PSG vs Metz Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Feb 2026

Ligue 1 Betting Preview: PSG vs Metz

PSG welcome Metz to Parc des Princes, with kick-off set for 15:05 on Saturday 21 February.

The best way to back PSG for a victory here is to take the -2.5 on the Asian Handicap. They can beat Metz with at least three goals and the odds of -109 look generous for this to happen.

About to bet on our Asian Handicap pick? Use the latest BetMGM promo code and read our trusted review of the betting platform before committing to your play.

Paris Saint-Germain have won six home games on the spin. On the road at Roazhon Park in their last game, they were beaten 3-1 by Rennes. Luis Enrique's men enjoyed 68% possession and had seven shots on target, with Ousmane Dembele bagging the goal.

Four days ago, PSG triumphed 3-2 when visiting Monaco in the Champions League.

Metz have lost in back-to-back Ligue 1 road appearances, while their previous league game was a 3-1 home loss against AJ Auxerre at Stade Saint-Symphorien. Les Grenats had the lion’s share of the ball recording 62% possession and four shots on goal, while Nathan Mbala found the net.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The scoreline was 3-2 in favour of away team PSG when they last faced Metz, with the encounter taking place at Stade Saint-Symphorien. In the previous 8 H2H games, PSG have won every time.

Ligue 1		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	PSG	22	16	3	3	49	19	30	49:19	51
18	Metz	22	3	4	15	22	49	-27	22:49	13

View Full Table

PSG have 8 wins and 2 losses, averaging 2.5 goals from 7.2 shots on goal and 18.8 attempts. Les Parisiens have averaged 64.1% possession, 627.8 passes and 6.0 corners per game, with the opposition getting 0.8 goals from 3.4 shots on goal, 9.1 attempts and 3.5 corners.

Ousmane Dembele is the top scorer with 6 goals, while Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Bradley Barcola both have 3. Ousmane Dembele and Senny Mayulu are tied for the most assists on 3, with goalie Matvey Safonov managing 2 clean sheets.

Metz have lost 8 and drawn 2, averaging 3.0 shots on goal, 8.7 attempts and 1.0 goals. Benoit Tavenot's side average 49.3% possession, 466.9 passes, 3.4 corners taken and 4.3 corners against them, while 2.2 goals have been conceded from 14.0 attempts and 5.8 shots on goal.

Giorgi Tsitaishvili and Gauthier Hein have scored 2 goals, followed by Nathan Mbala with 1. Gauthier Hein has had 2 assists in the previous 10 games, while Jonathan Fischer has one clean sheet to his name.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

PSG predicted lineup (4-3-3): Matvey Safonov (GK), Achraf Hakimi, Ilya Zabarnyi, Willian Pacho, Nuno Mendes, Warren Zaire-Emery, Vitinha, Joao Neves, Desire Doue, Ousmane Dembele, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia.

Metz predicted lineup (4-3-3): Jonathan Fischer (GK), Koffi Kouao, Sadibou Sane, Urie-Michel Mboula, Fode Ballo-Toure, Gauthier Hein, Believe Munongo, Jessy Deminguet, Giorgi Tsitaishvili, Habibou Mouhamadou Diallo, Giorgi Abuashvili.

PSG vs Metz Prediction & Betting Tips

We’ve broken down PSG vs Metz from every angle, offering our expert match prediction, expected final score, best corners pick, player prop recommendations and a well-constructed bet builder.

Match Prediction

PSG at -2.5 look too good to ignore on the Asian Handicap for this Ligue 1 game. We think that betting odds of -109 look generous and expect the big favourites to deliver the goods.

Our job is to consult the latest Ligue 1 team news in order to produce the best football predictions. Then we crack on with the job of analysing the stats that are going to be the most effective.

Key PSG vs Metz league stats:

• The -2.5 line has been covered by PSG in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -2.5 line has been covered by PSG in 2 consecutive games at home.

According to the latest odds, there’s a 52.1% likelihood of our pick winning. After careful examination, our tipsters calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

If you want a different wager to the Asian Handicap, then Winning Margin provides an exciting alternative. That’s especially if you have a view on the performance of PSG.

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Our Match Prediction

PSG Asian Hcp -2.5 @ -109 Watch Live Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 19, 21:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

PSG 4 - 0 Metz

We’re going for PSG at +650 to secure a 4-0 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Joao Neves Over 1.5 Shots -137

Joao Neves (PSG) has recorded over 1.5 shots in his past two Ligue 1 games. We think that some value can be landed by wagering on Player Shots and you can secure -137 that he goes over the line.

Latest Joao Neves Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+220

First

+750

Shots

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

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Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to Score +115

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (PSG) has registered three goals in his past four Ligue 1 home games. We’re content to land the +115 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.

Latest Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+115

First

+390

Shots

Over 2.5

-204

Under 2.5

-

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -128

It has now been ten straight Metz matches where the 10.5 Total Corners line has not been covered. The Total Corners line looks to be too high given the stats and -128 is available to wager.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

PSG

Total

9.50 6.00 3.50

Home

9.10 6.60 2.50

Away

9.30 5.80 3.50

Metz

Total

7.70 3.40 4.30

Home

8.20 4.10 4.10

Away

9.90 3.80 6.10

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-111

Under 10.5

-128

PSG Corners

Over 7.5

-147

Under 7.5

+104

Metz Corners

Over 2.5

+130

Under 2.5

-185

Most Corners

1

-1667

X

+1200

2

+1000

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

PSG vs Metz Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Paris Saint-Germain are red-hot -1000 favourites to win this Ligue 1 encounter. On the basis of the betting odds, the bookies give them a 91% chance of claiming victory. The +1800 means that Metz are seen as having by far the lowest probability of succeeding.

The Half-Time Result market means that your bet will always be settled at the interval. PSG are -263, while Metz are alternatively priced at +900 and the draw is +255.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Over 2.5 is a strong probability in this contest. If you think both teams will score, then BTTS Yes could appeal. Otherwise, you can back BTTS No as an alternative.

It’s great to access hundreds of markets whichever Ligue 1 game interests you. The top football betting sites have got every angle covered for bettors.

Full-Time Result

1

-1000

X

+900

2

+1800

Half-Time Result

1

-263

X

+255

2

+900

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -2.5

-109

2 Hcp +2.5

-114

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+290

Over 2.5

-417

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-111

No

-120

There’s the chance to back Ousmane Dembélé at +300 to be the First Goalscorer, with the favourite on this market available at similar odds to find the net last.

Ousmane Dembélé (PSG)

First

-123

Anytime

+300

Gonçalo Ramos (PSG)

First

-119

Anytime

+310

Désiré Doué (PSG)

First

-100

Anytime

+340

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (PSG)

First

+115

Anytime

+390

Bradley Barcola (PSG)

First

+125

Anytime

+420

Pedro Fernández Sarmiento (PSG)

First

+145

Anytime

+450

Ibrahima Mbaye (PSG)

First

+180

Anytime

+525

Senny Mayulu (PSG)

First

+190

Anytime

+600

Kang-In Lee (PSG)

First

+210

Anytime

+700

Joao Neves (PSG)

First

+220

Anytime

+750

Nuno Mendes (PSG)

First

+280

Anytime

+1000

Habib Diallo (Metz)

First

+310

Anytime

+1050

Achraf Hakimi (PSG)

First

+320

Anytime

+1150

Fabián Ruiz (PSG)

First

+320

Anytime

+1050

Vitinha (PSG)

First

+320

Anytime

+1050

Giorgi Kvilitaia (Metz)

First

+390

Anytime

+1300

Warren Zaïre-Emery (PSG)

First

+475

Anytime

+1600

Gauthier Hein (Metz)

First

+500

Anytime

+1800

Joel Asoro (Metz)

First

+525

Anytime

+1800

Willian Pacho (PSG)

First

+525

Anytime

+1800

Illia Zabarnyi (PSG)

First

+525

Anytime

+1900

Marquinhos (PSG)

First

+525

Anytime

+1900

Lucas Beraldo (PSG)

First

+550

Anytime

+1900

Lucas Hernández (PSG)

First

+550

Anytime

+1900

Giorgi Abuashvili (Metz)

First

+700

Anytime

+2200

Gonçalo Ramos (PSG)

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-

Désiré Doué (PSG)

Over 3.5

-132

Under 3.5

-

Bradley Barcola (PSG)

Over 3.5

+116

Under 3.5

-

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (PSG)

Over 2.5

-204

Under 2.5

-

Pedro Fernández Sarmiento (PSG)

Over 2.5

-123

Under 2.5

-

Kang-In Lee (PSG)

Over 2.5

+145

Under 2.5

-

Giorgi Kvilitaia (Metz)

Over 1.5

+115

Under 1.5

-

Vitinha (PSG)

Over 1.5

+117

Under 1.5

-

Fabián Ruiz (PSG)

Over 1.5

+145

Under 1.5

-

Achraf Hakimi (PSG)

Over 1.5

+110

Under 1.5

-

Habib Diallo (Metz)

Over 1.5

-130

Under 1.5

-

Nuno Mendes (PSG)

Over 1.5

+104

Under 1.5

-

Joao Neves (PSG)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Senny Mayulu (PSG)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Ibrahima Mbaye (PSG)

Over 1.5

-227

Under 1.5

-

Warren Zaïre-Emery (PSG)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-

Gauthier Hein (Metz)

Over 0.5

-263

Under 0.5

-

Willian Pacho (PSG)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-

Illia Zabarnyi (PSG)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-

Marquinhos (PSG)

Over 0.5

-116

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Beraldo (PSG)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-

Lucas Hernández (PSG)

Over 0.5

-106

Under 0.5

-

Giorgi Abuashvili (Metz)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

-

PSG haven’t been beaten in seven straight games at Parc des Princes. Luis Enrique's men have seven wins, two draws and one loss in the last 10 home games, scoring an average of 2.90 goals per match and conceding 1.00.

Metz are winless over their previous five games on their travels. Les Grenats have eight defeats, one win and one draw in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.20 goals per match and conceding 2.80.

The past meeting at Parc des Princes saw PSG defeat Metz 3-1. PSG have won all of the past 3 H2H meetings at Parc des Princes.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
PSG Home Stats		7-2-1	3.90	2.90	1.00	8	2	5	5
Metz Away Stats		1-1-8	4.00	1.20	2.80	7	3	7	3

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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PSG vs Metz Lineups & Team News

Know who’s in and who’s out for PSG vs Metz before making your bets. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for Ligue 1 along with up-to-date injury news.

Paris Saint-Germain Team Page Metz Team Page

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