RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 18 Oct 2025
Bundesliga Betting Preview: RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig host Hamburger SV in this German Bundesliga clash at Red Bull Arena, with kick-off set for 09:30 on Saturday 18 October. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.
Underdogs Can Keep Things Fairly Tight
We’re keen to wager Hamburger SV +1.5 against Leipzig and we’ll take the Asian Handicap odds of -112. A return with this bet can be enjoyed if the visitors are able to win, draw or lose by a single goal.
Ready to place your Asian Handicap wager? Grab the latest BetMGM promo code and read our expert review of the betting site before getting in on the action.
Leipzig Landed 4-0 Victory in Previous H2H
RB Leipzig drew away from home in their last game. A 1-1 scoreline was played out against Borussia Dortmund at Signal Iduna Park. The Red Bulls recorded three shots on target and had 50% possession, with Christoph Baumgartner getting the goal.
Hamburger SV claimed a 4-0 home victory over Mainz 05 at Volksparkstadion in their previous game. Merlin Polzin's side had 40% possession and managed nine shots on goal, with Rayan Philippe scoring two, while Albert Sambi Lokonga and Jean-Luc Dompe also found the net.
Head-to-Head Statistics
The scoreline was 4-0 for home side Leipzig when they last faced HSV, with the DFB-Pokal encounter taking place at Red Bull Arena.
| Bundesliga | G | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | GD | P | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |  RB Leipzig |
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 10:9 | 16 |
| 10 |  Hamburger SV |
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7:10 | 8 |
4 wins, 3 losses and 3 draws, averaging 1.3 goals from 4.6 shots on goal and 13.5 attempts. Leipzig have had 47.5% possession, 449.3 passes and 5.6 corners per game. On average, they have conceded 1.8 goals from 5.1 shots on goal and 15.9 attempts, while the opposition have been awarded 6.3 corners.
Christoph Baumgartner, Johan Bakayoko and Romulo Cruz are joint-top scorers with 2 goals on the board. David Raum, Ridle Baku and Xavi Simons have the most assists with 2, while goalie Peter Gulacsi has recorded 4 clean sheets.
Hamburger SV – Last 10 League GamesHSV have 4 victories, 4 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 1.9 goals from 11.6 attempts and 5.5 shots on goal. The Lower Saxony team average 47.6% possession, 3.5 corners awarded and 5.3 corners against them, while conceding 1.4 goals from 14.5 attempts and 5.1 shots on goal.
Ransford Koenigsdoerffer, Rayan Philippe and Davie Selke are top of the team’s scoring charts with 3, while Jean-Luc Dompe is on 2. Miro Muheim has had 3 assists in the previous 10 games, while Daniel Heuer Fernandes has 3 clean sheets to his name.
Confirmed Lineups
RB Leipzig confirmed lineup (4-3-3): Peter Gulacsi (GK), Ridle Baku, Willi Orban, Castello Lukeba, David Raum, Christoph Baumgartner, Nicolas Seiwald, Forzan Assan Ouedraogo, Johan Bakayoko, Romulo Cruz, Antonio Nusa.
Hamburger SV confirmed lineup (3-4-3): Daniel Heuer Fernandes (GK), Nicolas Capaldo, Luka Vuskovic, Daniel Elfadli, William Mikelbrencis, Albert Sambi Lokonga, Nicolai Remberg, Miro Muheim, Rayan Philippe, Ransford Koenigsdoerffer, Jean-Luc Dompe.
RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Betting Tips
Be ready for RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV with our in-depth betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, our expected scoreline, best corners advice, player props to watch and a value-focused bet builder.
Match Prediction
Hamburger SV +1.5 on the Asian Handicap are a great betting option at -112 on the basis that they can perform well as underdogs for this Bundesliga encounter. We’re expecting the game to be close.
Sportsgambler.com has plenty of Bundesliga insights and that includes getting the team news immediately. The recent form will also help deliver our expert football predictions and we ensure that the most relevant stats are used to good effect.
Key RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV league stats:
HSV +1.5 Probability
Based on the latest odds from the top bookmakers, our pick carries a 52.9% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.
Selling goals can be a great alternative and allows bettors to enjoy a bigger return on a similar selection. For a more conservative pick, you can alternatively buy goals.
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Correct Score Prediction
2
-
1
Hamburger SV
Let’s take a chance on the +700 available that Leipzig secure a 2-1 victory. There’s a nice potential return waiting if we’re able to predict the correct score.
Player Prop Picks
Antonio Nusa (Leipzig) hasn’t had a shot on goal in four straight Bundesliga matches on home soil. We think that he will fail to cover the Shots on Target Line and betting odds of -118 are available for this wager.
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Christoph Baumgartner (Leipzig) has registered two goals in his past five Bundesliga matches. The odds that he will be an Anytime Goalscorer look attractive considering the numbers and we’ll plump for him to find the net at odds of +230.
T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+
Corners Prediction
HSV have had under 3.5 corners in five straight matches, while the last 5 Leipzig games have seen them concede an average of 4.80 corners. It stands to reason that the line won’t be reached and you can secure odds of -120 for this HSV Team Corners bet.
Leipzig
Hamburger SV
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Bet Builder Tips
We’ve got a same-game multi with three options: Hamburger SV with an Asian Handicap of +1.5, BTTS Yes along with Antonio Nusa (Leipzig) to finish without a shot on target.
The bet builder route is a great one for football fans requiring a tailored same-game multi on a match. You’re able to forecast various outcomes, with the odds increasing each time before going ahead and placing this wager.
RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV Odds
The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.
Betting Sites Running Scared of Leipzig Victory
The latest RB Leipzig odds are -227 which leads to them being favourites in this Bundesliga clash. It’s also implied by the bookmakers that they have a 69% prospect of securing a victory. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +480 about Hamburger SV.
As the name suggests, the Half-Time Result market is settled at the break. Should you take this option, then you can choose between Leipzig at -115, HSV at +410 or the draw at +180.
The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. If you think both teams will score, then you can back BTTS Yes at -192.
There’s lots to like about our recommended football betting sites and that includes the hundreds of markets available for each Bundesliga game. You are spoilt for choice when it comes to available options.
Conrad Harder Favourite to Find the Net First
There is +148 available that Conrad Harder finds the net, while he is available at +450 to register the first goal which makes him favourite.
Five Leipzig Triumphs From Their Past Ten Home Clashes
Leipzig have racked up five victories, three draws and two defeats in the previous 10 home games, netting an average of 2.00 goals per match and conceding 1.30.
Hamburger SV are winless over their previous four games on their travels. Merlin Polzin's side have finished with four draws, three wins and three defeats in the last 10 away games, recording an average of 1.50 goals per match and conceding 1.30.
Leipzig beat HSV 4-0 when the teams last met at Red Bull Arena.
| Last 10 League Games | W-D-L | G | GF | GA | O2.5 | U2.5 | B-Y | B-No | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig Home Stats |
5-3-2 | 3.30 | 2.00 | 1.30 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 3 | |
| Hamburger SV Away Stats |
3-4-3 | 2.80 | 1.50 | 1.30 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
- W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
- G = Avg. Goals
- GF = Avg. Goals For
- GA = Avg. Goals Against
- O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
- U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
- B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
- B-No = Matches BTTS No
RB Leipzig League Stats
Hamburger SV League Stats
- 4 wins, 3 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 5 wins, 2 defeats and 3 draws in the previous 10 home matches
- 4 wins, 4 defeats and 2 draws in the previous 10 matches
- 3 wins, 3 defeats and 4 draws in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 1.30 goals scored and 1.80 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.10 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 3.10 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 3.40 goals per game in the previous 10 home matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 7 of the previous 10 home matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 home matches
- An average of 1.90 goals scored and 1.40 conceded in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 1.50 goals scored and 1.30 conceded in the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 3.30 goals per game in the previous 10 matches
- An average of 2.80 goals per game in the previous 10 away matches
- BTTS Yes in 4 of the previous 10 matches
- BTTS Yes in 3 of the previous 10 away matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 7 of the previous 10 matches
- Over 2.5 Goals in 6 of the previous 10 away matches
- An average of 5.60 corners awarded and 6.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 5.90 corners awarded and 5.30 corners against in the last 10 home matches
- An average of 11.90 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 11.20 corners awarded in the last 10 home matches
- Had the most corners in 4 and least corners in 4 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 7 and least corners in 3 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 3.50 corners awarded and 5.30 corners conceded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 4.60 corners awarded and 5.70 corners against in the last 10 away matches
- An average of 8.80 corners awarded in the last 10 matches
- An average of 10.30 corners awarded in the last 10 away matches
- Had the most corners in 3 and least corners in 7 of the last 10 matches
- Had the most corners in 2 and least corners in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- An average of 47.50% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.60% possession in the last 10 home matches
- Most possession in 2 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 5 of the last 10 home matches
- An average of 47.60% possession in the last 10 matches
- An average of 53.60% possession in the last 10 away matches
- Most possession in 3 of the last 10 matches
- Most possession in 6 of the last 10 away matches
- Top Scorers for RB Leipzig this season are Christoph Baumgartner (2), Johan Bakayoko (2), Romulo Cruz (2)
- Top Assistors for RB Leipzig this season are David Raum (1), Ezechiel Banzuzi (1), Forzan Assan Ouedraogo (1)
RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV Lineups & Team News
Double-check the Leipzig vs HSV team news before placing your bets. We’ll offer the predicted and confirmed Bundesliga lineups along with the latest injury developments.
RB Leipzig Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Hamburger SV Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
RB Leipzig Confirmed Lineup 4-3-3
Hamburger SV Confirmed Lineup 3-4-3
RB Leipzig Substitutes
- 5E. C. Bitshiabu
- 6Ezechiel Banzuzi
- 11Conrad Harder
- 16Lukas Klostermann
- 24Xaver Schlager
- 26Maarten Vandevoordt
- 27Tidiam Gomis
- 33Andrija Maksimovic
- 49Yan Diomande
Hamburger SV Substitutes
- 9Robert Glatzel
- 10Immanuel Pherai
- 13Guilherme Ramos
- 15Yussuf Poulsen
- 23Jonas Meffert
- 25Jordan Torunarigha
- 26Daniel Peretz
- 38Alexander Roessing
- 45Fabio Balde
Previous RB Leipzig Lineups
Previous Hamburger SV Lineups
Bundesliga Table
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 27:4 | 21 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:9 | 16 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 14 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:11 | 14 |
| 6 | FC Koln | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Union Berlin | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 8 | Frankfurt | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17:16 | 9 |
| 9 | Freiburg | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 8 |
| 10 | Hamburger SV | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | 8 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 8 |
| 12 | St. Pauli | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 7 |
| 13 | Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:14 | 7 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | 5 |
| 16 | Mainz 05 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | 4 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:13 | 4 |
| 18 | B. M'gladbach | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:15 | 3 |
| # | Team | G | W | D | L | +/- | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17:1 | 12 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 9 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 5 | Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 6 | Union Berlin | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 7 | Hamburger SV | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 6 |
| 8 | FC Koln | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 4 |
| 9 | St. Pauli | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 4 |
| 10 | Freiburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | 4 |
| 12 | Heidenheim | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 13 | Frankfurt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 3 |
| 14 | Augsburg | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 3 |
| 15 | Wolfsburg | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 2 |
| 16 | B. M'gladbach | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:10 | 2 |
| 17 | Mainz 05 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 0 |
| 18 | Hoffenheim | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:8 | 0 |
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