Palmeiras vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 20 Jul 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Palmeiras vs Atlético Mineiro

Palmeiras host Atlético Mineiro in this Brazilian Série A match, with kick-off set for 16:30 on Sunday 20 July 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Galo Should Compete Favourably

Atlético Mineiro +0.75 should be a great wager for their clash against Palmeiras at -108. It allows us to split the Asian Handicap stake between +0.5 and +1.0 and we’re optimistic of a strong performance.

Betting on our Asian Handicap recommendation? Grab the updated BetMGM promo code and read our in-depth review of the platform.

Palmeiras 2-1 Victors When Teams Met Last

Palmeiras drew their last game which was at home. The action ended 1-1 against Mirassol. Abel Ferreira's men had three shots on target and 50% possession, with Facundo Torres getting the goal.

Atlético Mineiro lost on the road in their previous Série A game. Bahia won 2-1. Galo had 53% of possession and two shots on goal, with Hulk finding the net.

Three days ago, Atlético claimed a 1-0 victory when facing Atlético Bucaramanga away in the Copa Sudamericana.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Palmeiras have beaten Atlético in the last two encounters. A 2-1 home win came after a 4-0 victory away. The 10 previous H2H meetings have seen five draws, four wins for Palmeiras and a victory for Atlético.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Palmeiras	20	13	4	3	28	16	12	28:16	43
14	Atlético MG	20	6	6	8	20	24	-4	20:24	24

View Full Table

6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.1 goals from 3.4 shots on goal and 10.9 attempts. Palmeiras have had 48.5% possession and 7.1 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 0.8 goals from 2.6 shots on goal and 6.4 attempts, while being awarded 4.3 corners.

Facundo Torres leads the way with 3 goals, Vitor Roque has 2, with Allan and two others on 1. Estevao is the leading assists maker on 3.

Atlético have won 5, lost 2 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.1 goals from 10.1 attempts and 4.2 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 54.5% possession, 5.9 corners in their favour and 5.2 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.8 goals from 9.4 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal.

We’ve seen Hulk, Junior Santos and Rony score 2 goals each. Hulk has been top assists provider with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Palmeiras confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Weverton (GK), Agustin Giay, Gustavo Gomez, Bruno Fuchs, Joaquin Piquerez, Lucas Evangelista, Anibal Moreno, Mauricio, Facundo Torres, Vitor Roque, Felipe Anderson.

Atlético Mineiro confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Everson (GK), Natanael, Lyanco, Junior Alonso, Guilherme Arana, Gustavo Scarpa, Alan Franco, Gabriel Menino, Igor Gomes, Hulk, Rony.

Palmeiras vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction & Betting Tips

Discover our expert Palmeiras vs Atlético Mineiro betting tips, featuring a match prediction, correct score suggestion, corners market outlook, top player prop picks and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.

Match Prediction

Atlético Mineiro should be highly competitive in this Série A match. On this basis, we’ll take them at -108 on the Asian Handicap +0.75 feeling optimistic that the underdogs will land a payout.

The football experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of Série A stats and present the key numbers to our readers.

Key Palmeiras vs Atlético Mineiro league stats:

• The +0.75 line has been covered by Atlético MG in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.75 line has been covered by Atlético MG in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Palmeiras in 3 consecutive games.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Palmeiras in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -0.75 line hasn’t been covered by Palmeiras in 6 of their last 10 games against Atlético MG.

Atlético +0.75 Probability

The odds at the best football bookies suggest our pick has a 51.9% chance of winning. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

There are several options available including selling goals. If you want more juice from your wager, then you can go down this route and take your own view.

Ready to wager? First, explore top-tier betting promo codes, free bets, and welcome bonuses with our expert bonus guide.

Our Match Prediction

Atlético MG Asian Hcp +0.75 @ -108 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Palmeiras 1 - 1 Atlético

An exciting wager could be the game to end in a 1-1 draw at odds of +550. A correct score bet provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Raphael Cavalcante Veiga Over 0.5 Shots On Target -149

Raphael Cavalcante Veiga (Palmeiras) can be wagered at -149 to register one or more shots on goal. For those wanting to wager on Shots on Target, this player looks really appealing at the odds.

Latest Raphael Cavalcante Veiga Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+335

First

+700

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-112

Shots

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

---

Facundo Torres to Score +370

Facundo Torres (Palmeiras) has managed three goals in his past eight Série Amatches. We’re happy to take the +370 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he finds the net at least once.

Latest Facundo Torres Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+370

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-128

Shots

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Corners Prediction

Over 10.5 Corners -120

In terms of average corners for the past five Atlético Mineiro away games, the number is 13.40. The previous five Palmeiras matches have averaged 13.00 corners. We think that the value can be landed by betting on Total Corners and you can secure -120 that the teams go over the line.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Palmeiras

Total

11.40 7.10 4.30

Home

9.10 6.20 2.90

Away

12.10 6.90 5.20

Atlético

Total

11.10 5.90 5.20

Home

10.80 7.10 3.70

Away

11.20 5.40 5.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+104

Under 10.5

-147

Palmeiras Corners

Over 6.5

-100

Under 6.5

-138

Atlético Corners

Over 3.5

-150

Under 3.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-294

X

+600

2

+255

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Palmeiras vs Atlético Mineiro Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Palmeiras Favourites to Win According to Bookies

Palmeiras are the -147 favourites on the 1x2 betting. That implies a 60% chance of triumphing in this Série A encounter according to the latest odds. If you want to back the outsider, Atlético Mineiro are available at +460.

For those wanting an alternative, Palmeiras are +140 on the Half-Time Result market. This means they need to lead at the break, with Atlético being priced up at +460 and the draw is +102.

For the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this interesting contest. As long as one team or more fails to score, then the No option on the Both Teams to Score market will pay out at -200.

You’ll be blown away by the hundreds of markets available for Série A games. Head to one of our recommended betting sites and take your pick from the various football options available.

Full-Time Result

1

-147

X

+240

2

+460

Half-Time Result

1

+140

X

+102

2

+460

Double Chance

1X

-769

12

-357

X2

+105

Draw No Bet

1

-435

2

+270

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-108

2 Hcp +0.75

-114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-204

Over 2.5

+155

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+138

No

-200

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves Heads First Goalscorer Market

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves is priced at +430 when it comes to First Goalscorer which makes him the favourite, while he’s also available at odds of +210 to find the net anytime.

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Palmeiras)

First

+210

Anytime

+430

José López (Palmeiras)

First

+215

Anytime

+410

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

First

+230

Anytime

+480

Ronielson "Rony" Da Silva Barbosa (Atlético MG)

First

+300

Anytime

+600

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

First

+330

Anytime

+650

Raphael Cavalcante Veiga (Palmeiras)

First

+335

Anytime

+700

Givanildo "Hulk" Souza (Atlético MG)

First

+350

Anytime

+700

Eduardo "Dudu" Pereira Rodrigues (Atlético MG)

First

+360

Anytime

+1300

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

First

+360

Anytime

+750

Facundo Torres (Palmeiras)

First

+370

Anytime

+750

Richard Ríos (Palmeiras)

First

+450

Anytime

+900

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

First

+475

Anytime

+1000

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

First

+540

Anytime

+1100

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Emiliano Martinez (Palmeiras)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras)

First

+900

Anytime

+1800

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

First

+900

Anytime

+1800

Rubens Dias (Atlético MG)

First

+950

Anytime

+1700

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

First

+950

Anytime

+1800

Agustín Giay (Palmeiras)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2000

José López (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

+133

Estêvão Willian Gonçalves (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-233

Under 0.5

+133

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-217

Under 0.5

+125

Givanildo "Hulk" Souza (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

+120

Ronielson "Rony" Da Silva Barbosa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

+110

Raphael Cavalcante Veiga (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-112

Facundo Torres (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-128

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-154

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-159

Richard Ríos (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-179

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-227

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-250

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-263

Eduardo "Dudu" Pereira Rodrigues (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+163

Under 0.5

-303

Rubens Dias (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-385

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-370

Emiliano Martinez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-455

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

+230

Under 0.5

-417

Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-714

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

-152

Under 2.5

-

Ronielson "Rony" Da Silva Barbosa (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

-119

Under 2.5

-

Raphael Cavalcante Veiga (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

-105

Under 2.5

-

Givanildo "Hulk" Souza (Atlético MG)

Over 2.5

-130

Under 2.5

-

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

-102

Under 2.5

-

Facundo Torres (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-

Richard Ríos (Palmeiras)

Over 2.5

+143

Under 2.5

-

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Eduardo "Dudu" Pereira Rodrigues (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+133

Under 1.5

-

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+112

Under 1.5

-

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+108

Under 1.5

-

Tomás Cuello (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Rubens Dias (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-

Gustavo Scarpa (Atlético MG)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Gabriel Menino (Atlético MG)

Over 0.5

-222

Under 0.5

-

Palmeiras vs Atlético Mineiro Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Palmeiras vs Atlético team news before betting. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Série A lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Palmeiras Team Page Atlético Mineiro Team Page