Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 09 Nov 2025

La Liga Betting Preview: Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid

Rayo Vallecano go head-to-head with Real Madrid at Estadio de Vallecas, with kick-off set for 10:15 on Sunday 9 November. Our betting preview features expert Spanish La Liga predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

Find Out Our Best Asian Handicap Bet

We’ve going to back Rayo +1.25 when they line up against Real Madrid. You can get Asian Handicap odds of -125 and our stake is split between +1 and +1.5 when it comes to the underdogs.

Confident in our Asian Handicap pick? Unlock the best BetMGM promo code and read our expert review of the site before jumping in.

Real Won 2-1 in Teams’ Last Encounter

Rayo Vallecano were defeated in their last La Liga game. Away from home, they suffered a 4-0 loss against Villarreal at Estadio de la Ceramica. Los Franjirrojos had 52% possession and managed three shots on target.

Three days ago, Rayo won 3-2 at home to Lech Poznan in the Europa Conference League.

Real Madrid beat Valencia in their previous game, making it four straight league victories. It was a 4-0 home win at Santiago Bernabéu. Xabi Alonso's team racked up ten shots on goal and enjoyed 65% possession, while Kylian Mbappe netted two, with Jude Bellingham and Alvaro Carreras also on the scoresheet.

On Tuesday night, Real lost 1-0 on the road against Liverpool in the Champions League.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Real haven’t lost to Rayo in their past five games. In their last encounter, Real enjoyed a 2-1 scoreline on home soil at Santiago Bernabéu. The past 9 meetings between these sides have resulted in four Real victories and two Rayo wins. There have also been three draws.

La Liga		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
1	Real Madrid	11	10	0	1	26	10	16	26:10	30
10	Rayo Vallecano	11	4	2	5	12	14	-2	12:14	14

View Full Table

Rayo have 3 wins, 5 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.9 goals from 11.9 attempts and 4.3 shots on goal. Inigo Perez's side have averaged 53.1% possession, 426.2 passes and 6.5 corners per game, conceding 1.3 goals and 5.5 corners from 11.6 attempts and 4.5 shots on goal.

Jorge de Frutos is the top goalscorer with 3, Alvaro Garcia has 2, with Alexandre Zurawski and two other players on 1. Pep Chavarria, Unai Lopez and Isi Palazon are top assists makers with 2, while goalkeeper Augusto Batalla has kept 3 clean sheets.

Real have 9 victories and 1 defeat, with an average of 19.6 attempts, 7.7 shots on goal and 2.5 goals. Los Merengues average 59.7% possession, 550.5 passes, 5.8 corners in their favour and 3.5 corners against, while 1.0 goals have been conceded from 3.3 shots on goal and 10.1 attempts.

Kylian Mbappe is top of the team’s scoring charts with 12, Vinicius Junior is on 5 and Arda Guler on 3. Arda Guler has had 5 assists, with Thibaut Courtois notching 4 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Predicted & Confirmed Lineups

Rayo Vallecano predicted lineup (4-3-3): Augusto Batalla (GK), Andrei Florin Rațiu, Florian Lejeune, Nobel Mendy, Pep Chavarría, Pedro Díaz Fanjul, Isi Palazón, Unai López Cabrera, Jorge de Frutos, Alexandre Alemão, Álvaro García Rivera.

Real Madrid predicted lineup (4-3-3): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Trent Alexander-Arnold, Éder Militão, Dean Donny Huijsen, Álvaro Fernández Carreras, Federico Valverde, Jude Bellingham, Eduardo Camavinga, Arda Güler, Kylian Mbappe, Vinícius Júnior.

Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips

Join us as we dissect the top Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid betting picks — from the main match prediction and scoreline forecast to a sharp corners bet, standout player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Match Prediction

Rayo look a great bet at +1.25 for this La Liga encounter. We think that the hosts can keep the scoreline close with this Asian Handicap bet and there are odds of -125 available.

The football predictions are generated after consulting the team news for both sides along with the form. We are also able to analyse the latest La Liga stats which can suggest how the game might unfold.

Key Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid league stats:

• The +1.25 line has been covered by Rayo in 8 consecutive games at home.
• The +1.25 line has been covered by Rayo in 9 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +1.25 line has been covered by Rayo in 17 of their last 19 games at home.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Real in 14 of their last 20 games on the road.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Real in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The -1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Real in 2 consecutive games on the road.
• The +1.25 line has been covered by Rayo in 9 consecutive games against Real.

Rayo +1.25 Probability

The best bookies are estimating that there is a 55.6% likelihood of this pick landing a return. In our opinion, there’s actually a probability of success between 60-65%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

Looking for more juice from your selection? By moving the line, you are able to get bigger betting odds although you will need to take a riskier bet.

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Our Match Prediction

Rayo Asian Hcp +1.25 @ -125 Watch Live Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Rayo 1 - 1 Real Madrid

We’re taking a correct score bet which involves a 1-1 scoreline. The odds of +650 make plenty of appeal and you should hopefully get some entertainment with this wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jorge de Frutos Over 0.5 Shots On Target +112

There is odds of +112 available when it comes to this Shots on Target wager and we think he’ll cover the line.

Latest Jorge de Frutos Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+350

First

+950

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-192

Shots

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

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Jude Bellingham To Score +290

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid) can be backed at +290 to be on the scoresheet. It’s worth a play that he is Anytime Goalscorer as there’s lots of value for these betting odds.

Latest Jude Bellingham Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+290

First

+750

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-100

Shots

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

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Corners Prediction

Rayo Over 3.5 Corners -137

Rayo Vallecano have had over 3.5 corners in ten consecutive games, while Real Madrid have had an average of 5.20 corners against them in their last 10 away matches. We’re going to select the Overs for Rayo Team Corners, with this line making appeal and you can secure odds of -137.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Rayo

Total

12.00 6.50 5.50

Home

12.00 7.80 4.20

Away

10.90 4.90 6.00

Real Madrid

Total

9.30 5.80 3.50

Home

11.80 9.40 2.40

Away

9.90 4.70 5.20

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-128

Under 9.5

-110

Rayo Corners

Over 3.5

-137

Under 3.5

-102

Real Madrid Corners

Over 5.5

-122

Under 5.5

-116

Most Corners

1

+210

X

+700

2

-200

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Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Real Could Have Edge According to Bookies

Real Madrid are regarded as having a 68% chance of winning this La Liga clash in the eyes of the bookies. It means that their current betting odds are -217. The +525 means that Rayo Vallecano are seen as having the lowest probability of succeeding.

The Half-Time Result market means that your bet will always be settled at the interval. Real are -112, while Rayo are alternatively priced at +460 and the draw is +163.

The Total Goals market reveals that Over 2.5 Goals is the current betting favourite. For those expecting both sides to find the net, Both Teams to Score Yes is available at -141.

There are hundreds of markets from which to select your preferred wager when it comes to La Liga games. The best football betting sites push the boat out to provide lots of choice.

Full-Time Result

1

+525

X

+360

2

-217

Half-Time Result

1

+460

X

+163

2

-112

Double Chance

1X

+155

12

-526

X2

-833

Draw No Bet

1

+340

2

-588

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +1.25

-125

2 Hcp -1.25

-100

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+132

Over 2.5

-172

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-141

No

+106

Kylian Mbappé Favourite to Score the First Goal

Kylian Mbappé is favourite to be First Goalscorer at +230, while you can get similar odds if you want him to score the last goal.

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

First

-154

Anytime

+230

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

First

+205

Anytime

+525

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

First

+235

Anytime

+550

Endrick Moreira de Sousa (Real Madrid)

First

+280

Anytime

+650

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

First

+290

Anytime

+750

Rodrygo (Real Madrid)

First

+310

Anytime

+800

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo)

First

+350

Anytime

+950

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

First

+360

Anytime

+900

Álvaro García (Rayo)

First

+450

Anytime

+1300

Isi Palazón (Rayo)

First

+480

Anytime

+1300

Sergio Camello (Rayo)

First

+480

Anytime

+1200

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

First

+510

Anytime

+1200

Randy Nteka (Rayo)

First

+525

Anytime

+1600

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

First

+540

Anytime

+1500

Fran Pérez (Rayo)

First

+650

Anytime

+1800

Trent Alexander-Arnold (Real Madrid)

First

+700

Anytime

+1900

Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid)

First

+750

Anytime

+1900

Óscar Trejo (Rayo)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

David Alaba (Real Madrid)

First

+800

Anytime

+2200

Dean Huijsen (Real Madrid)

First

+900

Anytime

+2200

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-204

Under 1.5

+118

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-189

Under 0.5

+110

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-100

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-114

Endrick Moreira de Sousa (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-114

Under 0.5

-149

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-111

Under 0.5

-152

Rodrygo (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

-102

Under 0.5

-167

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-175

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+112

Under 0.5

-192

Álvaro García (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+132

Under 0.5

-233

Isi Palazón (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+145

Under 0.5

-263

Sergio Camello (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-294

Brahim Díaz (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-286

Randy Nteka (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+170

Under 0.5

-313

Federico Valverde (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+210

Under 0.5

-417

Fran Pérez (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+240

Under 0.5

-500

Óscar Trejo (Rayo)

Over 0.5

+280

Under 0.5

-667

Trent Alexander-Arnold (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-714

Eduardo Camavinga (Real Madrid)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-833

Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid)

Over 5.5

+118

Under 5.5

-

Vinicius Junior (Real Madrid)

Over 2.5

+102

Under 2.5

-

Jude Bellingham (Real Madrid)

Over 2.5

+140

Under 2.5

-

Gonzalo García (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-189

Under 1.5

-

Endrick Moreira de Sousa (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-133

Under 1.5

-

Rodrygo (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Franco Mastantuono (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-161

Under 1.5

-

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo)

Over 1.5

-105

Under 1.5

-

Arda Guler (Real Madrid)

Over 1.5

-192

Under 1.5

-

Álvaro García (Rayo)

Over 1.5

-119

Under 1.5

-

Isi Palazón (Rayo)

Over 1.5

+102

Under 1.5

-

Sergio Camello (Rayo)

Over 1.5

+125

Under 1.5

-

Randy Nteka (Rayo)

Over 1.5

+135

Under 1.5

-

Fran Pérez (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-200

Under 0.5

-

Óscar Trejo (Rayo)

Over 0.5

-143

Under 0.5

-

Rayo Having a Purple Patch at Home

Rayo have secured three straight victories at Estadio de Vallecas. Los Franjirrojos have racked up five victories, four draws and one defeat in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 0.70.

Real have recorded eight victories and two defeats in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 2.10 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

The past meeting at Estadio de Vallecas saw Rayo draw 3-3 with Real. It’s been two Rayo wins, two draws and one Real victory in the past 5 H2H meetings at Estadio de Vallecas.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Rayo Vallecano Home Stats		5-4-1	2.20	1.50	0.70	3	7	4	6
Real Madrid Away Stats		8-0-2	3.30	2.10	1.20	6	4	5	5

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

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Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Lineups & Team News

Don’t bet on Rayo vs Real without reviewing the latest team news. We’ll update you with predicted and confirmed La Liga lineups plus current injury reports.

Rayo Vallecano Team Page Real Madrid Team Page