RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Jan 2026
Bundesliga Betting Preview: RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich
Third-placed RB Leipzig welcome Bundesliga leaders Bayern Munich to Red Bull Arena, with kick-off set for 12:30 on Saturday 17 January.
Leipzig +1 against Bayern Munich looks an attractive bet and we’ll see a payout at Asian Handicap odds of -103 if they’re able to win or draw the game. A one-goal defeat would see our stake returned.
RB Leipzig were victorious when they last played, landing a 2-0 home success against Freiburg at Red Bull Arena. The Red Bulls had seven shots on target and boasted 64% possession, while Willi Orban and Romulo Cruz scored one goal each.
Bayern Munich won their previous game 3-1. This away win at RheinEnergieSTADION against FC Koln was their third on the bounce. Vincent Kompany's team enjoyed 64% possession and had eight shots on goal, with Serge Gnabry, Min-Jae Kim and Lennart Karl all on target.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Bayern are unbeaten when it comes to the past five meetings against Leipzig. Their last encounter was at Allianz Arena, with Bayern claiming a 6-0 home win. The previous 10 H2H games have featured six Bayern wins, three draws and one Leipzig victory.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich |
24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 88 | 23 | 65 | 88:23 | 63 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig |
24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 46 | 33 | 13 | 46:33 | 44 |
Leipzig have 6 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw, averaging 2.4 goals from 6.7 shots on goal and 16.1 attempts. Ole Werner's side have averaged 52.7% possession and 5.4 corners per match, conceding 1.1 goals and 4.3 corners from 3.6 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts.
Yan Diomande is the top scorer with 6 goals, while Christoph Baumgartner has 4 and Romulo Cruz 3. Christoph Baumgartner is the leading assists maker on 6, with goalkeeper Peter Gulacsi keeping 5 clean sheets.
Bayern have won 8 and drawn 2, with an average of 3.9 goals from 19.6 attempts and 8.0 shots on goal. The Bavarians average 69.4% possession, 781.3 passes, 6.5 corners awarded and 2.7 corners against them, while conceding 0.9 goals from 7.8 attempts and 2.0 shots on goal.
Harry Kane is top of the team’s scoring charts with 8, Michael Olise has 5, with Lennart Karl and Luis Diaz both on 4. Michael Olise is top assists provider with 8, while Manuel Neuer and Jonas Urbig have collectively recorded 3 clean sheets in the previous 10 games.
Confirmed Lineups
RB Leipzig confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Peter Gulacsi (GK), Ridle Baku, Willi Orban, Castello Lukeba, David Raum, Xaver Schlager, Nicolas Seiwald, Christoph Baumgartner, Yan Diomande, Romulo Cruz, Antonio Nusa.
Bayern Munich confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Manuel Neuer (GK), Tom Bischof, Dayot Upamecano, Jonathan Tah, Hiroki Ito, Aleksandar Pavlovic, Leon Goretzka, Lennart Karl, Serge Gnabry, Luis Diaz, Harry Kane.
RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Betting Tips
Get the full betting picture for RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich, including a key match prediction, our correct score selection, best corners advice, top player prop picks and a ready-made bet builder.
Match Prediction
Leipzig are worth chancing on the Asian Handicap with a +1 goal start at odds of -103. We think that the home team will keep the scoreline close in this Bundesliga match and have an outside chance of winning.
The football predictions are generated after consulting the team news for both sides along with the form. We are also able to analyse the latest Bundesliga stats which can suggest how the game might unfold.
Key RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich league stats:
If you go by the top bookies, there’s a 50.8% likelihood of our pick winning. However, our experts have this number between 55-60% based on their in-depth research. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.
It’s good to explore all avenues and you might prefer bigger odds about the prediction you want to make. Go ahead and move the line until you’re happy with the price.
Get rewarded when bet. Check our latest guide featuring top-rated free bets, promotions and sign-up bonuses.
Correct Score Prediction
Let’s go for the game to end in a 2-2 scoreline, a wager which is available at +900. Correct score betting provides plenty of excitement and a potentially bigger return if you win.
Player Prop Picks
Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig) has tallied one or more shots on goal in four straight Bundesliga games. We think this could be a telling statistic and we’ll back him to cover the Shots on Target line which is available at odds of +145.
Xaver Schlager (Leipzig) has scored two goals in his past five Bundesliga home games. This data directs us to the Anytime Goalscorer market where we can bet him to find the net at attractive odds of +600.
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Corners Prediction
The 5.5 corners line has been covered by Bayern Munich in their past four games. If you’re in agreement with our opinion that the Bayern Team Corners line is on the low side, take the odds of -127 that they go over.
Leipzig
Bayern
Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.
Bet Builder Tips
If you’re up for a bet builder, then we’ve got Leipzig on the Asian Handicap at +1, Yes on the Both Teams to Score market together with Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig) to finish with one or more shots on target.
The bet builder route is a great one for football fans requiring a tailored same-game multi on a match. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.
RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Odds
The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.
With a 64% prospect of triumphing according to the 1x2 odds, Bayern Munich are favourites to come out on top in this Bundesliga clash and they’re available at -179 with the bookmakers. If you’re searching for a different slant, RB Leipzig are available at +390.
For those wanting an alternative, Bayern are -103 on the Half-Time Result market. This means they need to lead at the break, with Leipzig being priced up at +335 and the draw is +188.
Over 2.5 Goals is the market leader and that means three or more goals are predicted. The Both Teams to Score market is always popular and BTTS Yes can be backed at -278.
The top football betting sites have excellent coverage for the latest Bundesliga matches. They supply customers with hundreds of markets and it’s down to you to find the best angle.
Harry Kane is priced at +280 when it comes to First Goalscorer. He’s the favourite and also available at odds of -143 to find the net anytime.
Leipzig have secured eight wins and two defeats in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 2.60 goals per match and conceding 1.00.
Bayern Munich are unbeaten over their previous ten games on the road. Vincent Kompany's team have recorded eight victories and two draws in the previous 10 away matches, netting an average of 3.40 goals per game and conceding 0.90.
Leipzig drew 3-3 with Bayern when the sides last met at Red Bull Arena. The past 7 H2H meetings at Red Bull Arena have resulted in two Bayern triumphs and five draws.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RB Leipzig Home Stats |
8-0-2 | 3.60 | 2.60 | 1.00 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 4 | |
Bayern Munich Away Stats |
8-2-0 | 4.30 | 3.40 | 0.90 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
- Bundesliga: 22/08 2025 Bayern Munich 6 Leipzig 0
- Bundesliga: 03/05 2025 Leipzig 3 Bayern Munich 3
- Bundesliga: 20/12 2024 Bayern Munich 5 Leipzig 1
- Bundesliga: 24/02 2024 Bayern Munich 2 Leipzig 1
- Bundesliga: 30/09 2023 Leipzig 2 Bayern Munich 2
- Bundesliga: 20/05 2023 Bayern Munich 1 Leipzig 3
- Bundesliga: 20/01 2023 Leipzig 1 Bayern Munich 1
- Bundesliga: 05/02 2022 Bayern Munich 3 Leipzig 2
- Bundesliga: 11/09 2021 Leipzig 1 Bayern Munich 4
- Bundesliga: 03/04 2021 Leipzig 0 Bayern Munich 1
RB Leipzig League Stats
Bayern Munich League Stats
- 6 wins, 3 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 matches
- 7 wins, 2 defeats and 1 draw in the previous 10 home matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 8 wins and 2 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 2.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.60 goals scored and 1.20 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.50 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.80 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.90 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 4.80 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 4.30 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 6 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 5 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 10 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 10 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 4.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.40 corners awarded and 5.00 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 9.70 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.40 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 5 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 6.50 corners awarded and 2.70 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.30 corners awarded and 3.30 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 9.20 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 8.60 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 8 and least corners in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 6 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 52.70% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 49.40% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 4 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 69.40% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 63.50% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 10 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for RB Leipzig this season are Christoph Baumgartner (6), Yan Diomande (6), Romulo Cruz (5)
- Top Assistors for RB Leipzig this season are Christoph Baumgartner (6), Forzan Assan Ouedraogo (3), Romulo Cruz (3)
RB Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Lineups & Team News
The latest Leipzig vs Bayern team news could impact your bets — review it first. We’ll share both predicted and confirmed lineups for the Bundesliga along with the latest injury news.
RB Leipzig Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Bayern Munich Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
RB Leipzig Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Bayern Munich Confirmed Lineup 4-2-3-1
RB Leipzig Substitutes
- 5E. C. Bitshiabu
- 6Ezechiel Banzuzi
- 11Conrad Harder
- 19Kosta Nedeljkovic
- 26Maarten Vandevoordt
- 27Tidiam Gomis
- 33Andrija Maksimovic
- 35Max Finkgrafe
- 39Benjamin Henrichs
Bayern Munich Substitutes
- 3Min-Jae Kim
- 6Joshua Kimmich
- 10Jamal Musiala
- 17Michael Olise
- 19Alphonso Davies
- 22Raphael Guerreiro
- 38Felipe Chavez
- 40Jonas Urbig
- 47David Santos
Previous RB Leipzig Lineups
Previous Bayern Munich Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
RB Leipzig Player Stats & Squad
Manager: Ole Werner
Bayern Munich Player Stats & Squad
Bundesliga Table| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 24 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 88:23 | 63 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 51:25 | 52 |
| 3 | Hoffenheim | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 49:31 | 46 |
| 4 | Stuttgart | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 48:32 | 46 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 46:33 | 44 |
| 6 | Leverkusen | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 40 |
| 7 | Frankfurt | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 48:49 | 34 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 34:39 | 33 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 30:41 | 31 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 29:38 | 28 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 26:34 | 26 |
| 12 | B. M'gladbach | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27:39 | 25 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 33:41 | 24 |
| 14 | Mainz 05 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:39 | 23 |
| 15 | St. Pauli | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 23:40 | 23 |
| 16 | Werder Bremen | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 25:44 | 22 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 33:53 | 20 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 22:53 | 14 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 48:12 | 31 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 28:11 | 29 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 21:12 | 29 |
| 4 | Hoffenheim | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 27:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 6 | Leverkusen | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 25:11 | 23 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27:17 | 23 |
| 8 | Augsburg | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:19 | 21 |
| 9 | Frankfurt | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 22:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Hamburger SV | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19:15 | 19 |
| 11 | Union Berlin | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:17 | 17 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:21 | 16 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:19 | 15 |
| 14 | St. Pauli | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:18 | 15 |
| 15 | Mainz 05 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 16 | B. M'gladbach | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | 13 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13:27 | 10 |
| 18 | Wolfsburg | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 19:26 | 9 |
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