Parma vs Fiorentina Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Dec 2025

Serie A Betting Preview: Parma vs Fiorentina

Parma go head-to-head with bottom-of-the-table Fiorentina at Stadio Ennio Tardini, with kick-off set for 06:30 on Saturday 27 December.

Parma +0.25 on the Asian Handicap could be the way forward at -110. They should be able to avoid defeat against Fiorentina, with our stake split between 0 and +0.5, meaning a victory is the desired outcome.

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Parma lost their last game, being beaten at home to Lazio 1-0 at Stadio Ennio Tardini. The Emilia-Romagna outfit enjoyed 47% possession and five shots on target.

Fiorentina have suffered successive Serie A away defeats. Their most recent league match was a 5-1 home win at Stadio Artemio Franchi where they beat Udinese. La Viola boasted 63% possession and recorded six shots on goal, with Moise Kean finding the net twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It’s been successive draws in the previous five meetings between Parma and Fiorentina, with the last encounter ending 0-0 at Stadio Artemio Franchi. The past 8 H2H matches have included six draws along with a win each for Parma and Fiorentina.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
14	Parma	24	6	8	10	16	30	-14	16:30	26
18	Fiorentina	24	3	9	12	27	38	-11	27:38	18

View Full Table

2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts. Parma have had 42.1% possession, 308.7 passes and 2.7 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.2 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts, while being awarded 5.5 corners.

Mateo Pellegrino and Adrian Bernabe lead the way with 2 goals, while Adrian Benedyczak has scored 1. Leading assistors have been Sascha Britschgi and Adrian Benedyczak with 2, while goalkeeper Zion Suzuki has 2 clean sheets.

Fiorentina have won 1, lost 6 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.3 goals from 11.7 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal. Paolo Vanoli's side average 53.4% possession, 419.2 passes, 4.7 corners awarded and 4.4 corners against them, while conceding 1.9 goals from 13.2 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Rolando Mandragora, Albert Gudmundsson and Moise Kean, with 3 goals apiece. Nicolo Fagioli has been top assists provider with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Parma confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Edoardo Corvi (GK), Sascha Britschgi, Alessandro Circati, Lautaro Valenti, Emanuele Valeri, Adrian Bernabe, Mandela Keita, Oliver Soerensen, Adrian Benedyczak, Mateo Pellegrino, Jacob Ondrejka.

Fiorentina confirmed lineup (3-5-1-1): David de Gea (GK), Dodo, Pietro Comuzzo, Marin Pongracic, Fabiano Parisi, Rolando Mandragora, Nicolo Fagioli, Cher Ndour, Mattia Viti, Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean.

Parma vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Parma vs Fiorentina betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, top player prop picks, correct score recommendation and best bet builder insights.

Match Prediction

We’re backing Parma at -110 in this Serie A game with a +0.25 goal start. We think that the home team will have the edge and we can therefore feel confident of a return with this bet.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Serie A form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key Parma vs Fiorentina league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Parma in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Parma in 12 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fiorentina in 8 consecutive games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fiorentina in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fiorentina in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Parma in 5 consecutive games against Fiorentina.

According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

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Our Match Prediction

Parma Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (12:38, 25 December 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Parma 1 - 0 Fiorentina

There could be merit in backing Parma to win 1-0. Odds of +750 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mateo Pellegrino Under 0.5 Shots On Target -111

Mateo Pellegrino (Parma) hasn’t managed a shot on goal in eight of the past ten Serie A games. There’s a reasonable prospect that he will fall short of the mark, with odds of -111 on offer that he doesn’t cover the Shots on Target line.

Latest Mateo Pellegrino Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+270

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-116

Shots

Over 2.5

-104

Under 2.5

-

---

Adrian Benedyczak To Score +380

Adrian Benedyczak (Parma) can be wagered to score at +380. He looks like a value bet to find the net and we recommend backing this Anytime Goalscorer pick.

Latest Adrian Benedyczak Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+360

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-227

Shots

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Parma vs Fiorentina Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The favourites have a 48% likelihood of success according to the bookies, with Fiorentina chalked up at +110 to land a win in this Serie A clash. Parma are seen as the most unlikely winner at +275.

As the name suggests, the Draw No Bet market means money back if the game ends level. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Fiorentina at -222 and Parma at +150.

Under 2.5 Goals is available as the favourite and a bet on this pick means that you don’t want more than two goals to be netted. When it comes to BTTS betting, the market suggests that Both Teams to Score Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Serie A game. The best football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

+275

X

+210

2

+110

Half-Time Result

1

+310

X

+114

2

+170

Double Chance

1X

-141

12

-286

X2

-385

Draw No Bet

1

+150

2

-222

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-100

2 Hcp -0.25

-127

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-152

Over 2.5

+117

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-119

No

-111

There is +140 available that Moise Kean finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +370.

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

First

+140

Anytime

+370

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

First

+220

Anytime

+540

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

First

+240

Anytime

+550

Mateo Pellegrino (Parma)

First

+270

Anytime

+650

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Patrick Cutrone (Parma)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Adrian Benedyczak (Parma)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Jacob Ondrejka (Parma)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Pontus Almqvist (Parma)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

First

+420

Anytime

+1000

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Fiorentina)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Tjas Begic (Parma)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Gaetano Oristanio (Parma)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Oliver Sørensen (Parma)

First

+575

Anytime

+1500

Adrian Bernabe (Parma)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Sascha Britschgi (Parma)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Cher Ndour (Fiorentina)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Robin Gosens (Fiorentina)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Simon Sohm (Fiorentina)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Hernani Azevedo Júnior (Parma)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Benjamín Cremaschi (Parma)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2200

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-111

Mateo Pellegrino (Parma)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-116

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-154

Under 0.5

-125

Patrick Cutrone (Parma)

Over 0.5

-123

Under 0.5

-156

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-175

Jacob Ondrejka (Parma)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-238

Pontus Almqvist (Parma)

Over 0.5

+114

Under 0.5

-227

Adrian Benedyczak (Parma)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-227

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-263

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-286

Gaetano Oristanio (Parma)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-357

Oliver Sørensen (Parma)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-385

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-385

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-476

Sascha Britschgi (Parma)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-556

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-833

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Over 4.5

-115

Under 4.5

-

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

Over 2.5

-106

Under 2.5

-

Mateo Pellegrino (Parma)

Over 2.5

-104

Under 2.5

-

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Patrick Cutrone (Parma)

Over 1.5

-204

Under 1.5

-

Adrian Benedyczak (Parma)

Over 1.5

-127

Under 1.5

-

Pontus Almqvist (Parma)

Over 1.5

-116

Under 1.5

-

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

-

Sascha Britschgi (Parma)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-

Parma haven’t triumphed in six straight games at Stadio Ennio Tardini. The Emilia-Romagna outfit have collected five losses, four draws and one victory in the past 10 home matches, scoring an average of 0.60 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Fiorentina haven’t won any of their past eight away games. La Viola have managed five losses, four draws and one victory in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.70.

When previously meeting at Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma and Fiorentina played out a 1-1 draw. The previous 4 H2H meetings at Stadio Ennio Tardini have ended in two draws along with a victory for Parma and Fiorentina.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Parma Home Stats		1-4-5	1.80	0.60	1.20	3	7	4	6
Fiorentina Away Stats		1-4-5	2.60	0.90	1.70	6	4	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Parma vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Parma vs Fiorentina before making your bets. Get the predicted and confirmed Serie A lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Parma Team Page Fiorentina Team Page

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