Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Apr 2026

Europa Conference League Quarter-Final Betting Preview: Rayo Vallecano vs AEK

Spanish La Liga outfit Rayo Vallecano host Greek Super League team AEK in the first leg of this Europa Conference League quarter-final at Estadio de Vallecas in Madrid, with kick-off set for 12:45 on Thursday 9 April.

We’re more than happy with the odds of -156 when it comes to betting Under 2.5 Goals, with the Total Goals market affording us this price. Rayo and AEK might not net too many between them.

Rayo Vallecano head into this match 13th in La Liga with 35 points from 30 games, while AEK Athens sit top of the Greek Super League Championship Group.

Rayo were victorious when they last played, landing a 1-0 La Liga home success against Elche at Estadio de Vallecas. Inigo Perez's side had the majority of the ball boasting 60% possession and four shots on target, with Randy Nteka netting in the 74th minute.

AEK got the win in their previous game. A 1-0 Super League victory occurred on the road at Karaiskakis Stadium when playing Olympiacos. The Double-Headed Eagle enjoyed just 36% possession and had one shot on goal, with an early first half strike from Aboubakary Koita proving the difference.

In the Europa Conference League round of 16, Rayo beat Turkish Super Lig side Samsunspor 3-2 on aggregate, while AEK claimed a 4-2 aggregate victory over Slovenian 1. SNL outfit NK Celje.

Europa Conference League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	AEK	6	4	1	1	14	7	7	14:7	13
5	Rayo Vallecano	6	4	1	1	13	7	6	13:7	13

View Full Table

Rayo have 4 wins, 2 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.4 goals from 5.2 shots on goal and 13.6 attempts. The Madrid outfit have averaged 49.2% possession, 349.6 passes and 6.6 corners per game, with the opposition getting 0.7 goals from 3.3 shots on goal, 10.6 attempts and 4.2 corners.

Jorge de Frutos leads the way with 3 goals, with Alvaro Garcia and Alexandre Zurawski scoring 2 each. Alvaro Garcia, Isi Palazon and Andrei Ratiu have the most assists with 2, while goalie Augusto Batalla has recorded 3 clean sheets.

AEK Athens have 6 victories, 1 defeat and 3 draws, with an average of 2.1 goals from 5.0 shots on goal and 11.5 attempts. Marko Nikolic's men have averaged 52.7% possession, 5.7 corners awarded and 3.3 corners against, while they’ve conceded 0.6 goals from 2.4 shots on goal and 6.5 attempts.

Barnabas Varga has scored 5 goals, followed by Luka Jovic on 4 and Harold Moukoudi with 3. Razvan Marin is top assists provider with 5, while Thomas Strakosha has recorded one clean sheet in the last 10 games.

Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Prediction & Betting Tips

Our expert Rayo Vallecano vs AEK tips include betting advice on all fronts — from a main match prediction and player prop picks to corners guidance, a correct score selection and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

A low goal count could be on the cards in the first leg of this Europa Conference League quarter-final. On this basis, we’ll land the -156 for Under 2.5, with the two sides unlikely to reach a combined three goals or more between them.

Our football experts are keen to follow the latest form and understand any patterns that emerge. The same applies to injuries that could affect key players. Combined with the best Europa Conference League stats, there is plenty of information to make a verdict.

Key Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Europa Conference League & league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 Rayo games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Rayo games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Rayo games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 AEK games on the road.

The betting odds at the top bookies suggest our pick carries a 61% chance of winning. In the opinion of our tipsters, there’s actually a probability of success closer to 70%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

If you’re hunting larger odds, there’s the opportunity to not only back the Under 2.5 Goals selection but also back a specific team to win. The Result & Total Goals market presents this opportunity.

Before you bet, make sure to check out the latest offers. Our guide is packed with the best welcome bonuses from leading sportsbooks.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -156 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Apr 7, 18:57). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Rayo 1 - 1 AEK

Our prediction for the correct score is for the teams to play out a 1-1 draw and this is available at +420. It’s a fun wager to place which lands a bigger potential return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Luka Jovic to Score +325

Luka Jovic (AEK) has registered three goals in his past five games. He looks like an attractive wager to be on the scoresheet and you’re able to back this Anytime Goalscorer selection at odds of +325.

Latest Luka Jovic Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+325

First

+700

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 9.5 Corners -133

The 9.5 Total Corners line has been covered in four consecutive Rayo Vallecano games, with the last ten AEK away matches averaging 10.10 corners. In our opinion, there is value when it comes to covering the Total Corners line, with odds of -133 available.

Europa Conference League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Rayo

Total

10.80 6.60 4.20

Home

10.30 6.40 3.90

Away

10.20 4.90 5.30

AEK

Total

9.00 5.70 3.30

Home

8.00 5.60 2.40

Away

10.10 5.40 4.70

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-133

Under 9.5

-105

Rayo Corners

Over 5.5

-109

Under 5.5

-130

AEK Corners

Over 3.5

-161

Under 3.5

+112

Most Corners

1

-172

X

+650

2

+170

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Rayo Vallecano are forecasted to have a 49% chance of triumphing in this Europa Conference League quarter-final according to the bookmakers. It leads to their latest betting odds being +104. At +280, AEK are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

Rayo are -104 when it comes to the Asian Handicap -0.5 which is the same as backing them on the 1x2 market. If you instead want to bet on AEK +0.5 at -135, you also get paid out if it’s a draw.

The Total Goals odds suggest that Under 2.5 is the likelier outcome in this contest. The Both Teams to Score market is intriguing, with the Yes and No options evenly-matched.

If you’re betting on Europa Conference League matches, we recommend heading to the top football betting sites and scanning through the hundreds of markets. There’s a chance to bet pre-match and In-Play.

Full-Time Result

1

+104

X

+225

2

+280

Half-Time Result

1

+163

X

+110

2

+320

Double Chance

1X

-455

12

-345

X2

-147

Draw No Bet

1

-233

2

+160

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.5

-104

2 Hcp +0.5

-135

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-156

Over 2.5

+110

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-115

No

-123

There is +180 available that Alemão finds the net at any stage. He is available at +390 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.

Alemão (Rayo)

First

+180

Anytime

+390

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo)

First

+225

Anytime

+475

Álvaro García (Rayo)

First

+270

Anytime

+575

Barnabás Varga (AEK)

First

+280

Anytime

+600

Sergio Camello (Rayo)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Dereck Kutesa (AEK)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Luka Jovic (AEK)

First

+325

Anytime

+700

Isi Palazón (Rayo)

First

+330

Anytime

+700

Aboubakary Koita (AEK)

First

+335

Anytime

+750

Carlos Martín (Rayo)

First

+350

Anytime

+700

Roberto Pereyra (AEK)

First

+360

Anytime

+850

Ilias Akhomach (Rayo)

First

+370

Anytime

+750

Randy Nteka (Rayo)

First

+380

Anytime

+800

Ambrosini António Cabaça (AEK)

First

+390

Anytime

+950

Fran Pérez (Rayo)

First

+410

Anytime

+800

Óscar Trejo (Rayo)

First

+500

Anytime

+1050

Pedro Diaz (Rayo)

First

+540

Anytime

+1100

Razvan Marin (AEK)

First

+575

Anytime

+1150

Unai López (Rayo)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Niclas Eliasson (AEK)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Gerard Gumbau (Rayo)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Pathé Ciss (Rayo)

First

+650

Anytime

+1300

Petros Mantalos (AEK)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Alfonso Espino (Rayo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Florian Lejeune (Rayo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Latest Europa Conference League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Rayo Vallecano Stats

AEK Stats

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 2 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 6 wins, 1 defeat and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 6 wins and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.40 goals scored and 0.70 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 3 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 2.10 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.20 goals scored and 0.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.70 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 2 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 6.60 corners awarded and 4.20 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.40 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 10.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 5.70 corners awarded and 3.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 4.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 9.00 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 49.20% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 55.70% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 7 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 52.70% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 52.20% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Rayo Vallecano vs AEK Lineups & Team News

Make sure you're up to date on the Rayo vs AEK team news before betting. We’ll bring you the expected and confirmed lineups for the Europa Conference League along with up-to-date injury news.

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