Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 28 Feb 2026

La Liga Betting Preview: Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club

Rayo Vallecano clash with Athletic Club at Estadio de Vallecas, with kick-off set for 08:00 on Saturday 28 February.

Athletic Club +0.25 at -139 on the Asian Handicap could be the bet to have. We’re expecting them to avoid defeat against Rayo, with our stake divided equally between 0 and +0.5 in the hope the away team can land a win.

Rayo Vallecano drew away from home in their last game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Real Betis at Estadio de La Cartuja. The Madrid club boasted 54% possession and had three shots on target, while Isi Palazon bagged the goal.

Athletic Club have won their previous three games. The latest was a 2-1 home win at San Mamés against Elche. Ernesto Valverde's side recorded eight shots on goal and had 46% possession, while Gorka Guruzeta scored twice.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It has been five successive wins for Athletic when playing Rayo. Their last clash was at San Mamés, with Athletic claiming a 1-0 home victory. The past 10 H2H games have involved eight Athletic victories, a single draw and one Rayo win.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
8	Athletic Club	25	10	4	11	29	35	-6	29:35	34
15	Rayo Vallecano	24	6	8	10	22	31	-9	22:31	26

View Full Table

Rayo have 2 wins, 5 losses and 3 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 4.9 shots on goal and 13.4 attempts. Los Franjirrojos have averaged 54.5% possession, 418.0 passes and 4.8 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.6 goals from 4.5 shots on goal, 12.4 attempts and 4.8 corners.

Jorge de Frutos is the top goalscorer with 3, Isi Palazon has 2, with Oscar Valentin and two other players on 1. Leading assistor is Alvaro Garcia with 3, while goalie Augusto Batalla has recorded 2 clean sheets.

Athletic have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 16.5 attempts, 5.5 shots on goal and 1.5 goals. The Basque Country team average 51.2% possession, 424.7 passes, 5.5 corners awarded and 2.9 corners against them, while 1.5 goals have been conceded from 4.1 shots on goal and 8.5 attempts.

Gorka Guruzeta is top of the team’s scoring charts with 5, while Robert Navarro and Alex Berenguer both have 2. Yuri Berchiche is top assists provider with 3, while Unai Simon has kept one clean sheet in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Rayo Vallecano predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Augusto Batalla (GK), Andrei Ratiu, Florian Lejeune, Nobel Mendy, Alfonso Espino, Oscar Valentin, Gerard Gumbau, Ilias Akhomach, Isi Palazon, Fran Perez, Jorge de Frutos.

Athletic Club predicted lineup (4-2-3-1): Unai Simon (GK), Inigo Lekue, Daniel Vivian, Aymeric Laporte, Yuri Berchiche, Inigo Ruiz de Galarreta, Alejandro Rego, Unai Gomez, Oihan Sancet, Inaki Williams, Gorka Guruzeta.

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club Prediction & Betting Tips

Discover the top Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club betting angles — from our trusted match prediction and likely score to corners market advice, key prop plays and a customized bet builder.

Match Prediction

If you echo our view that Athletic Club can swerve defeat in this La Liga encounter, then you can take them with a +0.25 goal start at -139. There are strong reasons to back the visitors.

The football betting tips are only provided once we have a handle on the team news and the latest form guide. We are also on point when it comes to the most valuable La Liga stats.

Key Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Athletic in 4 consecutive games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Athletic in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Athletic in 11 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Rayo in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Rayo in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Rayo in 8 consecutive games against Athletic.

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 58.1% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our tipsters think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 65-70%. This is why we can recommend this wager.

There’s an opportunity to secure bigger odds and this can be achieved by moving the line. Squeeze more juice from your pick by taking an alternative betting view.

Before betting, make sure to browse our bonus guide packed with the best betting promo codes, free bets, and sign-up offers.

Our Match Prediction

Athletic Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -139 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 26, 14:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Rayo 0 - 1 Athletic

One bet that has caught our eye is Athletic to claim a 1-0 correct score win. This selection is available at +650 meaning that a winning selection will yield a nice return.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Gorka Guruzeta to Score +330

Gorka Guruzeta (Athletic) has scored four goals in his past four La Liga games. This data directs us to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds of +330.

Latest Gorka Guruzeta Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+330

First

+700

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Rayo Under 5.5 Corners -147

Rayo Vallecano have had under 5.5 corners in four consecutive games, with Athletic conceding less than 5.5 corners in their past nine matches. There are odds of -147 for this Rayo Team Corners wager and we think the line is too high.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Rayo

Total

9.60 4.80 4.80

Home

11.50 6.40 5.10

Away

11.00 4.90 6.10

Athletic

Total

8.40 5.50 2.90

Home

9.10 5.50 3.60

Away

8.50 4.60 3.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-118

Rayo Corners

Over 4.5

-154

Under 4.5

+107

Athletic Corners

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-147

Most Corners

1

-132

X

+650

2

+135

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The draw is available at +200 if you believe that this La Liga clash will finish level, with Rayo Vallecano at +150 and Athletic Club chalked up at +200 with the bookmakers to secure a win of their own.

As the name suggests, the Draw No Bet market means money back if the game ends level. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Rayo at -147 and Athletic at +102.

The Total Goals price implies that Under 2.5 is the most likely result in this contest. If you’re looking to wager on Both Teams to Score, there’s not a lot of difference between Yes and No.

There’s lots to like about our recommended football betting sites and that includes the hundreds of markets available for each La Liga game. You are spoilt for choice when it comes to available options.

Full-Time Result

1

+150

X

+200

2

+200

Half-Time Result

1

+215

X

+102

2

+260

Double Chance

1X

-270

12

-270

X2

-200

Draw No Bet

1

-147

2

+102

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

+110

2 Hcp +0.25

-139

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-167

Over 2.5

+130

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-114

No

-116

Those interested in Jorge de Frutos to find the net anytime are able to get +300. There is the chance to back the favourite to score the first goal at odds of +600.

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo)

First

+300

Anytime

+600

Álvaro García (Rayo)

First

+310

Anytime

+700

Gorka Guruzeta (Athletic)

First

+330

Anytime

+700

Isi Palazón (Rayo)

First

+370

Anytime

+850

Sergio Camello (Rayo)

First

+400

Anytime

+850

Carlos Martín (Rayo)

First

+400

Anytime

+900

Robert Navarro (Athletic)

First

+410

Anytime

+950

Maroan Sannadi (Athletic)

First

+420

Anytime

+900

Randy Nteka (Rayo)

First

+420

Anytime

+950

Oihan Sancet (Athletic)

First

+430

Anytime

+950

Urko Izeta (Athletic)

First

+430

Anytime

+1000

Iñaki Williams (Athletic)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Nico Serrano (Athletic)

First

+450

Anytime

+1050

Ilias Akhomach (Rayo)

First

+450

Anytime

+1000

Unai Gomez (Athletic)

First

+450

Anytime

+900

Alex Berenguer (Athletic)

First

+460

Anytime

+1000

Fran Pérez (Rayo)

First

+480

Anytime

+1050

Óscar Trejo (Rayo)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Gerard Gumbau (Rayo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Florian Lejeune (Rayo)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Pathé Ciss (Rayo)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Nobel Mendy (Rayo)

First

+900

Anytime

+2000

Andrei Ratiu (Rayo)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Mikel Jauregizar (Athletic)

First

+950

Anytime

+2200

Mikel Vesga (Athletic)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2200

Rayo have managed five victories, four draws and one loss in the last 10 home matches, recording an average of 1.50 goals per game and conceding 0.80.

Athletic have recorded six defeats, two victories and two draws in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 1.00 goals per game and conceding 1.70.

When the sides last met at Estadio de Vallecas, Athletic beat Rayo 2-1. The previous 4 H2H matches at Estadio de Vallecas have featured three Athletic wins and one draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Rayo Vallecano Home Stats		5-4-1	2.30	1.50	0.80	5	5	5	5
Athletic Club Away Stats		2-2-6	2.70	1.00	1.70	5	5	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Club Lineups & Team News

Be prepared — check the Rayo vs Athletic team news before wagering. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups along with the latest injury developments.

Rayo Vallecano Team Page Athletic Club Team Page

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