Parma vs Fiorentina Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 27 Dec 2025

Serie A Betting Preview: Parma vs Fiorentina

Parma go head-to-head with bottom-of-the-table Fiorentina at Stadio Ennio Tardini, with kick-off set for 06:30 on Saturday 27 December.

Parma +0.25 on the Asian Handicap could be the way forward at -110. They should be able to avoid defeat against Fiorentina, with our stake split between 0 and +0.5, meaning a victory is the desired outcome.

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Parma lost their last game, being beaten at home to Lazio 1-0 at Stadio Ennio Tardini. The Emilia-Romagna outfit enjoyed 47% possession and five shots on target.

Fiorentina have suffered successive Serie A away defeats. Their most recent league match was a 5-1 home win at Stadio Artemio Franchi where they beat Udinese. La Viola boasted 63% possession and recorded six shots on goal, with Moise Kean finding the net twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It’s been successive draws in the previous five meetings between Parma and Fiorentina, with the last encounter ending 0-0 at Stadio Artemio Franchi. The past 8 H2H matches have included six draws along with a win each for Parma and Fiorentina.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
16	Parma	15	3	5	7	10	18	-8	10:18	14
20	Fiorentina	16	1	6	9	17	27	-10	17:27	9

View Full Table

2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.7 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 10.3 attempts. Parma have had 42.1% possession, 308.7 passes and 2.7 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.2 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 13.7 attempts, while being awarded 5.5 corners.

Mateo Pellegrino and Adrian Bernabe lead the way with 2 goals, while Adrian Benedyczak has scored 1. Leading assistors have been Sascha Britschgi and Adrian Benedyczak with 2, while goalkeeper Zion Suzuki has 2 clean sheets.

Fiorentina have won 1, lost 6 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.3 goals from 11.7 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal. Paolo Vanoli's side average 53.4% possession, 419.2 passes, 4.7 corners awarded and 4.4 corners against them, while conceding 1.9 goals from 13.2 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Rolando Mandragora, Albert Gudmundsson and Moise Kean, with 3 goals apiece. Nicolo Fagioli has been top assists provider with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Parma predicted lineup (4-3-2-1): Edoardo Corvi (GK), Sascha Britschgi, Pontus Almqvist, Lautaro Valenti, Emanuele Valeri, Adrian Bernabe, Nahuel Estevez, Mandela Keita, Jacob Ondrejka, Adrian Benedyczak, Mateo Pellegrino.

Fiorentina predicted lineup (3-5-2): David de Gea (GK), Marin Pongracic, Pietro Comuzzo, Eman Kospo, Dodo, Simon Sohm, Nicolo Fagioli, Cher Ndour, Fabiano Parisi, Albert Gudmundsson, Moise Kean.

Parma vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips

Our Parma vs Fiorentina betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, top player prop picks, correct score recommendation and best bet builder insights.

Match Prediction

We’re backing Parma at -110 in this Serie A game with a +0.25 goal start. We think that the home team will have the edge and we can therefore feel confident of a return with this bet.

We take note of any injuries or suspensions affecting each side before going ahead with our football predictions. The Serie A form guide and stats also help the team at Sportsgambler.com crunch the numbers ahead of the action.

Key Parma vs Fiorentina league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Parma in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Parma in 12 of their last 20 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fiorentina in 8 consecutive games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fiorentina in 9 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fiorentina in 17 of their last 20 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Parma in 5 consecutive games against Fiorentina.

According to the best betting sites, our pick has a 52.4% chance of landing a return. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this wager.

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Our Match Prediction

Parma Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -110 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Parma 1 - 0 Fiorentina

There could be merit in backing Parma to win 1-0. Odds of +700 are available about a correct score bet where a nice potential return is on the cards.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mateo Pellegrino Under 0.5 Shots On Target -111

Mateo Pellegrino (Parma) hasn’t managed a shot on goal in eight of the past ten Serie A games. There’s a reasonable prospect that he will fall short of the mark, with odds of -111 on offer that he doesn’t cover the Shots on Target line.

Latest Mateo Pellegrino Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+250

First

+600

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-111

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Adrian Benedyczak To Score +380

Adrian Benedyczak (Parma) can be wagered to score at +380. He looks like a value bet to find the net and we recommend backing this Anytime Goalscorer pick.

Latest Adrian Benedyczak Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+380

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-200

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Parma vs Fiorentina Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The favourites have a 45% likelihood of success according to the bookies, with Fiorentina chalked up at +120 to land a win in this Serie A clash. Parma are seen as the most unlikely winner at +245.

As the name suggests, the Draw No Bet market means money back if the game ends level. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Fiorentina at -192 and Parma at +130.

Under 2.5 Goals is available as the favourite and a bet on this pick means that you don’t want more than two goals to be netted. When it comes to BTTS betting, the market suggests that Both Teams to Score Yes and No are both equally as likely to happen.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of markets for any Serie A game. The best football betting sites have a massive range of pre-match and In-Play betting options.

Full-Time Result

1

+245

X

+210

2

+120

Half-Time Result

1

+285

X

+112

2

+180

Double Chance

1X

-159

12

-286

X2

-333

Draw No Bet

1

+130

2

-192

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-110

2 Hcp -0.25

-114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-159

Over 2.5

+120

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-116

No

-114

There is +150 available that Moise Kean finds the net anytime. If you’re interested in the favourite to score the first goal, then you are able to secure +360.

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

First

+150

Anytime

+360

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

First

+230

Anytime

+550

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

First

+240

Anytime

+575

Mateo Pellegrino (Parma)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Patrick Cutrone (Parma)

First

+330

Anytime

+800

Adrian Benedyczak (Parma)

First

+380

Anytime

+850

Jacob Ondrejka (Parma)

First

+400

Anytime

+950

Pontus Almqvist (Parma)

First

+420

Anytime

+1000

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

First

+420

Anytime

+1000

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

First

+500

Anytime

+1150

Oliver Sørensen (Parma)

First

+550

Anytime

+1300

Gaetano Oristanio (Parma)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Fiorentina)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Tjas Begic (Parma)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Adrian Bernabe (Parma)

First

+650

Anytime

+1700

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

First

+700

Anytime

+1600

Sascha Britschgi (Parma)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Hernani Azevedo Júnior (Parma)

First

+850

Anytime

+1900

Simon Sohm (Fiorentina)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Cher Ndour (Fiorentina)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Robin Gosens (Fiorentina)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Benjamín Cremaschi (Parma)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Mateo Pellegrino (Parma)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-111

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-164

Under 0.5

-118

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-128

Patrick Cutrone (Parma)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-154

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-104

Under 0.5

-189

Adrian Benedyczak (Parma)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-200

Pontus Almqvist (Parma)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-222

Jacob Ondrejka (Parma)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-222

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-286

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

+143

Under 1.5

-303

Gaetano Oristanio (Parma)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-370

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-385

Oliver Sørensen (Parma)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-400

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-556

Sascha Britschgi (Parma)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-625

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-769

Parma haven’t triumphed in six straight games at Stadio Ennio Tardini. The Emilia-Romagna outfit have collected five losses, four draws and one victory in the past 10 home matches, scoring an average of 0.60 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

Fiorentina haven’t won any of their past eight away games. La Viola have managed five losses, four draws and one victory in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.90 goals per game and conceding 1.70.

When previously meeting at Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma and Fiorentina played out a 1-1 draw. The previous 4 H2H meetings at Stadio Ennio Tardini have ended in two draws along with a victory for Parma and Fiorentina.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Parma Home Stats		1-4-5	1.80	0.60	1.20	3	7	4	6
Fiorentina Away Stats		1-4-5	2.60	0.90	1.70	6	4	6	4

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Parma vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for Parma vs Fiorentina before making your bets. Get the predicted and confirmed Serie A lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Parma Team Page Fiorentina Team Page

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