Parma vs Lecce Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 04 Oct 2025
Serie A Betting Preview: Parma vs Lecce
Parma host Lecce in this Italian Serie A game at Stadio Ennio Tardini, with kick-off set for 09:00 on Saturday 4 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
We have forecasted a low goal tally when Parma tackle Lecce. On this basis, we’ll secure a juicy price of -147 for Under 2.5 when it comes to betting on the Total Goals market.
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Parma were winners last time out. It was a 2-1 home win against Torino at Stadio Ennio Tardini. Carlos Cuesta's men recorded just 37% possession and had two shots on target, with Mateo Pellegrino scoring both of the goals.
Lecce hosted Bologna at Stadio Via del Mare in their previous game, ending in a 2-2 draw. I Salentini had just 33% possession and recorded four shots on goal, while Lassana Coulibaly and Francesco Camarda were on the scoresheet.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It was a 3-1 away victory for Lecce at Stadio Ennio Tardini when they last faced Parma. The previous 8 H2H games have resulted in three wins apiece and two draws.
| Serie A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Lecce |
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 17 | Parma |
11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 7:14 | 8 |
2 wins, 4 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 10.0 attempts. Parma have had 41.9% possession, 321.1 passes and 3.4 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.3 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 12.2 attempts, while their opponents have been awarded 3.9 corners.
Jacob Ondrejka is the top goalscorer with 4, Mateo Pellegrino has 2, with Patrick Cutrone and two other players on 1. Leading assistor is Emanuele Valeri with 2, while goalie Zion Suzuki has recorded 2 clean sheets.
Lecce have won 2, lost 4 and drawn 4, averaging 2.9 shots on goal, 9.8 attempts and 0.8 goals. The Apulia team average 40.3% possession, 313.6 passes, 4.1 corners awarded and 6.7 corners against, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 13.4 attempts and 4.8 shots on goal.
Lassana Coulibaly is top of the team’s scoring charts with 2, while Francesco Camarda, Tiago Gabriel, Konan N'Dri and Ylber Ramadani have 1. Nikola Krstovic has managed 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Wladimiro Falcone has 3 clean sheets to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
Parma confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Zion Suzuki (GK), Enrico Del Prato, Alessandro Circati, Abdoulaye N'Diaye, Sascha Britschgi, Oliver Soerensen, Adrian Bernabe, Mandela Keita, Emanuele Valeri, Mateo Pellegrino, Patrick Cutrone.
Lecce confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Wladimiro Falcone (GK), Danilo Veiga, Kialonda Gaspar, Tiago Gabriel, Antonino Gallo, Lassana Coulibaly, Ylber Ramadani, Medon Berisha, Santiago Pierotti, Nikola Stulic, Riccardo Sottil.
Parma vs Lecce Prediction & Betting Tips
We dive into the best Parma vs Lecce betting angles, including a key match prediction, our corners pick, correct score forecast, top player prop bets and a value-focused bet builder.
Match Prediction
There’s every chance that we’ll see a low goal count for this Serie A showdown. For this reason, we’ll take the odds of -147 about Under 2.5, with the two teams unlikely to deliver a combined three goals or more.
We’re always the first to know about team news, with our football tipsters also studying the latest Serie A form to enhance their view. You will also find a mixture of stats which provide some valuable predictions ahead of the action.
Key Parma vs Lecce league stats:
According to the odds, there’s a 59.5% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our tipsters have this probability somewhere between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
If you are looking for bigger odds, then you can combine Under 2.5 Goals with other selections in a Bet Builder. Load up the bet slip with the outcomes that you think will happen.
Thinking about placing a wager? Explore our updated guide filled with top betting offers, free bets, and promotions.
Correct Score Prediction
There are odds of +510 that the two teams play out a 1-1 scoreline. The correct score option is popular due to the potential return that can be achieved.
Player Prop Picks
Nikola Stulic (Lecce) hasn’t managed a shot on goal in three straight Serie A matches. We’ll go with the latest numbers and back him to go under the Shots on Target line at odds of -114.
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Santiago Pierotti (Lecce) has racked up two goals in his past eight Serie A games on the road. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing based on the stats and we’ll take a chance on him at odds of +550.
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Corners Prediction
Parma have not covered the 5.5 corners line in six consecutive home matches. If you agree with our verdict that the Parma Team Corners line is too big, go for odds of -104 that they go under.
Parma
Lecce
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Bet Builder Tips
We’re happy to go with a bet builder that has less than three goals in total, Lecce with the +0.5 Asian Handicap together with Nikola Stulic (Lecce) failing to have a shot on target.
The bet builder route is a great one for football fans requiring a tailored same-game multi on a match. Bettors enjoy creating a tailored wager based on their predictions for how a match is likely to turn out.
Parma vs Lecce Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Favourites Parma are regarded as the likeliest winners for this Serie A clash. The -114 about them triumphing means a 53% chance of coming out on top based on their current betting odds. Lecce are the +320 outsiders, with the draw being a different option which could yield dividends.
Asian Handicap betting is popular and you can wager Parma -0.5 at -112 should you want to go for the favourites, with Lecce +0.5 available at -110 and you will also win with the latter if it’s a draw.
The Total Goals market always provides an interesting angle and Under 2.5 Goals is the shortest-priced option. Both Teams to Score No is chalked up at -135 for anyone predicting one side or more to fail to find the net.
For those visiting the best betting sites, you are guaranteed a fantastic service for all the Serie A games. The hundreds of football markets always ensure lots of choice.
Mateo Pellegrino is the market leader at +500 to be First Goalscorer but if you think he will score the last goal, then a similar price can be found.
Parma are unbeaten over their previous three games at Stadio Ennio Tardini. Carlos Cuesta's men have racked up four draws, three wins and three losses in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.10.
Lecce have four draws, four defeats and two wins in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 0.90 goals per match and conceding 1.20.
Lecce won 3-1 when they last played Parma at Stadio Ennio Tardini. The past 3 H2H matches at Stadio Ennio Tardini have involved a victory for Parma, a win for Lecce and a draw.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Parma Home Stats |
3-4-3 | 2.20 | 1.10 | 1.10 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | |
Lecce Away Stats |
2-4-4 | 2.10 | 0.90 | 1.20 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
Parma League Stats
Lecce League Stats
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 4 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.10 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.20 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 0.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.40 corners awarded and 3.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.00 corners awarded and 4.50 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 4.10 corners awarded and 6.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.00 corners awarded and 6.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 41.90% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 38.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 40.30% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 42.40% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Parma this season are Mateo Pellegrino (2), Patrick Cutrone (1)
- Top Assistors for Parma this season are Emanuele Valeri (1)
Parma vs Lecce Lineups & Team News
Double-check the Parma vs Lecce team news before placing your bets. We’ll keep you posted with predicted and confirmed lineups for Serie A and all current injury news.
Parma Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Lecce Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Parma Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Lecce Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Parma Substitutes
- 7Adrian Benedyczak
- 8Nahuel Estevez
- 11Pontus Almqvist
- 18M. Fjoertoft Loevik
- 19Tjas Begic
- 24Christian Ordonez
- 30Milan Djuric
- 37Mariano Troilo
- 40Edoardo Corvi
- 63Nicolas Trabucchi
- 65Elia Plicco
- 66Filippo Rinaldi
Lecce Substitutes
- 1Christian Fruechtl
- 3Corrie Ndaba
- 5Jamil Siebert
- 6Alex Sala
- 11Konan N'Dri
- 14Thorir Helgason
- 19Lameck Banda
- 21Christ-Owen Kouassi
- 22Francesco Camarda
- 32Jasper Samooja
- 77Mohamed Kaba
- 80Niko Kovac
Previous Parma Lineups
Previous Lecce Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Serie A Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 26:12 | 24 |
| 2 | Roma | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 12:5 | 24 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 17:9 | 22 |
| 4 | Napoli | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Bologna | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:8 | 21 |
| 6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 19 |
| 7 | Como | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 12:6 | 18 |
| 8 | Sassuolo | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 9 | Lazio | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 10 | Udinese | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:17 | 15 |
| 11 | Cremonese | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12:13 | 14 |
| 12 | Torino | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:16 | 14 |
| 13 | Atalanta | 11 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 13:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Cagliari | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9:14 | 10 |
| 15 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 16 | Pisa | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8:14 | 9 |
| 17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 7:14 | 8 |
| 18 | Genoa | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8:16 | 7 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 6:16 | 6 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 9:18 | 5 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Bologna | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | 13 |
| 3 | Napoli | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | 13 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 13 |
| 5 | Como | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 6 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 10:5 | 12 |
| 7 | Roma | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7:3 | 12 |
| 8 | Lazio | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 10 |
| 9 | Udinese | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | 8 |
| 10 | Torino | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | 8 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 12 | Cremonese | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:6 | 6 |
| 14 | Pisa | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1:2 | 6 |
| 15 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 16 | Cagliari | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 17 | Hellas Verona | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 18 | Lecce | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
| 19 | Genoa | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2:8 | 3 |
| 20 | Fiorentina | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | 1 |
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