Parma vs Napoli Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 May 2025
Will Goals Be at a Premium?
We’re expecting a low goal tally when survial hopefuls Parma and league leaders Napoli go up against each other. The Total Goals market provides the opportunity to wager on Under 2.5 and the price of -110 looks attractive.
Napoli 2-1 Winners When Teams Last Met
Parma have suffered defeat in their last two games. Most recently, a 2-1 scoreline occurred on the road at Stadio Carlo Castellani against Empoli. I Crociati had most of the ball recording 54% possession and two shots on target, while Milan Djuric registered the goal.
Napoli played Genoa at home in their previous game. It was a 2-2 draw at Diego Armando Maradona. The Naples team enjoyed 59% possession and had eleven shots on goal, with Romelu Lukaku and Giacomo Raspadori finding the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
It’s been three victories on the bounce for Napoli when playing Parma. In the last encounter, home team Napoli claimed a 2-1 win at Diego Armando Maradona. The previous 6 games involving these sides have featured four Napoli wins and two Parma triumphs.
| Serie A | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |  Napoli |
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 18 |  Parma |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0:2 | 0 |
1 win, 3 losses and 6 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 3.6 shots on goal and 9.0 attempts. Parma have had 46.0% possession, 385.0 passes and 3.6 corners per game. On average, their opponents have scored 1.1 goals from 3.7 shots on goal and 13.0 attempts, while being awarded 5.1 corners.
Top goalscorers are Mateo Pellegrino and Jacob Ondrejka on 3 goals, while Milan Djuric has bagged 1. Leading assistor is Emanuele Valeri with 3, while goalie Zion Suzuki has recorded 3 clean sheets.
Napoli – Last 10 League GamesNapoli have won 6 and drawn 4, with an average of 1.5 goals from 13.3 attempts and 5.3 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 55.0% possession, 477.3 passes, 5.3 corners awarded and 4.5 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 0.6 goals from 9.2 attempts and 1.9 shots on goal.
Scott McTominay has top scored with 5 goals, while Romelu Lukaku and Giacomo Raspadori are next on 4 and 3. Romelu Lukaku is top assists provider with 3, while Alex Meret has kept 5 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Parma confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Zion Suzuki (GK), Alessandro Circati, Giovanni Leoni, Botond Balogh, Enrico Del Prato, Hernani, Mandela Keita, Simon Sohm, Emanuele Valeri, Ange-Yoan Bonny, Mateo Pellegrino.
Napoli confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Alex Meret (GK), Giovanni Di Lorenzo, Amir Rrahmani, Mathias Olivera, Leonardo Spinazzola, Billy Gilmour, Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa, Scott McTominay, Matteo Politano, Romelu Lukaku, Giacomo Raspadori.
Parma vs Napoli Prediction & Betting Tips
There’s a strong case when it comes to selecting Under 2.5 Goals for this Serie A encounter. There might not be fireworks between the two teams and we’ve snapped up the odds of -110.
A good deal of research goes into our football picks. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.
Key Parma vs Napoli league stats:
Under 2.5 Probability
According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This bet can therefore be backed with confidence.
Those wanting to back Under 2.5 Goals but in search of a bigger price could go for the Bet Builder option. This involves adding picks from other markets in the hunt for a nice pay out.
Correct Score Prediction
0
-
1
Napoli
Our prediction for the correct score is Napoli to land a 1-0 victory and this is available at +510. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.
Player Prop Picks
Mateo Pellegrino (Parma) has bagged at least one shot on goal in back-to-back Serie A home games. We’re anticipating that he is able to perform well and cover the Shots on Target line, with odds of -109 currently available.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Scott McTominay (Napoli) has racked up five goals in his past five Serie A matches. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +220 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Corners Prediction
It’s been three consecutive Napoli matches where the 9.5 Total Corners line has not been covered, while we’ve seen an average of 7.40 corners in the last five Parma games. We’re anticipating the sides to fall short of the line, with this Total Corners bet on offer at -125.
Parma
Napoli
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Bet Builder Tips
A bet builder can provide entertainment and we’ve got Under 2.5 goals, Napoli to triumph together with Mateo Pellegrino (Parma) to have one or more shots on target.
The bet builder option is great for football fans wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. Bettors enjoy creating a tailored wager based on their predictions for how a match is likely to turn out.
Parma vs Napoli Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Latest Full-Time Odds Suggest Napoli Victory
Some will want to go ahead and back Napoli at -222 to win this Serie A game. After all, this betting price suggests a 69% chance that the favourites end up succeeding. Parma are operating at larger odds than the opposition and the underdogs can be wagered at +575.
Napoli are available at -127 on the Asian Handicap -1. That means a victory by two or more goals against Parma triggers a payout and a one-goal triumph sees you get money back.
Under and Over 2.5 Goals backers are able to get similar odds on the Total Goals market. The Both Teams to Score No pick is -143 if you’re expecting at least one side will fail to find the net.
The top football betting sites cover Serie A matches in serious depth and there are hundreds of markets. We recommend scanning through the various bets before picking out the best angle.
Romelu Lukaku is the First Goalscorer Favourite
Those interested in Romelu Lukaku to find the net anytime are able to get +145. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +360.
Parma League Stats
Napoli League Stats
- 1 win, 3 defeats and 6 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 4 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 1 defeat and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 0.90 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 2.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.60 corners awarded and 5.10 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 4.80 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.70 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 1 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 4.50 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 3.90 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 46.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 42.10% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 55.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.90% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for Parma this season are Ange-Yoan Bonny (6), Milan Djuric (5), Dennis Man (4)
- Top Assistors for Parma this season are Emanuele Valeri (6), Dennis Man (4), Ange-Yoan Bonny (3)
Parma vs Napoli Lineups & Team News
Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Parma vs Napoli team news.
We’re on hand to provide you with full details of the latest Serie A squads.
Parma Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Napoli Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Parma Confirmed Lineup 3-5-2
Napoli Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Parma Substitutes
- 7Adrian Benedyczak
- 8Nahuel Estevez
- 10Adrian Bernabe
- 11Pontus Almqvist
- 17Jacob Ondrejka
- 18M. Fjoertoft Loevik
- 20Antoine Hainaut
- 21Alessandro Vogliacco
- 23Drissa Camara
- 30Milan Djuric
- 33R. Gabriel Marcone
- 40Edoardo Corvi
- 61Anas Haj Mohamed
- 63Nicolas Trabucchi
- 65Elia Plicco
Napoli Substitutes
- 7David Neres
- 14Nikita Contini
- 15Philip Billing
- 16Rafa Marin
- 18Giovanni Simeone
- 26Cyril Ngonge
- 29Luis Hasa
- 30Pasquale Mazzocchi
- 96Simone Scuffet
Previous Parma Lineups
Previous Napoli Lineups
Serie A Table
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Napoli | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Cremonese | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Roma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Atalanta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 | Cagliari | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 | Hellas Verona | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 | Pisa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 12 | Udinese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 13 | Genoa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 14 | Lecce | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 15 | AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 16 | Bologna | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 17 | Lazio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 18 | Parma | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 19 | Sassuolo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 20 | Torino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter Milan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Como | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Juventus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Roma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 5 | Atalanta | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 6 | Cagliari | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 | Udinese | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 | Genoa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 9 | Napoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Cremonese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Fiorentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Hellas Verona | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | Pisa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Lecce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Bologna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Lazio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 17 | Parma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 18 | Torino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 19 | AC Milan | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 20 | Sassuolo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
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