PSV vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Dec 2025
Champions League Betting Preview: PSV vs Atlético Madrid
Dutch Eredivisie frontrunners PSV host Spanish La Liga team Atlético Madrid at Philips Stadion, with kick-off set for 16:00 on Tuesday 9 December.
We’ll back PSV +0.25 on the Asian Handicap and split our stake between 0 and +0.5 when the Eindhoven side clash with Atlético Madrid. A victory delivers a nice payout at -103 although a draw would still mean a return.
PSV Eindhoven won their last game 2-0. This was an Eredivisie road win against Heerenveen at Abe Lenstra Stadion. The Peasants had most of the ball enjoying 62% possession and seven shots on target, while Joey Veerman and Ricardo Pepi scored one goal each.
Atlético Madrid lost on the road in their previous game. Athletic Club won 1-0 at San Mamés in La Liga. Diego Simeone's team had two shots on goal and boasted 56% possession.
When last playing in the Champions League, PSV visited Liverpool and won 4-1, with Atléti claiming a 2-1 victory at home to Inter Milan.
| Champions League | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Atlético Madrid |
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 28 | PSV |
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 16:16 | 8 |
9 wins and 1 draw, averaging 3.2 goals from 6.1 shots on goal and 14.3 attempts. PSV have had 56.0% possession, 493.5 passes and 5.1 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.0 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 11.5 attempts, while being awarded 4.9 corners.
Top scorer Guus Til has found the net 9 times, with Ismael Saibari and Ricardo Pepi getting 6 and 5 respectively. Mauro Junior is top assists maker with 5, while goalkeeper Matej Kovar has kept 3 clean sheets.
Atléti have 7 victories and 3 defeats, with an average of 1.7 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts. Los Colchoneros have averaged 53.1% possession, 7.8 corners taken and 3.8 corners against, while conceding 1.1 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts.
The top scorers have been Julian Alvarez and Antoine Griezmann on 3, with Alejandro Baena getting 2. Thiago Almada and Giuliano Simeone have clocked up 2 assists, with Jan Oblak keeping 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
PSV confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Matej Kovar (GK), Sergino Dest, Jerdy Schouten, Yarek Gasiorowski, Anass Salah-Eddine, Paul Wanner, Mauro Junior, Joey Veerman, Guus Til, Ismael Saibari, Couhaib Driouech.
Atlético Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Nahuel Molina, Marc Pubill, David Hancko, Matteo Ruggeri, Giuliano Simeone, Pablo Barrios, Koke, Nico Gonzalez, Alexander Soerloth, Julian Alvarez.
PSV vs Atlético Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips
From our main match prediction to correct score advice, a corners pick, must-watch player props and a custom bet builder — this PSV vs Atlético Madrid betting preview covers it all.
Match Prediction
PSV look capable of winning this Champions League encounter and we’ll take them on the Asian Handicap. Back them at -103 with a +0.25 goal start, with confidence high that they can perform well.
The team news that emerges can have an impact on the odds depending on which players are missing. Our football experts also study the form guide, while the latest stats are also checked before a Champions League verdict is reached.
Key PSV vs Atlético Madrid Champions League & league stats:
The best football betting sites make it a 50.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.
As a betting alternative, you can choose to buy or sell goals when it comes to your Asian Handicap pick. Buy if you want a safer wager and sell to get more juice from the line.
Give your wagers a boost. Explore our bonus guide for the latest free bets, welcome bonuses and promo codes.
Correct Score Prediction
A potentially entertaining bet is going for PSV to win by a 2-1 scoreline. At odds of +850, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.
Player Prop Picks
It certainly looks possible that he will cover the Shots on Target line and there are odds of -133 up for grabs.
Dennis Man (PSV) has netted three goals in his past six matches on home soil. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +390 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
PSV have been awarded an average of 7.20 corners in the past 10 home games, while the corner count against Atlético Madrid has been more than 4.5 in the last three away matches. If you’re in agreement with our opinion that the PSV Team Corners line is on the low side, take the odds of -130 that they go over.
PSV
Atléti
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
Take a bet builder that incorporates PSV to cover the +0.25 Asian Handicap, more than two goals in total along with Guus Til (PSV) to record a minimum of one shot on target.
A bet builder provides an exciting opportunity to follow various picks for the same football match. It results in you being able to place a tailored bet at a larger price based on the number of predictions made.
PSV vs Atlético Madrid Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
For this Champions League encounter, the bookmakers have Atlético Madrid as the +125 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 44% chance of triumphing. The +195 means that PSV Eindhoven are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.
Atléti can be backed alternatively on the Draw No Bet market and that means getting -156. However, if you want insurance on the underdogs instead, PSV are +110.
The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -250 on the Both Teams to Score market.
There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football bet for the latest Champions League match. The best betting sites leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.
Julián Álvarez is the First Goalscorer favourite at +290. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at -118.
Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.
PSV Stats
Atlético Madrid Stats
- 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 7 wins and 3 defeats in the previous 10 matches
- 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 4.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 7.20 corners awarded and 4.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 7.80 corners awarded and 3.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 11.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 56.00% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 63.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 home matches
PSV vs Atlético Madrid Lineups & Team News
Make sure you're up to date on the PSV vs Atléti team news before betting. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Champions League, along with current injury news.
PSV Eindhoven Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Atlético Madrid Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
PSV Eindhoven Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Atlético Madrid Confirmed Lineup 4-4-2
PSV Eindhoven Substitutes
- 1Nick Olij
- 4Armando Obispo
- 5Ivan Perisic
- 6Ryan Flamingo
- 9Ricardo Pepi
- 19Esmir Bajraktarevic
- 24Niek Schiks
- 25Kilian Sildillia
- 27Dennis Man
- 31Noah Fernandez
- 39Adamo Nagalo
Atlético Madrid Substitutes
- 1Juan Musso
- 4Conor Gallagher
- 5Johnny Cardoso
- 7Antoine Griezmann
- 11Thiago Almada
- 12Carlos Martin
- 21Javi Galan
- 22Giacomo Raspadori
- 24Robin Le Normand
- 30Daniel Martinez
- 31Salvador Esquivel
- 32Javier Bonar
Previous PSV Lineups
Previous Atlético Madrid Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
PSV Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Peter Bosz
Atlético Madrid Player Stats & Squad
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 23:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 22:8 | 21 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 20:8 | 18 |
| 4 | Tottenham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Barcelona | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 22:14 | 16 |
| 6 | Chelsea | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Sporting | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Man City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:9 | 16 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Inter Milan | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:7 | 15 |
| 11 | PSG | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:11 | 14 |
| 12 | Newcastle | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:7 | 14 |
| 13 | Juventus | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:10 | 13 |
| 14 | Atlético Madrid | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 15 | Atalanta | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 16 | Leverkusen | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 17 | Dortmund | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19:17 | 11 |
| 18 | Olympiacos | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 19 | Club Brugge | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 15:17 | 10 |
| 20 | Galatasaray | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 21 | Monaco | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:14 | 10 |
| 22 | Qarabag FK | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:21 | 10 |
| 23 | Bodo/Glimt | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:15 | 9 |
| 24 | Benfica | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 25 | Marseille | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | 9 |
| 26 | Pafos | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 27 | Union S-G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:17 | 9 |
| 28 | PSV | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 8 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 30 | Napoli | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 8 |
| 31 | FC Copenhagen | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:21 | 8 |
| 32 | Ajax | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:21 | 6 |
| 33 | Frankfurt | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:21 | 4 |
| 34 | Slavia Prague | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5:19 | 3 |
| 35 | Villarreal | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:18 | 1 |
| 36 | Kairat Almaty | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7:22 | 1 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Tottenham | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 12 |
| 3 | Arsenal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:3 | 12 |
| 4 | Chelsea | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 12 |
| 5 | Sporting | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:3 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | 9 |
| 7 | Newcastle | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:2 | 9 |
| 8 | Atlético Madrid | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 9 |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 9 |
| 10 | Liverpool | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:6 | 9 |
| 11 | Man City | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:3 | 9 |
| 12 | Juventus | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 13 | PSG | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 14 | Dortmund | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 7 |
| 15 | Club Brugge | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 16 | Napoli | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 17 | Galatasaray | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 18 | Qarabag FK | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:8 | 7 |
| 19 | Atalanta | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 20 | Pafos | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:8 | 7 |
| 21 | Benfica | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 6 |
| 22 | Inter Milan | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 23 | Marseille | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 24 | Monaco | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 25 | Olympiacos | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 5 |
| 26 | FC Copenhagen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:9 | 5 |
| 27 | Leverkusen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8:10 | 5 |
| 28 | Bodo/Glimt | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 4 |
| 29 | Athletic Club | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 4 |
| 30 | PSV | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10:10 | 3 |
| 31 | Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | 3 |
| 32 | Union S-G | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:11 | 3 |
| 33 | Slavia Prague | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | 2 |
| 34 | Villarreal | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | 1 |
| 35 | Kairat Almaty | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:10 | 1 |
| 36 | Ajax | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:9 | 0 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 26 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 75:31 | 68 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 58:38 | 49 |
| 3 | NEC Nijmegen | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 64:43 | 46 |
| 4 | Twente | 26 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 45:27 | 44 |
| 5 | Ajax | 26 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 48:34 | 44 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 43:42 | 39 |
| 7 | Sp. Rotterdam | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 33:43 | 38 |
| 8 | SC Heerenveen | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 44:44 | 37 |
| 9 | Utrecht | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 38:31 | 35 |
| 10 | Groningen | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:36 | 34 |
| 11 | Fortuna Sittard | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:49 | 32 |
| 12 | Go Ahead E. | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39:43 | 29 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 35:51 | 29 |
| 14 | Volendam | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 29:44 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 27:44 | 26 |
| 16 | Telstar | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 35:42 | 24 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 28:42 | 23 |
| 18 | Heracles | 26 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 32:65 | 18 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 41:18 | 32 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 32:19 | 28 |
| 3 | Ajax | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 24:11 | 27 |
| 4 | NEC Nijmegen | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 35:20 | 26 |
| 5 | Twente | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22:12 | 25 |
| 6 | Volendam | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:17 | 22 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21:12 | 21 |
| 8 | Fortuna Sittard | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 22:22 | 21 |
| 9 | AZ Alkmaar | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 25:21 | 20 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 24:22 | 20 |
| 11 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:15 | 20 |
| 12 | Sp. Rotterdam | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:20 | 19 |
| 13 | Groningen | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 20:14 | 18 |
| 14 | Go Ahead E. | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 22:20 | 18 |
| 15 | NAC Breda | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:21 | 16 |
| 16 | Excelsior | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14:19 | 14 |
| 17 | Heracles | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 21:28 | 14 |
| 18 | Telstar | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 21:24 | 11 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 27 | 22 | 1 | 4 | 72:26 | 67 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 56:23 | 63 |
| 3 | Atlético Madrid | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 46:25 | 54 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 50:32 | 54 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 42:34 | 43 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 37:30 | 40 |
| 7 | Espanyol | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 34:40 | 37 |
| 8 | Real Sociedad | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 40:41 | 35 |
| 9 | Getafe | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 23:29 | 35 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 30:37 | 35 |
| 11 | Osasuna | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:32 | 34 |
| 12 | Valencia | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 30:41 | 32 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 27:33 | 31 |
| 14 | Sevilla | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 35:42 | 31 |
| 15 | Girona | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 28:43 | 31 |
| 16 | Alavés | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | 27 |
| 17 | Elche | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 35:41 | 26 |
| 18 | Mallorca | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 31:44 | 25 |
| 19 | Levante | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 29:45 | 22 |
| 20 | Real Oviedo | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 17:44 | 18 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 13 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 41:6 | 39 |
| 2 | Atlético Madrid | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 33:12 | 37 |
| 3 | Villarreal | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 31:12 | 34 |
| 4 | Real Madrid | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 29:9 | 33 |
| 5 | Osasuna | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24:16 | 25 |
| 6 | Real Betis | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 24 |
| 7 | Valencia | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19:15 | 23 |
| 8 | Athletic Club | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 17:16 | 23 |
| 9 | Elche | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 22:15 | 22 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24:20 | 21 |
| 11 | Espanyol | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17:19 | 21 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 13 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 13 | Mallorca | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Alavés | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 19 |
| 15 | Getafe | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12:11 | 18 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:17 | 17 |
| 17 | Sevilla | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 19:20 | 16 |
| 18 | Girona | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13:21 | 16 |
| 19 | Real Oviedo | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5:14 | 11 |
| 20 | Levante | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 14:24 | 11 |
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