3 times, with Przemyslaw Placheta, Gregory Leigh and Cameron Brannagan getting 2 each. Brian De Keersmaecker and Tyler Goodrham are the leading assists makers with 2.

Derby have won 1, lost 3 and drawn 6, with an average of 1.1 goals from 2.8 shots on goal and 8.4 attempts. There’s been an average of 43.6% possession, 3.5 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.5 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 12.6 attempts.

Carlton Morris has scored 4 goals, followed by Patrick Agyemang, Matthew Clarke, Ben Brereton Diaz and Andreas Weimann on 1. Patrick Agyemang is the top assists provider in the last 10 games with 2.

Confirmed Lineups

Oxford confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jamie Cumming (GK), Brodie Spencer, Michal Helik, Ciaron Brown, Jack Currie, Brian De Keersmaecker, Will Vaulks, Stanley Mills, Cameron Brannagan, Siriki Dembele, Nik Prelec.

Derby confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jacob Widell Zetterstroem (GK), Max Johnston, Dion Sanderson, Matthew Clarke, Craig Forsyth, Ebou Adams, David Ozoh, Andreas Weimann, Rhian Brewster, Ben Brereton Diaz, Carlton Morris.

Oxford vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips

Take on Oxford vs Derby with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice, corners market insight, key player props and a value-driven bet builder.

Match Prediction

Derby +0.25 on the Asian Handicap looks like a sensible play at a price of -141. They should be able to swerve a loss in this Championship game and we’re confident that the away team can land a victory.

Our panel of football writers survey the latest injuries and suspensions. When combined with the form guide, this helps us secure the best odds. Our stats-led approach backed up by key Championship data is helpful.

Key Oxford vs Derby league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Oxford in 4 consecutive games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Oxford in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Oxford in 15 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Oxford in 3 consecutive games against Derby.

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 58.5% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

If you want a different wager to the Asian Handicap, then Winning Margin provides an exciting alternative. That’s especially if you have a view on the performance of Derby.

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Our Match Prediction

Derby Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -141 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Oxford 1 - 2 Derby

Derby are available at +700 to win by a 2-1 scoreline. Correct score betting allows us to bet at bigger odds and it’s also a fun type of wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Will Lankshear Over 0.5 Shots On Target -132

Will Lankshear (Oxford) is available at -132 to finish with a minimum of one shot on goal. It’s really hard to rule him out at an attractive price for the Shots on Target betting market.

Latest Will Lankshear Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+225

First

+420

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-125

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Carlton Morris to Score +270

Carlton Morris (Derby) has registered two goals in his past four Championship games away from home. When it comes to him finding the net, we believe the +270 available is appealing when backing him on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Carlton Morris Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+270

First

+550

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-125

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Corners Prediction

Derby Under 4.5 Corners +110

Derby have not covered the 4.5 corners line in ten consecutive away matches. We can use these stats to our advantage, with odds of +110 that Derby fall short when it comes to the Team Corners line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Oxford

Total

9.60 3.30 6.30

Home

9.80 3.60 6.20

Away

9.40 3.10 6.30

Derby

Total

8.80 3.50 5.30

Home

9.50 5.10 4.40

Away

8.60 2.70 5.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-147

Under 9.5

+102

Oxford Corners

Over 4.5

-120

Under 4.5

-120

Derby Corners

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-110

Most Corners

1

-105

X

+600

2

+110

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Oxford vs Derby Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The bookmakers have priced up the Full-Time Result odds and Oxford United are +155 to come out on top, while Derby County are +188. The draw is available at +210 if you expect the clash to finish level.

If you fancy Oxford but want money back if the game ends in a draw, then you can secure odds of -135. Alternatively, there’s the chance to wager on Derby at -105 on the Draw No Bet market.

Under 2.5 Goals is currently the betting favourite and a bet on this option would mean you need no more than two goals to be scored. A different angle is going for a BTTS wager and there’s -137 available for Both Teams to Score No.

The best football betting sites are on hand to provide lots of choice to bettors. It’s now the case that you can select from hundreds of markets for all of the Championship matches.

Full-Time Result

1

+155

X

+210

2

+188

Half-Time Result

1

+220

X

+104

2

+240

Double Chance

1X

-278

12

-313

X2

-222

Draw No Bet

1

-135

2

-105

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+110

2 Hcp +0.25

-152

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-179

Over 2.5

+138

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-100

No

-137

There’s the chance to back Will Lankshear at +420 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Will Lankshear (Oxford)

First

+225

Anytime

+420

Patrick Agyemang (Derby)

First

+265

Anytime

+525

Carlton Morris (Derby)

First

+270

Anytime

+550

Ben Brereton (Derby)

First

+370

Anytime

+700

Andreas Weimann (Derby)

First

+380

Anytime

+750

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

First

+380

Anytime

+800

Przemyslaw Placheta (Oxford)

First

+430

Anytime

+800

Brian De Keersmaecker (Oxford)

First

+430

Anytime

+900

Cameron Brannagan (Oxford)

First

+450

Anytime

+900

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

First

+460

Anytime

+900

Siriki Dembele (Oxford)

First

+460

Anytime

+950

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

First

+540

Anytime

+1050

Bobby Clark (Derby)

First

+650

Anytime

+1200

Brodie Spencer (Oxford)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Joe Ward (Derby)

First

+750

Anytime

+1500

Ebou Adams (Derby)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

David Ozoh (Derby)

First

+900

Anytime

+1700

Michal Helik (Oxford)

First

+900

Anytime

+1800

Jack Currie (Oxford)

First

+900

Anytime

+1900

Max Johnston (Derby)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Greg Leigh (Oxford)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Craig Forsyth (Derby)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Will Lankshear (Oxford)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-125

Carlton Morris (Derby)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-125

Patrick Agyemang (Derby)

Over 0.5

-122

Under 0.5

-139

Ben Brereton (Derby)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-208

Andreas Weimann (Derby)

Over 0.5

+128

Under 0.5

-204

Kayden Jackson (Derby)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-208

Cameron Brannagan (Oxford)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-238

Przemyslaw Placheta (Oxford)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-250

Brian De Keersmaecker (Oxford)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-263

Corey Blackett-Taylor (Derby)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-270

Siriki Dembele (Oxford)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-270

Brodie Spencer (Oxford)

Over 0.5

+265

Under 0.5

-526

Michal Helik (Oxford)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-833

Jack Currie (Oxford)

Over 0.5

+360

Under 0.5

-833

Max Johnston (Derby)

Over 0.5

+390

Under 0.5

-1000

Craig Forsyth (Derby)

Over 0.5

+420

Under 0.5

-1111

Oxford are winless in the last four games at Kassam Stadium. Gary Rowett's team have collected five defeats, three wins and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, scoring an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.60.

Derby have not tasted an away defeat in three straight matches. The Rams have racked up four victories, three draws and three defeats in the previous 10 away games, netting an average of 1.40 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

The last meeting at Kassam Stadium saw Oxford and Derby draw 1-1. We’ve seen Derby claim two wins in the past 3 H2H meetings at Kassam Stadium, with one draw also taking place.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Oxford Home Stats		3-2-5	2.50	0.90	1.60	4	6	3	7
Derby Away Stats		4-3-3	2.70	1.40	1.30	5	5	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Oxford vs Derby Lineups & Team News

Don’t miss the latest Oxford vs Derby team news before you bet. Get the latest predicted and confirmed Championship lineups and injury news right here.

Oxford United Team Page Derby County Team Page

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