Palmeiras vs Sport Recife Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 25 Aug 2025

Série A Betting Preview: Palmeiras vs Sport Recife

Palmeiras host Sport Recife in this Brazilian Série A match, with kick-off set for 18:00 on Monday 25 August 2025. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Why Sport Make Sense on the Asian Handicap

Sport Recife +1.25 looks an interesting Asian Handicap wager at odds of -105. Our stake is divided between +1 and +1.5 when the underdogs clash with Palmeiras and that gives us a fighting chance.

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4 Palmeiras Wins in Last 5 H2H Clashes

Palmeiras have got the win in their last three home games. In their last game, they enjoyed a 1-0 victory away to Botafogo. The São Paulo side had 43% of possession and two shots on target, with a 45th minute goal from Felipe Anderson making all the difference.

On Thursday night, Palmeiras drew 0-0 in the Copa Libertadores when hosting Universitario.

Sport Recife drew their previous game which was at home. The action ended 2-2 against São Paulo. The Lions enjoyed just 33% possession and had four shots on goal, with Lucas Lima and Derik Lacerda both on target.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Palmeiras have racked up four consecutive wins over Sport. Their last encounter involved a 2-1 Palmeiras away victory. The previous 5 H2H meetings have featured four Palmeiras wins and one draw.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Palmeiras	18	12	3	3	24	15	9	24:15	39
20	Sport Recife	18	1	7	10	12	27	-15	12:27	10

View Full Table

Palmeiras have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 4.0 shots on goal and 9.5 attempts. Abel Ferreira's side have averaged 54.6% possession and 5.7 corners per match, conceding 1.2 goals and 4.0 corners from 3.2 shots on goal and 7.5 attempts.

Top goalscorer Mauricio has found the net 3 times, with Jose Lopez, Vitor Roque and Facundo Torres scoring 2 each. Mauricio and Ramon Sosa are tied for the most assists on 2.

Sport have 1 victory, 4 defeats and 5 draws, averaging 4.2 shots on goal, 9.6 attempts and 0.8 goals. The Lions average 45.4% possession, 5.5 corners awarded and 4.0 corners against, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 11.1 attempts and 5.0 shots on goal.

The leading scorers have been Derik Lacerda and Romarinho with 2, while Lucas Lima has 1. Matheus Alexandre, Leo Pereira and Matheusinho have managed 1 assists in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Palmeiras predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Weverton (GK), Agustín Giay, Gustavo Gomez, Murilo Cerqueira, Joaquín Piquerez, Emiliano Martínez, Lucas Evangelista, Ramón Sosa, Mauricio, Facundo Torres, Vitor Roque.

Sport Recife predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Gabriel (GK), Matheus Alexandre, Rafael Thyere, Ramon Menezes, Kevyson, Ze Lucas, Christian Rivera, Matheusinho, Lucas Lima, Léo Pereira, Pablo.

Palmeiras vs Sport Recife Prediction & Betting Tips

Get fully prepped for Palmeiras vs Sport Recife with our betting guide, featuring our expert match pick, predicted scoreline and a value-focused bet builder. Read on for the full breakdown.

Match Prediction

Sport Recife enjoying a +1.25 goal start on the Asian Handicap could be a wise move at odds of -105. We anticipate a close battle when it comes to this Série A game, so let’s back our selection with confidence.

We’re always focused on the Série A form guide to identify the latest betting trends. When it comes to key players getting injured, that can also have a bearing. The latest stats provide even more information to make a football prediction.

Key Palmeiras vs Sport Recife league stats:

• The +1.25 line has been covered by Sport in 6 consecutive games.
• The +1.25 line has been covered by Sport in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +1.25 line has been covered by Sport in 14 of their last 18 games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Palmeiras in 15 consecutive games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Palmeiras in 19 of their last 20 games.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Palmeiras in 5 consecutive games against Sport.

Sport +1.25 Probability

According to the odds, there’s a 51.3% likelihood of our pick winning. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

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Our Match Prediction

Sport Recife Asian Hcp +1.25 @ -105 Watch Live Bet Now

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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Palmeiras 1 - 1 Sport Recife

There are odds of +750 available that we see a 1-1 scoreline played out. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Palmeiras vs Sport Recife Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Palmeiras Victory on the Cards According to Bookies

Palmeiras are the overwhelming -313 favourites to win this Série A clash which means a 76% probability of claiming a victory according to the latest Full-Time Result betting odds. Sport Recife are the underdogs at +850 which implies a low percentage prospect of winning.

For those wanting an alternative, Palmeiras are -118 on the Half-Time Result market. This means they need to lead at the break, with Sport being priced up at +650 and the draw is +143.

You can get a similar price whether you’re backing Under or Over 2.5 Goals. An alternative play could be betting BTTS No where you can get -189 when it comes to the Both Teams to Score No market.

The best football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to Série A games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Full-Time Result

1

-313

X

+400

2

+850

Half-Time Result

1

-118

X

+143

2

+650

Double Chance

1X

-2000

12

-667

X2

+205

Draw No Bet

1

-1111

2

+480

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-137

2 Hcp +1.25

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-112

Over 2.5

-115

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+130

No

-189

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira Favourite to Find the Net First

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +440, while you can get similar odds if you want him to score the last goal.

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

First

+163

Anytime

+440

José López (Palmeiras)

First

+175

Anytime

+430

Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos (Palmeiras)

First

+275

Anytime

+600

Facundo Torres (Palmeiras)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

First

+330

Anytime

+700

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

First

+380

Anytime

+800

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

First

+410

Anytime

+1050

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

First

+460

Anytime

+1050

Chrystian Barletta (Sport Recife)

First

+510

Anytime

+1100

Emiliano Martinez (Palmeiras)

First

+600

Anytime

+1400

Ignacio Ramirez (Sport Recife)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Pablo Felipe Teixeira (Sport Recife)

First

+750

Anytime

+1800

Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Agustín Giay (Palmeiras)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Rodrigo Atencio (Sport Recife)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

José López (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-250

Under 0.5

+140

Maurício Magalhães Prado (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-100

Facundo Torres (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-139

Under 0.5

-102

Luighi Hanri Sousa Santos (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-104

Chrystian Barletta (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

-103

Under 0.5

-137

Allan Andrade Elias (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-147

Ramón Sosa (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-161

Felipe Anderson Pereira Gomes (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-213

Joaquín Piquerez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-263

Vitor Hugo Roque Ferreira (Palmeiras)

Over 1.5

+150

Under 1.5

-270

Ignacio Ramirez (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-294

Pablo Felipe Teixeira (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-313

Emiliano Martinez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-345

Rodrigo Atencio (Sport Recife)

Over 0.5

+250

Under 0.5

-400

Gustavo Gómez (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Agustín Giay (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+325

Under 0.5

-833

Lucas Evangelista Santana de Oliveira (Palmeiras)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-625

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Palmeiras vs Sport Recife Lineups & Team News

Double-check the Palmeiras vs Sport team news before placing your bets. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for Série A, along with current injury news.

Palmeiras Team Page Sport Recife Team Page