Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 19 Mar 2026

Europa Conference League Betting Preview: Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor

Spanish La Liga outfit Rayo Vallecano host Turkish Super Lig club Samsunspor in the second leg of their Europa Conference League round of 16 tie at Estadio de Vallecas, with kick-off set for 16:00 on Thursday 19 March. Rayo won the first leg 3-1.

The Total Goals market provides readers with the chance to back our Under 2.5 Goals pick. Rayo and Samsunspor could be set to contest an unexciting encounter and a price of -141 looks the standout bet.

In the last Rayo Vallecano game, they played out a 1-1 La Liga draw at home to Levante at Estadio de Vallecas. The Madrid outfit had the majority of the ball boasting 58% possession and four shots on target, with Pathe Ciss getting the goal.

Samsunspor claimed a 2-1 Super Lig home win over Kayserispor at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayis Stadyumu in their previous game. The Red Lightning enjoyed 67% possession and managed eight shots on goal, while Antoine Makoumbou and Logi Tomasson were on the scoresheet.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The most recent head-to-head saw Rayo land a 3-1 away victory over Samsun at Samsun Yeni 19 Mayis Stadyumu.

Europa Conference League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Rayo Vallecano	6	4	1	1	13	7	6	13:7	13
12	Samsunspor	6	3	1	2	10	6	4	10:6	10

View Full Table

Rayo have 3 wins, 3 losses and 4 draws, averaging 1.5 goals from 12.4 attempts and 4.9 shots on goal. Inigo Perez's team have averaged 51.2% possession, 390.3 passes and 5.0 corners per game, conceding 1.3 goals and 4.8 corners from 11.7 attempts and 4.1 shots on goal.

Top scorer Jorge de Frutos has found the net 4 times, with Pathe Ciss, Alvaro Garcia and Alexandre Zurawski getting 2 each. Leading assistor is Isi Palazon with 3, while goalkeeper Augusto Batalla has 2 clean sheets.

Samsun have won 4, lost 4 and drawn 2, with an average of 1.2 goals from 9.8 attempts and 4.6 shots on goal. There’s been an average of 58.5% possession, 4.9 corners awarded and 3.4 corners against them, while they’ve conceded 1.3 goals from 7.9 attempts and 3.4 shots on goal.

Marius Mouandilmadji got 6 goals, Olivier Ntcham notched 2, while Antoine Makoumbou and two other players scored 1. Carlo Holse has been chief assist maker on 4, with Okan Kocuk recording 2 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.

Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor Prediction & Betting Tips

This expert Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score tip, corners analysis, player prop suggestions and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Match Prediction

The two teams aren’t expected to deliver on the goals front and that means we will bet Under 2.5. This Europa Conference League pick could be a sensible play and that’s particularly the case on the basis that odds of -141 are available.

The football predictions are generated after consulting the team news for both sides along with the form. We are also able to analyse the latest Europa Conference League stats which can suggest how the game might unfold.

Key Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor Europa Conference League & league stats:

• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Rayo games at home.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Rayo games.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Samsunspor games on the road.
• The 2.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Samsunspor games on the road.

According to the top bookies, our pick has a 58.5% chance of landing a return. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

It’s possible to combine Under 2.5 Goals with other picks in order to land a larger price. A Bet Builder is an ideal way of making this happen, with bettors needing all the various legs to win.

Don’t place a bet without checking our comprehensive guide to today’s best free bets and welcome bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals @ -141 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 17, 22:28). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Rayo 1 - 0 Samsunspor

Rayo are available to back at +410 to secure a 1-0 victory. This is a risky but potentially more rewarding bet, with this correct score option providing appeal.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jorge de Frutos to Score +185

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo) has registered three goals in his past five matches. Based on the numbers, we are looking to bet the +185 for him to find the net on the Anytime Goalscorer market.

Latest Jorge de Frutos Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+185

First

+400

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Rayo Under 6.5 Corners -133

Rayo Vallecano have failed to cover the 6.5 corners line in three consecutive matches, while Samsunspor have yielded an average of 3.40 corners in their previous 10 games. On this basis, we can take a price of -133 that this Rayo Team Corners bet falls short of the line.

Europa Conference League & League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Rayo

Total

9.80 5.00 4.80

Home

10.30 6.00 4.30

Away

9.80 4.60 5.20

Samsunspor

Total

8.30 4.90 3.40

Home

9.10 6.90 2.20

Away

8.10 4.20 3.90

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-128

Under 9.5

-110

Rayo Corners

Over 6.5

-106

Under 6.5

-133

Samsunspor Corners

Over 2.5

-172

Under 2.5

+120

Most Corners

1

-385

X

+800

2

+350

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Rayo Vallecano are forecasted to have a 63% chance of triumphing in this Europa Conference League encounter according to the bookmakers. It leads to their latest betting odds being -167. Samsunspor are the underdogs at +460 which implies a lesser percentage prospect of winning.

Rayo -0.75 at -137 means you split your Asian Handicap stake between -0.5 and -1. You ideally want a win by two goals or more against Samsun, although a one-goal victory means a half-stake return and a refund with the other half.

Under 2.5 Goals is a short-priced option for those expecting two goals or less. If you think this points to a low-scoring or one-sided affair, then BTTS No could be an option at -135.

Customers love the flexibility that hundreds of markets provide and that is for every Europa Conference League match. The recommended football betting sites ensure that bettors always have plenty of options.

Full-Time Result

1

-167

X

+280

2

+460

Half-Time Result

1

+114

X

+120

2

+460

Double Chance

1X

-909

12

-455

X2

+117

Draw No Bet

1

-500

2

+290

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-137

2 Hcp +0.75

-103

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-141

Over 2.5

-102

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-104

No

-135

The First Goalscorer favourite is Jorge de Frutos at +400. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the last goal.

Jorge de Frutos (Rayo)

First

+185

Anytime

+400

Álvaro García (Rayo)

First

+220

Anytime

+500

Sergio Camello (Rayo)

First

+250

Anytime

+550

Isi Palazón (Rayo)

First

+275

Anytime

+575

Carlos Martín (Rayo)

First

+295

Anytime

+600

Ilias Akhomach (Rayo)

First

+300

Anytime

+650

Randy Nteka (Rayo)

First

+310

Anytime

+650

Fran Pérez (Rayo)

First

+320

Anytime

+700

Cherif Ndiaye (Samsunspor)

First

+335

Anytime

+750

Marius Mouandilmadji (Samsunspor)

First

+375

Anytime

+850

Carlo Holse (Samsunspor)

First

+440

Anytime

+900

Óscar Trejo (Rayo)

First

+440

Anytime

+950

Pedro Diaz (Rayo)

First

+450

Anytime

+950

Gerard Gumbau (Rayo)

First

+510

Anytime

+1100

Pathé Ciss (Rayo)

First

+540

Anytime

+1200

Florian Lejeune (Rayo)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Tanguy Coulibaly (Samsunspor)

First

+575

Anytime

+1200

Unai López (Rayo)

First

+575

Anytime

+1300

Alfonso Espino (Rayo)

First

+600

Anytime

+1300

Celil Yüksel (Samsunspor)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Nobel Mendy (Rayo)

First

+650

Anytime

+1400

Emre Kilinç (Samsunspor)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Andrei Ratiu (Rayo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Jozhua Vertrouwd (Rayo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1500

Pep Chavarría (Rayo)

First

+750

Anytime

+1600

Latest Europa Conference League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Rayo Vallecano Stats

Samsunspor Stats

Full-Time Result

• 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 4 wins, 1 defeat and 5 draws in the previous 10 home matches

Full-Time Result

• 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
• 2 wins, 5 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 away matches

Goals

• An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.60 goals scored and 0.80 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
• An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
• BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 home matches

Goals

• An average of 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
• An average of 2.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
• An average of 2.60 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
• BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
• BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 matches
• Over 2.5 Goals in 4 of the previous 10 away matches

Corners

• An average of 5.00 corners awarded and 4.80 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 6.00 corners awarded and 4.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
• An average of 9.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches

Corners

• An average of 4.90 corners awarded and 3.40 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 4.20 corners awarded and 3.90 corners against in the last 10 away matches
• An average of 8.30 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
• An average of 8.10 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
• Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 5 of the last 10 away matches

Possession

• An average of 51.20% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 56.80% possession in the last 10 home matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 home matches

Possession

• An average of 58.50% possession in the last 10 matches
• An average of 54.30% possession in the last 10 away matches
• Most possession in 8 of the last 10 matches
• Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches

Rayo Vallecano vs Samsunspor Lineups & Team News

Stay ahead of the game by checking the Rayo vs Samsunspor team news before betting. Get the predicted and confirmed Europa Conference League lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

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