PSV vs Ajax Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Sep 2025
Eredivisie Betting Preview: PSV vs Ajax
PSV host Ajax in this De Topper clash at Philips Stadion, with kick-off set for 08:30 on Sunday 21 September. Our Dutch Eredivisie betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
PSV look like a spot of value at -147 when it comes to the Full-Time Result market. The home team should be able to deliver a victory against Ajax based on the information available.
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PSV Eindhoven won their last Eredivisie game 5-3. This was a road win against NEC Nijmegen at Stadion De Goffert. The Peasants managed ten shots on target and had 43% possession, with Ricardo Pepi scoring two of the goals.
Five days ago, PSV were beaten 3-1 when hosting Union Saint-Gilloise in the Champions League.
Ajax secured a 3-1 home win over PEC Zwolle at Johan Cruyff Arena in their previous Eredivisie game. The Amsterdam outfit had seven shots on goal and boasted 60% possession, while Mika Godts found the net twice and Davy Klaassen scored one.
On Wednesday night, Ajax suffered a 2-0 Champions League defeat at home to Inter Milan.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Ajax have claimed back-to-back wins over PSV. A 2-0 away win at Philips Stadion followed a 3-2 home triumph at Johan Cruyff Arena. In the past 10 H2H meetings, we have seen four wins for each team and two draws.
| Eredivisie | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV |
14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 44 | 17 | 27 | 44:17 | 37 |
| 6 | Ajax |
13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 23:19 | 20 |
9 wins and 1 loss, averaging 3.4 goals from 20.4 attempts and 8.1 shots on goal. PSV have had 63.4% possession, 539.8 passes and 7.5 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.4 goals from 9.2 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal, while earning 3.6 corners.
Top goalscorer Ivan Perisic has found the net 7 times, with Ruben van Bommel, Guus Til, Malik Tillman and Noa Lang scoring 3 each. Ivan Perisic is top assists maker with 6, while goalkeeper Matej Kovar has kept one clean sheet.
Ajax have won 4, lost 2 and drawn 4, averaging 5.7 shots on goal, 16.1 attempts and 1.5 goals. The Sons of God average 61.6% possession, 573.7 passes, 7.8 corners taken and 3.6 corners against them, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 10.3 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.
The leading scorer has been Wout Weghorst with 5, while Davy Klaassen and Mika Godts have 2. Steven Berghuis has clocked up 3 assists, with Vitezslav Jaros and Remko Pasveer collectively keeping 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
PSV confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Matej Kovar (GK), Sergino Dest, Ryan Flamingo, Yarek Gasiorowski, Anass Salah-Eddine, Jerdy Schouten, Ismael Saibari, Joey Veerman, Ivan Perisic, Ricardo Pepi, Ruben van Bommel.
Ajax confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Vitezslav Jaros (GK), Lucas Rosa, Ko Itakura, Youri Baas, Owen Wijndal, Youri Regeer, Davy Klaassen, Kenneth Taylor, Oliver Edvardsen, Kasper Dolberg, Mika Godts.
PSV vs Ajax Prediction & Betting Tips
Dive into our full PSV vs Ajax betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, valuable corners advice, top player prop bet and a bet builder designed for value.
Match Prediction
There’s every chance that PSV can win this Eredivisie clash and we’ll happily back the home team to land the glory. Grab the odds of -147 with confidence that a victory can be landed.
The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest Eredivisie injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.
Key PSV vs Ajax league stats:
The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 59.5% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.
If you think PSV are too short a price on the Full-Time Result market but feel confident about their chances, why not consider the Asian Handicap where you can get bigger odds.
Discover valuable betting promo codes, welcome offers, and free bets in our updated bonus guide before you play.
Correct Score Prediction
We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves PSV winning 3-1. Odds of +900 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.
Player Prop Picks
Wout Weghorst (Ajax) has totalled a minimum of one shot on goal in seven of his past ten Eredivisie games. There is odds of -161 available when it comes to this Shots on Target wager and we think he’ll cover the line.
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Joey Veerman (PSV) has registered two goals in his past four Eredivisie matches. We’re content to land the +450 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.
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Corners Prediction
All of the past five PSV matches have seen the 9.5 Total Corners line covered, with an average of 12.20 corners in the previous five Ajax games. The Total Corners line looks too low and we’re happy to go over this number at odds of -141.
PSV
Ajax
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Bet Builder Tips
We’ve lined up different selections in the following same-game multi: PSV to triumph, at least three goals to be scored merged with Wout Weghorst (Ajax) to have one or more shots on target.
Placing a bet builder means you can have various selections for one football match. You need all your predictions to be correct and many readers love to place a tailored bet on the clash which interests them most.
PSV vs Ajax Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Some will want to go ahead and back PSV Eindhoven at -161 to win this Eredivisie encounter. After all, this betting price suggests a 62% chance that the favourites end up succeeding. The market suggests that Ajax are least likely to win at +370.
There’s the chance to wager PSV at -100 on the Asian Handicap -1 market. This means a refund if they only win by one, although a 2+ goal victory over Ajax would see a full payout.
The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -217 on the BTTS market.
There’s lots to like about the top football betting sites and that includes the hundreds of markets available for each Eredivisie match. You are spoilt for choice when it comes to available options.
The First Goalscorer favourite is Ricardo Pepi at +350, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.
PSV have racked up six wins and four defeats in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.70 goals per game and conceding 2.00.
Ajax are unbeaten in the last three games on their travels. Johnny Heitinga's men have six wins, three draws and one loss in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.00.
Ajax overcame PSV 2-0 when the sides last met at Philips Stadion. The previous 6 H2H meetings at Philips Stadion have resulted in two wins apiece and two draws.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PSV Home Stats |
6-0-4 | 4.70 | 2.70 | 2.00 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 3 | |
Ajax Away Stats |
6-3-1 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 6 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Eredivisie: 30/03 2025 PSV 0 Ajax 2
- Eredivisie: 02/11 2024 Ajax 3 PSV 2
- Eredivisie: 03/02 2024 Ajax 1 PSV 1
- Eredivisie: 29/10 2023 PSV 5 Ajax 2
- KNVB Cup: 30/04 2023 Ajax 3 PSV 4
- Eredivisie: 23/04 2023 PSV 3 Ajax 0
- Eredivisie: 06/11 2022 Ajax 1 PSV 2
- KNVB Cup: 17/04 2022 PSV 2 Ajax 1
- Eredivisie: 23/01 2022 PSV 1 Ajax 2
- Eredivisie: 24/10 2021 Ajax 5 PSV 0
PSV League Stats
Ajax League Stats
- 9 wins and 1 defeat in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 2 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 4.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.10 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.90 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 7.50 corners awarded and 3.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.80 corners awarded and 3.20 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.10 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.00 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 10 and least corners in 0 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.80 corners awarded and 3.60 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.50 corners awarded and 3.50 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.40 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 63.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 67.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 61.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 55.00% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for PSV this season are Ruben van Bommel (3), Esmir Bajraktarevic (2), Guus Til (2)
- Top Assistors for PSV this season are Ivan Perisic (4), Joey Veerman (3), Jerdy Schouten (2)
PSV vs Ajax Lineups & Team News
Before placing any bets on PSV vs Ajax, check the team news first. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Eredivisie along with up-to-date injury news.
PSV Eindhoven Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Ajax Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
PSV Eindhoven Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Ajax Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
PSV Eindhoven Substitutes
- 1Nick Olij
- 4Armando Obispo
- 10Paul Wanner
- 11Couhaib Driouech
- 17Mauro Junior
- 19Esmir Bajraktarevic
- 20Guus Til
- 24Niek Schiks
- 27Dennis Man
- 31Noah Fernandez
- 39Adamo Nagalo
Ajax Substitutes
- 3Anton Gaaei
- 7Raul Moro
- 10Oscar Gloukh
- 12Joeri Heerkens
- 16James McConnell
- 19Don-Angelo Konadu
- 22Remko Pasveer
- 23Steven Berghuis
- 24Jorthy Mokio
- 28Kian Fitz-Jim
- 30Aaron Bouwman
- 37Josip Sutalo
Previous PSV Lineups
Previous Ajax Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Eredivisie Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 44:17 | 37 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 35:17 | 31 |
| 3 | NEC Nijmegen | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 36:23 | 24 |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26:22 | 24 |
| 5 | Utrecht | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 25:19 | 21 |
| 6 | Ajax | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 23:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Groningen | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:19 | 20 |
| 8 | Twente | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Fortuna Sittard | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 20:22 | 18 |
| 10 | Go Ahead E. | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 23:24 | 17 |
| 11 | SC Heerenveen | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 23:24 | 17 |
| 12 | Sp. Rotterdam | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16:28 | 17 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | 16 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:30 | 16 |
| 15 | Volendam | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17:24 | 14 |
| 16 | Heracles | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 22:36 | 13 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:23 | 12 |
| 18 | Telstar | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16:24 | 10 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:10 | 16 |
| 2 | NEC Nijmegen | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 21:10 | 16 |
| 3 | Utrecht | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:6 | 16 |
| 4 | Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 15:10 | 15 |
| 5 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Ajax | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:7 | 13 |
| 7 | Volendam | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 12 |
| 8 | SC Heerenveen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 9 | Go Ahead E. | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:9 | 12 |
| 10 | Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:7 | 11 |
| 11 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16:13 | 11 |
| 12 | Twente | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 13 | NAC Breda | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 10 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 15 | Heracles | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17:17 | 9 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:7 | 9 |
| 17 | Sp. Rotterdam | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:15 | 8 |
| 18 | Telstar | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:17 | 6 |
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