Poland vs Netherlands Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Nov 2025
World Cup qualifying Betting Preview: Poland vs Netherlands
It's a top-of-the-table clash as Poland welcome Netherlands to the National Stadium in Warszawa, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Friday 14 November. Our Group G betting preview features expert World Cup qualifying predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats and team news.
Poland and Netherlands are set for a relatively high-scoring clash, with Over 2.5 looking like the best pick when it comes to the Total Goals market. There are odds of -147 for this outcome and that looks worth taking.
Poland won last time out by a 2-0 scoreline. It was away from home against Lithuania at Dariaus Ir Gireno Stadium in the World Cup qualifier. Jan Urban's side enjoyed 52% possession and had six shots on target, while Sebastian Szymanski and Robert Lewandowski scored one goal each.
Netherlands won their previous game, beating Finland at home. It was a 4-0 World Cup qualifying victory at Johan Cruyff Arena. The Oranje had six shots on goal and enjoyed 68% possession, while Donyell Malen, Virgil van Dijk, Memphis Depay and Cody Gakpo found the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Netherlands boast an unbeaten record in the past six games against Poland, with the last clash ending 1-1 at De Kuip. The past 6 H2H meetings have featured four Netherlands wins and two draws.
| Europe World Cup Qualification | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands |
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 4 | 23 | 27:4 | 20 |
| 2 | Poland |
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14:7 | 17 |
Poland have 4 wins, 4 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 6.3 shots on goal and 16.0 attempts. The Eagles have averaged 47.0% possession, 404.3 passes and 5.7 corners per game, with their opponents scoring 1.7 goals from 4.3 shots on goal, 11.8 attempts and 3.6 corners.
Top scorer Robert Lewandowski has found the net 3 times, with Sebastian Szymanski, Matty Cash, Karol Swiderski and Piotr Zielinski getting 2 goals each. Robert Lewandowski, Piotr Zielinski and Jakub Kaminski have the most assists with 2, while goalie Lukasz Skorupski has recorded 3 clean sheets.
Netherlands have won 6, lost 1 and drawn 3, with an average of 15.0 attempts, 6.9 shots on goal and 3.6 goals. Ronald Koeman's team average 63.4% possession, 5.7 corners awarded and 2.7 corners against them, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 3.4 shots on goal and 7.8 attempts.
Memphis Depay is top of the team’s scoring charts with 8, Cody Gakpo has 5, with Donyell Malen and Denzel Dumfries both on 3. Memphis Depay and Denzel Dumfries have both had 4 assists, with Bart Verbruggen notching 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
Poland confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Kamil Grabara (GK), Jan Ziolkowski, Tomasz Kedziora, Jakub Kiwior, Matty Cash, Sebastian Szymanski, Piotr Zielinski, Michal Skoras, Jakub Kaminski, Nicola Zalewski, Robert Lewandowski.
Netherlands confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Bart Verbruggen (GK), Lutsharel Geertruida, Jurrien Timber, Virgil van Dijk, Micky van de Ven, Ryan Gravenberch, Frenkie de Jong, Donyell Malen, Justin Kluivert, Cody Gakpo, Memphis Depay.
Poland vs Netherlands Prediction & Betting Tips
Join us as we dissect the best Poland vs Netherlands betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to a sharp corners pick, top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.
Match Prediction
The odds of -147 look too big to resist when it comes to wagering Over 2.5 Goals. We are confident of a return in this World Cup qualifying game and this provides us with a nice betting angle.
The football experts at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of World Cup qualifying stats and present the key numbers to our readers.
Key Poland vs Netherlands stats:
The latest odds imply that our pick has a 59.5% prospect of winning. However, we think that the probability sits between 65-70% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value bet.
There are a number of bigger-priced alternatives when it comes to backing Over 2.5 Goals, especially for those that have an opinion on the winning team. Check out the Result & Total Goals market.
Thinking about claiming free bets? Our bonus guide lists the best sign-up offers from the biggest names in betting.
Correct Score Prediction
An exciting bet could be a 2-1 victory in favor of Netherlands at odds of +650. A correct score wager provides a fun alternative and a nice potential return on the cards.
Player Prop Picks
Wout Weghorst (Netherlands) hasn’t recorded a shot on goal in four consecutive matches away from home. There’s every chance that he will fall short of the mark, with odds of +108 available that he doesn’t cover the Shots on Target line.
Memphis Depay (Netherlands) has scored in four consecutive games on the road. The Anytime Goalscorer odds look really appealing based on the stats and we’ll take a chance on him at odds of +116.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
Poland have covered the 3.5 corners line in eight straight games. The latest stats suggest that it’s worth backing Poland to cover the Team Corners line, with -110 available.
Poland
Netherlands
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Take a same-game multi that incorporates at least three goals to be scored, Netherlands to claim a victory and also Poland to have over 3.5 corners.
Placing a bet builder means you can have various selections for one football match. If a bettor has all predictions correct, it’s possible to land a nice pay out from a relatively small amount of money.
Poland vs Netherlands Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
The Netherlands betting odds are -119 which means that they’re favourites to land victory in this World Cup qualifying encounter. It’s also suggested by the bookies that this team have a 54% chance of winning. If you want to wager on the underdog, Poland have been priced up at +335.
The Total Goals market indicates that Over 2.5 Goals is the betting favourite right now. An alternative angle is a Both Teams to Score bet and Yes has been chalked up at -164.
Bettors love the flexibility that hundreds of markets provide and that is for every World Cup qualifying game. The best football betting sites ensure that their customers always have plenty of options.
Memphis Depay is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +330 and if you’re keen to back him to simply find the net, then the price is +116.
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. G: 12/10 Lithuania 0 Poland2
- Friendlies: 09/10 Poland 1 New Zealand0
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. G: 07/09 Poland 3 Finland1
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. G: 04/09 Netherlands 1 Poland1
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. G: 10/06 Finland 2 Poland1
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. G: 12/10 Netherlands 4 Finland0
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. G: 09/10 Malta 0 Netherlands4
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. G: 07/09 Lithuania 2 Netherlands3
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. G: 04/09 Netherlands 1 Poland1
- World Cup Qualification UEFA 1st Round Grp. G: 10/06 Netherlands 8 Malta0
- Europe World Cup Qualification: 04/09 2025 Netherlands 1 Poland 1
- Euro 2028: 16/06 2024 Poland 1 Netherlands 2
- Nations League: 22/09 2022 Poland 0 Netherlands 2
- Nations League: 11/06 2022 Netherlands 2 Poland 2
- Nations League: 18/11 2020 Poland 1 Netherlands 2
- Nations League: 04/09 2020 Netherlands 1 Poland 0
Latest competitive match stats. Full Time Result and Goals.
Poland Stats
Netherlands Stats
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.60 goals scored and 1.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.60 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.00 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 3.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 3.10 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.50 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 2.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 6.10 corners awarded and 2.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 47.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 51.00% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
Poland vs Netherlands Lineups & Team News
Don’t bet on Poland vs Netherlands without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll share the confirmed lineups for the World Cup qualifier plus the newest injury information.
Poland Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Netherlands Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Poland Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
Netherlands Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
Poland Substitutes
- 1Mateusz Kochalski
- 3Kryspin Szczesniak
- 6Filip Rozga
- 7Karol Swiderski
- 8Bartosz Kapustka
- 11Kamil Grosicki
- 15Pawel Wszolek
- 16Adam Buksa
- 17Kacper Kozlowski
- 18Bartosz Bereszynski
- 22Bartlomiej Dragowski
Netherlands Substitutes
- 5Nathan Ake
- 6Matthijs de Ligt
- 7Xavi Simons
- 9Emanuel Emegha
- 12Jan Paul van Hecke
- 13Robin Roefs
- 14Tijjani Reijnders
- 16Jerdy Schouten
- 17Noa Lang
- 20Quinten Timber
- 22Luciano Valente
- 23Mark Flekken
Previous Poland Lineups
Previous Netherlands Lineups
Poland Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Jan Urban
Netherlands Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 12 |
| 3 | Northern Ireland | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 9 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1:13 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:2 | 14 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Sweden | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:12 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Scotland | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Denmark | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 11 |
| 3 | Greece | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:12 | 7 |
| 4 | Belarus | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:17 | 2 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10:11 | 10 |
| 3 | Iceland | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13:11 | 7 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21:2 | 16 |
| 2 | Turkey | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17:12 | 13 |
| 3 | Georgia | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7:15 | 3 |
| 4 | Bulgaria | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:19 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Ireland | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 10 |
| 3 | Hungary | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 8 |
| 4 | Armenia | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:19 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27:4 | 20 |
| 2 | Poland | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Finland | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 4 | Malta | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:19 | 5 |
| 5 | Lithuania | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:4 | 19 |
| 2 | Bosnia and H. | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Romania | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Cyprus | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:11 | 8 |
| 5 | San Marino | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2:39 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 37:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Italy | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 21:12 | 18 |
| 3 | Israel | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 19:20 | 12 |
| 4 | Estonia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:21 | 4 |
| 5 | Moldova | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:32 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 29:7 | 18 |
| 2 | Wales | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21:11 | 16 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | 8 |
| 5 | Liechtenstein | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0:31 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 22:0 | 24 |
| 2 | Albania | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 14 |
| 3 | Serbia | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | 13 |
| 4 | Latvia | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | 5 |
| 5 | Andorra | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3:16 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Croatia | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26:4 | 22 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:8 | 16 |
| 3 | Faroe Islands | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 11:9 | 12 |
| 4 | Montenegro | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3:28 | 0 |
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