Copa Libertadores Betting Preview: Palmeiras vs River Plate

Brazilian Série A side Palmeiras host Argentine Primera División club River Plate in the second leg of this Copa Libertadores quarter-final tie, with kick-off set for 20:30 on Wednesday 24 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and confirmed lineups.

Back Palmeiras to Have the Edge

Palmeiras look like an attractive bet at -139 and we think they can beat River Plate. We’ll place this Full-Time Result wager with confidence and there’s plenty of juice in the available price.

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2-1 Palmeiras Victory in First Leg

Palmeiras secured a Série A home success in their last game, defeating Fortaleza 4-1. Abel Ferreira's team managed nine shots on target and enjoyed 71% possession, with Andreas Pereira scoring two, while Raphael Veiga and Ramon Sosa also getting a goal.

River Plate suffered a Primera División defeat in their previous game. A 2-0 scoreline occurred away from home against Atlético Tucumán. The Buenos Aires outfit dominated possession with 67% of the ball and racked up three shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Palmeiras claimed a 2-1 away win over River Plate in the first leg. Despite River controlling 67% of possession, the Brazilian side proved more efficient in front of goal, edging the shots on target count 4-3. Gustavo Gómez opened the scoring before Vitor Roque doubled the lead, while Lucas Martínez Quarta struck for River to keep the tie alive heading into the return leg.

In the past 3 H2H meetings, we have seen two Palmeiras wins and one River victory.

Copa Libertadores		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	River Plate	6	3	3	0	13	7	6	13:7	12
1	Palmeiras	6	6	0	0	17	4	13	17:4	18

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Palmeiras – Last 10 League & Copa Libertadores Games

Palmeiras have 8 wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.3 goals from 5.8 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts. The Big Green have averaged 56.8% possession and 5.6 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.9 goals from 3.4 shots on goal, 8.5 attempts and 3.0 corners.

Vitor Roque is the top goalscorer with 6, Jose Lopez has 4, with Andreas Pereira and two other players on 2. The leading assistors have been Mauricio and Vitor Roque with 3.

River Plate – Last 10 League & Copa Libertadores Games

River have won 5, lost 2 and drawn 3, with an average of 4.8 shots on goal, 9.1 attempts and 1.9 goals. Marcelo Gallardo's team average 61.2% possession, 4.2 corners taken and 4.6 corners against them, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 7.2 attempts and 3.9 shots on goal.

Giuliano Galoppo got 4 goals, Santiago Lencina notched 3, while Maximiliano Salas and two other players scored 2. Facundo Colidio has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games.

Palmeiras vs River Plate Prediction & Betting Tips

Make the most of Palmeiras vs River Plate with our betting analysis that includes an expert match prediction, expected scoreline, key player prop picks and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

Palmeiras can deliver the goods and we’ll back them with confidence for this Copa Libertadores match. The odds of -139 look attractive when it comes to the home team and we’re feeling confident.

The team news that emerges can have an impact on the odds depending on which players are missing. Our football experts also study the form guide, while the latest stats are also checked before a Copa Libertadores verdict is reached.

Key Palmeiras vs River Plate Copa Libertadores & league stats:

Palmeiras have won 4 of their last 5 games.
Palmeiras have won 7 of their last 10 games.
Palmeiras have won 3 consecutive games.
River have lost their last 2 games.
Palmeiras have won 2 of their last 3 games against River.

Palmeiras to Win Probability

If you go by the best football betting sites, our pick has a 58.1% chance of delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

Palmeiras are available at a range of odds on the Asian Handicap. If you are looking for a bigger price, then check out the latest lines and choose the bet that makes the most appeal.

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Our Match Prediction

Palmeiras To Win @ -139 Watch Live Bet Now

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Published 02:37, 23 September 2025

Correct Score Prediction

Palmeiras

2 - 0 River logo

River

There’s the option to wager on Palmeiras to win by a 2-0 scoreline. Odds of +540 are on offer and this is a correct score bet that should provide plenty of entertainment.

Latest Correct Score Odds

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sebastián Driussi Over 0.5 Shots On Target -161

Sebastián Driussi (River) can be backed to register a minimum of one shot on goal at -161. He looks like a value bet on the Shots on Target market and we recommend backing this player prop pick.

Latest Sebastián Driussi Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Shots On Target

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José López To Score +240

José López (Palmeiras) is available to score at +240. He looks like a value bet to find the net and we recommend backing this Anytime Goalscorer pick.

Latest José López Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Shots On Target

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Bet Builder Tips

Full-Time Result Palmeiras -139

Total Goals Under 2.5 -167

Shots On Target Sebastián Driussi Over 0.5 -161

We’ve loaded up a bet builder with the picks of Palmeiras on the 1x2, no more than two goals to be scored and also Sebastián Driussi (River) to have one or more shots on target.

The bet builder option is great for football fans wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.

Bet Boosts

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Palmeiras vs River Plate Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Make Palmeiras Favourites to Win

Favourites Palmeiras are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Copa Libertadores clash. The -139 about them triumphing means a 58% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. River Plate are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +420.

Betting Palmeiras -0.75 on the Asian Handicap at -108 means splitting stake between -0.5 and -1.0. Therefore, a one-goal win over River means a win and a push, with a 2+ goal victory meaning a full payout.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Under 2.5 is the likelier outcome in this contest. If you think at least one side will keep a clean sheet, then Both Teams to Score No is -161.

If you head to our recommended sports betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each Copa Libertadores game. Go through the options and choose your football wager.

Full-Time Result

Half-Time Result

Double Chance

Draw No Bet

Asian Handicap

Total Goals

Both Teams to Score

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira Favourite to Find the Net First

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira is the favourite to be First Goalscorer at +400. If you’re interested in backing him to find the net at anytime, then the price is +175.

Player Goals

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

José López (Palmeiras)

Sebastián Driussi (River)

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

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Player Shots On Target

José López (Palmeiras)

Sebastián Driussi (River)

Facundo Colidio (River)

Maximiliano Salas (River)

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Last 5 Games

Palmeiras

River

Head to Head

Palmeiras vs River

Team Stats

Latest Copa Libertadores and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Palmeiras Stats

River Plate Stats

Full-Time Result

8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
4 wins, 1 defeat and 5 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

An average of 2.30 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 1.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
An average of 3.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 matches
An average of 1.30 goals scored and 0.50 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
An average of 1.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 3.00 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 2.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 4.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
An average of 4.50 corners awarded and 5.00 corners against in the last 10 away matches
An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

An average of 56.80% possession in the last 10 matches
An average of 56.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
Most possession in 6 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

An average of 61.20% possession in the last 10 matches
An average of 61.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
Most possession in 8 of the last 10 away matches

Live Stream

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Palmeiras vs River Plate Lineups & Team News

Always review the Palmeiras vs River team news before locking in your bets. Get the predicted and confirmed Copa Libertadores lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.