PSG vs Metz Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Feb 2026

Ligue 1 Betting Preview: PSG vs Metz

Second-placed PSG welcome bottom club Metz to Parc des Princes, with kick-off set for 15:05 on Saturday 21 February.

The best way to back PSG for a victory here is to take the -2.5 on the Asian Handicap. They can beat Metz with at least three goals and the odds of -109 look generous for this to happen.

Paris Saint-Germain have won six Ligue 1 home games on the spin. On the road at Roazhon Park in their last league match, they were beaten 3-1 by Rennes. Luis Enrique's men enjoyed 68% possession and had seven shots on target, with Ousmane Dembele bagging the goal.

Four days ago, PSG triumphed 3-2 when visiting Monaco in the Champions League.

Bottom-of-the-table Metz have lost in back-to-back Ligue 1 road appearances, while their previous league game was a 3-1 home loss against AJ Auxerre at Stade Saint-Symphorien. Les Grenats had the lion’s share of the ball recording 62% possession and four shots on goal, while Nathan Mbala found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 3-2 in favour of away team PSG when they last faced Metz, with the encounter taking place at Stade Saint-Symphorien. In the previous 8 H2H games, PSG have won every time.

Ligue 1		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	PSG	27	20	3	4	61	23	38	61:23	63
18	Metz	28	3	6	19	25	60	-35	25:60	15

View Full Table

PSG have 8 wins and 2 losses, averaging 2.5 goals from 7.2 shots on goal and 18.8 attempts. Les Parisiens have averaged 64.1% possession, 627.8 passes and 6.0 corners per game, with the opposition getting 0.8 goals from 3.4 shots on goal, 9.1 attempts and 3.5 corners.

Ousmane Dembele is the top scorer with 6 goals, while Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Bradley Barcola both have 3. Ousmane Dembele and Senny Mayulu are tied for the most assists on 3, with goalie Matvey Safonov managing 2 clean sheets.

Metz have lost 8 and drawn 2, averaging 3.0 shots on goal, 8.7 attempts and 1.0 goals. Benoit Tavenot's side average 49.3% possession, 466.9 passes, 3.4 corners taken and 4.3 corners against them, while 2.2 goals have been conceded from 14.0 attempts and 5.8 shots on goal.

Giorgi Tsitaishvili and Gauthier Hein have scored 2 goals, followed by Nathan Mbala with 1. Gauthier Hein has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games, while Jonathan Fischer has one clean sheet to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

PSG confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Matvey Safonov (GK), Achraf Hakimi, Ilya Zabarnyi, Lucas Beraldo, Lucas Hernandez, Kang-In Lee, Warren Zaire-Emery, Dro Fernandez, Desire Doue, Goncalo Ramos, Bradley Barcola.

Metz confirmed lineup (4-1-4-1): Jonathan Fischer (GK), Koffi Kouao, Sadibou Sane, Terry Yegbe, Fode Ballo-Toure, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Lucas Michal, Alpha Toure, Boubacar Traore, Giorgi Tsitaishvili, Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo.

PSG vs Metz Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve broken down PSG vs Metz from every angle, offering our expert match prediction, expected final score, best corners pick, player prop recommendations and a well-constructed bet builder.

Match Prediction

PSG at -2.5 look too good to ignore on the Asian Handicap for this Ligue 1 game. We think that betting odds of -109 look generous and expect the big favourites to deliver the goods.

Our job is to consult the latest Ligue 1 team news in order to produce the best football predictions. Then we crack on with the job of analysing the stats that are going to be the most effective.

Key PSG vs Metz league stats:

• The -2.5 line has been covered by PSG in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -2.5 line has been covered by PSG in 2 consecutive games at home.

According to the latest odds, there’s a 52.1% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

If you want a different wager to the Asian Handicap, then Winning Margin provides an exciting alternative. That’s especially if you have a view on the performance of PSG.

Before your next wager, read our guide featuring today’s top betting offers, free bet deals, and sign-up bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

PSG Asian Hcp -2.5 @ -109 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 19, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

PSG 4 - 0 Metz

We’re going for Les Parisiens at +650 to secure a 4-0 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Joao Neves Over 1.5 Shots -137

Joao Neves (PSG) has recorded over 1.5 shots in his past two Ligue 1 games. We think that some value can be landed by wagering on Player Shots and you can secure -137 that he goes over the line.

Latest Joao Neves Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+230

First

+750

Shots

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

---

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to Score +115

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (PSG) has registered three goals in his past four Ligue 1 home games. We’re content to land the +115 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.

Latest Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+125

First

+400

Shots

Over 2.5

-179

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -128

It has now been ten straight Metz matches where the 10.5 Total Corners line has not been covered. The Total Corners line looks to be too high given the stats and -128 is available to wager.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

PSG

Total

9.50 6.00 3.50

Home

9.10 6.60 2.50

Away

9.30 5.80 3.50

Metz

Total

7.70 3.40 4.30

Home

8.20 4.10 4.10

Away

9.90 3.80 6.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

+102

Under 10.5

-147

PSG Corners

Over 7.5

-132

Under 7.5

-109

Metz Corners

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

+130

Most Corners

1

-1667

X

+1200

2

+950

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

PSG vs Metz Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Paris Saint-Germain are red-hot -833 favourites to win this Ligue 1 encounter. On the basis of the betting odds, the bookies give them a 89% chance of claiming victory. The +1700 means that Metz are seen as having by far the lowest probability of succeeding.

The Half-Time Result market means that your bet will always be settled at the interval. PSG are -233, while Metz are alternatively priced at +900 and the draw is +230.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. A fresh approach might involve siding with a BTTS wager and there’s -130 on offer for Both Teams to Score No.

It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever Ligue 1 game interests you. The top football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.

Full-Time Result

1

-833

X

+800

2

+1700

Half-Time Result

1

-233

X

+230

2

+900

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -2.25

-119

2 Hcp +2.25

-104

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+240

Over 2.5

-333

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-104

No

-130

There’s the chance to back Ousmane Dembélé at +300 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Ousmane Dembélé (PSG)

First

-123

Anytime

+300

Gonçalo Ramos (PSG)

First

-111

Anytime

+310

Désiré Doué (PSG)

First

+105

Anytime

+350

Bradley Barcola (PSG)

First

+120

Anytime

+390

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (PSG)

First

+125

Anytime

+400

Pedro Fernández Sarmiento (PSG)

First

+160

Anytime

+450

Ibrahima Mbaye (PSG)

First

+190

Anytime

+525

Senny Mayulu (PSG)

First

+190

Anytime

+600

Kang-In Lee (PSG)

First

+210

Anytime

+650

Joao Neves (PSG)

First

+230

Anytime

+750

Achraf Hakimi (PSG)

First

+260

Anytime

+900

Nuno Mendes (PSG)

First

+320

Anytime

+1050

Fabián Ruiz (PSG)

First

+320

Anytime

+1050

Vitinha (PSG)

First

+330

Anytime

+1050

Habib Diallo (Metz)

First

+330

Anytime

+1050

Giorgi Kvilitaia (Metz)

First

+400

Anytime

+1300

Warren Zaïre-Emery (PSG)

First

+500

Anytime

+1700

Gauthier Hein (Metz)

First

+510

Anytime

+1800

Joel Asoro (Metz)

First

+525

Anytime

+1800

Willian Pacho (PSG)

First

+550

Anytime

+1900

Illia Zabarnyi (PSG)

First

+550

Anytime

+1900

Lucas Beraldo (PSG)

First

+550

Anytime

+1900

Marquinhos (PSG)

First

+575

Anytime

+1900

Lucas Hernández (PSG)

First

+575

Anytime

+1900

Giorgi Abuashvili (Metz)

First

+650

Anytime

+2000

Lucas Michal (Metz)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Désiré Doué (PSG)

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-

Gonçalo Ramos (PSG)

Over 3.5

+102

Under 3.5

-

Bradley Barcola (PSG)

Over 2.5

-164

Under 2.5

-

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (PSG)

Over 2.5

-179

Under 2.5

-

Pedro Fernández Sarmiento (PSG)

Over 2.5

-111

Under 2.5

-

Ibrahima Mbaye (PSG)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Fabián Ruiz (PSG)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Giorgi Kvilitaia (Metz)

Over 1.5

+116

Under 1.5

-

Habib Diallo (Metz)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Vitinha (PSG)

Over 1.5

+128

Under 1.5

-

Nuno Mendes (PSG)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Achraf Hakimi (PSG)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

-

Joao Neves (PSG)

Over 1.5

-122

Under 1.5

-

Kang-In Lee (PSG)

Over 1.5

-175

Under 1.5

-

Senny Mayulu (PSG)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Warren Zaïre-Emery (PSG)

Over 0.5

-204

Under 0.5

-

Gauthier Hein (Metz)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Willian Pacho (PSG)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-

Illia Zabarnyi (PSG)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Beraldo (PSG)

Over 0.5

-104

Under 0.5

-

Marquinhos (PSG)

Over 0.5

-108

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Hernández (PSG)

Over 0.5

-100

Under 0.5

-

Giorgi Abuashvili (Metz)

Over 0.5

-175

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Michal (Metz)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-

PSG haven’t been beaten in seven straight games at Parc des Princes. Les Parisiens have seven wins, two draws and one loss in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 2.90 goals per match and conceding 1.00.

Metz are winless over their previous five games on their travels. Les Grenats have eight defeats, one win and one draw in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 2.80.

The past meeting at Parc des Princes saw PSG defeat Metz 3-1. PSG have won all of the past 3 H2H meetings at Parc des Princes.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
PSG Home Stats		7-2-1	3.90	2.90	1.00	8	2	5	5
Metz Away Stats		1-1-8	4.00	1.20	2.80	7	3	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

PSG vs Metz Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for PSG vs Metz before making your bets. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for Ligue 1 along with up-to-date injury news.

Paris Saint-Germain Team Page Metz Team Page

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