Portsmouth vs Watford Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 01 Oct 2025

Championship Betting Preview: Portsmouth vs Watford

Portsmouth host Watford in this Championship encounter at Fratton Park, with kick-off set for 14:45 on Wednesday 1 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Go For Under 2.5 Goals With Confidence

If you agree with our view of a low-scoring contest between Portsmouth and Watford, then you can get odds of -147 about Under 2.5 on the Total Goals market. We think this has a strong chance of landing.

Going with our Total Goals selection? Our BetMGM review has all the details—and the promo code can add extra value to your stake.

1-0 Win for Pompey in Pair’s Previous Clash

Portsmouth have lost back-to-back Championship games. Away from home, they recently suffered a 2-1 defeat against Ipswich Town at Portman Road. John Mousinho's team had 50% possession and four shots on target, with Marlon Pack being the goalscorer.

Watford won their previous game which was at home. It was a 2-1 triumph at Vicarage Road against Hull City. The Hornets had the lion’s share of the ball recording 56% possession and eight shots on goal, while Imran Louza and Vivaldo Semedo were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two sides previously met at Fratton Park, with Portsmouth landing the home victory. Defeating Watford by a 1-0 scoreline.

Championship		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
16	Watford	7	2	2	3	7	8	-1	7:8	8
17	Portsmouth	7	2	2	3	5	7	-2	5:7	8

View Full Table

Pompey have 3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 0.8 goals from 11.1 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal. John Mousinho's team have averaged 49.7% possession and 5.6 corners per game, conceding 0.9 goals and 4.2 corners from 10.9 attempts and 3.7 shots on goal.

Top goalscorers are Colby Bishop and Adrian Segecic on 2 goals, while Marlon Pack has bagged 1. John Swift and Josh Murphy have been top assistors with 2.

Watford have 2 victories, 5 defeats and 3 draws, averaging 3.6 shots on goal, 11.1 attempts and 0.9 goals. The Hornets average 51.3% possession, 4.0 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against, while 1.2 goals have been conceded from 10.8 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal.

Nestory Irankunda and Luca Kjerrumgaard have scored 2 goals, followed by Imran Louza with 1. Imran Louza has had 4 assists in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Portsmouth predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Josef Bursik (GK), Zak Swanson, Regan Poole, Josh Knight, Connor Ogilvie, Márk Kosznovszky, Andre Dozzell, Adrian Segecic, Luke Le Roux, Min-hyeok Yang, Colby Bishop.

Watford predicted lineup (3-1-4-2): Nathan Baxter (GK), Max Alleyne, Jeremy Ngakia, Mattie Pollock, Imran Louza, Jeremy Petris, Nampalys Mendy, Edo Kayembe, Kevin Keben, Vivaldo Semedo, Nestory Irankunda.

Portsmouth vs Watford Prediction & Betting Tips

Join us as we dissect the best Portsmouth vs Watford betting tips — from our expert match prediction and correct score advice to a sharp corners pick, top player prop insights and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Our research tells us that odds of -147 about Under 2.5 Goals looks like a solid wager for this Championship clash. This bet has a strong chance of landing a return according to the numbers.

The first step involves analysing the form and also getting an idea of the injury situation before making any football picks. Then it’s a case of consulting the latest Championship stats and seeing if they can inform our opinion.

Key Portsmouth vs Watford league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Portsmouth games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Portsmouth games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 2 Portsmouth games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Watford games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Watford games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Watford games on the road.

Under 2.5 Probability

The latest odds imply that our pick has a 59.5% prospect of winning. Based on our tipsters research, we calculate the actual probability to be 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

Bettors looking for an alternative at bigger odds might want to take a look at the Under 1.5 Goals option which will pay out providing we see no more than one goal being scored during the ninety minutes.

Power up your bet with the latest free bets, sign-up bonuses and premium betting offers found in our in-depth guide.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -147 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Portsmouth 1 - 0 Watford

You can secure odds of +575 that Portsmouth are able to land a 1-0 victory. Correct score betting can provide plenty of fun and it’s a way of landing bigger odds.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Vivaldo Semedo Over 0.5 Shots On Target -128

Vivaldo Semedo (Watford) can be backed at -128 to register one or more shots on goal. We’ll take a chance with this Shots on Target pick as the betting odds look pretty attractive.

Latest Vivaldo Semedo Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+310

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-122

Shots

Over 2.5

+132

Under 2.5

-

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Adrian Segecic to Score +310

Adrian Segecic (Portsmouth) has scored two goals in his past seven Championship games. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer selection at odds of +310.

Latest Adrian Segecic Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+310

First

+650

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-118

Shots

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Watford Under 4.5 Corners -150

Watford have had under 4.5 corners in three consecutive away games, while the previous 10 Portsmouth home matches have seen them concede an average of 3.20 corners. There’s a chance to go under the Watford Team Corners line and we’re confident this will happen, with odds of -150 on offer.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Portsmouth

Total

9.80 5.60 4.20

Home

9.60 6.40 3.20

Away

9.80 4.40 5.40

Watford

Total

8.90 4.00 4.90

Home

10.10 6.00 4.10

Away

8.80 4.00 4.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-108

Under 10.5

-132

Portsmouth Corners

Over 5.5

-120

Under 5.5

-120

Watford Corners

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-150

Most Corners

1

-141

X

+650

2

+155

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Portsmouth vs Watford Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Latest Match Odds Suggest Pompey Win

With a 46% chance of winning according to the latest odds, Portsmouth are favourites to prosper in this Championship encounter and they’re available at +117 with the bookies. Watford are trading at a bigger price than their opponents and the outsiders can be backed at +230.

There’s the chance to back Portsmouth at -114 if you want to take them on the Asian Handicap -0.25. There’s a full payout if they beat Watford but also half stake returned if the scoreline ends level.

Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. The Both Teams to Score market is intriguing, with the Yes and No options evenly-matched.

If you head to our recommended betting sites, then you can’t go wrong with the hundreds of markets available for each Championship match. Go through the options and choose your football bet.

Full-Time Result

1

+117

X

+230

2

+230

Half-Time Result

1

+180

X

+112

2

+275

Double Chance

1X

-333

12

-333

X2

-159

Draw No Bet

1

-179

2

+132

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-114

2 Hcp +0.25

-108

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-147

Over 2.5

+114

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-115

No

-120

Colby Bishop Favourite to Score the First Goal

There is +200 available that Colby Bishop finds the net at any stage. He is available at +460 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Colby Bishop (Portsmouth)

First

+200

Anytime

+460

Luca Tange Kjerrumgaard (Watford)

First

+280

Anytime

+550

Josh Murphy (Portsmouth)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Adrian Segecic (Portsmouth)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Vivaldo Semedo (Watford)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Nestory Irankunda (Watford)

First

+350

Anytime

+750

Harvey Blair (Portsmouth)

First

+370

Anytime

+700

Conor Chaplin (Portsmouth)

First

+450

Anytime

+950

Florian Bianchini (Portsmouth)

First

+450

Anytime

+950

Kwadwo Baah (Watford)

First

+500

Anytime

+1050

Edo Kayembe (Watford)

First

+540

Anytime

+1100

Moussa Sissoko (Watford)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

John Swift (Portsmouth)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Rocco Vata (Watford)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Giorgi Chakvetadze (Watford)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Imran Louza (Watford)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Terry Devlin (Portsmouth)

First

+850

Anytime

+1800

Luke Le Roux (Portsmouth)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Regan Poole (Portsmouth)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Andre Dozzell (Portsmouth)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Zak Swanson (Portsmouth)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Colby Bishop (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

+120

Luca Tange Kjerrumgaard (Watford)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

+110

Adrian Segecic (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-118

Vivaldo Semedo (Watford)

Over 0.5

-128

Under 0.5

-122

Josh Murphy (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-137

Nestory Irankunda (Watford)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-149

Harvey Blair (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-161

Conor Chaplin (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-227

Florian Bianchini (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-238

Kwadwo Baah (Watford)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-250

Edo Kayembe (Watford)

Over 0.5

+175

Under 0.5

-294

Rocco Vata (Watford)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-345

Moussa Sissoko (Watford)

Over 0.5

+205

Under 0.5

-370

John Swift (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-400

Terry Devlin (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-556

Regan Poole (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-769

Andre Dozzell (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-769

Zak Swanson (Portsmouth)

Over 0.5

+350

Under 0.5

-769

Colby Bishop (Portsmouth)

Over 2.5

-123

Under 2.5

-

Luca Tange Kjerrumgaard (Watford)

Over 2.5

-111

Under 2.5

-

Adrian Segecic (Portsmouth)

Over 2.5

+128

Under 2.5

-

Vivaldo Semedo (Watford)

Over 2.5

+132

Under 2.5

-

Josh Murphy (Portsmouth)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Nestory Irankunda (Watford)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

-

Conor Chaplin (Portsmouth)

Over 1.5

+107

Under 1.5

-

Florian Bianchini (Portsmouth)

Over 1.5

+132

Under 1.5

-

Four Portsmouth Wins From Their Past Ten Home Matches

Portsmouth have clocked up four wins, four defeats and two draws in the past 10 home games, recording an average of 1.00 goals per match and conceding 1.10.

Watford have gone without an away win in the last nine games. Paulo Pezzolano's men have managed seven losses, two draws and one victory in the last 10 away matches, recording an average of 0.50 goals per game and conceding 1.10.

When the sides last met at Fratton Park, Portsmouth beat Watford 1-0.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Portsmouth Home Stats		4-2-4	2.10	1.00	1.10	4	6	5	5
Watford Away Stats		1-2-7	1.60	0.50	1.10	3	7	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Portsmouth vs Watford Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Portsmouth vs Watford team news before wagering. Receive the predicted and confirmed Championship lineups from us, plus the most recent injury updates.

Portsmouth Team Page Watford Team Page