Pisa vs Fiorentina Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Sep 2025

Serie A Betting Preview: Pisa vs Fiorentina

Pisa host Fiorentina in this Italian Serie A clash at Stadio Romeo Anconetani, with kick-off set for 09:00 on Sunday 28 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Back Pisa to Make Life Difficult for Fiorentina

Pisa +0.25 on the Asian Handicap could be the way forward at -112. They should be able to avoid defeat against Fiorentina, with our stake split between 0 and +0.5, meaning a victory is the desired outcome.

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Both Teams Dealt Losing Blow in Previous Game

Pisa have suffered defeat in their last three games. Most recently, a 3-2 scoreline occurred away at Diego Armando Maradona against Napoli. Alberto Gilardino's side had just 36% possession and recorded six shots on target, while M'Bala Nzola and Lorran each scored one goal.

On Thursday night, Pisa were defeated 1-0 when visiting Torino in the Coppa Italia.

Fiorentina have been defeated in back-to-back Serie A outings. In a recent home game at Stadio Artemio Franchi, they were turned over 2-1 by Como. The Florence club recorded just 38% possession and had one shot on goal, while Rolando Mandragora found the net.

Serie A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
17	Fiorentina	4	0	2	2	3	6	-3	3:6	2
19	Pisa	4	0	1	3	3	6	-3	3:6	1

View Full Table

Pisa have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 3.5 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts. Alberto Gilardino's side have averaged 44.1% possession and 4.2 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.2 goals from 3.4 shots on goal, 10.7 attempts and 5.4 corners.

The three top scorers are Idrissa Toure, Alexander Lind and Matteo Tramoni, with these players all scoring 2 goals. Stefano Moreo is the leading assists maker on 2.

Fiorentina have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.4 goals from 11.8 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 53.6% possession, 438.0 passes, 3.9 corners awarded and 4.5 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.5 goals from 11.8 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal.

Rolando Mandragora is the leading scorer with 4 goals, followed by Moise Kean on 2, with Luca Ranieri and two others bagging 1. Albert Gudmundsson and Yacine Adli have been top assists providers with 2, while David De Gea has kept one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Pisa predicted lineup (3-5-2): Adrian Semper (GK), Simone Canestrelli, Antonio Caracciolo, Mateus Lusuardi, Idrissa Touré, Michel Aebischer, Matteo Tramoni, Ebenezer Akinsanmiro, Samuele Angori, Stefano Moreo, M'Bala Nzola.

Fiorentina predicted lineup (3-5-2): David De Gea (GK), Pietro Comuzzo, Marin Pongračić, Luca Ranieri, Dodo, Rolando Mandragora, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Jacopo Fazzini, Robin Gosens, Moise Kean, Roberto Piccoli.

Pisa vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips

Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Pisa vs Fiorentina, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, corners insight, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.

Match Prediction

Pisa +0.25 look like a value bet on the Asian Handicap. We think that the hosts have a good chance of recording a win in this Serie A game and it’s therefore a confident selection at -112.

The football betting tips are created after keeping tabs on the latest Serie A team news along with the form guide. We also delve into the latest stats which can provide a barometer for how the action might play out.

Key Pisa vs Fiorentina league stats:

• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fiorentina in 4 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fiorentina in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Fiorentina in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.

Pisa +0.25 Probability

The best betting sites make it a 52.9% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

Buying and selling goals is something that can be done if you want to move the existing line. Take a position according to your viewpoint, whether you want more risk or reward.

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Our Match Prediction

Pisa Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -112 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Pisa 1 - 0 Fiorentina

We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves Pisa winning 1-0. Odds of +650 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Rolando Mandragora Over 0.5 Shots On Target -125

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina) has finished with one or more shots on goal in five consecutive Serie A matches. We’re expecting him to produce a high level of performance and cover the Shots on Target line, with odds of -125 on offer.

Latest Rolando Mandragora Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+390

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-125

Shots

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

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Stefano Moreo to Score +360

Stefano Moreo (Pisa) has racked up four goals in his past nine league matches on home soil. We think there’s value in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop bet at +360 which will hopefully see him find the net.

Latest Stefano Moreo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+360

First

+800

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-167

Shots

Over 2.5

+143

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Pisa Over 3.5 Corners -150

The past 10 Pisa home games have involved them having an average of 5.60 corners, with Fiorentina conceding over 3.5 corners in their previous three matches. We’re expecting history to be repeated and that would mean the Pisa Team Corners line is covered at -150.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Pisa

Total

9.60 4.20 5.40

Home

8.40 5.60 2.80

Away

7.70 3.30 4.40

Fiorentina

Total

8.40 3.90 4.50

Home

7.00 2.60 4.40

Away

8.30 3.60 4.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 8.5

-130

Under 8.5

-110

Pisa Corners

Over 3.5

-150

Under 3.5

+110

Fiorentina Corners

Over 4.5

-100

Under 4.5

-138

Most Corners

1

+112

X

+575

2

+102

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Pisa vs Fiorentina Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Fiorentina Full-Time Odds Suggest Victory

Fiorentina are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this Serie A encounter. The +123 for them coming out on top suggests a 45% probability based on their latest betting odds. For those wanting to back Pisa, you will find +230 about this outsider.

Fiorentina and Pisa can be backed at -175 and +128 respectively on the Draw No Bet market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want to ensure they have money back if the scoreline ends level.

When it comes to the Total Goals market, Under 2.5 is the shortest price for this exciting contest. A different wager could be betting BTTS No where you can land -133 when it comes to the Both Teams to Score No market.

It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever Serie A game interests you. The top football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.

Full-Time Result

1

+230

X

+220

2

+123

Half-Time Result

1

+295

X

+105

2

+188

Double Chance

1X

-161

12

-303

X2

-313

Draw No Bet

1

+128

2

-175

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-112

2 Hcp -0.25

-110

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-175

Over 2.5

+133

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-100

No

-133

Moise Kean Heads First Goalscorer Market

Those interested in Moise Kean to find the net anytime can get +175, with the favourite on offer to score the first goal at odds of +350.

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

First

+175

Anytime

+350

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

First

+245

Anytime

+475

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

First

+290

Anytime

+550

Matteo Tramoni (Pisa)

First

+310

Anytime

+600

Stefano Moreo (Pisa)

First

+360

Anytime

+800

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

First

+380

Anytime

+800

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

First

+390

Anytime

+850

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

First

+510

Anytime

+1100

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Fiorentina)

First

+600

Anytime

+1200

Idrissa Touré (Pisa)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Gabriele Piccinini (Pisa)

First

+800

Anytime

+1800

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Mehdi Leris (Pisa)

First

+850

Anytime

+1700

Michel Aebischer (Pisa)

First

+950

Anytime

+2000

Simone Canestrelli (Pisa)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Robin Gosens (Fiorentina)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Cher Ndour (Fiorentina)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Marius Mihai Marin (Pisa)

First

+1000

Anytime

+2000

Simon Sohm (Fiorentina)

First

+1050

Anytime

+1900

Malthe Højholt (Pisa)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-213

Under 0.5

+133

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

+108

Matteo Tramoni (Pisa)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-105

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-125

Under 0.5

-125

Stefano Moreo (Pisa)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-167

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-143

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+133

Under 0.5

-213

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-238

Hans Nicolussi Caviglia (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-278

Idrissa Touré (Pisa)

Over 0.5

+185

Under 0.5

-313

Nicolò Fagioli (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+225

Under 0.5

-400

Gabriele Piccinini (Pisa)

Over 0.5

+260

Under 0.5

-500

Robin Gosens (Fiorentina)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-526

Michel Aebischer (Pisa)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

Simone Canestrelli (Pisa)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-1111

Moise Kean (Fiorentina)

Over 3.5

+115

Under 3.5

-

Roberto Piccoli (Fiorentina)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Edin Dzeko (Fiorentina)

Over 2.5

-110

Under 2.5

-

Stefano Moreo (Pisa)

Over 2.5

+143

Under 2.5

-

Rolando Mandragora (Fiorentina)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Matteo Tramoni (Pisa)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Albert Gudmundsson (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

-143

Under 1.5

-

Jacopo Fazzini (Fiorentina)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Idrissa Touré (Pisa)

Over 1.5

+155

Under 1.5

-

Simone Canestrelli (Pisa)

Over 0.5

-115

Under 0.5

-

Past Ten Pisa Games at Home Have Yielded Five Wins

Pisa have finished with five wins, four losses and one draw in the last 10 home matches, scoring an average of 1.40 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

Fiorentina have not tasted an away defeat in three straight matches. Stefano Pioli's team have recorded five losses, three draws and two wins in the previous 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per match and conceding 1.40.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Pisa Home Stats		5-1-4	2.50	1.40	1.10	5	5	5	5
Fiorentina Away Stats		2-3-5	2.50	1.10	1.40	6	4	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Pisa vs Fiorentina Lineups & Team News

Avoid surprises — review the Pisa vs Fiorentina team news before you bet. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for Serie A together with updated injury news.

Pisa Team Page Fiorentina Team Page