Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 16 Mar 2026

Championship Betting Preview: Portsmouth vs Derby

Portsmouth welcome Derby to Fratton Park, with kick-off set for 16:00 on Monday 16 March.

Our stake will be split when taking Derby +0.25 at odds of -100 for this Asian Handicap bet. It means a return in the event of a draw but a bigger payout should the visitors claim a win against Portsmouth.

Portsmouth have lost their last three home games, most recently being beaten 2-1 by Swansea City at Fratton Park. Pompey enjoyed 59% possession and had four shots on target, with Jacob Brown being the goalscorer.

Derby County have suffered a defeat in their previous three road games including a recent 1-0 loss. This occurred at The Den against Millwall. The East Midlands team enjoyed 50% possession and had one shot on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Derby are unbeaten when it comes to the past seven games against Portsmouth, with the last clash ending in a 1-1 draw at Pride Park. The previous 7 H2H games have featured six draws and one Derby victory.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Derby	37	15	9	13	54	48	6	54:48	54
20	Portsmouth	36	10	10	16	36	47	-11	36:47	40

View Full Table

3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 14.4 attempts. Pompey have had 56.6% possession and 7.4 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.1 goals from 2.9 shots on goal and 7.4 attempts, while being awarded 2.9 corners.

Top scorers are Ebou Adams and Terry Devlin on 2 goals, while Jacob Brown has racked up 1. The top assist makers are Zak Swanson, Jacob Brown and Regan Poole, all of whom have 1 on the board.

Derby have won 5, lost 4 and drawn 1, averaging 3.8 shots on goal, 12.0 attempts and 1.8 goals. The Rams average 47.8% possession, 2.6 corners taken and 4.3 corners against them, while 1.3 goals have been conceded from 11.6 attempts and 3.5 shots on goal.

The top scorers have been Rhian Brewster on 4, followed by Ben Brereton Diaz and Patrick Agyemang with 3. Joe Ward, Derry Murkin and Callum Elder have been the top assists providers with 2 in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Portsmouth predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Nicolas Schmid (GK), Terry Devlin, Madiodio Dia, Connor Ogilvie, Zak Swanson, Marlon Pack, Ebou Adams, Gustavo Caballero, Jacob Brown, Conor Chaplin, Colby Bishop.

Derby predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Richard O´Donnell (GK), Joe Ward, Dion Sanderson, Matt Clarke, Derry Murkin, David Ozoh, Lewis Travis, Ben Brereton Díaz, Samuel Szmodics, Rhian Brewster, Patrick Agyemang.

Portsmouth vs Derby Prediction & Betting Tips

Join us as we dissect the best Portsmouth vs Derby betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to a sharp corners pick, top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Derby +0.25 at -100 have the look of a value bet on the Asian Handicap. We give them a good chance of landing a victory in this Championship clash and it’s therefore a pick we’ll back with confidence.

We’re always the first to know about team news, with our football tipsters also studying the latest Championship form to enhance their view. You will also find a mixture of stats which provide some valuable predictions ahead of the action.

Key Portsmouth vs Derby league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 13 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Derby in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Portsmouth in 4 consecutive games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Portsmouth in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Portsmouth in 14 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Portsmouth in 7 consecutive games against Derby.

According to the top bookmakers, our pick has a 50% chance of landing a return. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

If you want to back Derby without taking them on the Asian Handicap, there’s the alternative to go for a Winning Margin wager instead. There are lots of different options here.

Discover the best value in betting. Our expert guide lists today’s top free bets, promo codes and new customer bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Derby Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -100 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 14, 22:27). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Portsmouth 0 - 1 Derby

We’re taking a chance on Derby to achieve a 1-0 winning scoreline. Odds of +700 means we can place a smaller stake and still achieve a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Patrick Agyemang to Score +280

Patrick Agyemang (Derby) has registered six goals in his past ten Championship games away from home. We’re content to land the +280 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.

Latest Patrick Agyemang Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+280

First

+700

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -125

The 10.5 Total Corners line has not been covered in ten consecutive Derby games, with the last five Portsmouth home matches averaging 9.20 corners. We’re anticipating the sides to fall short of the line, with this Total Corners bet on offer at -125.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Portsmouth

Total

10.30 7.40 2.90

Home

10.10 6.30 3.80

Away

10.70 6.20 4.50

Derby

Total

6.90 2.60 4.30

Home

10.10 5.70 4.40

Away

8.90 3.60 5.30

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-125

Portsmouth Corners

Over 5.5

-139

Under 5.5

-102

Derby Corners

Over 4.5

+107

Under 4.5

-152

Most Corners

1

-192

X

+650

2

+185

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Portsmouth vs Derby Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

For this Championship encounter, the bookmakers have Portsmouth as the +107 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 48% chance of triumphing. If you’re searching for a different slant, Derby County are available at +255.

Portsmouth and Derby can be backed at -213 and +145 respectively on the Draw No Bet market. This is an ideal route for bettors who want to ensure they have money back if the scoreline ends level.

The Total Goals market is a great option and Under 2.5 Goals has the shortest odds right now. For the Both Teams to Score betting option, it’s up in the air odds-wise as to whether Yes or No will be the end result.

The recommended football betting sites will provide a first-class service and that includes getting hundreds of markets. Scan through them for any Championship match and take your pick.

Full-Time Result

1

+107

X

+230

2

+255

Half-Time Result

1

+170

X

+110

2

+300

Double Chance

1X

-370

12

-333

X2

-143

Draw No Bet

1

-213

2

+145

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-130

2 Hcp +0.25

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-143

Over 2.5

+106

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-125

No

-111

There is +190 available that Colby Bishop finds the net, while he is available at +475 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Colby Bishop (Portsmouth)

First

+190

Anytime

+475

Carlton Morris (Derby)

First

+200

Anytime

+480

Caballero, Gustavo (PRY) (Portsmouth)

First

+270

Anytime

+650

Patrick Agyemang (Derby)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Thomas Waddingham (Portsmouth)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Harvey Blair (Portsmouth)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Rhian Brewster (Derby)

First

+300

Anytime

+750

Adrian Segecic (Portsmouth)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Florian Bianchini (Portsmouth)

First

+360

Anytime

+850

Sammie Szmodics (Derby)

First

+400

Anytime

+1000

Conor Chaplin (Portsmouth)

First

+460

Anytime

+1050

Ben Brereton (Derby)

First

+460

Anytime

+1100

Connor Ogilvie (Portsmouth)

First

+575

Anytime

+1400

John Swift (Portsmouth)

First

+650

Anytime

+1600

Bobby Clark (Derby)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Ebou Adams (Portsmouth)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Terry Devlin (Portsmouth)

First

+750

Anytime

+2000

Luke Le Roux (Portsmouth)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Oscar Fraulo (Derby)

First

+800

Anytime

+2000

Derry John Murkin (Derby)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Joe Ward (Derby)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Portsmouth have suffered three consecutive losses at Fratton Park. Pompey have recorded five defeats, three victories and two draws in the previous 10 home matches, netting an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.30.

The previous three Derby away matches have seen them beaten. The East Midlands team have five defeats, four wins and one draw in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.60 goals per match and conceding 1.30.

The last Fratton Park meeting saw Portsmouth and Derby draw 2-2. A draw has occurred in each of the past 3 H2H meetings at Fratton Park.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Portsmouth Home Stats		3-2-5	2.40	1.10	1.30	5	5	6	4
Derby Away Stats		4-1-5	2.90	1.60	1.30	6	4	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Portsmouth vs Derby Live Streaming Watch Live Geo-restrictions apply. To use the services you need to be logged in, a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours.

Portsmouth vs Derby Lineups & Team News

Before making your bets, take a look at the Portsmouth vs Derby team news. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Portsmouth Team Page Derby County Team Page

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