PSV vs Ajax Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 21 Sep 2025

Eredivisie Betting Preview: PSV vs Ajax

PSV host Ajax in this De Topper clash at Philips Stadion, with kick-off set for 08:30 on Sunday 21 September. Our Dutch Eredivisie betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

PSV Should Have the Edge

PSV look like a spot of value at -147 when it comes to the Full-Time Result market. The home team should be able to deliver a victory against Ajax based on the information available.

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2-0 Victory for Ajax in Pair’s Previous H2H

PSV Eindhoven won their last Eredivisie game 5-3. This was a road win against NEC Nijmegen at Stadion De Goffert. The Peasants managed ten shots on target and had 43% possession, with Ricardo Pepi scoring two of the goals.

Five days ago, PSV were beaten 3-1 when hosting Union Saint-Gilloise in the Champions League.

Ajax secured a 3-1 home win over PEC Zwolle at Johan Cruyff Arena in their previous Eredivisie game. The Amsterdam outfit had seven shots on goal and boasted 60% possession, while Mika Godts found the net twice and Davy Klaassen scored one.

On Wednesday night, Ajax suffered a 2-0 Champions League defeat at home to Inter Milan.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Ajax have claimed back-to-back wins over PSV. A 2-0 away win at Philips Stadion followed a 3-2 home triumph at Johan Cruyff Arena. In the past 10 H2H meetings, we have seen four wins for each team and two draws.

Eredivisie		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
2	PSV	5	4	0	1	17	8	9	17:8	12
3	Ajax	5	3	2	0	10	4	6	10:4	11

View Full Table

9 wins and 1 loss, averaging 3.4 goals from 20.4 attempts and 8.1 shots on goal. PSV have had 63.4% possession, 539.8 passes and 7.5 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.4 goals from 9.2 attempts and 3.6 shots on goal, while earning 3.6 corners.

Top goalscorer Ivan Perisic has found the net 7 times, with Ruben van Bommel, Guus Til, Malik Tillman and Noa Lang scoring 3 each. Ivan Perisic is top assists maker with 6, while goalkeeper Matej Kovar has kept one clean sheet.

Ajax have won 4, lost 2 and drawn 4, averaging 5.7 shots on goal, 16.1 attempts and 1.5 goals. The Sons of God average 61.6% possession, 573.7 passes, 7.8 corners taken and 3.6 corners against them, while 1.4 goals have been conceded from 10.3 attempts and 4.0 shots on goal.

The leading scorer has been Wout Weghorst with 5, while Davy Klaassen and Mika Godts have 2. Steven Berghuis has clocked up 3 assists, with Vitezslav Jaros and Remko Pasveer collectively keeping 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

PSV predicted lineup (4-3-3): Matej Kovar (GK), Anass Salah-Eddine, Yarek Gasiorowski, Ryan Flamingo, Sergino Dest, Ismael Saibari, Joey Veerman, Jerdy Schouten, Ruben van Bommel, Ricardo Pepi, Ivan Perisic.

Ajax predicted lineup (4-3-3): Vitezslav Jaros (GK), Anton Gaaei, Ko Itakura, Youri Baas, Owen Wijndal, Youri Regeer, Davy Klaassen, Kenneth Taylor, Oliver Valaker Edvardsen, Wouter Weghorst, Mika Godts.

PSV vs Ajax Prediction & Betting Tips

Dive into our full PSV vs Ajax betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, valuable corners advice, top player prop bet and a bet builder designed for value.

Match Prediction

There’s every chance that PSV can win this Eredivisie clash and we’ll happily back the home team to land the glory. Grab the odds of -147 with confidence that a victory can be landed.

The team at Sportsgambler.com are right across the latest Eredivisie injury news and the form guide also informs our football predictions. This data is combined with the latest stats.

Key PSV vs Ajax league stats:

• PSV have won 9 of their last 10 games.
• PSV have won 4 of their last 5 games.

PSV to Win Probability

The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 59.5% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

If you think PSV are too short a price on the Full-Time Result market but feel confident about their chances, why not consider the Asian Handicap where you can get bigger odds.

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Our Match Prediction

PSV To Win @ -147 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

PSV 3 - 1 Ajax

We’ve got a correct score prediction which involves PSV winning 3-1. Odds of +900 look appealing and we should get a run for our money here.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Wout Weghorst Over 0.5 Shots On Target -161

Wout Weghorst (Ajax) has totalled a minimum of one shot on goal in seven of his past ten Eredivisie games. There is odds of -161 available when it comes to this Shots on Target wager and we think he’ll cover the line.

Latest Wout Weghorst Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+205

First

+550

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-106

Shots

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

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Joey Veerman to Score +450

Joey Veerman (PSV) has registered two goals in his past four Eredivisie matches. We’re content to land the +450 for this Anytime Goalscorer bet as there’s value in the odds that he features on the scoresheet.

Latest Joey Veerman Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+450

First

+1300

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+163

Under 0.5

-263

Shots

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -141

All of the past five PSV matches have seen the 9.5 Total Corners line covered, with an average of 12.20 corners in the previous five Ajax games. The Total Corners line looks too low and we’re happy to go over this number at odds of -141.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

PSV

Total

11.10 7.50 3.60

Home

11.00 7.80 3.20

Away

9.50 6.10 3.40

Ajax

Total

11.40 7.80 3.60

Home

10.10 6.80 3.30

Away

9.00 5.50 3.50

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-102

Under 10.5

-139

PSV Corners

Over 5.5

-138

Under 5.5

-100

Ajax Corners

Over 3.5

-163

Under 3.5

+120

Most Corners

1

-244

X

+750

2

+255

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PSV vs Ajax Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Giving PSV Plenty of Respect

Some will want to go ahead and back PSV Eindhoven at -147 to win this Eredivisie encounter. After all, this betting price suggests a 60% chance that the favourites end up succeeding. The market suggests that Ajax are least likely to win at +340.

Stake is split between -0.5 and -1.0 when betting PSV -0.75 at -116 on the Asian Handicap. Beating Ajax by 2+ goals sees a full payout. Winning by one goal means a return on the former and a push on the latter.

The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. If you are expecting both teams to score, there’s the chance to back Yes at -204 on the BTTS market.

There’s lots to like about the top football betting sites and that includes the hundreds of markets available for each Eredivisie match. You are spoilt for choice when it comes to available options.

Full-Time Result

1

-147

X

+320

2

+340

Half-Time Result

1

+114

X

+163

2

+320

Double Chance

1X

-500

12

-455

X2

+110

Draw No Bet

1

-333

2

+220

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-116

2 Hcp +0.75

-105

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+170

Over 2.5

-227

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-204

No

+148

Ricardo Pepi is the First Goalscorer Favourite

The First Goalscorer favourite is Ricardo Pepi at +430, with similar odds available for this player to register the last goal.

Ricardo Pepi (PSV)

First

+130

Anytime

+430

Ivan Perisic (PSV)

First

+155

Anytime

+480

Myron Boadu (PSV)

First

+175

Anytime

+500

Wout Weghorst (Ajax)

First

+205

Anytime

+550

Ismael Saibari (PSV)

First

+240

Anytime

+650

Guus Til (PSV)

First

+240

Anytime

+700

Paul Wanner (PSV)

First

+245

Anytime

+750

Dennis Man (PSV)

First

+270

Anytime

+750

Couhaib Driouech (PSV)

First

+280

Anytime

+700

Esmir Bajraktarevic (PSV)

First

+290

Anytime

+700

Kasper Dolberg (Ajax)

First

+300

Anytime

+700

Mika Godts (Ajax)

First

+350

Anytime

+1050

Kenneth Taylor (Ajax)

First

+400

Anytime

+1100

Raul Moro (Ajax)

First

+430

Anytime

+1050

Oscar Gloukh (Ajax)

First

+430

Anytime

+1150

Steven Berghuis (Ajax)

First

+450

Anytime

+1200

Joey Veerman (PSV)

First

+450

Anytime

+1300

Davy Klaassen (Ajax)

First

+525

Anytime

+1300

Kiliann Sildillia (PSV)

First

+600

Anytime

+1900

Jerdy Schouten (PSV)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Ryan Flamingo (PSV)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Ivan Perisic (PSV)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

+135

Myron Boadu (PSV)

Over 0.5

-227

Under 0.5

+130

Wout Weghorst (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-161

Under 0.5

-106

Ismael Saibari (PSV)

Over 0.5

-152

Under 0.5

-103

Paul Wanner (PSV)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-120

Guus Til (PSV)

Over 0.5

-132

Under 0.5

-119

Dennis Man (PSV)

Over 0.5

-127

Under 0.5

-125

Kasper Dolberg (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-139

Couhaib Driouech (PSV)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-147

Esmir Bajraktarevic (PSV)

Over 0.5

-109

Under 0.5

-147

Mika Godts (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-200

Oscar Gloukh (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-217

Kenneth Taylor (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-227

Steven Berghuis (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-222

Raul Moro (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-250

Ricardo Pepi (PSV)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-294

Joey Veerman (PSV)

Over 0.5

+163

Under 0.5

-263

Davy Klaassen (Ajax)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-303

Kiliann Sildillia (PSV)

Over 0.5

+245

Under 0.5

-526

Ryan Flamingo (PSV)

Over 0.5

+320

Under 0.5

-714

Jerdy Schouten (PSV)

Over 0.5

+340

Under 0.5

-769

Ricardo Pepi (PSV)

Over 3.5

+125

Under 3.5

-

Ivan Perisic (PSV)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-

Ismael Saibari (PSV)

Over 2.5

-120

Under 2.5

-

Joey Veerman (PSV)

Over 1.5

+160

Under 1.5

-

Steven Berghuis (Ajax)

Over 1.5

+138

Under 1.5

-

Oscar Gloukh (Ajax)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Kenneth Taylor (Ajax)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Mika Godts (Ajax)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-

Kasper Dolberg (Ajax)

Over 1.5

-109

Under 1.5

-

Esmir Bajraktarevic (PSV)

Over 1.5

-137

Under 1.5

-

Couhaib Driouech (PSV)

Over 1.5

-141

Under 1.5

-

Dennis Man (PSV)

Over 1.5

-185

Under 1.5

-

Paul Wanner (PSV)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Guus Til (PSV)

Over 1.5

-172

Under 1.5

-

Wout Weghorst (Ajax)

Over 1.5

-182

Under 1.5

-

Raul Moro (Ajax)

Over 0.5

-270

Under 0.5

-

Jerdy Schouten (PSV)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-

Ryan Flamingo (PSV)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-

Six Wins for PSV in Previous Ten Home Games

PSV have racked up six wins and four defeats in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 2.70 goals per game and conceding 2.00.

Ajax are unbeaten in the last three games on their travels. Johnny Heitinga's men have six wins, three draws and one loss in the last 10 away games, scoring an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.00.

Ajax overcame PSV 2-0 when the sides last met at Philips Stadion. The previous 6 H2H meetings at Philips Stadion have resulted in two wins apiece and two draws.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
PSV Home Stats		6-0-4	4.70	2.70	2.00	8	2	7	3
Ajax Away Stats		6-3-1	2.50	1.50	1.00	4	6	4	6

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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PSV vs Ajax Lineups & Team News

Before placing any bets on PSV vs Ajax, check the team news first. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Eredivisie along with up-to-date injury news.

PSV Team Page Ajax Team Page