PSV vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Dec 2025

Champions League Betting Preview: PSV vs Atlético Madrid

Dutch Eredivisie side PSV host Spanish La Liga team Atlético Madrid at Philips Stadion, with kick-off set for 15:00 on Tuesday 9 December.

We’ll back PSV +0.25 on the Asian Handicap and split our stake between 0 and +0.5 when they clash with Atlético Madrid. A victory delivers a nice payout at -103 although a draw would still mean a return.

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PSV Eindhoven won their last game 2-0. This was a Eredivisie road win against Heerenveen at Abe Lenstra Stadion. The Peasants had most of the ball enjoying 62% possession and seven shots on target, while Joey Veerman and Ricardo Pepi scored one goal each.

Atlético Madrid lost on the road in their previous game. Athletic Club won 1-0 at San Mamés in La Liga. Diego Simeone's team had two shots on goal and boasted 56% possession.

When last playing in the Champions League, PSV visited Liverpool and won 4-1, with Atléti claiming a 2-1 victory at home to Inter Milan.

Champions League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
12	Atlético Madrid	5	3	0	2	12	10	2	12:10	9
15	PSV	5	2	2	1	13	8	5	13:8	8

View Full Table

9 wins and 1 draw, averaging 3.2 goals from 6.1 shots on goal and 14.3 attempts. PSV have had 56.0% possession, 493.5 passes and 5.1 corners per match. On average, the opposition have scored 1.0 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 11.5 attempts, while being awarded 4.9 corners.

Top scorer Guus Til has found the net 9 times, with Ismael Saibari and Ricardo Pepi getting 6 and 5 respectively. Mauro Junior is top assists maker with 5, while goalkeeper Matej Kovar has kept 3 clean sheets.

Atléti have 7 victories and 3 defeats, with an average of 1.7 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 13.1 attempts. Los Colchoneros have averaged 53.1% possession, 7.8 corners taken and 3.8 corners against, while conceding 1.1 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts.

The top scorers have been Julian Alvarez and Antoine Griezmann on 3, with Alejandro Baena getting 2. Thiago Almada and Giuliano Simeone have clocked up 2 assists, with Jan Oblak keeping 3 clean sheets in the last 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

PSV predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Matej Kovar (GK), Sergino Dest, Jerdy Schouten, Yarek Gasiorowski, Anass Salah-Eddine, Mauro Junior, Joey Veerman, Dennis Man, Ismael Saibari, Paul Wanner, Guus Til.

Atlético Madrid predicted lineup (4-3-3): Juan Musso (GK), Nahuel Molina, Clement Lenglet, David Hancko, Matteo Ruggeri, Conor Gallagher, Koke, Pablo Barrios, Giuliano Simeone, Julian Alvarez, Carlos Martin.

PSV vs Atlético Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

From our main match prediction to correct score advice, a corners pick, must-watch player props and a custom bet builder — this PSV vs Atlético Madrid betting preview covers it all.

Match Prediction

PSV look capable of winning this Champions League encounter and we’ll take them on the Asian Handicap. Back them at -103 with a +0.25 goal start, with confidence high that they can perform well.

The team news that emerges can have an impact on the odds depending on which players are missing. Our football experts also study the form guide, while the latest stats are also checked before a Champions League verdict is reached.

Key PSV vs Atlético Madrid Champions League & league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by PSV in 14 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by PSV in 18 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atléti in 8 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atléti in 15 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Atléti in 2 consecutive games.

The best football betting sites make it a 50.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Based on our experts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

As a betting alternative, you can choose to buy or sell goals when it comes to your Asian Handicap pick. Buy if you want a safer wager and sell to get more juice from the line.

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Our Match Prediction

PSV Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -103 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

PSV 2 - 1 Atléti

A potentially entertaining bet is going for PSV to win by a 2-1 scoreline. At odds of +850, there’s the chance to get a handsome return should this wager win.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Guus Til Over 0.5 Shots On Target -133

It certainly looks possible that he will cover the Shots on Target line and there are odds of -133 up for grabs.

Latest Guus Til Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+250

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-130

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Dennis Man to Score +390

Dennis Man (PSV) has netted three goals in his past six matches on home soil. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager at +390 which means we need to him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Dennis Man Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+390

First

+1150

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-222

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Corners Prediction

PSV Over 4.5 Corners -130

PSV have been awarded an average of 7.20 corners in the past 10 home games, while the corner count against Atlético Madrid has been more than 4.5 in the last three away matches. If you’re in agreement with our opinion that the PSV Team Corners line is on the low side, take the odds of -130 that they go over.

Champions League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

PSV

Total

10.00 5.10 4.90

Home

11.20 7.20 4.00

Away

10.30 4.70 5.60

Atléti

Total

11.60 7.80 3.80

Home

11.70 8.50 3.20

Away

8.80 4.90 3.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-147

Under 9.5

+102

PSV Corners

Over 4.5

-130

Under 4.5

-110

Atléti Corners

Over 4.5

-147

Under 4.5

+104

Most Corners

1

+110

X

+600

2

-105

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PSV vs Atlético Madrid Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

For this Champions League encounter, the bookmakers have Atlético Madrid as the +110 favourites to win. This therefore implies that they have a 48% chance of triumphing. The +220 means that PSV Eindhoven are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

Atléti can be backed alternatively on the Draw No Bet market and that means getting -182. However, if you want insurance on the underdogs instead, PSV are +128.

The Over 2.5 pick is trading as the favourite when it comes to betting on Total Goals. BTTS betting is always a warm order and you can bet Yes at -208 on the Both Teams to Score market.

There are hundreds of markets which means lots of options to find a football bet for the latest Champions League match. The best betting sites leave no stone unturned to provide a first-class service.

Full-Time Result

1

+220

X

+280

2

+110

Half-Time Result

1

+240

X

+150

2

+150

Double Chance

1X

-143

12

-385

X2

-294

Draw No Bet

1

+128

2

-182

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-103

2 Hcp -0.25

-119

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+145

Over 2.5

-182

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-208

No

+160

Julián Álvarez is the First Goalscorer favourite at +310. Alternatively, there’s the opportunity to simply back him to find the net anytime at -105.

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

First

-105

Anytime

+310

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

First

+160

Anytime

+460

Ismael Saibari (PSV)

First

+195

Anytime

+600

Ricardo Pepi (PSV)

First

+210

Anytime

+650

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

First

+230

Anytime

+700

Guus Til (PSV)

First

+250

Anytime

+750

Myron Boadu (PSV)

First

+310

Anytime

+900

Álex Baena (Atléti)

First

+320

Anytime

+900

Nicolás González (Atléti)

First

+350

Anytime

+1050

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

First

+360

Anytime

+1000

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

First

+370

Anytime

+1050

Paul Wanner (PSV)

First

+380

Anytime

+1150

Dennis Man (PSV)

First

+390

Anytime

+1150

Couhaib Driouech (PSV)

First

+400

Anytime

+1200

Esmir Bajraktarevic (PSV)

First

+420

Anytime

+1150

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

First

+450

Anytime

+1300

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

First

+500

Anytime

+1500

Joey Veerman (PSV)

First

+550

Anytime

+1600

Mauro Jaqueson Júnior Ferreira dos Santos (PSV)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

David Hancko (Atléti)

First

+750

Anytime

+2200

Conor Gallagher (Atléti)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Pablo Barrios (Atléti)

First

+850

Anytime

+2200

Alexander Sørloth (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-238

Under 0.5

+132

Ismael Saibari (PSV)

Over 0.5

-208

Under 0.5

+115

Ricardo Pepi (PSV)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-100

Antoine Griezmann (Atléti)

Over 0.5

-137

Under 0.5

-125

Guus Til (PSV)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-130

Julián Álvarez (Atléti)

Over 1.5

-114

Under 1.5

-154

Myron Boadu (PSV)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-167

Álex Baena (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+110

Under 0.5

-192

Paul Wanner (PSV)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-222

Dennis Man (PSV)

Over 0.5

+125

Under 0.5

-222

Nicolás González (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+130

Under 0.5

-233

Giacomo Raspadori (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+133

Under 0.5

-244

Couhaib Driouech (PSV)

Over 0.5

+135

Under 0.5

-250

Thiago Almada (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-250

Esmir Bajraktarevic (PSV)

Over 0.5

+140

Under 0.5

-263

Carlos Martín (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-333

Joey Veerman (PSV)

Over 0.5

+180

Under 0.5

-357

Giuliano Simeone (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+200

Under 0.5

-417

Mauro Jaqueson Júnior Ferreira dos Santos (PSV)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-714

David Hancko (Atléti)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-769

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

PSV Stats

Atlético Madrid Stats

Full-Time Result

• 9 wins and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
• 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the previous 10 matches
• 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 3.20 goals scored and 1.00 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 3.30 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 4.20 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 4.90 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 8 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 9 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.70 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.10 corners awarded and 4.90 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 7.20 corners awarded and 4.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 10.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 7.80 corners awarded and 3.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 11.60 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 9 and least corners in 1 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 56.00% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 63.50% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 9 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 10 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 53.10% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 51.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches

PSV vs Atlético Madrid Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the PSV vs Atléti team news before betting. We’ll bring you both the expected and confirmed lineups for the Champions League, along with current injury news.

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